NFL Week 11 Point Spread Picks

PLACE YOUR BETS!!! Last week was a complete abomination in terms of getting killed verse the spread. Contests didn’t move in our direction as we posted a season low in terms of wins. Still holding four games above the .500 mark for the season, we had cash flow to offset last weeks losses. However, we intend to get back on track in a very big way in securing wins to recovery in week 11. Follow us as we look to run the table once again. 
 
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ADF Week 10 Record: 3-11 (.214)
@SojashPicks Week 10 Record: 6-8 (.429)
 
ADF 2020 Season Record: 76-71 (.517)
@SojashPicks 2020 Season Record: 71-76 (.483)
 
ADF All-Time Record: 480-469 (.506)
@SojashPicks All-Time Record: 154-139 (.526)
 

NFL WEEK 11 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ Nov.19.2020 – 12:00PM EST) 
 

Thursday Nov.19
 
Arizona @ Seattle -3
The Arizona Cardinals are coming off one of the most spectacular wins in recent memory. Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins are turning out fabulous performances and will have to face a division foe – the Seattle Seahawks. Beating the Hawks just a mere four weeks ago, Arizona has a glorious opportunity to take the lead in the NFC West with a win.
 
The Seahawks have stumbled of late as Russell Wilson is making uncharacteristic turnovers on a weekly basis right now, and will have to clean it up asap. With Chris Carson looking to again miss this matchup, Jamal Adams is a player that wasn’t around the last time these clubs met. Seattle will be playing with heavy intensity in hopes to not fall behind that much more. This is a difficult spread to predict, but we know the Hawks will be ready to roll at home. This could be closer than three points.
ADF Pick: ARZ +3 ARZ 21 SEA 28 (L)
@SoJash Pick: SEA -3 ARZ 21 SEA 28 (W)
  
 
Sunday Nov.22
 
Philadelphia @ Cleveland -3.5
The Philadelphia Eagles really let us down last week as the return of more talent couldn’t get them over the top to move the ball. The offensive line continues to be a major issue in providing time for Carson Wentz to throw the ball – and the defense isn’t doing them many favors. Believing that Miles Sanders will have a greater role in this one, the Eagles should do a better job in competing.
 
When we look to the Browns, they also have struggles of their own, but will ride the run game in hopes to generate offense. Baker Mayfield hasn’t been sharp and will need to be at his best as the Eagles front four will be coming after him in this one. Leaning on Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt should go a long way for them to find a way to victory. There is hope the Eagles offense will at least keep this one closer then the spread indicates, we’ll gamble here.
ADF Pick: PHI +3.5 PHI 17 CLE 22 (L)
@SoJash Pick: PHI +3.5 PHI 17 CLE 22 (L)
  

Atlanta @ New Orleans -5
The New Orleans Saints have an issue at the quarterback position, as Drew Brees is pegged to miss the next two to three weeks. In relief, Jameis Winston is the likely replacement and he could lift the levels of the pass game to places we haven’t seen this season. Alvin Kamara will be a likely hot commodity again, as Winston was looking to him a number of times last week for support. Even still, Winston should be good for a turnover or two.
 
The Falcons are coming off the bye week and will be looking to keep their slim playoff hopes alive. Looking much better over the past several weeks, the Falcons aren’t that slouch that have become an easy pushover. The defense is playing much better and Matt Ryan will always find ways to move the ball. The Saints should come out on top – but Atlanta keeps this one closer then the line indicates.
ADF Pick: ATL +5 ATL 9 NO 24 (L)
@SoJash Pick: ATL +5 ATL 9 NO 24 (L)
  

Cincinnati @ Washington -1.5
As much as we like the Washington Football Team and the youthful talents they hold on this roster, seeing them favored verse Joe Burrow is something that is difficult to endorse. Granted, the Bengals dropped a goose egg last week and looked rather pedestrian in the process off the bye. However, Alex Smith is still coming back to form and moving this offense fairly well.
 
Understanding the matchup and knowing that Cincinnati can move the ball themselves, especially on weaker defenses – the secondary will have a very tough time keeping up with this receiving core for a full 60-minutes. The Bengals have shown they can keep up with teams like the Colts in the past, and should have enough to garner a victory here.
ADF Pick: CIN +1.5 CIN 9 WAS 20 (L)
@SoJash Pick: WAS -1.5 CIN 9 WAS 20 (W)
 

Detroit @ Carolina -1.5
This game is a complete crapshoot right out of the gates, as both Teddy Bridgewater and Matthew Stafford are dealing with injuries and are questionable to play. Either way, if both do suit up in this one, the offense could be tough to manufacture as Bridgewater and his knee will limit his game - where Stafford and his thumb on his throwing hand will make it tough to pass the ball.
 
With no Christian McCaffrey as well, we could see a contest filled with runs in hopes to move the ball with some regularity. Until we know more in terms of the starting quarterbacks for this matchup, we must side with the Panthers as we can’t envision any situation that Stafford will be accurate with the ball in this contest. (We reserve the right to change this pick based on injuries).  
ADF Pick: CAR -1.5 DET 0 CAR 20 (W)
@SoJash Pick: DET +1.5 DET 0 CAR 20 (L)


Pittsburgh -10 @ Jacksonville
The Pittsburgh Steelers are still the leagues only undefeated club, and one would believe that a drop off in play would come at some point this season. Taking travel to Jacksonville, who kept the high-powered Green Bay Packers at bay for most of last week’s contest – we wonder which team will come to play in this one. Jake Luton has played well enough to move this offense, while the ground game establishes the play action pass.
 
As for the Steelers, their drop in play verse the Cowboys left us wondering if the same would transpire last week – it did not. Looking much more polished and utilizing the core of pass catchers that are truly playing at elite levels, it’s hard to believe the Jags will have a game plan to keep up in this one. Jacksonville is playing better overall, but Pittsburgh is far to talented and should run away with this one.
ADF Pick: PIT -10 PIT 27 JAX 3 (W)
@SoJash Pick: PIT -10 PIT 27 JAX 3 (W)
 

Tennessee @ Baltimore -6.5
The Tennessee Titans had something of a sidestep last week, but will have extra rest to form a game plan verse Lamar Jackson and company. The Titans lost last week due in part to special teams derailing their chances and hopefully they’ll have that figured out in this one. Leaning on Derrick Henry should be the name of the game, in hopes to get back to exploiting the play action pass.
 
The Ravens are truly a shell of their former self, and their offense hasn’t looked like last years group whatsoever. Not being able to establish the ground game and Jackson still struggling in the pass with any levels of consistency – the Titans should be able to maximize on that. Even with the Ravens playing at home which should bring good hype to the group, this should be a much closer contest as every play will be magnified. The Ravens should bounce back, but we’ll play it safe.
ADF Pick: TEN +6.5 TEN 30 BAL 24 (W)
@SoJash Pick: TEN +6.5 TEN 30 BAL 24 (W)
 

New England -2 @ Houston
The New England Patriots are the perfect form of what we call a conundrum. Looking absolutely anemic one week, to lift their level of play the week after in winning contests they have no business winning. Cam Newton did look better last week as Damien Harris is leading the charge on the ground. The Pats defense should get a lift as Stephen Gilmore could be back in this one.
 
As for the Houston Texans, realizing that they can’t generate much on both sides of the ball, playing at home is the only real objective that would draw us to believe they can pull this one out. Deshaun Watson hasn’t been that prolific passer from years past and it doesn’t help that the run game is completely non-existent. The Patriots have the better coaching staff which should elevate their game in this one. We’ll ride with Newton this week.
ADF Pick: NE -2 NE 20 HOU 27 (L)
@SoJash Pick: NE -2 NE 20 HOU 27 (L)
   

Miami -3.5 @ Denver
The Miami Dolphins have become the league Cinderella story, as they have improved in bunches over the past several weeks. With their rookie passer taking shape and looking great in the process – Miami has found new glory on the defensive side of the ball. Looking sharp and having the effect of a weaker schedule on the horizon, one has to believe this train will keep rolling.
 
The Denver Broncos are a team completely in flux, as they truly have no identity. Moving away from the ground game and not being able to generate anything tangible through the air – Drew Lock again finds himself in a situation where he could miss time to injury. With lesser talent at the quarterback position for Denver and Miami winning the last five games by more than seven points (with the exception of the Cardinals contest), we have faith they will have more than enough here. The fish are swimming!
ADF Pick: MIA -3.5 MIA 13 DEN 20 (L)
@SoJash Pick: MIA -3.5 MIA 13 DEN 20 (L)
 

NY Jets @ LA Chargers -8.5
The LA Chargers are another club that has given us headaches on a weekly basis. Not being able to put teams away when they have the lead, while dropping contests to clubs that they should’ve easily beat – we are at a crossroad in how we can evaluate this team today. Justin Herbert has played very well and should manufacture more than enough in this one to supplant Joe Flacco and the Jets.
 
When it comes to the Jets, they are still looking for their first win of the season and it will be difficult on the road cross-country. Flacco played much better in his last showing but will have to play mistake free football if they intend to compete in this one. Seeing more than a touchdown spread is fearful with how the Chargers give up leads – but we’ll have to ride one more week with Herbert and company.
ADF Pick: LAC -8.5 NYJ 28 LAC 34 (L)
@SoJash Pick: NYJ +8.5 NYJ 28 LAC 34 (W)
 

Green Bay @ Indianapolis -2
With how poorly the Packers played last week while hosting the Jaguars, it just proves that the NFL is all about matchup over just talent. The Jags seemingly matched up well enough to give Aaron Rodgers a run for his money, and this week they get the stout Colts defense off extra prep time. Green Bay has moved away from the ground game of late which will have to be found verse the best run defense in the league.
 
When we discuss the Colts, Coach Frank Reich has been masterful in scheming this season, which has led this team to greener pastures. Hosting the Packers does appear to provide favor in this one, but our eyes are fixed on the injury report in hopes that Jarie Alexander suits up for this match. No matter how we cut it, Rodgers gets up for contests of this magnitude and we see a very strong showing coming from Green Bay.
ADF Pick: GB +2 GB 31 IND 34 (L)
@SoJash Pick: GB +2 GB 31 IND 34 (L)
 

Dallas @ Minnesota -7
The Minnesota Vikings appeared to have given up on the season as they traded away talent from the defense, but that hasn’t been the case. Minnesota has rallied behind those moves and have leaned on Dalvin Cook that much more to generate offense. Hosting the lowly Cowboys and their own brand of inadequacy, we completely understand why the odds makers are giving this large spread. Kirk Cousins will be asked to protect the ball while Cook finds holes on this leaky defense.
 
Dallas is coming off the bye week and will have Andy Dalton back behind center. While this isn’t a gleaming endorsement to believe the Cowboys will find a way to win outright, they will be far more competitive with Dalton throwing the ball. Dallas is a hot mess on both sides, but Minnesota is beatable if plays are had. This is a difficult spread to take bur Cook is running wild right now.  
ADF Pick: MIN -7 DAL 31 MIN 28 (L)
@SoJash Pick: MIN -7 DAL 31 MIN 28 (L)
 

Kansas City -8 @ Raiders
The last time these teams faced off against each other, the Chiefs had struggles beyond struggles to do anything positive. Dropping that matchup would leave a sour taste in their mouths and will have Patrick Mahomes at his best once again. The Chiefs are coming off the bye and will have their horses ready to displace Vegas with distinction.
 
When it comes to the Raiders, they are dealing with a Covid tracing outbreak on the defensive side which will limit practice time and preparation. Derek Carr and this offense has played well enough to string wins together so far this season – but with how circumstances have unfolded this week – they will be in tough even at home. Mahomes will be ready in this one.
ADF Pick: KC -8 KC 35 LVR 31 (L)
@SoJash Pick: KC -8 KC 35 LVR 31 (L)
 
 
Monday Nov.23
 
LA Rams @ Tampa Bay -4
The LA Rams found good fortune last week and played extremely well verse the Seahawks. The Rams defense is turning out to be the strength of this club and will be ready to rush Tom Brady with extreme prowess. With how poor the Buccaneers offensive line is, Aaron Donald and Leonard Floyd will have a field day in rushing the passer. Jared Goff will have to be much better in this one if they intend to find a way to victory.
 
The Buccaneers are learning on the fly in hopes to generate comradery and chemistry – and it truly has looked better as the weeks move forward. Brady looked great last week and integrating Antonio Brown should take another giant leap in this one. With how many weapons Tampa Bay has on the field – the goal will be to rattle Brady at every opportunity. Whoever controls the clock and limits turnovers will come out on top here.
ADF Pick: LAR +4 LAR 27 TB 24 (W)
@SoJash Pick: LAR +4 LAR 27 TB 24 (W)
 

 
ADF Week 11 Record: 4-10 (.286)
@SojashPicks Week 11 Record: 6-8 (.429)
    
 
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