PLACE YOUR BETS!!! From time-to-time, the NFL world goes sideways and we take the giant hit in terms of missing on the spread. This is only a mere hiccup in the process as we still have positive earnings from the previous week to supplant the week three losses. Nevertheless, improvement is always at the forefront as we look to rebound in a very big way. With a Covid outbreak in one contest, the margin of error goes down by one as we look to run the table and help all get those funds in the bank account. Let’s get this week’s picks – good luck!
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ADF Week 3
Record: 6-10 (.375)
@SojashPicks
Week 3 Record: 9-7 (.563)
ADF 2020
Season Record: 28-20 (.583)
@SojashPicks 2020
Season Record: 28-20 (.583)
ADF
All-Time Record: 432-418 (.508)
SojashPicks
All-Time Record: 111-83 (.572)
NFL
WEEK 4 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ Oct.1.2020 – 12:00PM EST)
Thursday
Oct.1
Denver @
NY Jets -1
This week’s
Thursday night football contests isn’t one that will make headlines, but it
should provide enough in the form of entertainment for the betting public.
Denver is going with super inexperienced Brett Rypien at quarterback which could
go very poorly. This will act as an evaluation contest for this young passer
which should have many ups and downs. The Broncos should ride the ground game
in hopes to gain that edge.
The Jets
on the other hand have their own problems and inadequacy that have made them a
laughing stock in the league. Getting Jamison Crowder back in the lineup should
provide a lift, but overall, its difficult to know how much. The Jets defense
still has players to stop the run which could bode well for the offense getting
the ball back. This game is a real crapshoot and coach Adam Gase could be
relieved of duties if they drop this one. We’ll gamble on the home team to save
the coach’s job.
ADF: NYJ covers
the spread @ -1 DEN 37 NYJ 28 (L)
@SoJash: NYJ covers the spread @ -1 DEN 37 NYJ 28 (L)
Sunday
Oct.4
Baltimore
-12.5 @ Washington
The
Baltimore Ravens will be fired up for this contest after looking somewhat
pedestrian last Monday Night. The confusing aspect for this club is that they aren’t
feeding the ground attack like last year which is what made them so successful.
This should be the game they go back to the well and formalize their identity
to be that run first club and dominate the opposition.
The
Washington football team outside of week one hasn’t been up to par with mistakes
filling the landscape. Dwayne Haskins is still struggling with reading defenses
and the run attack is far from established. The defense still has solid players
leading the charge, but will struggle to preform verse one of the best clubs in
the NFL. Baltimore will make easy work here.
ADF: BAL covers
the spread @ -12.5 BAL 31 WAS 17 (W)
@SoJash: BAL covers the spread @ -12.5 BAL 31 WAS 17 (W)
Pittsburgh
-2.5 @ Tennessee (Postponed)
NO GAME DUE
TO COVID OUTBREAK
LA Chargers @ Tampa Bay -7
The LA
Chargers fell flat on their face last week as rookie Justin Herbert left a lot on
the field. While we are giant supporters of Herbert, the process will take some
time to mature and become a sound offense. Leaning on the ground attack will be
paramount in this one to keep the ball out of Tom Brady’s hands. No Chris
Harris in this one will make that task even tougher.
The
Buccaneers on the other hand also haven’t been this high-octane unit but could
use this one to help gain chemistry. Leonard Fournette is likely out for this
contest which will force the hand of the coaching staff to pass the ball more
often. Brady is still looking to be more efficient and this is a good test for
this offense as a whole. In the two games the Bucs have won this season, they
have covered seven with ease. We’ll bite with the Bucs defense making a tough
day for Herbert with cross country travel.
ADF: TB covers
the spread @ -7 LAC 31 TB 38 (W)
@SoJash: TB doesn’t
cover the spread @ -7
Seattle
-6.5 @ Miami
The Miami
Dolphins looked sharp last week in capitalizing on all opportunity in scoring
touchdowns over field goals. There is no question the Fins are building in the
right manner to eventually become a team who can compete on a weekly basis.
However, hosting one of the hottest teams in the league will be a no contest
very early.
As for
that high-powered club coming into Miami, the Seahawks and Russell Wilson have
become such a dominating force that we can’t contain the excitement. Wilson has
proven to be playing at MVP levels and will feast on the weaker Dolphins team.
This game will get out of hand very early, even though Vegas is accounting for
cross country travel to hedge the spread.
ADF: SEA covers
the spread @ -6.5 SEA 31 MIA 23 (W)
@SoJash: SEA covers the spread @ -6.5 SEA 31 MIA 23 (W)
Minnesota
@ Houston -4.5
So far
this season, we have been very critical on the Vikings and their club overall.
Not utilizing the talents they have on offense, while their defense has been exposed
due to all their free agent losses – they did come out last week to remind us
of what they once were. Kirk Cousins looked much better and rookie Justin
Jefferson showed the world he is ready to be a star.
The
Houston Texans have fallen victim to the NFL schedule makers giving them the
toughest first three games to start a season. Now with that in the rear view
and three losses in the record books, this is the contest Houston should get
back on track and find their identity. Speed is the name of the game and we
fully expect that to be top priority. With that said, Minnesota should keep it
closer than the spread indicates.
ADF: HOU doesn’t
cover the spread @ -4.5 MIN 31 HOU 23 (W)
@SoJash: HOU doesn’t cover the spread @ -4.5 MIN 31 HOU 23 (W)
New
Orleans -4 @ Detroit
The New Orleans
Saints have seen some level of struggle to start the season, but mistakes in
execution and injuries have been the guiding factor in their losses. Taking
travel to Detroit to face a Lions club that is far from polished, this should
act as a tune up to get back on track. Early reports have Michael Thomas
gearing up to play in this contest, but it is not a certainty at this point.
Drew Brees and Alvin Kamara should again be the focal points in this match.
The Lions themselves
have underachieved so far this season and will be in tough against a very strong
team in the Saints. From our evaluations, the Lions still seem to have no identity
and are looking in every direction to find it. Detroit will attempt to keep up
and may keep it close at the beginning – but it shouldn’t last all four
quarters. The Saints get back to business in this one.
ADF: NO covers
the spread @ -4 NO 35 DET 29 (W)
@SoJash: NO doesn’t cover the spread @ -4 NO 35 DET 29 (L)
Cleveland
@ Dallas -4.5
The Dallas
Cowboys offense is one of the better units in the league and have showcased
that with extreme power. Where they fall, is on the defensive side where they
literally can’t keep clubs out of the endzone. Hosting the Browns in week four –
this will be another contest where Dak Prescott should have little worry and
will put up great stats in the process.
The Browns
themselves are coming off a very strong showing against Washington, and will be
looking to build on that success. Head Coach Kevin Stefanski properly altered
the offensive game plan after week one to be that run first, run heavy system
and it worked to perfection the past two weeks. Baker Mayfield should have
major issues with the Cowboys rush defense which could force a few turnovers if
he isn’t careful. Even though we are huge supporters of Nick Chubb, Dallas will
have far too much for the Browns to handle.
ADF: DAL covers
the spread @ -4.5 CLE 49 DAL 38 (L)
@SoJash: DAL covers the spread @ -4.5 CLE 49 DAL 38 (L)
Jacksonville
@ Cincinnati -3
Over the
first three weeks of the season, we have missed on predicting the Jacksonville
Jaguars outcomes. Heading into week four and facing the up and coming Bengals
squad with rookie Joe Burrow, this has another opportunity to make us miss. James
Robinson has looked great and could be that true number one back to lead the
offense.
With how
well the Bengals offense has performed, they are still learning and trying to
be better than in past years. Joe Burrow has shown he can handle the workload
and should again continue to lead this offense in the right direction. The
Jaguars defense is one that can be exposed and we shouldn’t be shocked to see a
much better outing from the Bengals overall. Giving massive yards on the ground
is the issue and Robinson will try to keep it close. This could be a one-point
game.
ADF: CIN doesn’t
cover the spread @ -3 JAX 25 CIN 33 (L)
@SoJash: CIN
covers the spread @ -3
Indianapolis
-2.5 @ Chicago
Heading
back to the offseason, the Colts were one club we held in high regard and had
large aspirations for. Phillip Rivers hasn’t utilized the receiver position
like we thought, but this could be the game it comes to fruition. Using the
ground attack to establish the entire offense will be the constant again here,
leaving the potential for the play action pass to finally work in bunches.
With change
comes opportunity, and Nick Foles once again gets his shot to be the leader of
a team. Replacing Mitchell Trubisky in hopes to move this team forward, Foles
will be facing his former offensive coordinator in Frank Reich. This is perhaps
the largest advantage for the Colts as Reich will know exactly how to stop this
Bears pass game. Chicago appears to still be pretenders in our eyes, but will
battle in this one. We could see a very tight score, but will go with ride with
coach Reich in this one.
ADF: IND covers
the spread @ -2.5 IND 19 CHI 11 (W)
@SoJash: IND covers the spread @ -2.5 IND 19 CHI 11 (W)
Arizona
-3.5 @ Carolina
Even as
the world is gaining excitement for the Cardinals and what they bring to the
field, last week showed they are still far from a finished product and will
have hiccups from time-to-time. Kyler Murray looked as bad as we’ve seen going
back to games in his rookie season. Nevertheless, this team is far to balanced on
offense to allow the Panthers to stifle them all game.
When
looking back to what the Panthers were able to accomplish last week - coaches
Matt Rhule and Joe Brady clearly having ties to the college game (one year
removed), had the upper hand on Justin Herbert. Admittedly, we completely missed
that part of the game evaluation as that should’ve been a top review. With that
said, Kyler Murray is now an NFL veteran that has altered his game enough to be
a major problem for Carolina. Covering four points is a concern, but we believe
Arizona will come back strong.
ADF: ARZ covers
the spread @ -3.5 ARZ 21 CAR 31 (L)
@SoJash: ARZ
covers the spread @ -3.5
NY Giants
@ LA Rams -12
The LA
Rams came into Buffalo last week and almost pulled out a massive comeback verse
the Bills. Having a much lighter task on the horizon, Jared Goff and company
face the Giants who have struggled to say the least. The impressive aspect of
the Rams has been their dedication to the run which has opened up everything through
the air. Adding to that, the Rams defense will be a massive mismatch for Daniel
Jones and company.
Speaking
of the Giants and what is on the docket for them this week, a very tough
showing could be on the horizon. Daniel Jones hasn’t looked sharp and the loss
of Saquon Barkley has left the run attack in shambles. Recreating the ground
attack with short passes is the only way this team will be able to compete, but
we wonder if Jason Garrett will follow suit? This is a very large spread to cover
and New York is still capable of scoring points. But we’ll gamble.
ADF: LAR covers
the spread @ -12 NYG 9 LAR 17 (L)
@SoJash: LAR covers
the spread @ -12
Buffalo -3
@ Las Vegas
Last week
we wanted to see the Buffalo Bills take that next step in their team
progression, and they hit the nail on the head. Josh Allen truly has ice in his
veins with a very short memory, which allowed them to earn a comeback victory
verse the Rams. This week taking on a Vegas team that is improving and could be
a problem if overlooked. Buffalo’s largest weakness on defense is covering the tight
end, which could leave Darren Waller to have a monster game.
As for the
Vegas Raiders, controversy has risen with a off field charity event making
news. Members of the club were seen at this party without masks, which could put
this game in jeopardy if any player tests positive for Covid as well. At this point
nothing has been said from the NFL for this contest, so all systems should be a
go. Derek Carr will be without Henry Ruggs and Bryan Edwards, which is a huge
lift for the Bills defense. Buffalo is for real and they proved that last week –
they will roll in this one.
ADF: BUF covers
the spread @ -3 BUF 30 LVR 23 (W)
@SoJash: BUF covers the spread @ -3 BUF 30 LVR 23 (W)
New
England @ Kansas City -7
Vegas did
the reining Super Bowl champions dirty last week in making them an underdog to
the Baltimore Ravens. Not looking upon that with favor, Kansas City made easy
work of that high-powered club. Now back at home and facing Cam Newton and the
Patriots, we should be treated to another wonderful contest. If possible, the
Chiefs look better than they did last season and Andy Reid is calling everything
to perfection.
The
Patriots on the other hand have also looked sharp with Newton throwing the ball.
With that, the competition which was fierce in who they faced (the Seahawks),
that contest came with some struggle. Coach Belichick is doing his best to lead
this club with what he has to work with, but facing the Chiefs should be a very
tough test. The changing of the guard will be seen here, but Newton and the
Pats should keep the score within a touchdown.
ADF: KC doesn’t
cover the spread @ -7 NE 10 KC 26 (L)
@SoJash: KC doesn’t cover the spread @ -7 NE 10 KC 26 (L)
Philadelphia
@ San Francisco -7
This has
become one of the toughest contests to evaluate on the Sunday slate as the Eagles
have shown us, they are not worthy of being a true competitor. However, injuries
are the storyline for both teams and the Eagles should be able to muster enough
to at least keep this game close. Miles Sanders will have a big role in hopes
to control the clock while looking for the upset.
With how
many injures the 49ers have on the roster as a whole, we didn’t envision them
to blowout the Giants like they did. With early reports showing Jimmy Garoppolo
and Raheem Mostert potentially sitting again – the Eagles would be much tougher
competition for San Fran to cover a full touchdown spread. The Eagles are a
prideful club that will try and grab their first win here.
ADF: SF doesn’t
cover the spread @ -7 PHI 25 SF 20 (W)
@SoJash: SF
covers the spread @ -7
Monday Oct.5
Atlanta @
Green Bay -7.5
The story of
the Atlanta Falcons so far this season has been getting massive leads, to only
blow them and lose contests. Truly we have no understanding on how this type of
collapse is possible in consecutive weeks, but needless to say, it happened all
the same. Even without Julio Jones in the lineup, Atlanta still showed they can
move the ball with high frequency and should give the Packers a run for their
money.
Green Bay
has become one of the better-balanced units in the entire league using both the
ground and the pass to establish that killer instinct. Aaron Rodgers looks like
a youthful super star once again able to expel the most from a receiving core
that had many questions this offseason. With Aaron Jones running the ball very
well, the Packers will win the contest, but the Falcons high-octane offense
will be a problem to cover the spread.
ADF: GB doesn’t
cover the spread @ -7.5 ATL 16 GB 30 (L)
@SoJash: GB doesn’t cover the spread @ -7.5 ATL 16 GB 30 (L)
ADF Week 4 Record: 8-7 (.533)
SoJash Week 4 Record: 6-9 (.400)
Note: All
Day Football is not responsible for any personal gains or losses as a result of
its predictions. Please play responsibly.
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