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Denver Broncos Offseason WorkBook 2019


Denver Broncos
2018 Record: (6-10) 3rd AFC West

2018 Season Recap:

Offense
Points: 20.6 (24th)
Yards: 350.1 (19th)
Pass Yards: 230.9 (19th)
Rush Yards: 119.2 (12th)

Defense
Points:  21.8 (13th)
Yards: 365.1 (22nd)
Pass Yards: 245.6 (20th)
Rush Yards: 119.6 (21st)

Ever since John Elway convinced Peyton Manning to bring his talents to the mile high city, then seeing him depart while riding off into the sunset of retirement, Denver hasn’t been able to correct the quarterback positional issues left behind.

The 2018 Denver Broncos again witnessed the struggle of a limited offensive group under performing, leaving their defense to see another wasted campaign. The big news during the 2018 offseason was the addition of Case Keenum to take over as the starting pivot for the Broncos. While we had cautioned our reader’s outlook to be far more realistic, Keenum in our eyes was a system quarterback which led to his success in Minnesota. While the situation was completely understandable, Denver required any upgrade to the position in hopes to remain competitive in a very difficult division.

Starting the season on a high note, the Broncos managed to open the year with two victories making claim that this club could move the ball under Case Keenum. Unfortunately for Elway and his coaching staff, Denver fell victim to reality winning one contest in their next 7 dropping their overall record to 3-6 entering their week 10 bye.

Knowing their play had been inexcusable, coach Vance Joseph rallied his troops and organized one last ditch effort to save the season while trying save his job. Coming off their bye week, Denver was on fire beating the high powered LA Chargers, only to follow that up with a victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals to bring them back to .500, and keeping their playoff hopes alive.

While the joy was short lived, the Broncos failed to capitalize on an easier slate of contests, dropping the remaining four on their schedule to finish the year with another grim output. To the dismay of John Elway, firing the coaching staff and promising a new direction was his stance from the close out interview.


2019 Offseason WorkBook:

The Coaching Staff
While Vance Joseph tried his best to bring the Broncos back to super bowl levels, his lack of overall proficiency led this team to greatly underachieve. Joseph’s specialty was in fact on the defensive side of the ball, and even in that realm, the team greatly underachieved. 

Moving forward, and once again searching for a new coach to take over this club, John Elway bucked the trend of hiring a bright young offensive mind, and secured one of the best defensive coordinators on the market – Vic Fangio, formally of the Chicago Bears.

While Fangio has received a great deal of respect across the league, this will be the second straight coach hired with a defensive minded approach. Fangio wasted no time in building his coaching staff, which came with a mutual separation of Coach Gary Kubiak. Filling the most important roles to support his vision, Fangio hired Rich Scangarello (offensive coordinator) and Ed Donatell (defensive coordinator) to help guide this ship.

Retooling this roster to fit the new systems that will be implemented should be an interesting situation to keep tabs on this offseason.  

The Offense
At least when it comes to John Elway, he isn’t shy to admit when he’s made a mistake. Showing that he made the wrong hire to lead this team (Vance Joseph), and feeling exactly the same with his starting quarterback (Case Keenum), Elway made moves again, this time trading for Baltimore Ravens long time quarterback Joe Flacco.

While some don’t view Flacco as a natural upgrade to Keenum, our observation is completely with the opposite opinion. Flacco has shown consistent play over his career while still possessing that big arm deep threat. Joe recently lost his job in Baltimore thanks to the evolution of rookie spark-plug Lamar Jackson. Flacco suffered an injury to his hip last season which opened the door for Jackson to take over the starting role, which in turn could be very beneficial to Denver. Don’t get us wrong, we aren’t suggesting that Flacco is the next coming of Peyton Manning, but he should be able to produce far better than Keenum did a season ago.

When reviewing the Broncos running backs, it’s clear a gift was given to the team with undrafted rookie free agent Phillip Lindsay. Moving on from CJ Anderson last offseason, Denver selected Royce Freeman in hopes that he would take over the starting role and not look back. However, good fortune found the Broncos with Lindsay’s unbelievable heart which drove him to lead this team in carries. Having two viable backs on the roster is never a bad situation to be in, and moving forward, this two headed monster should again be something other teams fear in 2019.

Looking over this receiving core that has in the past been the staple of success, moving forward with youth is the new mantra with Emmanuel Sanders being the lone veteran survivor. While we know what Sanders is capable of, we could see somewhat of a regression after he returns from an achilles injury which cost him the later parts of the 2018 campaign. Courtland Sutton showed signs of flash and big play potential which should be highlighted this upcoming season. DaeSean Hamilton is another player we are extremely excited about and look to see him used more frequently as he begins the grooming process to take over from Sanders on a full time roll after this year. Adding depth is always an option, but at this point, this should be the group Denver houses on opening day.              

The Defense
While this defensive unit is shades of what they used to be, they still possess a great deal of talent. Starting with the defensive line/outside line backers led by all star Von Miller, and rising star Bradley Chubb, together they lifted this defense to pile up a whopping 26.5 sacks accounting for 60% of all takedowns of opposing quarterbacks. With these two anchoring this pass rush, the Broncos should still be in good hands in the sack department but could use added depth.

The defensive line will be without Domata Peko this season as he’s already been told he wont return to the club. Derek Wolfe seems to be the only viable player capable of stopping the run while taking pressure off of Miller and Chubb. This a great area of need that should be addressed this offseason.

When reviewing the interior line backing tandem, more changeover will be front and center as Denver has also told Brandon Marshall that he too will not return to the squad. With Todd Davis leading the team in tackles this past season with 114, John Elway is more than happy to remove Marshall’s funds off the books in hopes to get younger at the position. Denver was severally gashed last year in defending the run, so adding a presence in the middle that can step up and jam the middle would be a welcomed sight.

This secondary still looked to have some level of domination early in the season with Chris Harris still proving he can be the vocal point of this back end. Unfortunately for Harris and the Broncos defense, he was lost to and injury which completely derailed the outlook of this unit. With issues at the safety position and Bradley Roby possibly heading to the open market, Denver’s back-end will look vastly different and could see another difficult year in 2019.  

Team Free Agents / Team Salary Cap
One of the issues many criticize John Elway for is his complete mismanagement of his salary cap. When your team misses the playoffs and books look to be in grave trouble, answers must be had. While Elway almost has free reign to act as he pleases, correcting this ship from sinking will be his primary objective.

Denver currently sits with little over 17 million (+$17,636,719) in free space and will need to get creative with how he finds ways to save. Having 26 team free agents to consider bringing back to the fold, perhaps only a handful of players will receive an offer to return. Bradley Roby should be at the top of the list of players to resign but given the lack of funds Denver has at their disposal, he may have priced his way off the team. Shaquil Barrett may also find good fortune to get another deal, but his future too isn’t certain to return. Outside of that, many others will be viewed as interchangeable pieces that could be replaced at a cheaper price tag.

When reviewing team rosters to find ways to generate extra funds, one major issue is the amount of money owed to the quarterback position now that Flacco’s services have been acquired. Between him and Case Keenum, the Broncos have invested a healthy 39.5 million to the position for 2019. With that said, we don’t see Denver holding Case on the roster for much longer removing his 21 million off the books. With that release, Denver will add to their long list of dead money players eating another 10 million in lost funds.

While Brandon Marshall has been told he won’t return, the Broncos haven’t made it official just yet still holding his 8.8 million in salary. Once released, Denver will eat another 4 million in dead funds while adding another 4.4 to positive cash flow. With all the struggles the Broncos offensive line has had these past few seasons, its almost unfathomable to suggest cutting an offensive lineman. However, for the purpose of this exercise, cutting guard Ronald Leary would create an additional 9.2 million toward the cap while only eating a mere 1.7 million in dead funds.

Denver has the ability to create more room to help retool this roster and should execute a few of these moves to help them move forward.

The NFL Draft
At least in terms of the upcoming NFL draft, Denver currently holds 8 selections to help restock the cupboards to help this team move in the right direction. Unfortunately for Broncos fans, John Elway`s track record in the past few drafts has been sub-par to say politely.

Denver holds an extra 5th round pick to their name, while selecting in the 10th overall spot in the first round. Drafting offensive line would be the most appropriate move to help keep Joe Flacco upright for the entire season, but line backer could also warrant a hard look over.

While we don’t see Denver trading up or down in the first round, seeing Elway move back in the 2nd round and further would be something we would definitely advise. Adding depth pieces while shoring up the offensive and defensive lines would be a huge win for this team. We will watch close to which direction Denver moves after the first round.

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