NFL Divisional Playoffs - Point Spread Picks

PLACE YOUR BETS!!! Wildcard weekend was definitely an exciting week of football. With all games being supremely competitive, we again remained even pulling in a 50% winning stake.

Heading into the divisional round, we fully expect each contest this week to bring with it a heavy dose of fantastic football. Vegas has placed majority spreads to hold at least a touchdown to bait the general public into those bets. With seven games left for the postseason, this will be the final week to move money around to four contests. Good luck, let’s get those wins!     

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ADF Wildcard Week Record: 2-2 (.500)

@SojashPicks Wildcard Week Record: 2-2 (.500)

ADF 2019 Season Record: 134-126 (.515)

@SojashPicks 2019 Season Record: 79-60 (.568)

ADF All-Time Record: 402-393 (.506)

NFL DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ JAN.10.2020 – 11:30AM EST) 

Saturday JAN.11

Minnesota @ San Francisco (Favorite)

Caesars -7

SugarHouse -7

Unibet -7

SportSelect -7.5

This week the NFL will combine both AFC and NFC contests on both Saturday and Sunday starting with the 49ers hosting the Vikings. Minnesota comes into this match flying high after displacing the mighty New Orleans Saints. It came with a great level of shock to us seeing the Vikes knock off the Saints, but with that said, we have been supporters of their work all season. Minnesota is a tricky group to evaluate as everything goes through Dalvin Cook and this defense. If both can play well, Kirk Cousins plays second fettle to perfection.

The 49ers will be fresh off their first round bye, and should get back a couple of star payers to lift the defense even more. Kwon Alexander and Dee Ford are on the right side of suiting back up, which will be a welcomed sight to an already stout group. Jimmy Garoppolo will be tested in this contest which leads me to believe the 49ers will make grave attempts to establish the run also. We could see a very tight contest with turnovers being that much more valuable. While we do like San Fran to come out on top, the score should be closer than the line indicates.   

ADF: SF doesn’t cover the spread @ -7 MIN 10 SF 27 (L)

@SoJashPicks: SF doesn’t cover the spread @ -7 MIN 10 SF 27 (L)

Tennessee @ Baltimore (Favorite)

Caesars -10

SugarHouse -9.5

Unibet -9.5

SportSelect -9.5

For the second matchup on Saturday, the best offensive team in the NFL (lead by Lamar Jackson), will attempt to make easy work of the Titans. Early news reports have Mark Ingram a potential question mark for this contest with that injured calf. If Ingram does in fact miss this one, the Ravens still have more than enough in reserve to keep this ground attack moving. Gus Edwards and Justice Hill would take the place of Ingram, leaving this offense no worse for wear.

The Titans on the other hand are coming off a massive upset victory verse Tom Brady and the Patriots, and will have to muster something spectacular to come out on top this week. While we have been great supporters of this Tians group since Ryan Tannehill was made the starter, it will be tough to endorse a Tennessee victory on the road. While the current spread does leave us with some level of pause, we don’t have a good level of belief in the Tian defense overall.

Jackson should be able to find room on this unit while the Ravens defense should bring heavy heat on Tannehill. We’ll bite and side with the best in the business even with Derrick Henry running like a tank.

ADF: BAL covers the spread @ -9.5 TEN 28 BAL 12 (L)

@SoJashPicks: BAL doesn’t cover the spread @ -9.5 TEN 28 BAL 12 (W)

Sunday JAN.12

Houston @ Kansas City (Favorite)

Caesars -10

SugarHouse -9.5  

Unibet -9.5

SportSelect -9.5

Gearing up for the games on Sunday, the Houston Texans are riding into Kansas City after their comeback victory to the Buffalo Bills. While Deshaun Watson showed the public he is fully prepared to put this offense on his back and carry the load, playing Patrick Mahomes might be a difficult task. Houston also got a massive lift from JJ Watt with his surprise return to action last week from a torn pectoral earlier in the season. The Texans will have to match score for score while hoping to control the clock with a solid ground attack.

The Kansas City Chiefs were gifted the first round bye compliments to the Miami Dolphins from week 17. Having a full week of rest and preparation, we fully expect the Chiefs to be flying out of the gates in hopes to put the Texans away early. Even as we know the playoff history of all Andy Reid coached teams, we get a different feeling from this squad as they come into this contest winning six straight contests. Mahomes should be sharp as a needle, but we have a difficult time with this high spread. The Chiefs should win, but we just can’t see them covering.  

ADF: KC doesn’t cover the spread @ -10 HOU 31 KC 51 (L)

@SoJashPicks: KC covers the spread @ -10 HOU 31 KC 51 (W)

Seattle @ Green Bay (Favorite)

Caesars -4

SugarHouse -4

Unibet -4

SportSelect -3.5

To finish off the divisional round, the Seattle Seahawks take travel once again, but this time to Green Bay to face Aaron Rodgers and company. Seattle did exactly what we expected last week removing the Eagles from the playoffs, but this week verse Green Bay, could we again see the same outcome? While Seattle has lost the will of their pounding ground game, Russell Wilson put the team on his back feeding his rookie up and coming star DK Metcalf with high regularity.

When talking about the Packers, we still struggle to believe they are in fact an elite level club. While yes the overall record would suggest otherwise, the on field product tells a different tale. Rodgers hasn’t been the typical gun slinger in this offense under Matt LaFleur, but could we see a different plan in the playoffs? While we do believe the Packers are built with fewer holes in comparison to the Hawks, Wilson’s MVP play should keep this one very close. The Packers should pull this out at home, but we like the final to be a field goal difference rather than four points Vegas is giving.

ADF: GB doesn’t cover the spread @ -4 SEA 23 GB 28 (L)

@SoJashPicks: GB covers the spread @ -4 SEA 23 GB 28 (L)


ADF Divisional Round Record: 0-4 (.000)
@SoJashPicks Divisional Round Record: 3-1 (.750)

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