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Kansas City Chiefs Offseason WorkBook - 2020


Kansas City Chiefs - Super Bowl Champions!
2019 Record: (12-4) 1st AFC West     

2019 Season Recap:

Offense
Points: 28.2 (5th)
Yards: 379.2 (6th)
Pass Yards: 281.1 (5th)
Rush Yards: 98.1 (23rd)

Defense
Points: 19.2 (7th)
Yards: 349.6 (17th)
Pass Yards: 221.4 (8th)
Rush Yards: 128.2 (26th)

First and foremost – Congratulations once again to the Kansas City Chiefs for becoming Super Bowl Champions!

Diving into that magical 2019 season, the Chiefs avoided complete disaster when Patrick Mahomes knee cap was dislocated on that quarterback sneak. That was a massive point of the year as this club was on a two-game losing streak and at that time weren’t playing their best football. Defense was the major concern as they really struggled to maintain, while the opposition found holes and scored many points. During that week seven contest, many fans and onlookers believed Mahomes would be lost for the entire season.

On the following Monday, word broke that no structural damage had occurred and Mahomes would only miss a hand full of games. Upon Mahomes return to the field in week 10, the Kansas City defense again let the team down losing the Titans. After that contest, something happened to this team that would set the stage and sustain for the rest of the year. The defense managed to correct its inadequacy which was led by Tyrann Mathieu. Pulling the secondary together, the adjustments allowed the Chiefs to blitz more often while becoming more opportunistic in creating turnovers.

Winning their last six games while being crowed division champion – the stage was set for the Chiefs to cruse to the super bowl. Hosting the Houston Texans in the divisional round, more tragedy struck this club as they found themselves down early to the tune of 24-0 in the first quarter. With luck on their side, Kansas City managed to engineer turnovers of their own and pull a massive comeback to win 51-31. Moving on to the Tennessee Titans the following week in the AFC championship, it again appeared that becoming victorious would not be on their side. Trailing early 10-0, then again 17-7 – the Chiefs flipped that switch and couldn’t be caught. Beating the Titans 35-24 and stamping their ticket to the super bowl for the first time in 50 years was the outcome.

As we geared up for the big game, the contest remained tight throughout the first half locking both clubs at 10 heading into the locker room. Jumping into the third quarter, the 49ers defense was clearly in the driver seat as San Francisco managed to hold a 10-point lead heading into the final frame. With that, we again witnessed something which became so common with this Chiefs run and that should be classified as resilience! Patriack Mahomes called a play that opened up the comeback with a deep toss to Tyreek Hill. Finally moving the ball on what was a stifling 49ers defense, Mahomes carried the weight of the team on his back and completed yet another comeback to take the lead and never look back.

For how talented this offense is and was in 2019, it was the defense that we suspected to be a major problem in getting them over the top. In the end, the fortitude of the defense was the game changer while the offense and Mahomes laid the final nail in the coffin. Hoisting that super bowl trophy was a beautiful sight to see for long time Kansas City Chief fans!


2020 Offseason WorkBook:

The Offense
With the smell of victory not likely to wash off anytime soon, we’ll start at the quarterback position and Patrick Mahomes. While we all knew he was something special in the making after his record setting season a year ago, this season proved how tough he was and how much respect he pulls from the locker room. Hearing Mahomes in an interview saying he believes he has much room to grow in the mental aspect of the game – that truly should be a scary thought for the rest of the league. Obviously, he is looking to be the new face of the NFL and should be playing for the Chiefs for many years. His contract situation will be a high priority and could break the back when all is said and done. Keep smiling Chiefs fans, you have a great youthful one behind center.

As for the running back position, we can’t be as optimistic and generous with our opinion. Its not that we don’t like Damien Williams, but we feel he’s benefited far more in playing in this offense over his talent dictating terms. With that said, he did play a heavy role in getting the team the championship – but we have no question that Coach Reid will be in the market to upgrade. With Lesean McCoy likely moving on to free agency, we can absolutely see a first-round runner added with the last pick in the first round of the NFL draft. Williams may continue to have a role in 2020, but there is no question the search will be on for that full time back this off-season.

Heading toward the receiving core and what they hold on the roster, we begin with Tyreek Hill. Here was another situation where off field trouble could’ve derailed the Chiefs from keeping the star talent, but circumstances changed and it appears Hill should remain with the team if he can stay out of trouble. With Sammy Watkins playing a decent secondary role (more so in the playoffs) – he has intimated that taking a year off could be in the cards as he would enjoy a break from the game. Having Mecole Hardman and Byron Pringle looking to take the next steps in their progression, we still could witness a receiver drafted from a class loaded with ability. Coach Reid has been a master in finding receivers and should manage to snag another one.

When it comes to the tight end position, Travis Kelce continues to be the best in the business as proved that once again with mammoth numbers filling his stat line. Securing a whopping 97 receptions, for 1229 yards and five touchdowns, he is the true offensive mismatch on this offense. The great positive in his game that even at the age of 30 years old, his play hasn’t seen any drop off and should still remain elite for at least the next two to three seasons. This unit overall is still very sound and will continue to be a dominating force.     

The Defense
Admittedly, we became very critical of this defensive unit during the first half of the season, but as they adjusted their approach, we got on board to see the many strengths they held. Being built with the blitz in mind, this Chiefs group was able to expel the most of its abilities while locking down in the most important times. Categorizing them as a true bend but don’t break squad is how we choose to label them after how they finished the year.

Diving into the defensive line which is led by Chris Jones and Frank Clark, they became the engine that drove the ship. Being responsible for 17 of the teams 45 sacks – this was extra important as both players missed time to injury. Had they played an entire 16 games each, these totals could’ve jumped over the 50-sack mark. Having Alex Okafor and Emmanuel Ognah chipping in with a healthy 10.5 take-downs of their own, this group had a nose in finding the quarterback. If there is room to improve it definitely rests at finding more run stoppers to help round out the group. We should see the Chiefs try to fill these holes in some shape or form.

When it comes to the line backer position, Anthony Hitchens still should be viewed as the most important piece. While we did see his stats take a drop off from the previous season, he still managed to lead the team in tackles. Outside of Hitchens, we could suggest this team requiring upgrades to both Damien Wilson and Reggie Ragland. With the limited amount of talent on this group, its no question we witnessed a league bottom feeder in total rush yards allowed. This unit should see change and become a priority this offseason.

As we review this defensive backfield, we had high hopes entering the year but saw some level of struggle at times. With Tyrann Mathieu becoming a true leader of the bunch, this crew managed to finish the season as the 8th best in the league. With that said, we have always been supportive of Kendall Fuller and his skillset, the only thing which has lacked in his overall game has been the absence of interceptions. Nevertheless, he formed a decent tandem with Bashaud Breeland which aided to that high-end statistical achievements from this group.

With all that praise for this defensive back room, the Chiefs will be somewhat hamstrung with Fuller, Breeland and to a lesser extent Morris Claiborne all heading for free agency. This positional group could look very different in 2020 and will need to be replaced with limited funds on the books.  

Team Free Agents / Team Salary Cap
With the NFL ratifying the collective bargaining agreement on March 15th, the added salary cap space from the league is a welcomed sight to the Chiefs. With those extra funds added to the bottom line, Kansas City still holds a meek 15.9 million in free space to first resign their hefty 27 team free agents.

Highlighting the list of players the Chiefs would covet to bring back to the fold – Chris Jones, Kendall Fuller, Emmanuel Ogbah, and Brashaud Breeland all look to be the top commodities. Adding to that, Damien Williams and Damien Wilson both fall under the club option contract stipulation and will be decided on in the coming days. As for Chris Jones, he may have priced his way out of town with his market value skyrocketing to an enormous 19.2 million per season on what could be a five- or six-year deal. At this point, Kansas City doesn’t have the money and would have to get very creative to bring him back to the team.

For the purpose of this team evaluation, it is always our objective to find more funds for clubs to utilize from poorly built contracts. In review of the books, Sammy Watkins is a prime candidate to be cut from the roster as his ridiculous 21-million-dollar cap hit comes with a minimal seven million in dead funds. We can’t envision a situation where Damien Wilson’s club option will be extended which would save nearly all of his 3.8 million on the books. Daniel Sorenson is another player that could hit the open market as his 4.75 million dollars would only place one million in dead funds – every dollar counts for the Chiefs at this point.

With these few possible transactions, Kansas City would save an additional 20.7 million dollars to extend their open cap to 36.6 million for 2020. For our appetite, making these roster cuts is truly a no brainer and would give options to bring back at least Chris Jones.

The NFL Draft
The more likely situation for the Chiefs rests in the NFL draft to restock and reload their roster. The issue here also is limited ammunition for them to work with. Holding only five picks in this year draft, Kansas City is missing their sixth and seventh rounders to begin with.

The Chiefs obviously hold the 32nd pick in the first round and we wouldn’t be shocked to see them trade down to garner more capital. If the Chiefs do stay the course and choose to make that pick at 32 – could we see a player like Deandre Swift added to this offense? Coach Reid would definitely favor a true three down runner with the ability to be dangerous in the pass game.

Other options to keep this club a top end contender would include – adding to the defensive line (if Jones is lost to free agency) and shoring up the defensive backfield with the plethora of players that could walk out the door. Let’s not forget the possibility to add more receiver depth if Watkins is cut from the club.

All-in-all, the Chiefs will have a lot of work to do to bring this team back to what they were in 2019. However, there is more than enough proof that their scouting department can hit gold in any round of the draft. The defense of their championship begins on March 18th – get ready!   

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