PLACE YOUR BETS!!! Safe to say over the last few weeks, ADF has been on a roll
selecting winners to the tune of 67%, 79%, and 64% respectively over this three
week span. If you happened to receive our predictions, like us, your bank
account would’ve seen a nice infusion of funds transferred in. Entering week
nine of the NFL season, some contests still provide head scratching outcomes as
sure winners fail to come out strong nixing the spread in the process. With
that said, our confidence is running at an all-time high as we look to run the
table with six teams sitting on the bye. Follow us and we’ll get you that pay
day. Let’s get to it…
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Week
8 Record: 9-5 (.643) | 2018 Season Record: 68-53 (.562)
ADF All-Time Record: 200-188 (.516)
NFL WEEK 9 – Predictions
(Projected odds makers @ November.1.2018 – 12:00PM EST)
BYE WEEK: Arizona,
Cincinnati, Indianapolis, Jacksonville, NY Giants, Philadelphia
Thursday Nov.1.2018
Oakland
@ San Francisco (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
Unibet -3
SportSelect -3.5
To open week nine, the battle of the Bay Area will
take place with two teams that have grossly under-performed. The 49ers do get a
pass for their lack of success as injuries have derailed their season outlook.
The Raiders however haven’t been able to buy into the new Gruden regime leaving
them a bottom feeder in the league. With recent reports coming out suggesting
that San Francisco could be without quarterback CJ Beathard, this contest could
get out of hand with Oakland reaping the rewards. Derek Carr is coming off a
great performance last week which saw him orchestrate 4 touchdowns, still in a
losing effort. Even if Beathard manages to suit up for this contest, he will be
at less than 100%. Vegas will regret this spread post contest.
SF
doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 OAK 3 SF 34 (L)
Sunday Nov.4.2018
Chicago
(Favorite) @ Buffalo
Westgate -9.5
Caesar’s -9.5
William Hill -9.5
Wynn -9.5
Unibet -9
SportSelect -8.5
The Buffalo Bills put their best foot forward last
Monday Night on the defensive side of the ball limiting Tom Brady from amassing
anything spectacular outside of getting into field goal range. This Bills
defensive group is one of the better units in the league but fall victim to a
horrible offense that can’t sustain any positive drives. The Bears continue to
roll looking to have gained chemistry which is translating into great
execution. Mitchell Trubisky has played admirably in his last four contests, but
could struggle in front of the Buffalo home town faithful. Even if the Bears
offense sees a setback, the Chicago defense will undoubtedly have a monster day
with Nate “pick 6’ Peterman getting the start. We could see more than one
defensive touchdown this week from Chicago.
CHI
covers the spread @ -9 CHI 41 BUF 9 (W)
Tampa
Bay @ Carolina (Favorite)
Westgate -6.5
Caesar’s -7
William Hill -6.5
Wynn -6.5
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -6.5
We absolutely love when Vegas is so transparent with
following week spreads based on the performance of a team the previous week.
The Panthers have been gifted a touchdown lead for this contest against the
Buccaneers after showing they could manhandle one of the best defensive groups
in the NFL in the Baltimore Ravens. Cam Newton looked brilliant and decisive
last week proving he could do no wrong. Having another home date does provide
encouragement to our thoughts that Newton and company could again give their
opponent the same fate. The obstacle providing doubt for this spread is the
play of Ryan Fitzpatrick on this offense. Week-to-week you really never know
which version you’ll get placing doubt in our minds. Alas, we feel inclined to
stick with the charging home team that looks to be making headway.
CAR
covers the spread @ -6.5 TB 28 CAR 42 (W)
Kansas City (Favorite) @ Cleveland
Westgate -8.5
Caesar’s -8.5
William Hill -8.5
Wynn -8.5
Unibet -8
SportSelect -8.5
To this point of the season, the Kansas City Chiefs
continue to look like world beaters improving on offense and looking more
dynamic each and every week. Taking travel to Cleveland to face off against a
club that recently fired their Head Coach and offensive coordinator should
allow the Chiefs to capitalize. It’s never a positive for any team to have a
coaching change midway through the season as it most certainly will give the
Browns a heavy disadvantage. The only saving grace for the Browns coming into
this contest could be schemes and plays that Andy Reid may not have on tape to
game plan against, thanks to a new coaching staff. With that said, Reid’s in
game adjustments should be more than enough to see the team in red go to 8-1 on
the season.
KC
covers the spread @ -8.5 KC 37 CLE 21 (W)
NY Jets @ Miami (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
Unibet -1
SportSelect -3.5
This is perhaps one of the most underrated contests on
the weekend slate as both clubs are more than alive in the wildcard race if
they could put some wins together. Brock Osweiler is set to start yet another
game for the injured Ryan Tannehill and would like to improve on his showing
from last week. Our confusion continues to mount for the rational coach Gase
uses when he doesn’t provide a heavy workload to his running back Kenyan Drake.
Establishing the run game to insert a sloid play action pass would do a world
of good against a Jets defense prone to give up big plays. The Jets are built
very similarly in a sense that a great run game would benefit rookie Sam
Darnold to provide greater looks down field. With rain in the forecast, it’s
not out of the question to see turnovers dictate this contest with a high
reliance on the run. This game could go either way.
MIA
doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 NYJ 6 MIA 13 (L)
Pittsburgh @ Baltimore (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
Unibet -3
SportSelect -2.5
Right out of the gate, this game screams trap in terms
of picking a winner on the spread. Baltimore is coming off a letdown loss where
the strength of this team (the defense) played to mediocre levels. The Steelers
on the other hand are coming off a tune up event against the Browns which they
handled them with ease. What makes this one harder to predict, is the fact that
it’s being played in Baltimore which always provides a greater advantage to the
Ravens. While Pittsburgh continues to roll on offense supporting the fourth
best unit in the NFL, the Ravens despite dropping a egg last week, still hold
the top defense in the league, setting this one up to be a smash mouth affair.
These contests are always extremely close but we could see the Steelers sending
the home town faithful home with tears.
BAL
doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 PIT 23 BAL 16 (W)
Detroit @ Minnesota (Favorite)
Westgate -5.5
Caesar’s -5.5
William Hill -5
Wynn -4.5
Unibet -5
SportSelect -5.5
The Lions and the Vikings truly disappointed last week
with weaker outputs than what was expected. Minnesota remains at home for this
contest still reeling from injuries trying their best to get their top players
on the field. The Lions looked particularly flat last week against the Seahawks
still proving they are one of the worst teams in the NFL at stopping the run.
This will be the first meeting between these two clubs this season showing that
a loss could really hamper the chances of securing a post season trip. Kirk
Cousins has shown both great flash and underwhelming play this season and we
fully believe the correlation rests in how productive the Vikings run game is.
Currently holding the 3rd worst run statistics, it’s clearly
inhibiting the total potential for this offense. With that said, the Lions are
too inconsistent for us to believe they’ll be able to keep up on the road.
MIN
covers the spread @ -4.5 DET 9 MIN 24 (W)
Atlanta @ Washington (Favorite)
Westgate -1.5
Caesar’s -1
William Hill -1.5
Wynn -1.5
Unibet -2
SportSelect -1.5
This contest is quite intriguing to say the least as
Vegas truly has the Falcons pegged correctly given the spread favorite to the
Redskins. Atlanta struggles supremely outside in the elements and on the road
which is never an easy bet when the thought process leans toward the dirty
birds. The Skins on the other hand have been gaining confidence on defense
propelling them to lead the division for the first time in quite a few years.
The plan is simple when discussing Washington’s schemes as the offense preforms
much better when Adrian Peterson runs well. Controlling the clock and playing
sound defense is the name of the game which could limit Matt Ryan and the
Falcons. With that said, Atlanta is coming off the bye and should be ready for
this task on the road in a must win. We’ll buck the trend on this one and side
with the Falcons.
WAS
doesn’t cover the spread @ -1.5 ATL 38 WAS 14 (W)
Houston @ Denver (Favorite)
Westgate -1
Caesar’s -1
William Hill -1
Wynn -1
Unibet -1
SportSelect -1.5
This could perhaps be one
of the hardest games on the week nine slate to predict as the Broncos host the
Texans who recently traded for Denver’s long time receiver Demaryius Thomas.
Two things stick out to us here each having a side that could provide a leg up.
First, Thomas now on the Texans allows Houston to receive play specific intel
given that Demaryius will want to share as much as possible to gain a victory
for his new club. For the Broncos, playing at Mile High is always a huge boost
which allows the defense to step up and show a remanence of dominance from past
units. Deshaun Watson looks to have gotten himself somewhat back to levels we
expected this season and poses to be a large threat in exploiting the weak
Denver run defense. As difficult as it is to not take the Broncos on their home
turf, we just can’t see them beating a team that has won five in a row with the
gas pedal down to the floor.
DEN
doesn’t cover the spread @ -1 HOU 19 DEN 17 (W)
LA Chargers @ Seattle (Favorite)
Westgate -1.5
Caesar’s -1.5
William Hill -1.5
Wynn -1.5
Unibet -1.5
SportSelect -1.5
Yet another contest that has us scratching our heads
is the fresh and rested Chargers (bye-week) traveling to Seattle to face off
against the surprising Seahawks and the twelfth man. Seattle has impressed us
this season by playing much better defense than we had envisioned, but stayed
true to form as we fully expected them to re-assimilate a strong run attack.
The Chargers have been very strong on offense behind the breakout season of
their star running back Melvin Gordon which should provide to be a challenge
for the Hawks defense, if he plays. The Chargers defense on the other hand has
been the weakest link this season as they were expected to take a giant leap
forward, which hasn’t occurred. Even if Gordon doesn’t play in this one, we
can’t find anything to suggest Los Angeles won’t find a way to win.
SEA
doesn’t cover the spread @ -1.5 LAC 25 SEA 17 (W)
LA Rams @ New Orleans (Favorite)
Westgate -1.5
Caesar’s -1.5
William Hill -1.5
Wynn -1.5
Unibet -2
SportSelect -1.5
The schedule makers have hit gold these last two weeks
in providing fantastic matchups for the late afternoon game of the week
contests, this time putting the high flying Rams up against Drew Brees and the
Saints. It’s incredible to see an undefeated team receive the underdog spread
even though we understand the rational. The Saints have looked dynamite on
offense this season controlling games in the process and hosting the Rams is
the reason for what Vegas is thinking. The Rams on the other hand have been nearly
perfect week-to-week showing very little limitations in their game on both
sides of the ball. The offense chugs along with super-star Todd Gurley leading
the way showing it nearly impossible to stop his motor from running. While this
game looks to be an utter shootout, we find it very difficult to bet against
Coach McVay and his genius.
NO
doesn’t cover the spread @ -1.5 LAR 35 NO 45 (L)
Green Bay @ New England (Favorite)
Westgate -6
Caesar’s -5.5
William Hill -6
Wynn -6
Unibet -5.5
SportSelect -5.5
Following up the potential masterpiece contest between
the Saints and the Rams, yet another Sunday Night matchup has us licking our
chops for entertainment value. The Patriots are coming off and uneven offensive
performance verses the Bills who managed to lock down the mighty Tom Brady.
Aaron Rodgers was completely shafted of an opportunity to put together a game
winning drive as recently traded running back Ty Montgomery fumbled that chance
away. Both clubs are still the elites of the NFL, and anytime Rodgers faces off
against Brady, we should expect fireworks. This contest should open up to be a
shootout matching score for score. We can’t endorse this spread as it stands
because it feels like a field goal will be the ultimate outcome.
NE
doesn’t cover the spread @ -6 GB 17 NE 31 (L)
Monday Nov.5.2018
Tennessee
@ Dallas (Favorite)
Westgate -6.5
Caesar’s -6
William Hill -6.5
Wynn -6.5
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -6.5
With both teams coming off the bye, we are intrigued
with the potential this contest could bring. Instantly our feelings side with
the Cowboys now that they have added Amari Cooper to the club via trade with
the Raiders to help jump start this pass attack. The Boys defense has been
better than advertised and should be able to stifle Marcus Mariota and their
anemic offense. It’s quite possible that Dallas will start this off running the
ball in heavy doses to open up the pass. The Titans are a complete mess on
offense and we find it hard to see them put up more than a hand full of points
on the board. It’s possible the bye week will help them adjust to be more
competitive leaving us to waiver on the spread. Tennessee does have a better
defensive group that can keep this club tight in every contest. While we believe
the Cowboys will come out on top, it’s hard to see a touchdown deciding this
one.
DAL
doesn’t cover the spread @ -6.5 TEN 28 DAL 14 (W)
Week 9 Record: 9-4 (.692)
Week 9 Record: 9-4 (.692)
Note: All Day Football is
not responsible for any personal gains or losses as a result of its
predictions. Please play responsibly.
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