NFL Week 5 Point Spread Picks

 

PLACE YOUR BETS!!! Last week we remained above the .500 mark that continues to push our earnings in the bank account to positive levels. Holding a 57% season record amidst all the issues with injuries and Covid positive tests, it is rather extraordinary. Nevertheless, hitting higher marks in winning percentage is always at the forefront and will again attempt to hit a perfect score. Follow us as we look to earn big dollars and hit the high note for the season.



 
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ADF Week 4 Record: 8-7 (.533)
@SojashPicks Week 4 Record: 6-9 (.400)
 
ADF 2020 Season Record: 36-27 (.571)
@SojashPicks 2020 Season Record: 34-29 (.540)
 
ADF All-Time Record: 440-425 (.509)
SojashPicks All-Time Record: 117-92 (.560)
 
 
NFL WEEK 5 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ Oct.8.2020 – 12:00PM EST) 
 

Thursday Oct.8
 
Tampa Bay -3 @ Chicago
Entering week five of the season, the Buccaneers and Tom Brady travel to Chicago to face the Bears. Even though the Bucs haven’t looked overly sharp to start the year, chemistry is building as they continue to move forward. Without Chris Godwin, OJ Howard and Leonard Fournette, Tampa will have to muster offense from the next man up.
 
The Bears suffered their first loss of the season last week and looked uninspired in the process. Nick Foles off the bench is one of the best to do it, but once a game plan is generated for this quarterback, it seems as though opposing defenses know how to stifle him. Chicago isn’t put together well enough to win this contest but will try and keep it close. Either way, we still can’t bet against Brady here.
ADF: TB covers the spread @ -3 TB 19 CHI 20 (L)
@SoJash: TB covers the spread @ -3 TB 19 CHI 20 (L)
 
 
Sunday Oct.11
 
LA Rams -7 @ Washington
The LA Rams left the entire betting public scratching their heads with the performance they placed on the field last week against the Giants. Not being able to produce much in terms of offense, they will get another crack at it this week in Washington. Establishing the run game is paramount to the success of the pass, something we believe will be rectified this week.
 
The Washington football team have moved forward and benched Dwayne Haskins in favor of Kyle Allen, so the offense will look different this week. The Rams will be forced to review last year’s film on Allen, which could give them a leg up this week. Still no word on rookie dynamo edge rusher Chase Young’s availability this week, which is a massive concern for the defense. Either way, the Rams should soar in this contest and improve on last week.
ADF: LAR covers the spread @ -7 LAR 30 WAS 10 (W)
@SoJash: LAR covers the spread @ -7 LAR 30 WAS 10 (W)

 
Buffalo -6.5 @ Tennessee
With all the controversy surrounding the Titans and their positive Coivd tests, this contest is in grave danger of being cancelled and perhaps forfeited by Tennessee and the NFL. At this point, we have seen positive tests hit the double digits and continuing to rise. The issue at hand is the Bills play on Thursday Night verse the Chiefs, so this contest will be impossible to be rescheduled for Monday or Tuesday.
 
For record keeping purposes, we’ll side with the Bills, but will remove this game from the list if and when it’s officially cancelled.
ADF: BUF covers the spread @ -6.5 BUF 16 TEN 42  (L)
@SoJash: BUF covers the spread @ -6.5 BUF 16 TEN 42  (L)

   
Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh -7
The Philadelphia Eagles found good fortune last week in securing their first victory to the injured 49ers, but will have a much tougher test this week against the Steelers. The Eagles largest concern is the offensive line and truly will be under direst this week verse the Steelers powerful front seven.
 
Pittsburgh is coming off a week of rest and an extra week of preparation due in part to the Titans Covid positive tests, which leads us to believe – they could dominate. Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers typically play down to their competition, which could ruin the spread late as it did two weeks prior. The Eagles are a shell of what they should be a will be in tough in this one. We’ll play it on the safer side, believing they will kill the spread late.
ADF: PIT doesn’t cover the spread @ -7 PHI 29 PIT 38 (L)
@SoJash: PIT covers the spread @ -7 PHI 29 PIT 38 (W)

  
Arizona -7 @ NY Jets
The Cardinals came flying out the gates, showing their fabulous offensive magic. Dropping the last two games to even their record at 2-2, this week should be that tune up to get back on track. Kyler Murray should find room to gallop on a defense that viewed poorly against Brett Ryipen and the Broncos last week.
 
The Jets on the other hand are forced to start Joe Flacco in this contest as Sam Darnold is dealing with a shoulder injury. New York is literally a hot mess right now and will struggle to generate any offense with Flacco behind center. Not much to see here, except the Cardinals finding their footing.
ADF: ARZ covers the spread @ -7 ARZ 30 NYJ 10 (W)
@SoJash: ARZ covers the spread @ -7 ARZ 30 NYJ 10 (W)

 
Denver @ New England -8 CONTEST RESCHEDULED!
With the Patriots having dealt with Coivd issues of their own, starting quarterback Cam Newton is likely to miss this contest until he gets back to full health. Having played Brain Hoyer last week in relief, to sit him in game for Jarrett Stidham – the offense was far from polished and quite unimpressive. With no official news on Newton, Stephan Gilmore is also out with a positive test.
 
The Broncos on the other hand looked solid verse the Jets last Thursday Night and will attempt to compete this week in New England. While Bill Belichick will likely run the ball more than pass this week, Denver isn’t afraid to throw with Brett Ryipen. Even if this young passer throws more interceptions due in part to his inexperience – they should have more than enough to compete. We’ll gamble.
ADF: NE doesn’t cover the spread @ -8 (NA)
@SoJash: NE covers the spread @ -8 (NA)

 
Las Vegas @ Kansas City -13
The Kansas City Chiefs avoided a massive scare this week, with all Covid tests coming back negative after playing the Patriots. Coming back home to the confines of Arrowhead, the Chiefs will be looking to take their anger out on the division rival Las Vegas Raiders. Kansas City has shown good levels of play, but still haven’t blown up with offensive power early in the season. Could this be the week that occurs? Odds makers truly think it can.
 
The Raiders have fallen back down to earth after beating the Saints on Monday Night and looked subpar last week against the Bills. Facing an even more powerful unit in the Chiefs, this one could get out of hand early if not played properly. The Raiders will have to run the ball to control the clock and will get Henry Ruggs back on the field. Even as we agree the Cheifs will win, covering two touchdowns is never easy. We will play it safe here.
ADF: KC doesn’t cover the spread @ -13 LVR 40 KC 32 (W)
@SoJash: KC doesn’t cover the spread @ -13 LVR 40 KC 32 (W)

 
Jacksonville @ Houston -6
The Jaguars this season in terms of betting have been our kryptonite. Difficult to know which club will come out, it has become impossible to predict this uneven bunch. Finding positives in their ground game leaves us to believe they can compete weekly, but it’s the defense that doesn’t hold up their end of the bargain.
 
The Houston Texans have relieved their long tenured head coach Bill O’Brien this past week and will forge ahead with Romeo Crennel. This offense should produce much more this week with a new system predicated on exposing the speed that this roster holds. A spread offense is our expectation and a victory will be forthcoming for a fired up Houston squad.
ADF: HOU covers the spread @ -6 JAX 14 HOU 30 (W)
@SoJash: HOU covers the spread @ -6 JAX 14 HOU 30 (W)

 
Cincinnati @ Baltimore -13
The conundrum of the Ravens has been their inability to feed the ground attack and dominate the opposition. Running far less than the season prior – we truly don’t know what to expect this week. With that said, the Ravens still have been a force, outside of the uneven performance against the super bowl champions. Lamar Jackson is dealing with a knee issue but should be fine to suit up in this one.
 
The upstart Bengals with what looks to be super rookie Joe Burrow, they have turned our heads enough to take notice. Being huge supporters of Burrow and Coach Zac Taylor, they should be able to compete in this contest early and often. Not showing any fear to throw the ball a mammoth amount of times, this is the test to mark how far away the Bengals truly are. Baltimore will roll, but Burrow will break the spread.
ADF: BAL doesn’t cover the spread @ -13 CIN 3 BAL 27 (L)
@SoJash: BAL doesn’t cover the spread @ -13  CIN 3 BAL 27 (L)

Carolina @ Atlanta -2
The Atlanta Falcons are the leagues laughing stock at the moment, as they can’t get out of their own way. Dropping contests that they’ve literally held in their hands, an 0-4 record is where we find them today. With Julio Jones a possible sit due to his hamstring injury, manufacturing more offense against a Panthers defense that is improving weekly will be the challenge.
 
When speaking of the Panthers and Teddy Bridgewater, he has looked much better than the start of the season and will come to play in this one. The Falcons defense is a group that literally can’t stop a cold and give up the most in terms of statistics to opposing quarterbacks. Still no Christian McCaffrey, but they will come out strong in this matchup. However, we still believe the Falcons will come out to play in this one to avoid further embarrassment, we’ll gamble.
ADF: ATL covers the spread @ -2 CAR 23 ATL 16 (L)
@SoJash: ATL covers the spread @ -2 CAR 23 ATL 16 (L)

  
Miami @ San Francisco -9
The 49ers have been one team that have been decimated with injury, but should get back Jimmy Garoppolo and Raheem Mostert this week. Bad news for the Dolphins, as their defense shouldn’t be able to keep up with all the talent San Fran has on this roster. Coming off a loss to the Eagles with backup quarterbacks not playing up to par – this will be the week they come back full-bore.
 
Miami is a team that continues down the path of rebuilding and figuring out what they need to improve upon. With Ryan Fitzpatrick, still the quarterback to lead the charge, this Fins club will never get over the hump. This is part of the process and until we see the changeover to rookie Tua Tagovailoa, Miami will attempt to compete but will always fall short verse heavy opposition.
ADF: SF covers the spread @ -9 MIA 43 SF 17 (L)
@SoJash: SF doesn’t cover the spread @ -9 MIA 43 SF 17 (W)

     
NY Giants @ Dallas -9.5
The Dallas Cowboys are one of the best offenses in the entire league, but are one of the worst defenses in that category as well. Turnovers have been a massive issue to start the season and needs to be corrected if they plan to be a league power in the NFC. Dallas needed a contest like this to make things right as the Giants will conclude as one of the worst in the league when all is said and done. Tune up games are very important for high-octane clubs and we would be shocked if Dallas doesn’t come out strong in this one.
 
When it comes to the Giants, they are very dysfunctional and will be looking for any spark to produce points verse their division rival. Having shown the ability to match well against the Rams last week, we don’t see that as the standard, but rather the anomaly. Holding a struggling ground game and a quarterback filled with inadequacy – this all has the recipe for disaster. Dallas rolls and roll hard.
ADF: DAL covers the spread @ -9.5 NYG 34 DAL 37 (L)
@SoJash: DAL covers the spread @ -9.5 NYG 34 DAL 37 (L)

 
Indianapolis -1.5 @ Cleveland
The Colts have become a team built on defense over the offensive punch. Phillip Rivers hasn’t been what we had hoped, leaving the ground game rather stagnant. Taking travel to face the Browns who are playing much better defensively as well, this should again be another tight showing. The Colts will have to find their run game in bunches to control the clock and not turn the ball over.
 
The Browns on the other hand have morphed their offense into the run first club we envisioned. Coach Stefanski has done a wonderful job to this point in creating the mismatches to exploit opposing defenses. With that, the Browns did hear some bad news after last week, and that of course was the loss of Nick Chubb for multiple weeks. Having Kareem Hunt take over the reins is a wonderful consolation prize and we fully expect a similar offensive game plan as last week. This one will be tight – but we’ll call the upset here.
ADF: IND doesn’t cover the spread @ -1.5 IND 23 CLE 32 (W)
@SoJash: IND covers the spread @ -1.5  IND 23 CLE 32 (L)

 
Minnesota @ Seattle -7
Looking much better over the past two weeks, the Minnesota Vikings could be climbing up with strength. Getting back to basics in what made this unit so powerful, running the ball while exploiting the play action pass is the recipe for success here. Rookie Justin Jefferson will continue to have a massive role in hopes to create more offense.
 
Unfortunately, for the Vikings, they travel to Seattle to face the Seahawks and early MVP Russell Wilson. The odds makers are baiting the public in believing a touchdown spread is too vast after the showing verse the Dolphins last week. Keep in mind, travel played a big role in that performance last week for Seattle and they should get back on track at home. No Jamal Adams again for Seattle has made us think twice, and unfortunately, it has convinced us. Seattle will win, but Minnesota will keep it closer than seven points.
ADF: SEA doesn’t cover the spread @ -7 MIN 26 SEA 27 (W)
@SoJash: SEA doesn’t cover the spread @ -7 MIN 26 SEA 27 (W)

 
Monday Oct.12

LA Chargers @ New Orleans -7.5
Finishing the week on Monday Night Football, the Saints return home after a tough outing verse the Lions. Still coming out on top, good news is looming in that Michael Thomas should be ready to suit back up this week. The Saints haven’t been the powerhouse we expected, especially from the defensive side of things. Dealing with injuries all over that side of the ball, any healthy bodies retuning will be a welcomed sight.
 
Going back to the offseason, our thoughts continued to push the play of Justin Herbert to support this offense over Tyrod Taylor. Looking the part of being a capable passer Herbert has this offense moving in the right direction. However, the loss of Austin Ekeler will be felt and others will be forced to step up. The Chargers kept things close and almost pulled the victory last week in Tampa, and we should see that come to pass again in primetime. Saints will win, but L.A will compete strong.
ADF: NO doesn’t cover the spread @ -7.5 LAC 27 NO 30 (W)
@SoJash: NO doesn’t cover the spread @ -7.5 LAC 27 NO 30 (W)

ADF Week 5 Record: 7-7 (.500)

SoJash Week 5 Record: 8-6 (.571)
    
 

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