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START - GET THEM IN YOUR LINEUP
Quarterbacks:
Russell Wilson (SEA)
Admittedly, we at ADF have been extremely hard on Russell Wilson so
far this season, and in most cases we have been justified. Regardless of how
our past evaluations have gone, Wilson is back to being a must start for week
six against the Raiders across the pond playing in London England. While the
Hawks offensive line still has its issues, the Seattle run attack has produced
favorably to open up the paly action pass relieving some pressure on Wilson in
the backfield. The Raiders are a middle of the pack unit in terms of allowing
fantasy points to their opponent, but this one has the makings of being a solid
contest for Russell.
Ben Roethlisberger (PIT)
Big-Ben disappointed last week with a stat-line that should’ve seen
far better inflation of numbers generated, but all took a back seat to the
dominance of James Conner. This week we will once again endorse Roethlisberger
to find his stride and put up healthy numbers against the Bengals in a massive
early season divisional showdown. Cincinnati gives up the 8th most
to fantasy quarterbacks making his matchup quite appealing. With that said the
Bengals have improved their play in the secondary with rookie Jessie Bates
helping solidify that backend. It’s possible this turns out to be a tight
contest, but we have hopes it could be somewhat of a shootout.
Jameis Winston (TB)
Perhaps the best Bye-Week quarterback matchup goes to the Bucs
Jameis Winston. Going up against the Falcons who can’t seem to stop anyone on
defense at the moment, Winston also received an extra week of preparation coming
off the bye. Whenever these teams meet, points are never hard to find as their
last three contests against each other have seen an average of 57 total points
scored with a high of 74 total points. Adding to that, the Falcons are one of
the worst in the league in terms of fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks and
that should continue on Sunday. If you need an upgrade or are stuck with Brees
or Stafford on the bench (bye-week) fire up Winston and watch the points roll
in.
Baker Mayfield (CLE)
It’s no secret that we had our reservations on Baker Mayfield before
the season began, but we will eat our words and praise the rookie quarterback
in everything he’s been able to accomplish thus far. Baker continues to improve
game by game with offensive coordinator Todd Haley adding more to the playbook
each and every week. The Browns host the Chargers this week (still without Joey
Bosa) leaving that defense quite vulnerable. What’s most impressive about Baker
is his ability to attack the defense with sound judgement making plays in the
process. Mayfield’s fantasy points generated to date have increased each week
to which we will again see much of the same. Easy to start Baker this week with
plus matchup potential.
Running Backs:
James White / Sony Michel
(NE)
While we always threw support toward the Patriots James White, Sony
Michel seemingly has taken the trailer off and produced in lump sums these last
couple weeks. Not being able to choose between the two, we had no choice but to
double down and recommend both White and Michel as must starts this week
against the Chiefs. Kansas City has struggled this year with limiting opposing
offenses from racking up the points which has led to the 2nd worst
group against running backs this season. If that wasn’t enough, the Chiefs
injury report has stated that Justin Houston is doubtful for this primetime
matchup, upping the value that much more for both Patriot running backs.
Jordan Howard (CHI)
Our offseason gleaming endorsement of the Bears Jordan Howard hasn’t
turned into the multitude of production we had envisioned. We knew there would
be bumps in the road with a new offensive scheme being implemented, but the
lack of overall consistency from Coach Nagy to get Howard involved is becoming
quite the concern. Jordan is a volume rusher that gets better with more carries
during the course of the contest. We still have great faith that Nagy will
treat Howard as a primary back and provide the appropriate workload he
requires. Going up against the Dolphins this week in Miami has the makings to
become something great with heavy rain in the forecast leaving the Bears to
lean on the run game.
Carlos Hyde (CLE)
When the Browns signed Carlos Hyde to the club back in the
offseason, many questioned the workload he would receive. By now all his
naysayers have quieted down seeing the consistent production he’s been able to
achieve early on this season. Seeing his lowest tallies last week was strictly
due to the fantastic play of the Ravens top-flight defensive unit, but should
be rectified this week versus the Chargers who struggle to defend the run. If
this one turns into a high scoring affair, Hyde should benefit from that
outcome. It’s not out of the question to see Hyde to once again find the
endzone.
Tevin Coleman (ATL)
With recent news that Devonta Freeman has been once again ruled out
from his brief return, Tevin Coleman is facing a wonderful matchup that should
result in a multitude of production. The Falcons are facing off against the
Buccaneers who give up the 6th most to fantasy runners making
Coleman a sure-fire start in week six. While the backfield should belong to
Tevin this week, rookie Ito Smith could eat into some of that work limiting the
overall potential from Coleman. Either way as we already alluded to above,
whenever Atlanta and Tampa Bay meet, it results in a great deal of points
making Tevin a great option.
Wide
Receivers:
Robert Woods (LAR)
As the Rams try and clear both Cooper Kupp and Brandin Cooks from
the concussion protocol, Robert Woods could see a huge uptick in targets even
if his teammates return to action. The Rams continue to prove they are the
cream of the crop in the NFL and should again place that on display against the
Broncos at Mile High stadium. While Denver isn’t horrible at defending the
pass, they will have a difficult time stopping Todd Gurley leaving the play
action pass easily executable. Woods has been a very consistent earner so far
this season, but we could see similar stats that he was able to produce back
from week three (31.23 points). Sit back and enjoy the production.
Chester Rogers (IND)
With TY Hilton yet again missing another contest, the Colts will
have to lean on their other receivers to try and get past the New York Jets at
MetLife stadium. Some may question the thought process to recommend Rogers as a
must start this week with his frequency to drop passes as seen in abundance
from last Thursday night. While we agree the drops are a major concern, we
can’t overlook the amount of targets he is receiving in Hilton’s absence.
Andrew Luck has thrown 22 passes in Chester’s direction in the last two weeks
completing 16 of them for decent yardage. Adding to that, the Jets will be
without their top cover corners in Trumaine Johnson and Buster Skrine making
Rogers jump up or list. Chester will again be a target hog this week with very
high upside.
Tyler Boyd (CIN)
As the Bengals continue to impress this season with sound offensive
performances, third year receiver Tyler Boyd remains a large part of this
attack. Having a divisional showdown against the Steelers, most would ascertain
AJ Green would be the best receiver in this match, but there’s an argument to
be had for Boyd taking the lead. The Steelers give up the 5th most
to fantasy receivers and proved last week against the Falcons that removing the
top receiving option (Julio Jones) was the key game plan. We could see a very
similar situation where double coverage on Green is the standard daring Boyd to
beat them through the air. Target share should increase for Tyler this week
making him a very sound play.
Tyler Lockett (SEA)
We haven’t been shy this season to devalue the Hawks Doug Baldwin
and will continue this week as they face the Raiders. The largest beneficiary
in this offense has been the fourth year wide-out Tyler Lockett who’s made
plays in bunches on a weekly basis. Through five games Tyler has been very
productive looking to smash all previous career highs before the season ends.
Lockett is on pace for 64 receptions going for 1110 yards and scoring 12
touchdowns, very impressive leap. Obviously those numbers should see a down
trend as Baldwin returns to full health, but this week, load up Tyler and don’t
look back.
Tight-Ends:
Cameron Brate (TB)
With OJ Howard taking on a greater role in this offense so far this
season, Cameron has taken a large step back in terms of overall point
production. With that said, Howard still remains on the shelf recovering from
his knee injury catapulting Brate back into the starting role. Going up against
the Falcons who have grave concerns at line backer and safety, the opportunity
is large for Brate to have a great day. It’s not out of the question to witness
Brate find his way back to the endzone this week.
Jimmy Graham (GB)
The Packers much like the Seahawks have used Jimmy Graham sparingly
at times making him a hit or miss performer on a weekly basis. Injuries to the
entire receiving core lifted Graham’s outlook last week where he saw his
greatest amount of target share so far this season. We feel that should once
again be the case as Green Bay hosts the troubled 49ers on Monday Night
Football. While most of the receiving core is trending in the right direction,
Coach McCarthy could highlight Graham once again this week leaving the rest of
his crew virtually having another week off with limited targets. Very good
upside for Jimmy in this one.
SIT - LEAVE THEM ON THE
BENCH
Quarterbacks:
Blake Bortles (JAX)
We can no longer preach the positives from the Jaguars Blake Bortles
until he shows greater ability and consistency on a weekly basis. Blake has
been absolutely dreadful overall, but has saved his fantasy days earning 20+
points in the last two weeks. Going up against the Cowboys in Dallas should be
another test that Blake will fail. Dallas employs a solid defense that will
make life difficult. Leaning on the run game should be the plan in this one.
Joe Flacco (BAL)
The Ravens are a group that literally confuses the fantasy community
with great games followed by duds with no sound explanation. It’s clear that
Baltimore is searching for an identity on offense and are struggling to move
forward as a run heavy club. Forcing Flacco to throw the ball in less than
desirable situations leaves the run game easy to defend. Going up against the
Titans who have a much improved defensive group, Flacco could against find it
tough to produce good numbers. If you were thinking to play Joe to replace your
quarterback on the bye, look in another direction.
Ryan Tannehill (MIA)
As the Dolphins host the Bears in Miami, recent reports suggest that
Tannehill is dealing with an injury drawing the questionable tag. Regardless on
if he suits up for this contest or not, Miami will be in an impossible
situation against one of the best (if not the best) defenses in the NFL. The
weather forecast has shown possible chance of heavy rain thus compounding our
recommendation to sit Ryan this week. There will be better days on the
horizon.
Running Backs:
Dion Lewis (TEN)
When we review the absolute dominating skill of this Ravens defense
combined with the lackluster play of this Titans run game, we have no choice
but to place Dion Lewis on the bench for this week. Always holding upside in
PPR formats, Lewis could again find ways to generate some productivity, but we
feel there are far better options out there. Baltimore is a beast holding the
opposition to the 2nd least amount of points to fantasy backs so far
this season. Leave Lewis on the bench this week.
Kenyan Drake (MIA)
While we sung the praises for Kenyan Drake to have a solid contest
last week, we can’t provide that same evaluation entering week six. Going up
against the Bears front seven, Drake would literally have a better shot at
running through a brick wall then gaining yards in this contest. At this point
we have to play the matchups with Drake as he can’t be trusted in difficult contests.
Lamar Miller (HOU)
With the Texans pulling the wool over everyone’s eyes dressing
Miller last week but holding him on the sidelines leaving a giant goose egg in
the stat column, make it easy on yourself this week and just keep him on the
bench. The Buffalo Bills aren’t as bad as most may think, (well, on the defense
that is), giving up middle of the pack numbers to opposing runners. It’s
possible that Lamar is more banged up then Houston is letting on, so to be
safe, keep him out of your lineup for another week.
Alfred Morris (SF)
I realize that some will scoff at this suggestion to sit the only
real healthy option at running back for San Francisco, but our contention moves
far beyond the volume he’ll receive to the production he’ll be able to
generate. Green Bay has been rather stout in containing the run making the task
quite difficult for Morris with Beathard behind center. There is no question
the amount of carries could be vast, but it shouldn’t equate to a great deal of
success.
Wide
Receivers:
Doug Baldwin (SEA)
As we have done all season, our downward evaluation for Doug Baldwin
will reach into the sixth week of the NFL season. It’s clear that Doug isn’t
anywhere near 100% as Coach Carroll continues to integrate other weapons and
actually seeing decent results from that. This matchup on paper screams success
as the Raiders give up the 8th most to fantasy receivers, but it
will be Baldwin’s teammate that will showcase in front of the England crowd. At
this point it’s impossible to trust Doug to produce anything substantial.
Larry Fitzgerald (ARZ)
Before the season began, we preached our respect for one of the best
wide receivers to every play this game. Now, Larry has become nothing more than
a matchup player with very low potential. With that said, it’s not all on
Fitzgerald’s shoulders as the Cardinals completely missed the boat with Sam
Bradford being the starting quarterback for this club. With rookie Josh Rosen
learning the NFL game, hiccups will continue for this offense leaving Larry on
the backburner. Limited offensive output in a challenging matchup, leave him on
the bench.
Demaryius Thomas (DEN)
After last week’s disaster in New York, the Broncos return home to
face off against the Rams in a tough showdown. Demaryius Thomas has clearly not
developed the chemistry with his quarterback (Case Keenum) limiting his overall
output to levels that make him now a matchup player. It doesn’t help Thomas’
case when he actively continues to struggle with dropped passes on a weekly
basis. Even though Thomas still draws the top coverage from the opposition,
this offense feeds Sanders before they let Demaryius eat. High potential bust
this week for Thomas.
Corey Davis (TEN)
We at ADF feel like we may be the only ones that can’t get on board
with Corey Davis in this Titans offense. Far too often we witness other
evaluators gush over the potential, then being left stranded and confused to
why he isn’t becoming a top-notch playmaker. Davis has ability but it may never
be fully realized playing with Mariota and company. Going up against the Ravens
stud defensive unit should ultimately force you to keep Corey on the
bench.
Tight-Ends:
Davis Njoku (CLE)
The Browns David Njoku is another player that just seems to
disappoint weekly even though his involvement in this offense has increased in
the last two weeks. Going up against Los Angeles in week six doesn’t provide
the great matchup that most believe it would. With the Chargers inadequacies in
stopping the pass game as a whole, great value resides in the receivers in this
contest. David could find his way to a few receptions, but Baker will be keen
on getting the ball to his receivers and running backs first.
Ricky Seals-Jones (ARZ)
After a few weeks of endorsing the potential for the Cardinals Ricky
Seals-Jones, now until further notice, he is completely placed in our dog house
until he proves his worth. As rookie Josh Rosen develops his craft, Seals-Jones
may be more involved in the offense, but right now we have zero trust.
Regardless of the matchup, Ricky is a must bench player.
POTENTIAL BIG
DAY –
ALL ABOUT THE RISK/REWARD
Quarterbacks:
Matt Ryan (ATL)
With the Falcons Matt Ryan seeing his worst outing since week one of
the season, week six has great appeal for a massive bounce back contest. Tampa
Bay gives up the most to fantasy quarterbacks which is even more glaring since
they just completed their bye week. Atlanta is a much better team at home under
the dome and Ryan will once again shine.
He could be a top earner this week.
Andy Dalton (CIN)
Yet another contest that looks to become something of a shootout,
the Bengals Andy Dalton could have a very sound day. Pittsburgh gives up the 2nd
most to fantasy quarterbacks and have struggles covering top receivers. Andy has
generated great numbers against fantasy bottom feeders, a place where
Pittsburgh currently sits. Potential big day for Andy could be an
understatement.
Running Backs:
Nyheim Hines (IND) (PPR)
The Colts rookie Nyheim Hines has become known to the fantasy
community with his solid production especially in PPR formats. Going up against
the Jets in week six has great potential to once again stack the points for
your squad. Hines has seen 20 targets in his last two contests and has become a
staple in this offense that coach Reich will continue to exploit. Hines floor
has become 10 points a week with a ceiling looking north of 20 points. Fire up
Hines this week in all PPR formats.
Ronald Jones II (TB)
With the Tampa Bay Buccaneers coming off they bye-week, they have
been looking to rejuvenate their run attack and this could be the week rookie
Ronald Jones becomes a player. Going up against the Falcons who have real
issues stopping anyone of defense, Jones could find great fortune in this contest.
Proceed with caution as this is a very risky play that could bring high reward.
There is potential here with a large bust factor.
Bilal Powell (NYJ)
The New York Jets found their run attack last week against the
Broncos gaining well over 200 yards in the process. This week it appears Isaiah
Crowell will be extremely limited to the point he may not even suit up. If
Isaiah does in fact sit out for this match, Bilal Powell will get the opportunity
to start and prove he still can be an effective back in this league. Strictly
based on volume, Powell could be a great earner this week.
Wide
Receivers:
Calvin Ridley (ATL)
While it seems we are recommending most from the Atlanta-Tampa
showdown, the matchup is far to good to ignore. As mentioned above, every time
these team’s faceoff against each other, fireworks transpire in bunches on the
scoreboard. Ridley regressed last week in an abysmal outing versus the Steelers
but looks to get back on track in this one.
Chris Godwin (TB)
We at ADF are very interested to witness Jameis Winston coming back
to be the starting pivot for the Bucs making the potential for Chris Godwin
quite high. Mike Evans should draw most of the attention in this one with Desean
Jackson and Chris Godwin playing cleanup with lesser coverage on their side. Godwin
should be a solid point generator as your flex starter.
Ryan Grant (IND)
With TY Hilton once again sitting out for this contest, Ryan Grant
should see his role once again expanded. Much like his teammate Chester Rogers,
dropped passes have been an issue for Grant and he’ll have the opportunity to
clean that up this week against the Jets who give up the 6th most to
fantasy receivers. Grant isn’t a must play but does hold stand alone value this
week if you require a receiver.
Tight-Ends:
Niles Paul (JAX)
We all understand the limitations of finding a producing tight-end
in fantasy football this year, but the potential for the Jaguars Niles Paul to
work some magic is definitely on the radar. Paul is quicker and more athletic
the Austin Seferian-Jenkins and could prove to be a valuable check down option
for Blake Bortles this week. This play also carries a great deal of risk but has
the ability to garner some decent production.
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