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Chicago Bears Offseason WorkBook - 2020


Chicago Bears
2019 Record: (8-8) 3rd NFC North    

2019 Season Recap:

Offense
Points: 17.5 (29th)
Yards: 296.8 (29th)
Pass Yards: 205.7 (25th)
Rush Yards: 91.1 (27th)

Defense
Points: 18.6 (4th)
Yards: 324.1 (8th)
Pass Yards: 222.1 (9th)
Rush Yards: 102.0 (9th)

When the Bears hired former Andy Reid disciple Matt Nagy to be the new face in Chicago, everything opened like a Cinderella story fit for a storybook finish. Going 12-4 in 2018 but seeing grave misfortune off that “double-doink” missed field goal in the wildcard loss to the Eagles – optimism was supremely high for the 2019 edition of the Bears. 

Seeing three major adjustments to this roster before the season began, first was the trade of Jordan Howard to the Eagles, then the signing HaHa Clinton-Dix to add more punch to an already stout defense, to finish off in drafting the high potential running back David Montgomery. For a club that went 12-4 the season prior, these additions were viewed as finalizing pieces to bring them over the top to possibly contend for the super bowl. And while champions aren’t crowned in the off-season, what transpired from the year was more than a mere shock.

To sum up, this version of the Bears were extremely anemic to say the least. Not finding any levels of consistent play offensively, the team defense literally carried this club for the entire campaign. What came to pass was a terrible run attack behind limited in game touches from play calling and what appeared to be a drastic regression in skill from Mitchell Trubisky. A number of key issues led to the Bears demise and we can pin a great deal of the inadequacy on coach Nagy. Frustration was witnessed from the sidelines on more than one occasion as his anger came from poor execution. Perhaps adjustments earlier in the season to his system would’ve been of benefit?

With that said, what we observed was a defense that would no longer play lights out for an offense that was unable to sustain drives and put points on the board. Even the best in the business aren’t immune to sinking when the ship has a massive hole.

An 8-8 season and missing the playoffs was the end result – but we still have a good level of optimism that things can turn around and rather quickly for this franchise. 

2020 Offseason WorkBook:

The Offense
In dissecting this roster as a whole, we see two major concerns that must be rectified for the Bears to have more success. First, the offensive line needs a major upgrade to support higher levels of achievement in both the run and the pass. Bears quarterbacks were sacked a healthy 48 times in 2019 and any holes that appeared for their running back closed faster then you could blink an eye at. Holding penalties were a massive concern as well which seemingly put the offense in poor starting positions more often than not.

The second issue we have is somewhat two-fold with the horrendous play of Mitchell Trubisky and inept play calling of coach Nagy. While we believe that Nagy will figure things out to be more productive, we truly question if Trubisky will be better than what he’s placed on the field. At this point, Trubisky has only shown great performances in a few contests that would make us believe. Outside of that, his main problem is throwing to the left when standing in the pocket. Inaccurate passes were a common thread when reviewed from film in this regard. Could we witness the Bears bring in a free agent quarterback to push the progression of Trubisky – absolutely. Perhaps Marcus Mariota finds his way to the fold in hopes to resurrect his career in what could be a true training camp competition.   

Outside of that, if improvements are made, this offense does have the ability to be a game changing unit with the other pieces they have in place. Allen Robinson proved he was back to star levels even on an enigmatic system. We expected more for their second year pass catcher (Anthony Miller), but he started to come on later in the season. With that, secondary receiving help did take a back seat with injuries to Trey Burton and little usage from Taylor Gabriel. It would be smart for coach Nagy to again integrate all weapons in his systems to help get back to winning ways.

The Defense
Even as it seems we have many negatives to say for the Bears offense, we can’t say anything sour toward this elite defensive squad. Completing the season in the top 10 in most statistical ranks, this group was again very dominating for the most part in 2019. As we mentioned, you did see some drop off in productivity as the year wore on, but that was simply from over work and carrying the load.

Starting with the defensive front which is lead by all star Khalil Mack, we did see his worst sack output since coming into the league back in 2014. With that said, the loss of Akiem Hicks for most of the season ultimately contributed to Mack’s lower numbers as support in the pass rush just wasn’t the same. Adding more play-makers to this front would be a welcomed sight to lift them back to 2018 levels which saw them gather 50 overall.

In terms of the line backing core, how can we not preach our affinity for a group that is one of the best in the NFL. With a trio built as well as this, the production each week is almost a formality. Roquan Smith and Leonard Floyd are two youngsters that should have a place on this team for many years, while the future of Danny Trevathan will be in question as he requires a new contract. Nevertheless, rolling with Floyd and Smith (even without Trevathan) will still bear fruit on the stat sheet.

When it comes to the defensive backfield, Chicago has two of the better safeties in the NFL in Eddie Jackson and Clinton-Dix. While Kyle Fuller is a sound corner in his own right, we wouldn’t hate an upgrade to Price Amukamara. Buster Skrine is also a notable name to highlight as he rebounded in 2019 while primarily playing the nickel spot. Even as we preach the belief in what this room of play-makers can do, Clinton-Dix is up for a new contract which could send him packing. Adding defensive backs will be another area the Bears focus on this off-season.     

Team Free Agents / Team Salary Cap
With a subpar season in the books and looking to improve the shortcomings on this roster, difficulties will be faced as the Bears hold a meek 13.3 million in free space. And while that would normally be problematic for most 8-8 clubs, this roster is still loaded with talent and only hold 21 team free agents to consider.

As stated above, Danny Trevathan, and HaHa Clinton-Dix will be viewed as the top commodities to earn new deals from the Bears this off-season. With others simply viewed as depth pieces, perhaps the exchange will be made at line backer in resigning Nick Kwiatkoski to replace Trevathan? While it may not be a popular choice – the option is on the table.

When it comes to finding more money on the books, the Bears do have some options to consider. While I would never suggest releasing Allen Robinson or Leonard Floyd, their collective cap hits are astronomical to the tune of 28.2 million or 13.09% of the team’s current space. It would be incumbent for Chicago to offer contract extensions to both players to drop the overall hit in 2020.

In the respect to removing money from the books altogether, we must stay on point to cut bait with Prince Amukamara and his 10 million dollar cap hit. Releasing him would only burn one million in dead funds which could create positive cash flow to bring back Clinton-Dix. Adding to that, eliminating either Tyler Gabriel or Cordarrelle Patterson would be something to entertain. If cut post June 1st, both men would save roughly the same amount of money (5.5 - 5.7 million), while incurring another minimal hit of one million to the dead cap. 

As the Bears enter the off-season looking dire to add new weapons to the club, extra money can be acquired with a little tinkering making the outlook far better in 2020.       

The NFL Draft
When we review what Chicago has upcoming for the NFL Draft, they currently house seven picks to their name, while still being without another first round selection (Khalil Mack trade). As it stands today, the Bears hold two second round picks and two sixth rounder’s, with no first and third selection on the books.

When it comes to restocking this roster, the Bears should focus on the offensive line first and foremost. Needing more depth and talent on that line will go a long way in improving the offense this season. Staying the course with our suggestion to release either Gabriel or Patterson, this draft is loaded with wide receivers to which the Bears could upgrade the position at a much lower rate.

Outside of that, adding adequate depth to the defensive line and defensive back positions would provide much needed assistance to groups that took a sidestep last season. The outlook will be strong with a very sound draft class.   

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