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Jacksonville Jaguars Offseason WorkBook - 2020


Jacksonville Jaguars
2019 Record: (6-10) 4th AFC South     

2019 Season Recap:

Offense
Points: 18.8 (26th)
Yards: 341.8 (20th)
Pass Yards: 235.0 (16th)
Rush Yards: 106.8 (17th)

Defense
Points: 24.8 (21st)
Yards: 375.4 (24th)
Pass Yards: 236.1 (16th)
Rush Yards: 139.3 (28th)

Looking back at what transpired for the Jacksonville Jaguars this past season, disappointment can be the only appropriate term. Signing Nick Foles from the Eagles in hopes to correct the quarterback position was the thought process, but one that we knew wouldn’t turn out in their favor. We’ve seen what goes down when Foles leaves Philadelphia in search for that starting role in the past, and the same outcome came to pass in Jacksonville. Granted, Foles did suffer an injury which sidelined him for half the season, but over paying him to that enormous contract was a time bomb waiting to go off.

Fortunately for the Jags, they found good fortune in their rookie passer Gardner Minshew who showed great poise and performance in many contests he played in. Throwing Foles back into the starter role once deemed healthy to return (in week 11), he managed to play in three games before the plug was again pulled.

Aside from the movement at the quarterback position, there were some positives from this offense that can be spoken openly. Leonard Fournette took his game to levels we haven’t seen in his young tenure reaching career highs in many categories. Leading the team in receptions was a welcomed surprise and provided credibility to him being that elite three down back. With that, having little success in finding the endzone was confusing to say the least. Adding to more positives, the Jags truly found something special in second year wide receiver D.J Chark, as he showcased his supreme ability. Cracking the 1000-yard receiving mark while finding the endzone a healthy eight times, we have nothing but shining endorsements to throw his way.  

For the negatives, Jacksonville took massive steps in the wrong direction in terms of overall team play with a losing record and falling sharply in team rankings. This defense continued to be dismantled and a mid season trade of their star defensive back Jalen Ramsey occurred. Its difficult to predict how this club could be corrected as we hold zero faith in coach Doug Marrone. Perhaps a sound off-season will change our minds and provide a more optimistic outlook.


2020 Offseason WorkBook:

The Offense
Diving into this offense and what could become of them in 2020, first and foremost is the choice of who will be the starting quarterback. Signing Foles to that massive contract would typically force the hand of any organization to play him regardless of output. However, with the talent shown from Minshew, more success could be drawn if greater supportive pieces were added to his offensive line. Jacksonville passers hit the turf a whopping 42 times in 2019 and should be an area of focus to help either of these quarterbacks play better. For our appetite, we’ve seen the Foles experiment go wrong in the past, and the future will look bright with the mustache leading the way.  

In terms of what will be of Fournette on this offense moving forward, we’ve heard many rumors suggesting coach Marrone would be more than happy to move in another direction. Playing out the final year of his rookie deal, the fifth-year option will be on the table for him to return the following season. With full disclosure, we are giant supports of Fournette and believe letting him walk to another club would be a catastrophic mistake. As for the depth behind their star runner, Ryquell Armstead is a talented player but nothing to get overly excited about. More talent should be added to this group and potentially the replacement for Fournette is on the horizon.   

As we mentioned above, our infatuation for the up and coming star in this league (D.J Chark), we have nothing but gleaming reviews for his overall game. Believing he will take yet another huge leap in his progression, we could see a top 10 receiver come from Jacksonville. As for the supportive pieces in the room, Dede Westbrook and Marqise Lee are more than reliable while seeing Chris Conley and Keelan Cole waiting in the wings. There are ample amounts of talent on this core and we should see a much better showing with further chemistry development this off-season – once a starting pivot is announced of course.

As for the tight end position, we did have some level of hope that Josh Oliver would’ve turned into a player in his rookie campaign – but nothing substantial materialized. Losing basically the entire year to injury, we can only hope he will come back strong and show what we believe he can be. Speaking of his teammate James O’Shaughnessy, it appeared he was quickly developing a rapport with Minshew but was also lost after five games to a season ending injury. With these two potentially coming back to full health, we could see something special brewing at the position.

The Defense
When it comes to a defense that was so dominating just two seasons prior, its unfathomable how a downtrend could take place so quickly. Removing vast amounts of star talent and not replacing them with appropriate pieces, the result was as we witness this past season - failure.

Beginning with the defensive front, the Jags still have very sound talent with Calais Campbell, Yannick Ngakoue and Josh Allen. With Marcell Dareus released from the club, we are hearing rumbles they intend to bring him back at a lower rate. Dawuane Smoot is another player we are intrigued with, but would like to witness more production before we can provide a sound evaluation. At this point, this line is the strength of this unit and could become even stronger with more depth added, especially if Ngakoue is resigned or franchise tagged in the coming days.

Jumping into the line backers which used to be a fierce and dominating duo – Myles Jack is all that remains of a once fabulously put tighter tandem. When Telvin Smith announced he would be taking time off from playing in the NFL, the writing was on the wall for far less execution and productivity. Becoming a clear formality, Jack was left to fend for himself with little support while reaching career lows since his rookie campaign. Granted, Jack did miss time to injury as well, but the absolute requirement is to add another play-maker and should be a top priority.   

Moving right along to the defensive backs which at one point provided vast amounts of fear for the opposition - now have been reduced to rubble with nothing tangible to consider. With Jalen Ramsey having new digs in Los Angeles, and a recent trade which shipped AJ Bouye to the Broncos, massive holes are left for the front office to correct. While we can see line backer a potential greater concern, this unit will again be cooked all season long if a plan isn’t in place to correct its shortcomings.

At this point, we could give far better encouragement for the Jaguars offense than for the defense – didn’t think that would happen in a span of two years.     

Team Free Agents / Team Salary Cap
Typically, when reviewing the books for a club that went 6-10 the previous season and removed so many pieces from the roster, Jacksonville holds an average 33.7 million in free cap space. With that said, the list of team free agents isn’t overly concerning outside of Yannick Ngakoue. He is the top commodity to bring back to the team, but we’ve also heard suggestions that a franchise tag and trade could be in the works. We shall see which direction they plan to take with this impressive pass rusher.

For how we operate in terms of trying to improve clubs in these evaluations, it all begins in removing bad contracts which exist on the roster. With the sheer amount of talent held on the receiving core, Marqise Lee should be a consideration to be a cap casualty. Holding a cap hit of 8.75 million, his release would push a mere 3.5 million to the dead cap. Losing Lee would be of no consequence given the emergence of other talent. DJ Hayden is another player that is grossly overpaid and could be a consideration to be cut, but that could be difficult given the weaknesses they already hold on the secondary. Nevertheless, cutting Hayden and his 7.6-million-dollar cap hit, its virtually all savings as 1.6 would head to dead funds.

There is room on this roster to find extra money, and it will be needed to supplant the terrible deal given to Nick Foles last off-season.

The NFL Draft
So, looking ahead to the NFL draft and the league offering compensatory picks to all teams, the Jaguars find themselves in an advantageous position with nine picks on their board. Holding two first round picks, and two sixth round picks – Jacksonville does have sufficient ammunition to navigate the draft room in late April.  

In conclusion of the season, a 6-10 record was good enough to hold the ninth overall selection in the first round. Having that second first round pick via the Rams in that Ramsey deal, adding another top tier talent isn’t out of the question. Looking to spend their capital on the defensive side to rebuild – we could see a player like Isaiah Simmons be a fantastic addition. Simmons proved to be that athletic freak in combine drills, but reviewing his college game film is equally as impressive.

If that is indeed how the Jaguars plan to move at pick nine, following that up at pick 20 with a top defensive back would be icing on the cake. Adding two dynamic play-makers on the defensive side would be the most beneficial in getting back a unit that held so much fortitude. With having options with the rest of their selections, a turnaround could be forthcoming faster than we anticipate bringing good news to this fan base.      

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