Week 14 Point Spread Picks

PLACE YOUR BETS!!! Climbing back to respectable levels last week in terms of wins – the money poured in to a 60% rate of success. With our competitor @SoJashPicks hitting a season high for their picks, 80% was the magic number. No matter how you cut it, week 13 was very strong and we look to bring it home once again to earn more verse the spread. Follow us as we look to run the table this week!

 

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ADF Week 13 Record: 9-6 (.600)
@SojashPicks Week 13 Record: 12-3 (.800)
 
ADF 2020 Season Record: 95-97 (.495)
@SojashPicks 2020 Season Record: 95-97 (.495)
 
ADF All-Time Record: 499-495 (.502)
@SojashPicks All-Time Record: 178-160 (.527)
 
 
NFL WEEK 14 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ Dec.10.2020 – 12:00PM EST) 
 
Thursday Dec.10
 
New England @ LA Rams -4.5
The New England Patriots are coming off a blowout win last week verse the Chargers, but will have to endure a much better defense from the Rams on Thursday night. Getting the run game moving will be the primary source of offense but will come with issue verse this great Rams defensive line. Cam Newton will have to find ways to move the ball through the air to score points this week.
 
The Rams on the other hand have had struggles of their own but looked impressive last week. Coming away with the win verse Arizona, this should easier work overall against the Pats. With how poor the Patriots have been in the pass game – Aaron Donald will surely feast on Newton and company. The only downgrade for the Rams is potential turnovers from Jared Goff to keep New England alive. We’ll gamble on TNF and roll with L.A
ADF Pick: LAR -4.5 NE 3 LAR 24 (W)
@SoJash Pick: LAR -4.5 NE 3 LAR 24 (W)
 
 
Sunday Dec.13
 
Houston -1.5 @ Chicago
The Chicago Bears are coming off a contest they had in their grasp but let slip away in the final moments. With Mitchell Trubisky back behind center, the run attack has found new life and David Montgomery is becoming a force on the field. Mistakes will be the only reason the Bears falter once again – as the Texans are not a sound football team.
 
As for those Texans, they battled against the Colts last week and nearly pulled out the win. Deshaun Watson is carrying this club and found new fortune in Keke Coutee. With David Johnson back in the mix as well, the Bears will have to be on point if they intend to stifle this offense. Nevertheless, it’s a tough bet to side with Houston this week in Chicago.
ADF Pick: CHI +1.5 HOU 7 CHI 36 (W)
@SoJash Pick: CHI +1.5 HOU 7 CHI 36 (W)
 
 
Dallas -3.5 @ Cincinnati
The Dallas Cowboys are the real form of dysfunction this season as injures have derailed their entire season. Not being able to generate much on both sides of the ball – this is a contest they should be able to take advantage. Getting Zeke Elliott going early will make all the difference and the receiving core should have a field day. This is also the revenge game for Andy Dalton and believe you me, he’ll be geared up to stick it to his former club.
 
The Bengals since losing Joe Burrow have also been underwhelming and will struggle to produce even against a sloppy defense. There will be plays that will be had by this offense which leave this four-point spread a question mark to accept. With Brandon Allen banged up, we could see Ryan Finley start once again. Either way, Dallas has too much fire power to lose this one.
ADF Pick: DAL -3.5 DAL 30 CIN 7 (W)
@SoJash Pick: DAL -3.5 DAL 30 CIN 7 (W)
  

Kansas City -7 @ Miami
The Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes continue to roll as the season prolongs and face a Dolphins team that is on the rise. Kansas City is supremely talented and can flick a switch and score points anytime they take the field. While the defense has been underperforming this season to what we saw last year – this should be an easier contest for them to make plays.
 
At this point, its difficult for us to believe the Dolphins are ready to take on the best in the business and compete at very high levels. Outside of defeating the NFC West with expectation of Seattle, the Fins schedule has been soft, leaving us to take pause. With that said, they are ascending and moving in the right direction – but we should see them fall back down to earth this week.
ADF Pick: KC -7 KC 33 MIA 27 (L)
@SoJash Pick: KC -7 KC 33 MIA 27 (L)
 

Arizona -1.5 @ NY Giants
Since week nine verse the Dolphins, the Cardinals haven’t recovered to levels we have grown accustomed to. It appears the Dolphins provided the league the blueprint to stop Kyler Murray and this offense from exploding and we wonder if that prowess will return this week. The Giants defense has been much better than we expected at the start of the season and just displaced the Seahawks and Russel Wilson. Murray and company will have to get back to basics in hopes to move the ball with frequency to break their three-game losing streak.
 
Like we mention above, the Giants defense has been much better as key additions have allowed them to be more opportunistic. With Daniel Jones likely to return to the field, the offense will get a lift in big play potential as well. The Giants are in a dog fight for the NFC East title and will need to pull this one out as well. A similar game plan should be made to stop Murray as they did with Wilson. However, we can’t envision any situation where the Cardinals drop a fourth straight even in New York. We’ll gamble here.
ADF Pick: ARZ -1.5 ARZ 26 NYG 7 (W)
@SoJash Pick: ARZ -1.5 ARZ 26 NYG 7 (W)
   

Minnesota @ Tampa Bay -6.5
The Tampa Bay Bucs are coming off the bye week and will be not only rested, but should’ve gotten many inadequacies ironed out with better chemistry building. With how loaded this offense is, we should see them take the next step in their progression and move the ball easily verse the weakness of the Vikings defense.
 
When it comes to Minnesota, they have been playing much better of late but will be in tough against the Bucs. Simply put, they don’t matchup well against one of the best run defenses in the entire league which is the staple of this club. Run the ball and set up the play action pass is key and if that doesn’t transpire – it could be a very long day for Kirk Cousins if he doesn’t have that support. As much as we don’t like this spread – we’ll take it.
ADF Pick: TB -6.5 MIN 14 TB 26 (W)
@SoJash Pick: TB -6.5 MIN 14 TB 26 (W)
 

Denver @ Carolina -3.5
This is one of the most difficult contests on the slate to predict cause the Panthers are coming off the bye and the Broncos are playing less productive than what we expected overall. However, the return of Christian McCaffrey is likely the reason for this four-point spread – but recent news broke that he has injured his calf and could miss time yet again. Adding to that, DJ Moore is in Covid protocol and is in danger to miss this game as well.
 
When it comes to Denver, the struggle to show any form of consistency is present and they need to be much better overall to steal this contest this week. Drew Lock has played better of late and should be geared up to prove he is the franchise passer; John Elway believes he could be. Getting the run going will be paramount in their success and that should be an easier proposition verse a Panthers defense that isn’t great in stopping the run. This contest should be closer than the spread indicates.
ADF Pick: DEN +3.5 DEN 32 CAR (W)
@SoJash Pick: CAR -3.5 (pick edit Dec.12) DEN 32 CAR (L)


Tennessee -7.5 @ Jacksonville
The Tennessee Titans are coming off a terrible showing verse the Browns and will be geared up to rebound in a very big way. Taking travel to Florida is the only major down mark we give, as Derrick Henry will have a major role in this one to exploit the defense. While this offense has played well enough for the most part all season, it’s the defense that has been showing its holes.
 
The Jaguars are a team vying for a top pick in next years NFL draft but have shown up of late, especially on the defensive side. Playing much better and stopping offenses, Mike Glennon has been moving the ball with some regularity. Over the course of the regular season, the Jaguars have been a nightmare to bet for or against, as killing spreads is a common theme. Eight-points on the onset seems like a safe bet, but it truly isn’t at this point. As much as we might regret this – we’ll take the points this week.
ADF Pick: TEN -7.5 TEN 31 JAX 10 (W)
@SoJash Pick: TEN -7.5 TEN 31 JAX 10 (W)
 

Indianapolis -3 @ Las Vegas
It truly is incredible how the Colts seem to get lower spreads amidst the winning success they have created. Taking travel to Vegas is a concern and the Raiders are a team that still remain extremely motived. With Josh Jacobs again looking to be sidelined with an injury – the lack of a run attack will be difficult to overcome. Derek Carr without a solid play action pass is worrisome and this looks to be the best defense they have faced all season.
 
The Colts have been very consistent all season, with minor hiccups along the way. The defense is truly one of the better units in the league and the offense is starting to keep pace to assist. Phillip Rivers is beginning to spread the ball all over the field which is aiding in the creativity of Coach Frank Reich. This spread should’ve been around the touchdown mark to foil the betting predictions. We’ll take this and say thank you very much.
ADF Pick: IND -3 IND 44 LVR (W)
@SoJash Pick: IND -3 IND 44 LVR (W)
 

NY Jets @ Seattle -13.5
The New York Jets found new ways to lose a contest last week, as a late deep shot secured yet another loss. The Jets have no interest in winning games but the goal is to attempt in keeping things close. Killing spreads in only four contests – this is the largest one to date we’ve seen. With Sam Darnold back in action – he is trying his best to move the pass through the air.
 
The Seattle Seahawks are themselves coming off a loss to the Giants, where New York had a masterful game plan to stop this offense. While it’s not a regular event to witness Russell Wilson fail in back-to-back contests, this has the makings of a get right game if there ever was one. Even as we could see a massive blowup offensively – the Hawks defense is beatable. Darnold could kill this late, but its Wilson time at home!
ADF Pick: SEA -13.5 NYJ 3 SEA 40 (W)
@SoJash Pick: SEA -13.5 NYJ 3 SEA 40 (W)
 

Green Bay -7.5 @ Detroit
The last time these clubs met – the Packers won big 42-21. With Aaron Rodgers looking very comfortable moving this offense, it is difficult to believe they won’t unleash the prowess once again. The Packers have become very balanced and leave little on the field of late. The defense is very opportunistic and will come hard at Matthew Stafford.
 
With the Lions relieving Matt Patricia of his services, all players said the instant culture change was like a breath of fresh air last week. Finding good fortune off a late game turnover, the Lions managed to win a game against the Bears. While this contest appears to be much tougher, the eight-point spread is leaving us to take pause. With that said, Green Bay is firing on nearly all cylinders and we find it hard to believe this game will be close when its done.
ADF Pick: GB -7.5 GB 31 DET 24 (L)
@SoJash Pick: GB -7.5 GB 31 DET 24 (L)
 

New Orleans -6.5 @ Philadelphia
The New Orleans Saints have played exceptionally well this season and their nine-game win streak isn’t being spoken of near enough at this point. Even losing Drew Brees couldn’t derail the outlook, as Taysom Hill has been able to keep the ship afloat. Taking travel to Philly is something we don’t necessarily like but the competition in the Eagles isn’t vast whatsoever.  Getting Alvin Kamara going in this one will make all the difference.
 
The Eagles have made headlines this week in the benching of Carson Wentz. Switching gears and moving forward with Jalen Hurts is interesting but the essential move. With no run game to speak of, an offensive line in shambles – the has the makings to be a major blowout from the start. With that, Hurts will bring a different dynamic in his scrambling ability – but we can’t find any way to support a potential upset. We trust the Saints until otherwise noted.
ADF Pick: NO -6.5 NO 21 PHI 24 (L)
@SoJash Pick: NO -6.5 NO 21 PHI 24 (L)
 

Atlanta -2.5 @ LA Chargers
Under interim Head Coach Raheem Morris, the Falcons have been much improved on the defensive side and have shown it over the past several weeks. Matt Ryan needs to be much better overall which is a challenge with the revolving door of running backs behind him. With Todd Gurley dealing with his wobbly knees, a committee approach is likely once again. We must look to the matchups in this one as the Chargers are poor verse the run but decently solid against the pass. Atlanta should attempt multiple shots to their playmakers this week.
 
The Chargers have been a major disappointment this season and everything can stem from coaching mistakes. Justin Herbert has also fallen back down to earth with poor showings. Facing a Falcons team that is the worst in defending the pass – this looks to be a very good matchup for Herbert to get back on track. Both clubs hold only five games of correct spread predications leaving this to be a coin flip. If history is any marker – the Falcons never travel well to the West and we’ll take advantage of that. This is the last time we have trust in the Chargers.
ADF Pick: LAC +2.5 ATL 17 LAC 20 (W)
@SoJash Pick: LAC +2.5 ATL 17 LAC 20 (W)
 

Washington @ San Francisco -3
The Washington Football Team shocked the world in displacing the unbeaten Steelers on Monday last week. Now taking travel to San Francisco – the odds makers are opening the door for confusion on a lower spread. The reason for this is how the Bills were able to carve up this stout defense (also on Monday), but we aren’t buying the notion. The 49ers simply didn’t matchup well verse the Bills but will be better prepared against this anemic offense of Washington.
 
With the loss of Antonio Gibson, this will allow the 49ers to rush Alex Smith with heavy regularity, creating mistakes and position changes. The Washington defense is very talented on that front seven and should again bring the thunder against Nick Mullens. With that, the 49ers will bring the ground attack more so than we witnessed a week ago – which will spread out the front seven. This could be seen as a coin flip – but we’ll side with Coach Shanahan, even in an Alex Smith revenge game.
ADF Pick: SF -3 WAS 23 SF 15 (L)
@SoJash Pick: SF -3 WAS 23 SF 15 (L)
  

Pittsburgh @ Buffalo -2.5
Sunday Night Football is providing a treat of a contest, as the surging Buffalo Bills host the Steelers. Buffalo showed the world in primetime last week that they are indeed a top contender – but this is a gigantic test if there ever was one. Buffalo, like the Steelers, struggle to run the ball, which leaves them to throw often. We could also see more running from Josh Allen in this one to spread out this fabulous pass rush. Mistakes will be the difference in Buffalo winning or losing, as fire power can match at this point.
 
The Steelers are coming off a loss to Washington and perhaps the book will now be out on how to stop this offense. With no run game to gush over the past several weeks – James Conner is set to return providing a massive boost. Over the past few contests, the Bills have improved their run defense but is still very susceptible in giving up big yards. Pittsburgh has employed the short-quick pass game but with Conner on the field, it will look more balanced. This will be a slugfest and well side with the home team here.
ADF Pick: BUF -2.5 PIT 15 BUF 26 (W)
@SoJash Pick: BUF -2.5 PIT 15 BUF 26 (W)
 
 
Monday Dec.14
 
Baltimore -1 @ Cleveland
The Baltimore Ravens are not close to what they were last season, and its showing in how they play on the offensive side. Not having that powerful run game to exploit the play action is something we still can’t understand. The last time these clubs met was back in week one, where the Ravens destroyed the Browns 38-6. Even as both teams have moved in opposite directions – we wonder if Baker Mayfield can hang with this defense.
 
Speaking of Mayfield, he is coming off one of his best games of his short career, where he threw four-touchdowns in the first half last week. This offense is becoming very balanced and could be learning how to set teams up for the kill shot off the run game. This contest is massively important to the Ravens to keep pace in the playoff race – where the Browns are looking to place the stamp on the fact that they are indeed for real. The Browns are the epitome of playing close games and we need proof verse top competition before we endorse.
ADF Pick: BAL -1 BAL 47 CLE 42 (W)
@SoJash Pick: BAL -1 BAL 47 CLE 42 (W)
 

ADF Week 14 Record: 12-4 (.750)
@SojashPicks Week 14 Record: 11-5 (.688)
    
 
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