NFL Week 2 - Point Spread Picks

PLACE YOUR BETS!!! With week one in the books, much was gained in terms of knowledge for how these teams will fair moving forward. Granted, the first week of the season isn’t near enough to build full perspective – but it provides a valuable measuring stick for how we can make our predictions. Fetching two games above the .500 mark lifted our money lines in week one to start the season beautifully. Follow us in week two as we look to gain more funds in the bank account. 

 

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ADF Week 1 Record: 9-7 (.563)
@SojashPicks Week 1 Record: 8-8 (.500)
 
ADF 2020 Season Record: 9-7 (.563)
@SojashPicks 2020 Season Record: 8-8 (.500)
 
ADF All-Time Record: 413-405 (.505)
SojashPicks All-Time Record: 91-71 (.599)
 
 
NFL WEEK 2 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ Sep.17.2020 – 12:00PM EST) 
 

Thursday Sep.17
 
Cincinnati @ Cleveland -6
Opening up week two in the NFL, the Bengals take their new found talents into Cleveland for a divisional showdown that could be better than most realize. While the Bengals looked sharp at times with rookie Joe Burrow leading the way and looking light years ahead of the curve, they get a test verse the Browns who fell flat on their face. Cincinnati definitely looks to be on the rise while the Browns have again looked like bottom feeders loaded with talent on paper.
 
With a quick turnaround for Thursday Night, we truly expect the Browns to alter their plans and establish the run attack with greater emphasis. The caveat in that, is that the Bengals got great news in run stuffer D.J Reader’s medicals which suggests he’s ready to play this week. With him on the field, the run defense gets a massive uptick in hopes to stop Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. Vegas is trying to bait us into this spread, but could easily be covered with the horses the Browns have. Until we see proof on the field – we’ll go against the Browns.
ADF: CLE doesn’t cover the spread @ -6 CIN 30 CLE 35 (W)
@Sojash: CLE doesn’t cover the spread @ -6 CIN 30 CLE 35 (W)
   

Sunday Sep.20


Jacksonville @ Tennessee -8.5
The Tennessee Titans looked good on Monday verse the Broncos, but mistakes in the kicking game foiled their overall outlook to defeat Denver with exclamation. Having a sound offensive approach with a defense now led by free agent signee (Jadeveon Clowney), they looked very sharp at times. Overall mistakes filled the landscape and the lack of usage from AJ Brown was a concern. While we believe Brown will get back on track in week two, the Jaguars showed they intend to compete this season.
 
As for those Jaguars, Gardner Minshew clearly wants no part in a tank season gifting Jacksonville the opportunity to snag the first overall pick to replace his services. Finding a way to come back against the Colts in week one, the Jags surprised all who took in the contest. This week we don’t envision another upset, but covering nine points could be far too vast for us to endorse. We’ll error on the side of caution.
ADF: TEN doesn’t cover the spread @ -8.5 JAX 30 TEN 33 (W)
@Sojash: TEN covers the spread @ -8.5 JAX 30 TEN 33 (L)


Carolina @ Tampa Bay -8.5
The excitement all offseason was the addition of Tom Brady to the Buccaneers as this offense looked to be supremely high octane. Clearly missing the mark in many aspects, we only witnessed a glimpse of what could come to pass from an offense loaded with talent. Our evaluation showed Coach Bruce Arians went in too many directions in attempts to generate offense, making them look disorganized in the process. With Chris Godwin likely to miss this week with a concussion, perhaps we see them dial it back somewhat and focus on a couple players to lead.
 
Carolina on the other hand looked better than we had envisioned, but still couldn’t manage to put the W in the win column. Teddy Bridgewater looked far more polished as well, making plays in bunches to keep the team competitive. With Christian McCaffrey of course being the lead dog on this offense – facing one of the better run defenses will be a challenge. Without question Brady will be looking for blood and we fully expect a much better showing on a Panther defense filled with holes. We’ll gamble here.
ADF: TB covers the spread @ -8.5 CAR 17 TB 31 (W)
@Sojash: TB doesn’t cover the spread @ -8.5 CAR 17 TB 31 (L)
  

Denver @ Pittsburgh -7.5
Even as we had great encouragement from the Broncos before the season began, the injury to Courtland Sutton was felt from last Monday Night. While Drew Lock found his tight end Noah Fant on the regular, they did require more output to get past the Titans who gave them every opportunity to take the lead and win the contest. With Phillip Lindsay also dealing with an ailment of his own, the Broncos defense looks anemic at best.
 
From the complete opposite side of things, the Steelers got Ben Roethlisberger back and it proved to be a welcomed sight. Moving the offense with great efficiency, it was clear he is the most valuable player for this team to push forward. James Conner could be missing in action this week but Pittsburgh shouldn’t be worse for wear with Benny Snell filling in admirably. While we never like to promote heavy spreads such as these, the Steeler defense will make it a tough day for Denver to be successful. Banking on Sutton coming back, Denver should kill the spread late.
ADF: PIT doesn’t cover the spread @ -7.5 DEN 21 PIT 26 (W)
@Sojash: PIT covers the spread @ -7.5 DEN 21 PIT 26 (L)
 

LA Rams -1 @ Philadelphia
The LA Rams truly impressed us in week one taking on a Dallas club that is loaded from end-to-end offensively. They looked very dominate on defense while showing their prowess on the ground with Malcolm Brown and company. Jared Goff was asked to do a lot less in week one which could continue verse the Eagles. Coach Sean McVay has been known to adjust when needed and that was clear from their week one showing.
 
As for the Eagles, it was a complete disaster to watch the inadequacy of their offensive line leaving Carson Wentz on his back. The Washington Football Team sacked Wentz a whopping eight times making easy work of a line that looked like swiss cheese. Philly is looking on the ups with Miles Sanders likely ready to suit up to help aid in screen passes to help deter the pass rush. Even with that said, Philly has grave issues on this line and Aaron Donald could be in for a career day. The Rams should role in this one.
ADF: LAR covers the spread @ -1 LAR 37 PHI 19 (W)
@Sojash: LAR covers the spread @ -1 LAR 37 PHI 19 (W)


San Francisco -7 @ NY Jets
The San Francisco 49ers appeared to have the Super Bowl hangover play apart in their performance in week one dropping a winnable contest to the Cardinals. With that, Arizona exposed San Fran on many occasions which sent Richard Sherman to the injured reserve for the next three weeks. Jimmy Garoppolo didn’t have his best day and that doesn’t help he didn’t have much to pass to in the form of receiver depth. Nevertheless, the ground attack should be the focal point in week two verse the Jets.
 
Speaking of those Jets, there is plenty to dislike from their week one showing against the Bills as offensively they couldn’t muster much. Facing another stout defensive front, New York will be in tough and could be littered with turnovers for much of the day. No Le’Veon Bell and now Jamison Crowder is hobbled – Sam Darnold will be running for his life. This game shouldn’t be much of a showing.
ADF: SF covers the spread @ -7 SF 31 NYJ 13 (W)
@Sojash: SF covers the spread @ -7 SF 31 NYJ 13 (W)


Buffalo -5.5 @ Miami
For the first time in his NFL career, the Bills Josh Allen hit the 300-yard pass mark while improving his questionable completion percentage to a healthy 71.7%. The Bills defense looked strong and decisive in the victory and get the lowly Miami Dolphins in week two for good measure. While the Bills attack came from the pass over the run, in week one – this week could see an alteration where the ground game is more prevalent. Cam Newton crushed this Fins defense last week on the ground and we could see a very similar note from Buffalo.
 
While we have spoken with encouragement for the Dolphins improving this season with all their new additions, it will still take some time to iron out. Miami will be more competitive as the season moves forward, but facing a Bills defense that will finish in the top five is a giant task. The only way for Miami to win this contest is to create turnovers, especially from Josh Allen, who is prone to give the ball away. Nevertheless, Buffalo will role to a 2-0 start.
ADF: BUF covers the spread @ -5.5 BUF 31 MIA 28 (L)
@Sojash: BUF covers the spread @ -5.5 BUF 31 MIA 28 (L)


Minnesota @ Indianapolis -3
More disappointed we couldn’t have been with the end result of the Colts in week one. Letting down in all aspects down the stretch – the Colts gifted the Jaguars a victory in the process. Phillip Rivers continued his turnover problem forcing the ball in places it had no place going. The positives are that the running backs saw a lot of work which should aid in controlling the clock this week. Rivers should be looking to improve his game from ground up and we expect a much better showing this week.
 
In their opponent, the Minnesota Vikings, our fear was confirmed verse the Packers last week as their defense was carved up with distinction. Having many issues that can’t be rectified this season, the Vikings offense will have to carry the load to gain victories. With how poor this Minnesota secondary is built; Rivers should be able to exploit it on many occasions. Indy should bounce back at home this week.
ADF: IND covers the spread @ -3 MIN 11 IND 28 (W)
@Sojash: IND covers the spread @ -3 MIN 11 IND 28 (W)
 
    
Detroit @ Green Bay -6
The Detroit Lions apparently have a curse on their club which precludes them from winning games late with the last possession. Seeing rookie D’Andre Swift drop that pass in the endzone to win the contest, it was like a punch in the face for Lions fans. Taking their talents to Green Bay in another important divisional contest – Detroit looks to again be without Kenny Golladay. Focusing on the ground attack to control the clock should be paramount this week in hopes to get their first win.
 
Green Bay on the other hand proved last season was the transitional approach to figure out their run game while becoming more balanced in the process. Aaron Rodgers looked on point for the entire contest and should be ready to battle this week. While we would love to side with the Lions in killing the spread, the Packers look to be a heavy-hitters ready to demolish their division foe. This one could be ruined late but we’ll gamble.  
ADF: GB covers the spread @ -6 DET 21 GB 42 (W)
@Sojash: GB covers the spread @ -6 DET 21 GB 42 (W)


Atlanta @ Dallas -4
The same issues continue to be a massive concern for the Falcons as their defense isn’t on the same level as their offense. With Matt Ryan looking much sharper in the second season of the Dirk Koetter offense (as we expected), he supported three 100-plus receivers verse the Seahawks. Unfortunately for Atlanta – it will be a struggle all season long to stop high powered units and this week’s rival will be that tough test again.
 
When it comes to the Dallas Cowboys and what we witnessed in week one, it appears they are built much the same as the Falcons. Supremely gifted on the offensive side, but injuries have derailed Dallas once again to limit their overall progression. The Cowboys still have talent ready on the defensive line, but their secondary showed many weaknesses. Playing at home should get the Cowboys their first win, but Atlanta will come strong for 60-minutes.
ADF: DAL doesn’t cover the spread @ -4 ATL 39 DAL 40 (W)
@Sojash: DAL doesn’t cover the spread @ -4 ATL 39 DAL 40 (W)
 

NY Giants @ Chicago -5.5
What looked to be a true revival for the Bears and Mitchell Trubisky, they still had many points of issue during their week one contest. Facing the Giants who attempted to move the offense against a strong Pittsburg unit – they did make believers in us from many aspects. The Bears offense is still something of a conundrum that we require more proof on with more games. The Bears offensive line is still a mess that could be exploited with scheme and pressure.
 
The Giants had their own brand of trouble in week one, as they simply couldn’t get anything done on the ground. Saquon Barkley literally ran into a brick wall last week but should have greater fortune in week two. Perhaps they recreate the run game with short passes to Barkley to help move the defense back off the line. Daniel Jones looked impressive at times with his deep pass and should utilize his receivers again this week. The Bears could win, but we won’t be shocked at the upset.
ADF: CHI doesn’t cover the spread @ -5.5 NYG 13 CHI 17 (W)
@Sojash: CHI doesn’t cover the spread @ -5.5 NYG 13 CHI 17 (W)


Washington @ Arizona -6.5
We have been preaching the fabulous nature of this Washington front seven all offseason, and they made believers of all in piling up eight sacks on Carson Wentz. Granted, Washington faced an offensive line that was in shambles, and will get a tougher test this week against the Cardinals. Dwayne Haskins also needs to be much better in moving this offense in hopes to pull out another win verse a high riser in Arizona.
 
When we went back to dissect the Cardinals first contest, we couldn’t stop smiling at what we witnessed. Kyler Murray was absolutely fabulous and De’Andre Hopkins was clearly worth the price of admission. We have always been a huge supporters of Coach Kliff Kingsbury and he finally has his true Air-Raid offense he so coveted. Even as we believe the Cardinals will again find a way to be victorious, covering a full touchdown shouldn’t be in the Cards – pun intended, but we’ll gamble.
ADF: ARZ covers the spread @ -6.5 WAS 15 ARZ 30 (W) 
@Sojash: ARZ covers the spread @ -6.5 WAS 15 ARZ 30 (W) 


Kansas City -9 @ LA Chargers
Once again, we caught a hint of what Tyrod Taylor is, and we don’t like it. Being the true game manager who can scramble and throw the deep pass like no other – every other aspect to his game remains a grave concern. Not being able to feed his top targets (Keenan Allen, Austin Ekeler), this season will be very long indeed if this type of play is the constant. Taylor is far to afraid to make mistakes which limits the offense as a whole.
 
Facing off against the world beaters in the Kansas City Chiefs, the Chargers will be on the path of becoming disposed of quickly this week. Patrick Mahomes with a rejuvenated ground game could be unstoppable in this one, as the Charger defense isn’t the most fleet of foot. This should be a no- contest early and often. Take the points and don’t look back.
ADF: KC covers the spread @ -9 KC 23 LAC 20 (L)
@Sojash: KC covers the spread @ -9 KC 23 LAC 20 (L)
 

Baltimore -7 @ Houston
When we review this matchup, we almost feel sorry for the Texans as they started with the Chiefs and now get the Ravens on back-to-back weeks. Houston attempted to unleash their new look offense, but it didn’t go as planned. Coach Bill O’Brien didn’t utilize all the talents he had at his disposal which cost him a chance at victory. If Houston can use their speed and spread the field, the run attack will open up with fewer stacked boxes. While we need to see that come to pass, this is the week they need to have everything firing on high.
 
As for the Ravens, did they get even better this offseason? I think so! The offense again looked sharp but didn’t run the ball like we’ve grown to envision. The defense played on point locking down everything the Browns had to offer. This week should again be the case where we take the Ravens to cover and I think we shall move in that direction. The fear is that Houston could break the spread late with garbage time production. We grudgingly take this spread.
ADF: BAL covers the spread @ -7 BAL 33 HOU 16 (W)
@Sojash: BAL covers the spread @ -7 BAL 33 HOU 16 (W)
 

New England @ Seattle -3.5
Seeing the Patriots move on from Tom Brady brought with it much speculation, but Cam Newton looks healthy and ready to lead this club back to the postseason. Coach Belichick is the most intelligent at altering the offensive system to use the talents he has on the field. Newton looked comfortable as they made every adjustment to allow him to run when needed. With that said, week one was against the Dolphins which was an easier test then what is forthcoming this week, we shall see if it can be duplicated.
 
When it comes to the Seahawks, Russell Wilson looked like the league MVP in that first contest throwing the ball with electric ability and supreme accuracy. Seattle was and still is one of our favorites this season and should be ready to expose the Patriots this week at home. With a Patriots defense that lost many pieces to opt-outs and free agency – Seattle should be able to control the clock on the ground while throwing darts to the plenty talented pass catchers they employ. We will side with the home team with ease.
ADF: SEA covers the spread @ -3.5 NE 30 SEA 35 (W)
@Sojash: SEA covers the spread @ -3.5 NE 30 SEA 35 (W)
 

Monday Sep.21


New Orleans -5.5 @ Las Vegas
A bigger loss for an offense we can’t imagine and the Saints will be without Michael Thomas for the next several weeks. Coming off an impressive victory to the Buccaneers this past week, New Orleans looked great on the defensive side over what was done on offense. Alvin Kamara found his confidence and great play finding the endzone three times with one being called back. Without Thomas on the field – Kamara’s role will intensify this week verse the Raiders.
 
In terms of what we can expect from the Las Vegas Raiders, they will open their new house on Monday Night for the world to see. We do have a soft spot for how this team is being built and like what the future has instore. However, the Saints defense is truly a powerhouse and will carry this team in times of need. Any shortfall from Derek Carr will be taken advantage of and used to generate points from the offense. The Raiders will compete – but the Saints are just too good overall on this roster.
ADF: NO covers the spread @ -5.5 NO 24 LV 34 (L)
@Sojash: NO doesn’t cover the spread @ -5.5 NO 24 LV 34 (W)

ADF Week 2 Record: 13-3 (.813)

@SoJash Week 2 Record: 11-5 (.688)
 

 
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