PLACE YOUR BETS!!! Week two didn’t go as expected for half of our predictions,
but we still managed to secure a 50% win rate to pad the bank account with
increased funds. With week three on the horizon, many games appear to have
potential for upsets and run away conclusions as we attempt to run the table on
the slate. Follow us and we’ll get you those extra funds. Let’s get to it…
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WEEK 2 Record: 8-8
(.500) | 2018 Season Record: 17-15 (.531)
ADF All-Time Record:
149-150 (.498)
NFL WEEK 3 – Predictions
(Projected odds makers @ Sept.20.2018 – 12:00PM EST)
Thursday Sept.20.2018
NY
Jets @ Cleveland (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
Unibet -3
SportSelect -3.5
To kick off week three on Thursday Night Football, the
Jets fly into Cleveland to take on a Browns team that could surely hold a
record of 2-0 to start the season but unfortunately due to their now former
kicker, one loss and one tie is where they sit. Tyrod Taylor and company have
performed rather admirably staying competitive in both contests but require
that extra step of execution to bring them over the top. The Jets rookie Sam
Darnold continues to progress learning the NFL game, though throwing yet another
two interception last week in their loss to Miami. We have preached our
impressions on the improvement of this Cleveland defensive unit as they have
played very well in the first two contents given their competition. With the
Jets traveling on a short week, we fully expect the Browns to bring the heat on
Darnold making this a difficult task for the young quarterback.
CLE
covers the spread @ -3 NYJ 17 CLE 21 (W)
Sunday Sept.23.2018
New
Orleans @ Atlanta (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
Unibet -3
SportSelect -3.5
As the Saints averted catastrophe last week narrowly
beating the Cleveland Browns to secure their first victory of the season, they travel
to Atlanta to face off against the Falcons who themselves found their way to
the win column last week against the Panthers. A huge early season divisional
showdown should provide a lot of points on the board as both defenses clearly
have issues to begin the 2018 campaign. Atlanta appeared to fix some of their
offensive concerns looking decisive and executing in the redzone. The Saints
are a confusing bunch so far as they haven’t played to their full potential but
will look to improve with greater efficiency. We never like going against the
home team in games like this, but I think Vegas has left us no choice.
ATL
doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 NO 43 ATL 37 (W)
Green
Bay (Favorite) @ Washington
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -2.5
The Packers and Aaron Rodgers found their way to be
very productive last week even though Aaron was playing on that hobbled leg. Missed
field goals were the headlines against Minnesota leaving the Pack to hold a tie
in the record books. The Redskins looked absolutely flat last week against
Andrew Luck and the Colts again raising our concerns that Alex Smith is to
inconsistent to bet on a weekly basis with great confidence. Washington will
have their work cut out for them this week even as Rodgers deals with a bum
knee, and seeing the receiving core struggle to get open long enough for Smith
to find them. So long as Rodgers plays the entire contest, it’s difficult to go
against them here even with long travel to the east.
GB
covers the spread @ -3 GB 17 WAS 31 (L)
Indianapolis @ Philadelphia (Favorite)
Westgate -6.5
Caesar’s -6.5
William Hill -6.5
Wynn -6.5
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -6.5
The return of Carson Wentz has got media circles
buzzing with excitement especially since the Eagles haven’t been able to put their
best effort through the first two games of the season. Our concern always turns
to those payers that have returned for the first time from ACL injuries wondering
if their mental state has followed the recover process. Especially for the
quarterback position, one always fears that seeing ghosts in the pocket will
dictate performance leaving a lot to be desired. The Colts have impressed with better
defensive play then we had expected with rookies taking the lead being seen all
over the field. Andrew Luck still doesn’t appear to be the best version of
himself, but is doing enough to get the job done. Still, traveling to Philly
will be a daunting task for any NFL club. This game should be closer than the
line suggests as Carson will have to shake the cobwebs showing he’s over the
knee injury.
PHI
doesn’t cover the spread @ -6.5 IND 16 PHI 20 (W)
Buffalo @ Minnesota (Favorite)
Westgate -16.5
Caesar’s -17
William Hill -16.5
Wynn -16.5
Unibet -16.5
SportSelect -17.5
The Buffalo Bills look like a team that has the plan
to tank this season to garner the first overall selection, as they will also
create 90-100 million dollars in cap space before next offseason to rebuild
this club in the way Beane and McDermott would like. Minnesota again has proved
they are the cream of the crop in the NFC with Kirk Cousins literally throwing
darts all over the field with fantastic success. Playing at home is a welcome site
after traveling to Green Bay last week where the Bills will be in tough to make
anything positive happen. Josh Allen will be thrown into the fire once again
versus a defensive unit that should have at least one turnover returned for a
touchdown on Sunday. Not witnessing a line this high in quite some time has us weary,
but the facts remain that Buffalo is on the road with nothing to show for
potential.
MIN
covers the spread @ -16.5 BUF 27 MIN 6 (L)
Oakland @ Miami (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
Unibet -3
SportSelect -3.5
The Oakland Raiders put up a valiant effort last week against
the Broncos which killed the spread leaving the betting public upset with what
was believed to be a sure thing. Traveling to Miami to face the Fins who’ve
managed to start the year 2-0 and look to make that extend with a win against
the Raiders. ADF preached this offseason that this Dolphins offense would look
much better with Tannehill back under center, to which they haven’t disappointed.
The Raiders are a complete mess with lack of full effort filling the game film
showing zero urgency from some players in crunch time (Bruce Irvin). Oakland
and Gruden will want to make a statement early trying to get points on the
board, but the long travel they will have to endure surely will be a stick in
cap. Miami should find their way to a win in this one.
MIA
covers the spread @ -3 OAK 20 MIA 28 (W)
Denver @ Baltimore (Favorite)
Westgate -5.5
Caesar’s -5
William Hill -5
Wynn -5
Unibet -5.5
SportSelect -5.5
The Denver Broncos have
played fairly decent to begin the season and should continue given how the team
is set up. Finding their way to support a productive run attack has implemented
a play action pass that is conducive to Case Keenum’s abilities and looks to be
the guiding factor in their early achievement. The Ravens endured a hiccup last
week dropping a winnable contest to the Bengals which makes us question why
Vegas is baiting the public to nearly touchdown spread. Realizing this is a
home date for the Ravens does provide some credence to the spread, however, the
Broncos have played solid in all three phases of the game and that should again
be the case upon kickoff. This game will be tighter than the line indicates.
BAL doesn’t cover the spread @ -5.5 DEN 14 BAL 27 (L)
Cincinnati @ Carolina (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -2.5
While the Bengals looked like world beaters last week
remembering they have one of the best weapons at receiver in AJ Green, they did
lose their starting running back in the process in Joe Mixon for the next few
weeks. Traveling to Carolina to face off against a Panthers team that struggled
immensely versus a Falcons offense that should’ve been easier to contain, the
line appoints the home squad (Carolina) as a slim favorite. Cam Newton is again
playing very well in both the pass and making plays with his legs, but we would
like to see better output from that defense. While we feel AJ Green and company
should be able to move the ball with great efficiency on Sunday, we have to go
with the home team to pull out the victory.
CAR
covers the spread @ -3 CIN 21 CAR 31 (W)
NY Giants @ Houston (Favorite)
Westgate -6
Caesar’s -6
William Hill -6
Wynn -6
Unibet -6
SportSelect -6.5
When reviewing both clubs after two games this season,
we are extremely disappointed with the lack of progress and attention to detail
both squads have put into their game plans. Eli Manning has literally no time
to throw the ball as his offensive line looks keener at run blocking than
playing pass-pro. Deshaun Watson has been somewhat of a letdown even though expecting
numbers he generated from his rookie campaign to be the standard is quite the
ask, we feel that he’s still seeing ghosts on the field proving his metal state
isn’t where it needs to be post ACL recovery. The Houston defense isn’t the
dominating force we believed it would become as JJ Watt looks to have lost a
step, bringing his talent level to that of an ordinary man and no longer super
human. With Eli running for his life and playing on the road, the easy prediction
should force us to pick the Texans plus the points, but we cannot as we see a
closer contest transpiring.
HOU
doesn’t cover the spread @ -6 NYG 27 HOU 22 (W)
Tennessee @ Jacksonville (Favorite)
Westgate N/A
Caesar’s N/A
William Hill N/A
Wynn N/A
Unibet -1
SportSelect N/A
It’s quite interesting to
see Vegas not placing a spread with majority of the odds makers bowing out on
this contest. Only one has represented their selection, and with that, it’s
quite low to say the least. The uncertainty of both Leonard Fournette and
Marcus Mariota suiting up for this game is perhaps the driving factor; it still
is unreasonable in our minds to see the Jags listed as a one point favorite.
The Jacksonville defense alone should be able to generate enough points to get
past the Titans as this shouldn’t even be a contest. If you’re looking for easy
money, this is as easy as it gets.
JAX covers the spread @ -1 TEN 9 JAX 6 (L)
San Francisco @ Kansas City (Favorite)
Westgate -6.5
Caesar’s -6.5
William Hill -6.5
Wynn -6.5
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -6.5
Patrick Mahomes has already lifted his status to
superstar levels though only playing two contests this season. The Chiefs and
Andy Reid have been known in the past to start strong while losing a step as
the opposition gathers tape on how they’ve been so successful. This past information
points us to suggest the inevitability of a decline is right around the corner
for Mahomes as teams will begin to scheme defenses to appropriately stop the great young talent.
The 49ers look as though they have been somewhat lost at times in the first two
games as we felt Jimmy Garoppolo would’ve already adjusted to the Kyle Shanahan
system lifting his game to higher levels. With that said, Jimmy looked fairly
good last week in a three point victory against the Lions, but we have grave
concerns with what is awaiting him in travel to dreaded Arrowhead stadium. This
game could become another shootout the Chiefs will have to endure, but they
should have more than enough to get past the up and coming 49ers.
KC
covers the spread @ -6.5 SF 27 KC 38 (W)
LA Chargers @ LA Rams (Favorite)
Westgate -7
Caesar’s -7
William Hill -7
Wynn -7
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -7.5
The battle of Los Angeles
will take place on Sunday as the Rams seem to be head and shoulders above their
completion thus far. The Chargers are a team we also had great expectations on
and again have proved starting slow out of the gate is in their DNA. Having a
tune up contest against the Buffalo Bills last week could propel the Chargers
to gain confidence as the Rams look primed and ready on both sides of the ball.
If we had to poke holes in the Rams game thus far, it would be the lack of
yardage gained from Todd Gurley as the offensive line struggles to open gaping
holes for the superstar back. From the Chargers perspective, the loss of Joey
Bosa has been palpable to the overall defense not playing up to par of those
expectations. This game is the biggest test for the Rams resolve early this
season, and while we believe they’ll be victorious, the spread will not be
covered.
LAR doesn’t cover the spread @ -7 LAC 23 LAR 35 (L)
Dallas @ Seattle (Favorite)
Westgate -1.5
Caesar’s -1
William Hill -1
Wynn -1
Unibet -1.5
SportSelect -1.5
It seems as though Vegas still believes that the 12TH
Man can still provide enough oomph to the Seahawks to bring them to victorious
pastures. Speaking frankly, the Hawks are a team that will struggle to win four
or five games this season as offensively there isn’t anything to write home
about. Russell Wilson is still a machine and can keep things competitive, but
most of his production will be felt late in games as the opposition has the
lead. While we aren’t great fans of the Cowboys offense just yet, it’s the defense
that has us extremely intrigued. Dallas employs a front seven that could rival
the best in the business and a secondary that is getting better with each
passing week. Even travel to the Pacific North West shouldn’t phase the Cowboys
as they will roll home happy with another victory.
SEA
doesn’t cover the spread @ -1 DAL 13 SEA 24 (L)
Chicago (Favorite) @ Arizona
Westgate -6
Caesar’s -6
William Hill -6
Wynn -6
Unibet -6
SportSelect -6.5
The Chicago Bears were one of our favorite clubs
defensively entering this season, and with the addition of Khalil Mack to the club
our infatuation is being proven on the field with unbelievable results. As coach
Nagy continues to try and solve the early inefficiencies in his offense, it’s
this defensive side that is carrying this club at the moment. Even as the Bears
travel south to Arizona, it’s difficult to see any trip-up in their game. It’s only
a matter of time until Cardinals Head Coach Steven Wilks is forced to abandon
ship with Sam Bradford as his starting pivot, and allowing rookie Josh Rosen to
take over the reins. The Bears will definitely bring the heat on Bradford to
which the home town crowd will be chanting Rosen’s name, and they may get their
wish. This won’t be a contest as Chicago will continue to roll.
CHI
covers the spread @ -6 CHI 16 ARZ 14 (L)
New
England (Favorite) @ Detroit
Westgate -7
Caesar’s -6.5
William Hill -6.5
Wynn -6.5
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -6.5
Sunday Night Football has a narrative built in this
week as the student (Matt Patricia) will face off against the teacher (Bill
Belichick) in their first meeting apart from each other. Detroit hasn’t looked
as good as we had hoped they would’ve, with Stafford looking rather pedestrian
along with a run attack that hasn’t seen the production it was supposed to
generate. Tom Brady has a new shiny toy in the recently acquired Josh Gordon,
to which we wouldn’t be surprised to see a handful of deep shots thrown his way
to test the Lions resolve. The Patriots looked extremely beatable last week in
their loss to the Jaguars but the tide should turn in the next couple weeks as
Gordon gets more acclimated and Julian Edelman returns from suspension. The
Pats have redemption on their mind and as we’ve learned from the past, never
bet against an angry Tom Brady.
NE
covers the Spread @ -6.5 NE 10 DET 26 (L)
Monday Sept.24.2018
Pittsburgh (Favorite) @ Tampa Bay
Westgate -1
Caesar’s -1
William Hill -1
Wynn -1
Unibet -1
SportSelect -1.5
Dissention among the ranks in Pittsburgh has been publicized
this week suggest that Coach Tomlin has lost the locker room. As Le’Veon Bell continues
his holdout, the Steelers haven’t been able to find victories which could be
blamed on the play of their defense. Traveling to Tampa Bay to face off against
the Fitzpatrick lead Buccaneers who have seen unbelievable play to start the
season, our questions to if they’re truly for real, or is this the same script
we’ve seen in the past. Tampa has the home crowd in primetime to help keep the
momentum on successful plays, and the Steelers don’t normally travel very well
which could see the Bucs go 3-0 to start 2018. This game could literally go
either way, but until proven otherwise, we’ll go with the home team.
PIT
doesn’t cover the spread @ -1 PIT 30 TB 27 (L)
WEEK 3 Record: 7-9 (.438)
WEEK 3 Record: 7-9 (.438)
Note: All Day Football is
not responsible for any personal gains or losses as a result of its
predictions. Please play responsibly.
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