PLACE YOUR
BETS!!! With the end of the regular season, it can
be one of the most difficult weeks to predict. Playoff clinched clubs typically
rest their starters which will inhibit the best overall competition.
Nevertheless, understanding
which clubs still have a lot riding on this week’s matchups and those that will
bench key starters will be the difference in winning and losing. ADF managed
another 50% week which has been the constant for most of the season. This will
be the last week to gain on a full slate of contests as we gear up for the playoffs.
Happy New Year to all, and let’s finish the year off on a positive note, good luck!
Follow on Twitter: @chris_ADF1
Follow on
Instagram: ADF5000
Follow on
Twitter: @ADFUnderground
ADF Week 16 Record: 8-8 (.500)
@SojashPicks Week 16
Record: 11-5 (.688)
ADF 2019 Season
Record: 123-117 (.513)
@SojashPicks 2019
Season Record: 67-52 (.563)
ADF All-Time
Record: 391-384 (.505)
NFL WEEK 17 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ Dec.27.2019
– 12:00PM EST)
Sunday Dec.29
Miami @ New England (Favorite)
Caesars -15.5
SugarHouse
-15.5
Unibet -15.5
SportSelect -15.5
While the New England Patriots
still have seeding to play for, we fully expect their full roster to suit up
for this contest. With the Kansas City Chiefs on their heels in hopes to steal
that first-round bye, the Pats will provide more than enough to displace the
Dolphins.
Miami on the other hand has
played better in the second half of the season, but will need divine intervention
to pull the upset here. Vegas is baiting the betting public to take this large
bet, but we fear Ryan Fitzpatrick will kill it late. We’ll take the chance to
believe the spread won’t be covered.
ADF: NE doesn’t cover
the spread @ -15.5 MIA 27 NE 24 (W)
@SoJashPicks: NE doesn’t
cover the spread @ -15.5
NY Jets @ Buffalo (Favorite)
Caesars -1.5
SugarHouse -1.5
Unibet -1.5
SportSelect -1.5
The Buffalo Bills come into
this contest already having stamped their ticket to the postseason and look to
roll heading into the playoff rounds. With word that the Bills will play
majority of their starters, we too feel this is a positive move. Getting Josh
Allen and this team firing offensively will be the primary objective, and we
should see them figure more things out.
While the Bills are playing
to improve, the Jets will only have pride on their side in hopes to finish the season
strong. Knocking off a division rival will be somewhat sweet victory, but we can’t
envision much of a contest here. The Bills defense will keep it from becoming a
loss.
ADF: BUF covers the spread
@ -1.5 NYJ 13 BUF 6 (L)
@SoJashPicks: BUF covers
the spread @ -1.5
New Orleans (Favorite) @ Carolina
Caesars -13
SugarHouse -13
Unibet -13
SportSelect -13.5
The New Orleans
Saints are one of our favorites to head to the super bowl, and they will put in
their best effort in this contest. Having the ability to earn a first-round bye
is supremely important in the NFC and they shouldn’t get much resistance from
the Panthers. With this game on the early slate, a lot will be riding on this
matchup.
The Panthers haven’t
said if they will continue with their evaluation of their rookie Will Grier,
but we have every indication he’ll get another start. This will be nothing more
than a tune up contest for the Saints and we should see them roll.
ADF: NO
covers the spread @ -13 NO 42 CAR 10 (W)
@SoJashPicks: NO covers the spread @ -13
Cleveland (Favorite) @ Cincinnati
Caesars -3
SugarHouse -3
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -2.5
Here is a
contest that has absolutely nothing on the line and we really wonder what will
transpire. The Browns will be trying to salvage a complete lost season amidst large
expectations and we should see better effort across the board.
The Bengals on
the other hand are coming off a fantastic comeback attempt in Miami last week which
showed fight in the lion. Falling just short in overtime, Cincinnati locked up
the first overall pick in the 2020 NFL draft. The Bengals will keep things
close for a while, but Nick Chubb should finish the season as the leagues
leading rusher.
ADF: CLE
covers the spread @ -2.5 CLE 23 CIN 33 (L)
@SoJashPicks: CLE doesn’t cover the spread @ -2.5 CLE 23 CIN 33 (W)
Green Bay (Favorite) @ Detroit
Caesars -12.5
SugarHouse
-12.5
Unibet -12.5
SportSelect -12.5
As we enter
week 17, many things in terms of playoff seeding are still on the line in the
NFC and this contest also holds high value for one team. The Packers are coming
off a great showing in Minnesota last week where they dominated with supreme
fashion. Taking travel to Detroit may give some pause with this large of a
spread, but it is of no consequence.
The Lions are a
team that have been in complete freefall since losing Matthew Stafford and shouldn’t
be able to muster much in the season finale. Green Bay continues to prove their
doubters wrong and should bring with it a sound performance. Never like large
spreads but we’ll bite.
ADF: GB
covers the spread @ -12.5 GB 23 DET 20 (L)
@SoJashPicks: GB covers the spread @ -12.5 GB 23 DET 20 (L)
LA Chargers @ Kansas City (Favorite)
Caesars -9.5
SugarHouse -8.5
Unibet -8.5
SportSelect -8.5
Here we find
another contest which could be meaningless when all is said and done, but the Chiefs
still have a slight shot at stealing a first-round bye from the Patriots. Playing
at home to the lost LA Chargers with nothing left in the tank, Patrick Mahomes should
take every advantage in getting all inadequacy ironed out.
The Chargers literally have
been nothing short of a giant disappointment and should be left to lick their
wounds after this match. Kansas City will win and win big in the final week of
the season.
ADF: KC covers the
spread @ -8.5 LAC 21 KC 31 (W)
@SoJashPicks: KC covers
the spread @ -8.5
Chicago @ Minnesota (Favorite)
Caesars -1
SugarHouse -1
Unibet -1.5
SportSelect -1.5
With the
Minnesota Vikings dropping a winnable contest last week to Green Bay, they
basically have nothing to play for in this one and should rest majority of
their roster. With Dalvin Cook still nursing his shoulder/clavicle injury, we
would be shocked to see him on the field. Hearing news that Kirk Cousins will
also likely rest for this contest, the line is surprising to say the least.
The Bears will
want to finish the year strong and place some level of optimism for next season.
Mitchell Trubisky will be somewhat auditioning to keep his starting role for next
year and will need a large game to remove any conversation about him being
replaced. With a resting lineup from Minnesota, the Bears will take advantage.
ADF: MIN doesn’t
cover the spread @ -1.5 CHI 21 MIN 19 (W)
@SoJashPicks: MIN doesn’t cover the spread @ -1.5
Atlanta @ Tampa Bay (Favorite)
Caesars -1.5
SugarHouse -1
Unibet -1
SportSelect -1.5
Here we find
another matchup that has no playoff baring and we had a difficult time dissecting
a potential winner. Jameis Winston is coming off one of his worst games as a
pro and should be ready to provide a better show with his contract up for negotiation.
Atlanta has
been out of the playoffs for many weeks now even though they were recently officially
eliminated. Taking travel to Tampa Bay is never a good thing for a struggling
team, but we have liked how the Falcons defense has come out these past few
weeks. With games where both clubs have nothing to play for, anything can
happen. We’ll gamble here.
ADF: TB doesn’t
cover the spread @ -1.5 ATL 28 TB 22 (W)
@SoJashPicks: TB doesn’t cover the spread @ -1.5
Pittsburgh (Favorite) @ Baltimore
Caesars -1.5
SugarHouse -2
Unibet -2
SportSelect -2.5
While normally
this contest would see a large spread favoring one of the best teams in the NFL,
the Ravens have already said they will rest most of their starters in hopes to
heal up for a long playoff run. Without Lamar Jackson behind center the Ravens
will turn to Robert Griffin III.
With the
Steelers getting a gift of sorts after Christmas, they should bring with it top
effort in hopes to secure that playoff bid. Losing the last playoff spot to the
Titans last week, they’ll need to secure a win and hope Tennessee drops their
game. The defense for the Steelers will be riding high and should help propel
them to victory.
ADF: PIT
covers the spread @ -1.5 PIT 10 BAL 28 (L)
@SoJashPicks: PIT covers the spread @ -1.5 PIT 10 BAL 28 (L)
Washington @ Dallas (Favorite)
Caesars -11
SugarHouse
-10.5
Unibet -10.5
SportSelect -10.5
With the NFL
flexing games with the upmost importance to later in the day, here we have a
dandy with immense playoff implications. The Dallas Cowboys are trying to save
the last shred of a season which has been uneven to say the least and should
bring with it their best effort. Running the ball with Zeke Elliott will be
paramount in securing this victory and we should see a heaping dose.
The Redskins
will be without rookie Dwyane Haskins for this match and will turn back to Case
Keenum in relief. There will be nothing better for Washington then to remove a division
rival from playoff contention, but we feel Dallas will come to play here.
Dallas will have to win and see an Eagles loss to find their way in.
ADF: DAL
covers the spread @ -10.5 WAS 16 DAL 47 (W)
@SoJashPicks: DAL covers the spread @ -10.5
Tennessee (Favorite) @ Houston
Caesars -3.5
SugarHouse -3.5
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5
These clubs
just met two weeks ago and were entrenched in a great showing of hard nose
football. While the Titans hold the last playoff spot in the AFC wildcard race,
they should see a lesser Texans squad take the field. Deshaun Watson isn’t poised
to suit up for this contest which would give Tennessee the upper hand.
Houston truly won’t
move up the ranks unless the Chiefs drop their match and the Texans coaching staff
knows this. There is no reason to risk injury in hopes to move deep into the
postseason leaving the edge to the Titans. Tennessee will find their way into
the 2019 playoffs.
ADF: TEN
covers the spread @ -3.5 TEN 35 HOU 14 (W)
@SoJashPicks: TEN covers the spread @ -3.5 TEN 35 HOU 14 (W)
Indianapolis (Favorite) @ Jacksonville
Caesars -4
SugarHouse -3.5
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5
Here we find
another game that will have no baring on the postseason and the Colts will want
to finish strong. Coming off a great showing last week in a blowout victory, we
could see that happen once again.
The Jaguars are
a club that are again in complete turmoil with how the season went and how this
roster currently looks on paper. With a defense looking more like swiss cheese rather
than that dominating unit we’ve grown to appreciate, this should be a no
contest. We have zero faith in the Jags and will ride with the horseshoe in
this one.
ADF: IND
covers the spread @ -3.5 IND 20 JAX 38 (L)
@SoJashPicks: IND covers the spread @ -3.5
Philadelphia (Favorite) @ NY Giants
Caesars -4.5
SugarHouse -4
Unibet -4.5
SportSelect -4.5
Much like the
Cowboys matchup with the Redskins, this contest has the NFC East on the line
and the Eagles control their own destiny. Philadelphia simply needs to place a
W in the win column and they will find themselves in the postseason regardless
of what happens in Dallas.
The Giants looked
like world beaters last week as Daniel Jones put up a whopping five touchdowns
on the board. If Jones can again muster that type of showing on a weaker Eagles
secondary, we could see an upset in the making. While we do believe that Philly
will come out on top, the spread is too much to think it’ll be covered.
ADF: PHI doesn’t
cover the spread @ -4.5 PHI 34 NYG 17 (L)
@SoJashPicks: PHI covers the spread @ -4.5 PHI 34 NYG 17 (W)
Oakland @ Denver (Favorite)
Caesars 3.5
SugarHouse 3.5
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5
Oakland has become the
leagues enigma as we truly can’t understand which club will come out on top
each and every week. Finding their game last week at the Chargers, they were
able to find a way to pull ahead and keep their slim playoff hopes alive.
Taking travel to Denver
will be a difficult task, but we can see every situation where Coach Jon Gruden
will have his troops ready for this one. While Denver does still hold a sound
defense, Drew Lock has fallen back to appear like that rookie passer these past
couple weeks. Denver may win this game off of Oakland mistakes, but shouldn’t cover.
ADF: DEN doesn’t cover
the spread @ -3.5 OAK 15 DEN 16 (W)
@SoJashPicks: DEN covers
the spread @ -3.5
Arizona @ LA Rams (Favorite)
Caesars N/A
SugarHouse -5
Unibet -5
SportSelect N/A
We have been on
record the entire season with our appreciation of the Cardinals rookie Kyler
Murray, but it doesn’t appear he’ll be available to suit up for this one. News
reports show that Murray could be a true game time call, but with his gimpy hamstring,
we don’t expect it.
The Rams on the
other hand were officially eliminated from the postseason last week as the 49ers
placed the final dagger. Nevertheless, if the Cardinals don’t have Murray
behind center, the Rams should finish strong one last time this season. Got to
role with the home team.
ADF: LAR
covers the spread @ -5 ARZ 24 LAR 31 (W)
@SoJashPicks: LAR covers the spread @ -5
San Francisco (Favorite) @ Seattle
Caesars -3.5
SugarHouse -3.5
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5
The game of the week will
come on Sunday Night Football and it will potentially decide a great deal. With
the top seed on the line that could come with it home field throughout the
playoffs, the Seahawks find themselves shorthanded. Chris Carson has been ruled
out for the season with a hip issue and the Hawks will have to dig deep to keep
their run game active. Signing Marshawn Lynch this week in hopes electrify the
masses, we are curious to see what will happen.
When speaking of the 49ers
and how they have played these past few weeks, (outside of the Saints game),
they have appeared beatable at times. Everything with the 49ers starts with the
run game also, and should be the main plan in this one. Jimmy Garoppolo needs
to be on point unless he wants to feel the wrath of Russell Wilson.
We have seen Wilson elevate
his game in the absence of a sound run attack and he will have to again place
this club on his shoulders. Seattle wants home field with a passion and we’ll
see the best of Wilson in this one. San Fran may win, but it will be a field goal
difference.
ADF: SF doesn’t cover
the spread @ -3.5 SF 26 SEA 21 (L)
@SoJashPicks: SF doesn’t
cover the spread @ -3.5
ADF Week 17 Record: 9-7 (.563)
@SojashPicks Week 17 Record: 10-6 (.625)
ADF Week 17 Record: 9-7 (.563)
@SojashPicks Week 17 Record: 10-6 (.625)
Note: All Day
Football is not responsible for any personal gains or losses as a result of its
predictions. Please play responsibly.
Comments
Post a Comment