NFL Week 1 - Point Spread Picks

PLACE YOUR BETS!!! HERE WE GO! Welcome back for another season of All Day Football Point Spread Picks. Last season we did see good levels of success, finishing over the .500 mark which also kept our all-time record in the winning column once again. As we gear up for the new year, we have invited our friends at Sojash picks to also provide their predictions for all contests to deliver that edge. Follow us all season long as we drive to earn those large paydays! Good luck and get ready – we have football!

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ADF All-Time Record: 404-398 (.504)

@SojashPicks All-Time Record: 83-63 (.568)

 

NFL WEEK 1 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ Sep.10.2020 – 12:00PM EST) 

 

Thursday Sep.10

Houston @ Kansas City -9.5

With football finally back amidst so much controversy with Covid looking to derail the entire landscape, the NFL would not be denied as we kick off the 2020 campaign with the Chiefs and the Texans. Starting with the Super Bowl champions who will be looking to start fast and score early, Vegas has the belief they will run away with this showing. With no training camp or preseason to speak of, the 9.5-point favorite might be a little large for us to digest. Granted, the Chiefs are still built to do major damage this season, the Texans are no slouch.

While Patrick Mahomes got his long-term big money deal this offseason, Deshaun Watson also was gifted his reward and will continue to be the starter for this club. Out the door goes DeAndre Hopkins but in comes David Johnson and more balance to this club. Brandin Cooks is a question mark for this contest as he was dealing with a quad injury which could limit him overall. With a new look offense and no real number one target to take the share, we still should witness a very competitive game. The Chiefs should come out on top in this one, but Houston will make this a game.

ADF: KC doesn’t cover the spread @ -9.5 KC 34-HOU 20 (L)

@Sojash: KC doesn’t cover the spread @ -9.5 KC 34-HOU 20 (L)

 

Sunday Sep.13

Philadelphia -6 @ Washington

When it comes to the Eagles and the Washington Football Team facing off in week one, Vegas seems to be giving a large edge to the visiting club. While we do agree and lean toward the Eagles winning this contest, the Washington defense is flying under the radar and will be much better than it has been advertised. The Eagles come into the contest once again banned up with injury, including massive losses on the offensive line. This is a massive concern in our eyes which will allow the rushing prowess of Washington to create havoc on Carson Wentz.

The one aspect which does give us some level of pause is the Washington offense that is basically still brand new in terms of chemistry building and being loaded with youth. Inexperience could play a giant role in this one early which could bring mistakes in bunches. Nevertheless, seeing the Eagles win by a touchdown isn’t something we are overly comfortable doing in week one. The Eagles should be victorious, but it could be a dog fight.

ADF: PHI doesn’t cover the spread @ -6 PHI 17-WAS 27 (W)

@Sojash: PHI covers the spread @ -6 PHI 17-WAS 27 (L)

Miami @ New England -6.5

No more are the days we witness the great Tom Brady come out of the tunnel in New England as he took his talents to the Buccaneers in hopes to prove he could win with new digs. With a changing of the guard at quarterback, many players choosing to opt-out this season due to Covid, this Patriots club is vastly different than what we saw last season. Hosting the revived Miami Dolphins who went on a shopping spree this offseason in hopes to improve as a whole, this contest will surprise most who take it in.

While the Patriots are still running behind the best head coach in NFL history, having Cam Newton in a new system with little time to generate full chemistry with his receivers and seeing a full seven points to cover is rather ambitious. At this point, Miami shouldn’t be the same push over the were the season prior, and will be much more competitive. Miami should lean to controlling the clock with the ground game in hopes to limit the plays on offense for New England. The Patriots defense could take one back to the house off a pick-six which could lift the score, but these Dolphins should be ready to play.

ADF: NE doesn’t cover the spread @ -6.5 MIA 11-NE 21 (L)

@Sojash: NE covers the spread @ -6.5 MIA 11-NE 21 (W)

 

Green Bay @ Minnesota -2.5 

(Line Correction - Sep.10 3:30 est)

With many showings having the division rival matchups in week one, here we find yet another fine contest that will provide glorious levels of entertainment. The Packers are still the team to beat in this division and will again be predicated on feeding the ground attack to lift the overall prospects of this offense. Aaron Rodgers will attempt to regain that killer instinct to prove all the doubters wrong that he in fact hasn’t lost a step. The run attack did get another weapon with rookie AJ Dillion which will add to the run power this club will provide.

As for the Vikings, the loss of Stefon Diggs does open the door for some transition which could leave them starting slower than most believe. Still behind the running prowess of Dalvin Cook, the Minnesota offense will again try and ride the ground to open the play action pass. However, the Vikings have lost far too much on the defensive side for us to believe they will be better than last season, where the Packers seemed to get that much better in most aspects. This should be a run away for the cheese heads to open the season.

ADF: MIN doesn't cover the spread @ -2.5 GB 43-MIN 34 (W)

@Sojash: MIN doesn't cover the spread @ -2.5 GB 43-MIN 34 (W)

Indianapolis -8 @ Jacksonville

Over the course of the entire offseason, we have been preaching a love affair with the Colts offense with the additions of Phillip Rivers and rookie Jonathan Taylor. With the offensive line ranking in as one of the best in the business and added weapons on the defensive side of the ball – this Colts club will only have themselves to blame if they don’t find great achievements in the win column.

As for the Jaguars and their constant shipping out of every talent they had – the writing is on the wall for them to tank this season in hopes to get the first overall pick in next years draft to grab a new franchise quarterback. We still scratch out heads in why this went down the way it did, as this club was just three years removed from reaching the AFC championship. Needless to say, the Colts are far better put together and should walk all over a lesser Jaguars club. We are all in on this Colts team.

ADF: IND covers the spread @ -8 IND 20-JAX 27 (L)

@Sojash: IND covers the spread @ -8 IND 20-JAX 27 (L)

 

Chicago @ Detroit -3

The Detroit Lions and the Chicago Bears view as a very intriguing contest as much change has occurred on both teams. The Lions are looking to take the next step under coach Matt Patricia and company – and suffice it to say, we are believing more on the daily. Health has always been the major reason for why the Lions haven’t reached the pinnacle of success just yet, but we have that understanding that everything should come to pass in 2020, baring injures of course.

The Bears have been on a whirlwind of controversy at the quarterback position when they chose to bring Nick Foles to back up the enigmatic starter – Mitchell Trubisky. With the training camp injury to David Montgomery which will preclude him from playing in this contest, the Bears offense will again be under fire to get things going. The Lions added Adrian Peterson to the backfield to provide stability and insurance which is a welcomed sight in our eyes. The Bears have the better defense, but the Lions have the better overall club. We’ll ride with the Lions.

ADF: DET covers the spread @ -3 CHI 27-DET 23 (L)

@Sojash: DET covers the spread @ -3 CHI 27-DET 23 (L)

 

Las Vegas -3 @ Carolina

The Oakland Raiders are no more but we will have to wait on the opening of their new fabulous stadium as they travel to Carolina. The Raiders are truly an up and coming squad that should lean to the ground attack to find their offense. Derek Carr has new toys to throw the ball too and should be able to exploit the weak Panther secondary on more than on occasion. The overall aspect of where we rank the Raiders thus far is still up in the air, but the optimism is rising.

As for the Panthers, we still have a difficult time buying into the notion that Teddy Bridgewater will be a thing. This offense will again run through Christian McCaffrey to lead the charge and carry the entire club. With a new head coach and new offensive system, the Panthers should take more than a few weeks to get everything running smooth. Vegas starts the season with a win.

ADF: LVR covers the spread @ -3 LVR 34-CAR 30 (W)

@Sojash: LVR covers the spread @ -3 LVR 34-CAR 30 (W)

 

NY Jets @ Buffalo -6.5

The Buffalo Bills are truly a team on the rise and will hold what looks to be one of the better defenses in the NFL. With Josh Allen looking to improve his completion percentage with new additions at his disposal, the outlook is rising high for this team to get back to the postseason and make a name for themselves. Starting the year against the lowly Jets who continue to be the staple of dysfunction with coach Adam Gase running things – this game could get out of hand early.

Form the Jets perspective, the loss of Jamal Adams and CJ Mosley will be paramount on the defensive side which should been seen as trouble all season long. Coach Gase continues to undervalue Le’Veon Bell in this offense which is something we still can’t understand. Sam Darnold should improve on last year’s numbers with another year under his belt, however, this Bills defense will be high flying and high powered causing all sorts of problems for this offense. The Bills give the home town faithful a lot to cheer about this week.

ADF: BUF covers the spread @ -6.5 NYJ 17-BUF 27 (W)

@Sojash: BUF covers the spread @ -6.5 NYJ 17-BUF 27 (W)

 

Cleveland @ Baltimore -8

Entering this season, the expectation for the Ravens to again be a league powerhouse is front and center. With how this offense is constructed, the run game will again be the main focus in how they move with Lamar Jackson exploiting the play action pass in bunches. Adding more prowess to the defensive side will also go a very long way in domination and we could see them lock down the Browns early and often.

The one concern we have is that teams will have ample tape to create schemes to stop Jackson, but the Browns offense still leaves us wanting more. This year is massive for Baker Mayfield to solidify himself as a league stud at the position, and this opening week is a giant test in that department. Even as we also see the Browns turning into a run heavy club, this one will be very tough right out of the gates. We’ll gamble here and side with the home town Ravens to cover and big spread.

ADF: BAL covers the spread @ -8 CLE 6-BAL 38 (W)

@Sojash: BAL doesn’t cover the spread @ -8 CLE 6-BAL 38 (W)

 

Seattle -1.5 @ Atlanta

The Atlanta Falcons are a team that has a very small window left with the talent they possess. With each passing season of lesser achievements, the Falcons will be on the cusp of blowing the entire team up if success isn’t had in 2020. With that said, additions of Todd Gurley and Hayden Hurst will go a long way in the offense moving forward and we for one are very intrigued. Defense is the one aspect where we find inadequacy on Atlanta, where injuries could again derail the overall perspectives.

When it comes to the Seahawks, we can’t say enough about how excited we are with a defense on the rise and youthful pieces on offense for Russell Wilson to exploit. With the Hawks looking to also be a run first club, that could change where Wilson will throw much more often to set up the run. This contest is one of the tougher ones to predict, but the line is appropriate as this could literally be anyone’s game. We’ll side with defense on this one where the edge is given to Seattle.

ADF: SEA covers the spread @ -1.5 SEA 38-ATL 25 (W)

@Sojash: SEA doesn’t cover the spread @ -1.5 SEA 38-ATL 25 (L)

 

LA Chargers -3 @ Cincinnati

For everything we have reviewed and dissected this offseason, the Chargers could find themselves in a situation where underachievement is found with Tyrod Taylor behind center. Its not that we dislike Taylor, but the game manager role is where he is most comfortable. The Chargers will have to lean on the ground attack to be successful and his receivers will have to bail him out more than once.

As for the Bengals, having a rookie playing in his first contest isn’t the best for betting purposes, but to be honest – Joe Burrow isn’t your average passer. With the Bengals offense literally loaded with talent in the playmaking positions, we wouldn’t be shocked to see them steal this contest at home. While this may be an unpopular thought process, we will gamble here and side with the Bengals to give their rookie quarterback his first win on his first start.

ADF: LAC doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 LAC 16-CIN 13 (L)

@Sojash: LAC doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 LAC 16-CIN 13 (L)

Arizona @ San Francisco -7

With the Super Bowl loss now in the rearview mirror, the 49ers will tell a giant tale of what they will be here in week one. Will the hangover be too vast to get over, or will they come out far more motivated in attempts to get back to the big show? With a defense still loaded at most all positions, the offense of San Fran will have to follow suit to add assistance and relief. Being a ground first club is also their mantra and we could see all four backs used this week.

The Arizona Cardinals are a team on the rise and they in fact played the 49ers very strong the season prior. Coach Kliff Kingsbury has proven to be a master when it comes to in game alterations and should add to the skillset this season. With the addition of DeAndre Hopkins to the fold, the 49ers will have their hands full in who they should shadow. This will be a closer game than most expect.

ADF: SF doesn’t cover the spread @ -7 ARZ 24-SF 20 (W)

@Sojash: SF doesn’t cover the spread @ -7 ARZ 24-SF 20 (W)

Tampa Bay @ New Orleans -3.5

One of the most exciting contests on the Sunday docket comes from the Buccaneers and the Saints. With Tom Brady now the leader of the Bucs and the Saints all in on what could be one last push at winning the Super Bowl, this game has the makings of being fabulous. While we are very excited to see Tampa Bay become high-octane, the Saints have consistency and comradery on their side from previous seasons.

Even as we believe the Buccaneers will provide more than enough to be a strong competitor in this contest, mistakes from Brady’s supporting cast could come into play more often than not. Without a true offseason to prepare, this will act as the warm up for the rest of the season to see where the Bucs will be. As for Drew Brees and the Saints, we expect nothing short of excellence. This was a tough one to predict, but we’ll ride with the team that is loaded with chemistry.  

ADF: NO covers the spread @ -3.5 TB 23-NO 34 (W)

@Sojash: NO covers the spread @ -3.5 TB 23-NO 34 (W)

 

Dallas -3 @ LA Rams

It truly feels like the Rams have lost so much in the eyes of analysts that being an underdog at home in week one to the Cowboys isn’t a familiar thought. While the Rams have seen great changeover in how this roster is currently built, they may struggle in areas on both sides of the ball. This offensive line is absolutely terrible and the run game is now unproven. Jared Goff will have to again be the leader in moving this offense this week, which will be a tough task verse a very strong Cowboys club.

Reviewing the Cowboys roster on paper, it has become difficult to find many weaknesses that would make them the underdog. Dallas has everything on offense to allow them to score over 30-points on any given week. Adding to that, the defense will be much improved with many sound additions from this offseason. This is becoming Super Bowl or bust for the Cowboys as many more excuses can’t be had to another early playoff exist. The offense should carry this club this week to what could be an easy win.

ADF: DAL covers the spread @ -3 DAL 17-LAR 20 (L)

@Sojash: DAL covers the spread @ -3 DAL 17-LAR 20 (L)

 

Pittsburgh -6 @ NY Giants

With last season a complete write-off for the Pittsburgh Steelers, they appear to have all working pieces back in full health and ready to go. Kicking off the Monday Night Football double header, Ben Roethlisberger will do his best to uplift this club back to high levels. This offense will look much better with Big-Ben back behind center and the Steeler defense will also be a force.

As for the Giants, they are far from anything spectacular and should struggle to gain traction in week one with a defense that should conclude as one of the worst in the entire NFL. Offensively, Saquon Barkley will again try his best to carry the team opening up the pass attack for their young passer Daniel Jones. New York will attempt to play fast and strong but it won’t be near enough. Pittsburgh rolls in week one.

ADF: PIT covers the spread @ -6 PIT 26-NYG 16 (W)

@Sojash: PIT covers the spread @ -6 PIT 26-NYG 16 (W)

 

Tennessee -2.5 @ Denver

The Tennessee Titans came one game short of reaching the Super Bowl and look to get back on track in the late match on Monday Night. Taking travel to Denver normally would be tough with the Mile-High air taking its toll. Nevertheless, the Titans will ride Derek Henry to open up the pass while the Titan defense will leave a mark with newly added Jadeveon Clowney now on the team.

The Denver Broncos are a club we`ve grown to appreciate with all the additions and talent now on this offense. However, recent news that all star Von Miller has been lost for the season – the defense will become a weaker much more pores unit. With Drew Lock having a small sample size on his resume, growing pains should still be felt for at least a handful of games. Denver will try and compete, but the Titans will make easy work of this contest. This should be easy money.

ADF: TEN covers the spread @ -2.5 TEN 16-DEN 14 (L)

@Sojash: TEN covers the spread @ -2.5 TEN 16-DEN 14 (L)

ADF Week 1 Record: 9-7 (.563)

@Sojash Week 1 Record: 8-8 (.500)

 

 

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