NFL Week 6 Point Spread Picks

PLACE YOUR BETS!!! Week 5 brought a lot of uncertainty with schedule changes littered all over the game lists. Still managing to secure 50% winners last week, our season total is still in the green with positive money earnings finding the back account. Week 6 will bring with it more changes as two Monday Night contests are on the horizon with the potential of another Tuesday game forthcoming. This season will be very fluid and we need to remain vigilant in our predictions to get you that money. Follow us as we look to run the table this week!

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ADF Week 5 Record: 7-7 (.500)
@SojashPicks Week 5 Record: 8-6 (.571)
 
ADF 2020 Season Record: 43-34 (.558)
@SojashPicks 2020 Season Record: 42-35 (.545)
 
ADF All-Time Record: 447-432 (.509)
SojashPicks All-Time Record: 125-98 (.561)

 
 
NFL WEEK 6 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ Oct.15.2020 – 12:00PM EST) 
 
 
Sunday Oct.18
 
Houston @ Tennessee -3
The Houston Texans finally followed our thought process last week in exploiting their speed and utilizing the talents on their core. This week they will have a tougher test verse a Titans club that destroyed the Bills. Houston will have to find their ground game in this one if they want to control the clock. Spreading the ball around will be paramount to their success once again.
 
The Titans are coming off an impressive showing where they capitalized on every mistake the Bills had and literally ran away with the contest. Tennessee looked poise and prime amidst no practice time and coming off the Covid outbreak. Having a quick turnaround after playing on Tuesday – we wonder if that will take its toll on the roster overall. This does fell like a one or two point game, but we’ll gamble.
ADF: TEN covers the spread @ -3 HOU 36 TEN 42 (W)
@SoJash: TEN covers the spread @ -3 HOU 36 TEN 42 (W)

 
Cincinnati @ Indianapolis -7.5
It has been an utter disappointment to watch the Colts play football this season, as the fruits have not been as sweet as we had thought. Phillip Rivers continues to struggle in the pass game while not finding his pass catchers with high regularity. Rookie Jonathan Taylor hasn’t impressed as well, as it appears the transition to the pro game has been harder than expected.
 
While we understand the notion that Vegas is placing a touchdown-plus spread for the Colts and their fabulous defense – the Bengals aren’t a slouch even coming off a tough showing against the Ravens. Joe Burrow has looked good so far this season but did get many welcome to the NFL moments last week. We could be setting ourselves up here, but Rivers and his pick-6 problem could kill the spread late again. We will gamble on a tighter contest here.
ADF: IND doesn’t cover the spread @ -7.5 CIN 27 IND 31 (W)
@SoJash: IND covers the spread @ -7.5 CIN 27 IND 31 (L)

 
Atlanta @ Minnesota -4
With news coming out that the Falcons have had four more cases that are positive on Thursday and have shut down the facilities in hopes to control another outbreak – this game is now in jeopardy. While the league has said this contest is still scheduled for Sunday, we remain optimistic. Regardless, the Falcons are a complete mess right now and have nothing positive on the horizon. The team could be blown up at any minute – so one begs to wonder, what motive they have at this point.
 
The Vikings on the other hand have improved their overall game and have looked sharp in the process. Losing Dalvin Cook to a groin could be seen as a major concern, but Alexander Mattison is more than capable to carry the load verse this defense. Atlanta may try to compete, but their defense is too weak to stop an on slot.
ADF: MIN covers the spread @ -4 ATL 40 MIN 23 (L)
@SoJash: MIN covers the spread @ -4 ATL 40 MIN 23 (L)

 
Denver @ New England -9.5
The league postponed this contest from last week to be played in Week 6 instead. While the positives do come for both clubs, the Broncos get word that Drew Lock should be ready to suit up for this match. With his presence, the entire pass game gets a lift and should be ready to go. Highlighting a negative, Melvin Gordon’s status is up in the air due in part to his indiscretions these past few days.
 
For the Patriots and their Covid outbreak, it appears most are all clear and ready to roll, including Cam Newton. Still no word on Stephon Gilmore and his status, but this Pats defense should have more than enough on an extra week of preparation against this Broncos club. With that said, covering 10-points is no easy task and we’ll error on the side of caution on this one.
ADF: NE doesn’t cover the spread @ -9.5 DEN 18 NE 12 (W)
@SoJash: NE covers the spread @ -9.5 DEN 18 NE 12 (L)

 
Washington @ NY Giants -2.5
This contest has two of the leagues bottom feeders fighting for respect, but coincidently enough – they are both still alive to be the division leader. The Giants have impressed us on the defensive side of the ball, playing much better than we had envisioned. This issue at hand is the offense and their turnover rates, which needs to be corrected ASAP.
 
As for the Washington Football Team, Kyle Allen should get back behind center, as that would be the positive to moving the offense forward. While the Alex Smith return was heart felt, being out of live action definitely took its toll. Washington isn’t a terrible squad overall as well but do lack the top end punch needed offensively to be competitive. The way in which the Giants have been playing, we’ll side with them this week at home.
ADF: NYG covers the spread @ -2.5 WAS 19 NYG 20 (L)
@SoJash: NYG covers the spread @ -2.5 WAS 19 NYG 20 (L)

 
Baltimore -7.5 @ Philadelphia
The Baltimore Ravens have been something of a conundrum this season as the high-octane offense hasn’t been there to start the season. For some reason they continue to move away from the run game which has left them to view as less explosive. Nevertheless, Baltimore continues to roll and find ways to win amidst lower production in the run attack.
 
At this point of the season, you have to feel for the Eagles and their constant revolving door of injuries as it has inhibited them to compete. Carson Wentz is trying his best to make things happen but mistakes in overreaching on certain plays and situations causes turnovers. Seeing how they couldn’t muster a full 60-minutes last week verse the Steelers – we take the points here in belief that Baltimore will find their offensive pedigree.
ADF: BAL covers the spread @ -7.5 BAL 30 PHI 28 (L)
@SoJash: BAL doesn't cover the spread @ -7.5 BAL 30 PHI 28 (W)
  

Cleveland @ Pittsburgh -3
The Cleveland Browns have played much better this season than in years past and have improved from that terrible showing in week 1. Even without Nick Chubb on the field, the Browns have been able to sustain the run game with Kareem Hunt leading the charge. With the run game the primary source of scheme, Baker Mayfield has also played much better.
 
As for the Steelers, they took something of a sidestep on defense last week, allowing Miles Sanders to gash them with distinction. Hunt will be a problem for Pittsburgh this week, which could allow the Browns to keep things tight. With that, Pittsburgh is expanding the offensive persona making them difficult to stop and create systems to confuse. Until further notice, we are very high on the Steelers.
ADF: PIT covers the spread @ -3 CLE 7 PIT 38 (W)
@SoJash: PIT covers the spread @ -3  CLE 7 PIT 38 (W)
 

Chicago @ Carolina -1.5
The Chicago Bears are something of an enigma at this point, as we truly can’t decipher which club will come out on game day. Nick Foles has looked decent in moving this offense, which will give them a leg up verse the Panthers defensive secondary. Establishing the run, while playing sound defense is the name of the game for Chicago – and well fully expect them to improve off their win last week with extra rest.
 
Carolina on the other hand has definitely altered our thought process in becoming believers in their ability. Using the deep ball as the primary source of confusing the defense, Robby Anderson has been a revelation thus far. Teddy Bridgewater has been impressive as well and has made us look foolish in our initial evaluation of him. Nevertheless, we could see a one-point game be the result here.
ADF: CAR doesn’t cover the spread @ -1.5 CHI 23 CAR 16 (W)
@SoJash: CAR covers the spread @ -1.5 CHI 23 CAR 16 (L)


Detroit -3 @ Jacksonville
Coming off the bye week and ready to go, the Detroit Lions need to play much better if they intend to save their season. With Kenny Golladay back in form, the Lions pass game should again be the lift for the offense overall, while they use all three running backs to set up the play action. The early week off should’ve been very important for this team to adjust and become more cohesive.
 
When we discuss the Jaguars and what they have been thus far, not many items of positive note could be taken. Even as they battle in each contest, the overall landscape of what this team is, leaves a lot to be desired. Jacksonville will continue to sling the ball and attempt to compete, but the defense is far too weak for us to believe an upset is on the docket.
ADF: DET covers the spread @ -3 DET 34 JAX 16 (W)
@SoJash: DET covers the spread @ -3 DET 34 JAX 16 (W)

 
NY Jets @ Miami -9.5
The dismantling of the Jets is nearly complete, as moving on from LeVeon Bell is another piece in a number of head scratching moves. Coach Adam Gase is truly the main issue for the squad as his system has been figured out many years ago. Having to start Joe Flacco once again in relief of Sam Darnold, the only offense should be generated from Jamison Crowder.
 
Miami shocked the world last week in their dismembering of the 49ers and their injury rattled squad. Ryan Fitzpatrick continues to do what he does best and that is to throw the ball without concern. This has lifted the offense to much better levels and points are the outcome. With a defense that has looked much better the past couple weeks – this should be a cakewalk. The Jets have lost four of five games by more than 10-points and that should again be the case here.
ADF: MIA covers the spread @ -9.5 NYJ 0 MIA 24 (W)
@SoJash: MIA doesn't cover the spread @ -9.5 NYJ 0 MIA 24 (L)


Green Bay -1 @ Tampa Bay
Sometimes the odds-makers try to throw a wrinkle into the fire in hopes to pull individuals to the other side. This spread is very baffling to us given how well the Packers have played so far this season. Coming off the bye rested and fresh – the return of Davante Adams will provide another large lift. Aaron Jones and Aaron Rodgers have been the staple of this offense and should again feast against a disorganized Buccaneers club.
 
Tampa Bay on the other hand have attempted to overcome the plethora of injuries on this roster, but mistakes have been the main reason for their poor play at times. The offensive line is a major concern for us, as Tom Brady requires more time to dissect the field. With how Green Bay uses the blitz to their advantage – it could be another difficult day for Brady. This is an easy pick in our minds.
ADF: GB covers the spread @ -1 GB 10 TB 38 (L)
@SoJash: GB covers the spread @ -1 GB 10 TB 38 (L)

LA Rams -3 @ San Francisco
Licking their wounds from last week’s disaster, the 49ers will look to regroup and hope to at least challenge the Rams. Jimmy Garoppolo clearly wasn’t himself last week and that was confirmed by Coach Shanahan post game. If he isn’t 100% and ready to roll in this one, the Rams should be able to take advantage of the situation at hand.
 
When we look back and review the Rams and what they have done so far this season, the compliments need to go to the direction of Coach McVay. Going back to the drawing board and utilizing the ground attack to lead the offense is the pedigree in which his system moves. Setting up the play action pass has worked to near perfection and should be exploited on Sunday as well. The Rams defense has again found their gear and should make easy work of this injured 49ers team.
ADF: LAR covers the spread @ -3 LAR 16 SF 24 (L)
@SoJash: LAR covers the spread @ -3 LAR 16 SF 24 (L)


Monday Oct.19

Kansas City -3.5 @ Buffalo
Once again we find ourselves with a doubleheader on Monday Night Football. Due to Covid outbreaks, the Buffalo Bills host the Chiefs on primetime. While we can’t argue the spread given by Vegas on this one is reasonable, the Bills should be far better prepared for this showdown. With the adjustments to the schedule last week, Buffalo clearly overlooked the Titans for this contest.
 
The Chiefs on the other hand are also coming off a loss last week at the hands of the Raiders. Not looking overly sharp and somewhat beatable, we fully expect a much stronger game plan forthcoming. Where Kansas City excels is where Buffalo fails and exploiting that will be paramount. Attacking the Bills linebackers with Travis Kelce will be the primary source, which will open up the deep pass. While we do feel the Chiefs will win – we also expect Josh Allen to come out firing to keep it close. Well error on the side of caution and pick a three-point finish in this one.
ADF: KC doesn’t cover the spread @ -3.5 KC 26 BUF 17 (L)
@SoJash: KC covers the spread @ -3.5 KC 26 BUF 17 (W)

 
Arizona -1.5 @ Dallas
With the loss of Dak Prescott for the remainder of the season, Andy Dalton will have to be that savior to keep this team moving. Dallas will likely use the ground game with more frequency to help Dalton get accustomed to the offense. The positives are found with a stellar supporting cast, which should allow Dalton to move the ball.
 
With that, this is a good test for the Cardinals to see how far off they truly are and Kyler Murray will get his shot to show the world what type of player he is in the spotlight. Offensively, both teams are high powered but on the defensive side, they both also have issues. Vegas is betting on the fact that Dallas’ defense will not be able to hang and Dalton won’t be able to match score for score. We will gamble on this one just a little bit.
ADF: ARZ doesn’t cover the spread @ -1.5 ARZ 38 DAL 10 (L)
@SoJash: ARZ covers the spread @ -1.5 ARZ 38 DAL 10 (L)

ADF Week 6 Record: 7-7 (.500)

SoJash Week 6 Record: 6-8 (.429)
 
 
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