PLACE YOUR BETS!!! Entering week 15 of the
season, we find ourselves still on the positive end of winners which has been a
delight to the back account. While we did have a two game side step last week,
spreads were ruined late during the fall.
Heading into the final three weeks of the regular
season, this will be the last opportunity to cash in big before the postseason
limits the number of games to choose. Over the season we have remained consistent
but haven’t hit that full table rush. Here we go once again to attempt to
predict a full set of winners while confidence is running high. Let’s get to
it.
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ADF Week 14 Record: 7-9 (.437)
@SojashPicks Week 14
Record: 8-8 (.500)
ADF 2019 Season Record: 107-101 (.514)
@SojashPicks 2019 Season Record: 47-40 (.540)
ADF All-Time Record: 375-369 (.504)
NFL WEEK 15 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ Dec.12.2019
– 12:00PM EST)
Thursday
Dec.12
NY Jets @ Baltimore (Favorite)
Caesars -15.5
SugarHouse -14.5
Unibet -14.5
SportSelect -15.5
This will be the final Thursday Night contest for the
season, and we should have a blowout on our hands. The Ravens continue to be
one of the best clubs in the NFL and should be no match for the injury depleted
New York Jets.
Vegas has jumped on a massive spread in hopes that the
public will take the bait, while the Jets keep this from being a blowout.
Covering 15-points in any contest can be a difficult task, but with the few
elite players the Jets have, they won’t suit up in this one. This should be easy
money.
ADF:
BAL covers the spread @ -14.5 NYJ 21 BAL 42 (W)
@SojashPicks:
BAL covers the spread @ -14.5
Sunday
Dec.15
New England (Favorite) @
Cincinnati
Caesars -9.5
SugarHouse -8.5
Unibet -8.5
SportSelect -9.5
When was the last time we’ve witnessed the Patriots
come into a week riding a two game losing streak? Having a much more favorable
opponent on the docket, this will be the match that gets New England back on
track. Taking travel to Cincinnati shouldn’t be much of a problem, and
execution will be primary for Tom Brady and this offense.
The Bengals have played better these past couple weeks
on offense with Andy Dalton back behind center, but against this tough Patriots
defense, it should be lights out before the lights even turn on. Dalton will
struggle to make plays verse this defense and should see a number of sacks and
turnovers in the process. This spread could be killed late, but we’ll bite.
ADF:
NE covers the spread @ -8.5 NE 34 CIN 13 (W)
@SojashPicks:
NE covers the spread @ -8.5
Seattle (Favorite) @ Carolina
Caesars -6
SugarHouse -6
Unibet -6
SportSelect -6.5
The Seattle Seahawks are coming off a weaker
performance last week against the desperate Rams, and should be much better
prepared for this one in Carolina. The Hawks did receive some bad news this
week with Rashaad Penny being sent to injured reserve with a knee.
Nevertheless, the Hawks will get back to basics in running the ball to set up
the pass.
The Panthers on the other hand laid an absolute
stinker last week after the firing of their coach Ron Rivera. With the playoffs
now unattainable, could we again see another lackluster showing? This is a very
difficult game to predict and Christian McCaffrey could break a few to make
this close. With that said, Seattle knows what’s on the line, and will not
allow for another subpar showing.
ADF:
SEA covers the spread @ -6 SEA 30 CAR 24 (W)
@SojashPicks:
SEA covers the spread @ -6
Tampa Bay (Favorite) @ Detroit
Caesars -3
SugarHouse -4
Unibet -4
SportSelect -3.5
While the Buccaneers have been, and continue to be one
of the better passing offenses in the NFL, Jameis Winston will always provide
turnovers to make us take pause. Being favored in this match on the road with
truly nothing to play for, we wonder which team will show up. Mike Evans has
been ruled out for the rest of the season, leaving Chris Godwin as the primary
pass catcher.
The Lions couldn’t repeat much offensive punch with
David Blough as was seen from thanksgiving just two weeks prior. Blough really
struggled to move the ball last week and we could see something of the same
verse the Bucs stout defensive line. With Marvin Jones also sent to injured
reserve this week, Kenny Golladay should see more targets come his way.
Dynamics have changed on both teams due to injury which leaves us to play it
safe.
ADF:
TB doesn’t cover the spread @ -4 TB 38 DET 17 (L)
@SojashPicks:
TB covers the spread @ -3 TB 38 DET 17 (W)
Chicago @ Green Bay (Favorite)
Caesars -4.5
SugarHouse -4
Unibet -4.5
SportSelect -4.5
This is a contest for the betting public that could be
viewed as a trap of sorts simply with how the Bears have played the past couple
weeks. Mitchell Trubisky seems to have found a stride and elevated his game to
resemble where he left off a year ago. While taking travel to Green Bay will be
a large task, they could bring with them a strong level of play.
Even as these clubs haven’t seen each other since the
opening week of the season, a lot has changed and that includes a very
different Packers team. Aaron Rodgers hasn’t been asked to be the primary
source of offense for this club this season, as a more balanced approach has
taken shape. Even with that change, do we feel Rodgers could make fireworks –
absolutely. The first game was decided by seven points and could again be the
line to end the Bears 2019 playoff bid.
ADF:
GB covers the spread @ -4 CHI 13 GB 21 (W)
@SojashPicks:
GB doesn’t cover the spread @ -4.5
Denver @ Kansas City (Favorite)
Caesars -9.5
SugarHouse -9.5
Unibet -9.5
SportSelect -10.5
Coming into week 15, the Denver Broncos seem to have
life with their rookie passer behind center. Drew Lock has created a new
dynamic to this offense, and that would be an efficient pass game. Taking
travel to Kansas City would normally provide time for pause, but in this cause
of Denver in clear evaluation mode, there is no pressure.
The Chiefs on the other hand have already locked up
the AFC West and really will be playing for seed only. Coming off a giant
victory last week at New England, it will be two weeks in a row they face a
tough defensive unit. With how Lock has been playing and the fact that the
Denver defense can still make plays, this spread will be very hard to cover
even with Partick Mahomes slinging the ball.
ADF:
KC doesn’t cover the spread @ -9.5 DEN 3 KC 23 (L)
@SojashPicks:
KC covers the spread @ -9.5 DEN 3 KC 23 (W)
Miami @ NY Giants (Favorite)
Caesars -3.5
SugarHouse -3.5
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5
Here we find another one of these contests that will have zero
baring in terms of importance. Both the Giants and the Dolphins are playing out
the string as they look to the offseason in how to get better. Eli Manning is
poised to play another contest for the injured Daniel Jones.
Miami has given it their best shot for the most part with Ryan
Fitzpatrick behind center. While injuries continue to decimate this club, they
always find ways to remain competitive. The smart bet would be to take the
Giants at home, but something tells us it could be a mistake. We’ll put faith
in Eli one last time.
ADF: NYG
covers the spread @ -3.5 MIA 20 NYG 36 (W)
@SojashPicks:
NYG covers the spread @ -3.5
Houston @ Tennessee (Favorite)
Caesars -3
SugarHouse -3
Unibet -3
SportSelect -2.5
One of the most important contests to don the Sunday
slate, this game could determine the potential winner of the AFC South.
Tennessee has been on an absolute tear since Ryan Tannehill took over the
reins, teamed with the hardnosed running of Derrick Henry. At this point of the
season, the Titans are heating up at the right time and have become very hard
to bet against.
While Tennessee has been moving in the right
direction, the Texans seem to be that enigma from week-to-week. Truly it has
become a major problem to decipher which version of this team will come out of
the gates per week. Taking one on the teeth to the Broncos last week could’ve
been indicative of Houston overlooking Denver for this contest in its
magnitude. While we love the Titans in everything they are doing, this should
be a closer game then the spread indicates.
ADF:
TEN doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 HOU 24 TEN 21 (W)
@SojashPicks:
TEN covers the spread @ -3
Philadelphia (Favorite) @
Washington
Caesars -4.5
SugarHouse -4.5
Unibet -4.5
SportSelect -4.5
At this point, how can you trust anything that is
coming out of the city of brotherly love? The Eagles are a shell of what won
them that super bowl and are filled with injury and inadequacy. Losing Alshon
Jeffery for the season to a foot injury will again be felt in the pass game.
Philly changed things up last week with Boston Scott taking on more of the
duties with short passes. We fully expect that to be the game plan once again.
The Redskins on the other hand have been improving
each week as Dwayne Haskins attempts to lift his level of play. Derrius Guice
has again been placed on the shelf due to yet another knee injury. Terry
McLaurin should be able to roam free on this secondary which also can’t seem to
get out of their own way. Playing spoiler should be all the motivation the
Skins require for this one. Eagles will win, but the Skins will keep it tight.
ADF:
PHI doesn’t cover the spread @ -4.5 PHI 37 WAS 27 (L)
@SojashPicks:
PHI doesn’t cover the spread @ -4.5 PHI 37 WAS 27 (L)
Cleveland (Favorite) @ Arizona
Caesars -2.5
SugarHouse -2.5
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -2.5
With more dysfunction coming from the Browns as we enter the final
stages of the season, Odell Beckham appears to be on his way out of Cleveland.
Either way, a game must be played and the Browns will take travel to Arizona to
face the Cardinals. Baker Mayfield has been rather uneven as a passer this
year, but should get relief verse a weaker defense.
When speaking of the Cardinals and what has transpired in the
first year of the Kyler Murray tenure, we are actually intrigued. Having shown
many games of ability and poise, Murray will have to continue to clean up his
overall game but it all looks bright. With that, we believe the Browns have
better overall talent and will run the ball in bunches to overcome any
situation for a loss. An upset could happen, but we’ll take our chances.
ADF: CLE
covers the spread @ -2.5 CLE 24 ARZ 38 (L)
@SojashPicks:
CLE covers the spread @ -2.5 CLE 24 ARZ 38 (L)
Jacksonville @ Oakland (Favorite)
Caesars -6.5
SugarHouse -6.5
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -6.5
With how poor the Jaguars have played these past
couple weeks, it’s a given in how Vegas has dropped this line for this contest.
Gardner Minshew is back behind center, but he’ll likely be without DJ Chark for
this showing. Hoping to get the ground game working should be top priority, but
the Jags literally have nothing left.
Oakland is a club that has exceeded expectations this
season and will want to put a hard stamp over a worse team. Separation from the
leagues bottom feeders is the goal at this point, and we could see Oakland
really get up for this contest. Josh Jacobs is poised to return, and we should
see a heavy dose of him in this one. This isn’t the Jags defense it once was,
and Derek Carr should find room.
ADF:
OAK covers the spread @ -6.5 JAX 20 OAK 16 (L)
@SojashPicks:
OAK covers the spread @ -6.5
Minnesota (Favorite) @ LA Chargers
Caesars -2.5
SugarHouse -2.5
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -2.5
After the season is concluded, the LA Chargers will again be seen
as the best team to miss the playoffs. The talent on this club can’t be argued,
but injuries and lack of killer instinct has been the problem. Having a home
date with a Vikings team that will test every ounce of the Chargers resolve, LA
will have to side with their ground game to hold off the push.
Minnesota is coming off another victory where they basically
dominated every aspect of the contest. While the Lions weren’t in the same
category without Matthew Stafford, Phillip Rivers will force the issue here. We
are quite shocked to see a smaller line for this one, but that makes our
evaluation a lot easier.
ADF: MIN
covers the spread @ -2.5 MIN 39 LAC 10 (W)
@SojashPicks:
MIN covers the spread @ -2.5
LA Rams (Favorite) @ Dallas
Caesars -1
SugarHouse -0.5
Unibet -1
SportSelect -0.5
At this point, how can we trust anything that comes
out of Dallas? The Cowboys have underachieved once again this season, and Jerry
Jones refuses to make a coaching change while in season. While the offense
hasn’t been terrible, the move to be more of a pass first team has clearly hurt
this club. Speaking of hurt, the Dallas defense has been the biggest issue and
should again struggle against the Rams.
LA is a team that seems to have found some vigor back
in their game these past couple weeks, and look to remain alive for the
postseason. Coach McVay has gone back to the drawing board after being blown
out by the Ravens in week 13, and we feel they have again found what has
worked. We are very comfortable to side with the Rams in Dallas.
ADF:
LAR covers the spread @ -1 LAR 21 DAL 44 (L)
@SojashPicks:
LAR covers the spread @ -1 LAR 21 DAL 44 (L)
Atlanta @ San Francisco
(Favorite)
Caesars -11
SugarHouse -10.5
Unibet -10.5
SportSelect -11.5
The 49ers again proved to the world they are a team to fear.
Having all the right pieces in place, and with Jimmy Garoppolo getting more
confidence with each passing week, how can you not get on board with this team?
Using their trio of running backs to establish everything in the pass, Coach
Shanahan has things moving perfectly right now.
While on paper this looks to be a colossal mismatch, the Falcons
have come to play even though their playoff hopes ended many weeks ago. With
that said, Atlanta still moves the ball on offense and could find a number of
chunk plays on this defense that will be without Richard Sherman. While we
never like large spreads, the is a revenge game for Kyle Shanahan and Tevin
Coleman, and we expect the best from both men on Sunday.
ADF: SF
covers the spread @ -10.5 ATL 29 SF 22 (L)
@SojashPicks:
SF covers the spread @ -10.5 ATL 29 SF 22 (L)
Buffalo @ Pittsburgh (Favorite)
Caesars -2
SugarHouse -2.5
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -1.5
Seeing this contest be flexed by the league to Sunday
Night Football, we are rather excited to witness what will transpire. The Bills
have been one of the biggest surprises this season, but have backed up their
play with great defense and improving offense. Last week saw Buffalo hang with
the Ravens which was a giant task, but our evaluation shows this team isn’t
that far off. Josh Allen will again have to play mistake free in hopes to
secure the win in Pittsburgh.
The Steelers have been a team that have perhaps gone
through the most difficult situations, and yet continue to overcome. Early
reports suggest that Juju Smith-Schuster and James Conner will return for this
contest, but nothing official has been seen as of yet. Obviously that would be
a massive help to this offense in hopes to gain traction on the Bills stout
defense. Still, we are puzzled to witness Vegas give a field goal spread to the
Steelers just because they are at home. This will be close, but Buffalo should
come out on top.
ADF:
PIT doesn’t cover the spread @ -2.5 BUF 17 PIT 10 (W)
@SojashPicks:
PIT doesn’t cover the spread @ -2.5
Monday
Dec.16
Indianapolis @ New Orleans
(Favorite)
Caesars -9.5
SugarHouse -9.5
Unibet -9.5
SportSelect -8.5
With the game of the year between the Saints and the 49ers giving
us a great show, this week New Orleans will have to regroup in attempts to keep
pace for top spot in the NFC. Staying home will be a welcomed sight as they
host the injury rattled Colts. Drew Brees is coming off a splendid performance
and should want to back that up with much of the same. Getting Alvin Kamara
involved early to help get him off his slump would be a top priority.
As it stands today, the Colts playoff lives are basically finished
and will need to win out to have any shot. TY Hilton may return for this
contest, but again the chance could be slim. Nevertheless, Indy has only lost
one contest by more than 10-points this year as their defense can play. Saints
will win, but won’t cover.
ADF: NO
doesn’t cover the spread @ -9.5
@SojashPicks:
NO covers the spread @ -9.5
ADF Week 15 Record:
@SojashPicks Week 15 Record:
ADF Week 15 Record:
@SojashPicks Week 15 Record:
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