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Justin Herbert (LAC)
There is nothing worse than a top-end passer struggling at this point of the season. Justin Herbert has seen two straight contests of meek performances, which has left us to question what’s next? Having a glorious matchup verse the Falcons, who have improved overall on the defensive side – there are fears that he could again fall flat. However, over the last three weeks, the Falcons have given up 23-points to opposing quarterbacks which is a positive sign. The floor is very safe this week.
Everyone continues to sleep on the Colts Phillip Rivers and we can’t understand why? Over the past three contests, Rivers has mustered a healthy 22.21 average per game and is facing the Raiders defense that struggles on the best of days. The Colts are at the point of integrating this entire group into the scheme, which is a positive for this passer that much more. Rivers is a safe bet.
Zeke Elliott (DAL)
Ever since Dak Prescott went down with that leg injury, we have peached the loss of faith for Zeke Elliott with consistency. With backup solutions at the quarterback position and tough matchups verse the run, Elliott has been extremely underwhelming. Adding to that, his fumble issues are a grave concern, but this is the last week you will gain the high-end potential from this back. Facing the Bengals defense that is terrible in stopping the run – fire up Zeke one last time this season.
Mentioning our infatuation of the playoff schedule for David Montgomery a couple weeks prior – we now get to preach the play of him for the next three weeks. Coming off back-to-back 20-point showings, the Bears have finally found great fortune in their run game and will lean on him throughout the fantasy playoffs. If your have Monty on your roster – keep smiling and start him with extreme confidence.
The Broncos have been a very tough team to decipher this season, but one thing coming clear as of late is the usage of Melvin Gordon. Having four straight weeks of solid volume, the points have been steady to carry him in the range of an RB-2. Facing the Panthers this week is a nice get, in the fact that their run defense is anemic at best. Don’t fade Gordon this week.
Keenan Allen (LAC)
Even as Keenan Allen has been one of the best producing receivers this season, last weeks dismal showing has made some look for answers. The Chargers have been failures as a team this season, but the success in fantasy points will again be found in a great matchup this week. Facing the Falcons who give up massive amounts of points to the quarterback and receiver positions – Allen is set to have a field day.
Word has dropped, that Julio Jones is sitting out this contest with his injured hamstring, leaving the potential for the next man up (Russell Gage) to be that good earner. Coming off a healthy eight targets last week, Gage has the opportunity to again be that complimentary piece to the puzzle to gain yards and eat points. His floor should be rather safe, but could be a big-time player this week.
Since week seven, there has been no player more consistent at the position than the Titans Coery Davis. He has been building great chemistry with Ryan Tannehill and the points have been flying in. Last week showed the absolute blow-up most of us have been waiting for and that should again translate this week verse the Jaguars. With AJ Brown at less than 100% - we could witness another strong performance from Davis for playoff week.
Eric Ebron (BUF)
Heading all the way back to the offseason, our infatuation for the potential of Eric Ebron in this Steelers offense was real. If waiting for a tight end was your play in drafts, we instructed all to snag Ebron in the later stages, believing top-10 output would be seen. As we enter week 14, Ebron has risen into the top-five in full PPR, while resting as the ninth best player at the position in half PPR. Facing the Bills defense this week who truly struggle to cover tight ends – Ebron should witness another touchdown on his stat sheet. Don’t be afraid of his drops, he’ll catch enough this week.
Derek Carr (LVR)
The Raiders Derek Carr has come back to levels of the past, when his youthful ability saw him throw for very sound numbers. This season has also witnessed positive play, but this isn’t the week we should trust his potential output. Facing the Colts stout defensive front, we have visions of Carr hitting the turf with high regularity. Adding to that, potentially no Josh Jacobs suiting up for this contest – the lack of a run game will hinder Carr to have top end appeal. We are ok sitting him this week.
Let’s not get over excited for the prospects of Baker Mayfield replicating last weeks blow-up – but rather let’s play it safe and look for other options. Over the course of the season, Mayfield has been quite inconsistent and is facing a Ravens defense that is very strong. The last time these teams met, Mayfield had just over 10-points scored. Don’t say we didn’t warn you if you chose to start him this week.
Miles Sanders (PHI)
Our great affinity for the Eagles Miles Sanders must be curtailed this week, as there is no way on this planet, we can endorse playing him. Facing the Saints who are one of the best in the business in stopping running backs – the adjustment to play Jalen Hurts only adds to the potential bust. With an offensive line in shambles, a rookie passer starting his first NFL contest, the lack of volume over the past three weeks and a defense loaded with playmakers – we have no choice but to place him on the bench. We suggest you do the same.
Even as the Bills have improved the scheme to feed Devin Singletary the past two weeks, this is a contest we want no part of, with him as our back. Buffalo has issues overall running the ball this season and the lack of usage in the pass game, leaves Singletary on a floor slim. If there was assurance, he would see a good target share this week, we might alter the thought – but it can’t be trusted verse the Steelers.
To be clear, this is a cautionary sit over a must at this point. While Myles Gaskin is the lead back with no one standing in his way to remove volume, facing the Chiefs is a risky proposition. This contest could get out of hand early, leaving the Dolphins to throw more often. However, Kansas City rests around the middle of the pack in terms of defending the run, which could see yardage early. If you have better options, we say take it.
DeVante Parker (MIA)
Here we find another situation where target share should trump the sit evaluation, but the matchup in our eyes is unfavorable. Facing the Chiefs stout pass defense, while having a rookie passer behind center – Andy Reid should have this defense flying to provide confusion. The only caveat here is garbage time production, as Parker could be the benefactor of a late game score. This is a play at your own risk type of day.
With the passing prowess improving over the past two weeks in Cleveland, Jarvis Landry has been a very sound player. Securing a whopping 21-targets in that span, Landry has earned over 40-points for your club. With that, facing the Ravens fabulous defense in week 14 – we are running for the hills in everyway. PPR is the name of the game for Landry throughout his career and we know he’ll get his share, but the top end numbers will be much less then the past two contests. Expect lower numbers.
Matchups have been great for the Giants Darius Slayton and this is a week you will also look to his direction for potential. Being the first week of the fantasy playoffs, it is impossible to trust him in any form - even with Daniel Jones likely back behind center. Seeing a mere 11-targets in the last four weeks, something has occurred with the coaching staff to remove him from the game plan, virtually altogether. Even if he hits – we can’t risk it.
Dallas Goedert (PHI)
Staying away from most Philly players is likely the best scenario, but for Dallas Goedert – it is a tricky proposition. He has produced well this season and with rookie Jalen Hurts behind center, the appeal is Goedert will be a common check-down early and often. However, the Saints defense is powerful enough, that Hurts could have many welcome to the NFL moments. We will error on the side of caution.
Russell Wilson (SEA)
Over the past two weeks, the Hawks Russell Wilson has been less than spectacular in generating points, but this week has the makings to be that wonderful showing. Facing the Jets who hemorrhage points on the best of days, Seattle also has a spy in Jamal Adams to provide information on how to best attack his former club. This is the truest form of a get-right contest for Seattle and Wilson will beast this week.
Don’t let the matchup fool you, the Lions Matthew Stafford will be throwing the ball in bunches this week verse the Packers. Green Bay is one of the top producing offenses in the league, which will force the hand of the coaching staff to keep up. Stafford is coming off a great show last week against a tough Bears defense and should pick up where he left off. If Kenny Golladay can manage to suit up, the potential is that much better. Risk-reward is here all day.
Aaron Jones (GB)
Highlighting big day players is part of this evaluation and we won’t be shocked to witness Aaron Jones be a top-three finish at the position this week. Facing the Lions who struggle to stop the run for basically the entire season – he will be force fed the rock and see plenty of action through the air. Seeing the endzone is going to be a formality, while earning over 20-points is looking like his floor.
If there was a greater risk-reward player this week, that would have to be Todd Gurley. With the fear that his knees will only hold up for one quarter, the risk is real the volume won’t be there. With that said, reports have come out saying he’s no longer on the injury designation, and facing a Chargers defense that can’t stop a cold on the ground – we will take our chances and fire up the once known superstar.
With the Steelers activating James Conner off the Covid list – get ready to have a main back inserted into your lineup. Some may question the evaluation to be a risk for Conner, but given the way in which Pittsburgh hasn’t been able to establish the run of late – there are question marks. Nevertheless, Buffalo has a difficult time stopping the run and we could see a heavy dose of Conner after sitting the last two weeks with Covid.
Jamison Crowder (NYJ)
We were absolutely delighted to see the Jets utilize Jamison Crowder last week to levels we expect. Seeing more shares of redzone targets was a glorious sight, which should again be a common theme this week against the Seahawks. With Denzel Mims ruled out for this contest, Crowder should fit back into his primary role of being a target pig. He should have a very good day once again.
Yes, we understand that predicting a player who went off a week ago, to do the same again could be foolish – but the reasoning is true. The Texans have adjusted their approach without Will Fuller, which led to a whopping nine targets to Keke Coutee last week. Facing the Bears solid secondary, Brandin Cooks is likely to again see top coverage, leaving Keke to feast on short passes earning PPR points. There is a risk to see him fall back down to earth, but we like the odds of another good showing.
There has been a grave concern with the output of Tyler Lockett this past several weeks. Since week eight, Lockett has earned over 10-points in only one contest in that span. His only explosion came in week 11, leaving the rest abysmal. However, fear not, this is shaping up to also be that get right game for this speedy pass catcher - where he will exploit the Jets on more than one occasion. While the risk is here for a failure – we are confidant he gets back in the good books in a big way.
Hayden Hurst (ATL)
While we understand that Hayden Hurst has been underutilized for the past three weeks, why now should we promote him to be a player to earn this week? Atlanta is again playing for pride and will be without the services of Julio Jones. Based on that, Hurst sees an uptick that should provide targets against the Chargers porous defense. The risk is at optimal levels, but finding his way back into the endzone is very real.
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