PLACE YOUR BETS!!! Coming off a splendid
Thanksgiving performance of hitting all three contests correctly, the rest of
the week was about even. Finishing the week just over 56%, a great deal of
upsets ruined the chance at perfection.
Heading into week 14, Vegas has once again jumped on
large spreads in hopes to bait the betting public into making the money lines
more even. With that said, we have reached the 100 win mark for the season and
have stacked the bank account with ample funds over losses. The goal as always
is to run the table and that’s where we envision this going. Good Luck, let’s
get to it…
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ADF Week 13 Record: 9-7 (.563)
@SojashPicks Week 13
Record: 9-7 (.563)
ADF 2019 Season Record: 100-92 (.521)
@SojashPicks 2019 Season Record: 39-32 (.549)
ADF All-Time Record: 368-360 (.506)
NFL WEEK 14 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ Dec.5.2019
– 12:00PM EST)
Thursday
Dec.5
Dallas (Favorite) @ Chicago
Caesars -2.5
SugarHouse -3
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -2.5
Headlining the first contest for week 14, the Dallas
Cowboys take travel to Chicago to face the Bears. Dallas is coming off a
disappointing loss to the Bills on Turkey day and should be ready for this
contest. Establishing the run with Zeke Elliott should be paramount in how the
Cowboys can move the ball on this still sound defense.
The Bears on the other hand have found some level of
optimism in their pass game with Mitchell Trubisky looking far better. While
this offense is still nothing to write home about, they have indeed improved.
If this Bears offense can move the ball on the Cowboys we could see them fall
once again this week. Nevertheless, we feel Dallas will be all systems go to
get back on track.
ADF:
DAL covers the spread @ -2.5 DAL 24 CHI 31 (L)
@SojashPicks:
DAL covers the spread @ -2.5
Sunday
Dec.8
Cincinnati @ Cleveland (Favorite)
Caesars -8.5
SugarHouse -8.5
Unibet -8.5
SportSelect -8.5
Placing Andy Dalton back behind center obviously gave the Bengals
a better shot at being competitive, but laying a beat down on the Jets wasn’t
at all the expectation. Either way, that’s what transpired leaving Vegas to
give the Browns a hefty odd to provide confusion on who to select in this one.
Cleveland desperately needs this contest to keep their very slim playoff hopes
alive, and we really wonder if they’ll come to play. Baker Mayfield is dealing
with an injury which shouldn’t be overlooked.
Not much we can say for the Bengals outside of the fact that they
looked much better on offense last week and they will be getting John Ross back
from injured reserve. While we do feel that the Browns will come out on the
winning end, the spread won’t be covered with Dalton throwing the ball.
ADF: CLE
doesn’t cover the spread @ -8.5 CIN 19 CLE 27 (W)
@SojashPicks:
CLE doesn’t cover the spread @ -8.5
Baltimore (Favorite) @ Buffalo
Caesars -5.5
SugarHouse -5.5
Unibet -5.5
SportSelect -5.5
The best early game on the slate appears to be the
Bills hosting the Ravens. While Buffalo is coming off a giant victory on
Thanksgiving in Dallas, they return home with their crowd behind them to take
on Lamar Jackson. This game will be pegged as Josh Allen verse Jackson as both
players come from the same draft class. While the Bills have improved immensely
on offense, we do question if this defense is built to stop this incredible
ground attack. Having had issues against the run all season, they too have corrected
that aspect of late.
As for the Ravens, it seems like nothing will stop
this well-oiled machine as Jackson continues to carve up defenses. The Bills
will rely on their secondary to play on islands in hopes to stack the box to
keep Jackson in the pocket. Both game plans will be very interesting to see and
we truly wonder if the Bills are ready to compete with this caliber of team.
Buffalo may hang around early, but a loss is forthcoming.
ADF:
BAL covers the spread @ -5.5 BAL 24 BUF 17 (W)
@SojashPicks:
BAL covers the spread @ -5.5 BAL 24 BUF 17 (W)
Carolina @ Atlanta (Favorite)
Caesars -2.5
SugarHouse -3
Unibet -3
SportSelect -3.5
While it looks as though the final straw was pulled as
the Panthers ownership had seen enough and fired their longtime coach after
losing to the Redskins at home. Moving forward while taking travel to Atlanta
to face the Falcons, this contest really gave us pause. Christian McCaffrey
should continue to be the main focus on this offense, while Kyle Allen needs to
keep improving.
The Falcons on the other hand have been formally
eliminated from playoff contention and really have nothing left to play for.
Players auditioning for jobs and playing spoiler is the only viable reason to
get up for this contest. Beating a division rival while stamping their formal
exist from the postseason is the motive. With how the wildcard race is shaping
up in the NFC, the Panthers will be ruled out soon regardless. Either way,
Carolina should muster much better than last week.
ADF:
ATL doesn’t cover the spread @ -3.5 CAR 20 ATL 40 (L)
@SojashPicks:
ATL covers the spread @ -3
Washington @ Green Bay (Favorite)
Caesars -13
SugarHouse -13
Unibet -13
SportSelect -12.5
We have gone on record to voice the displeasure of
large spreads such as these, but this time the odds makers may have gotten this
right. The fear is always late game garbage points ruining the spread which is
always a risk. The Packers though are coming off a convincing win on the road
at the lowly Giants and face a Redskins team that looked invigorated a week
ago.
While a two touchdown spread is never a positive for
the better public, the Packers are at home in the comfortable confines of
Lambo-Field and should take care of business rather easily. Nevertheless, we
still cringe to suggest 13-points will be covered, but it should act as a
tune-up contest for Green Bay. We’ll bite on this one.
ADF:
GB covers the spread @ -13 WAS 15 GB 20 (L)
@SojashPicks:
GB covers the spread @ -13
Denver @ Houston (Favorite)
Caesars -9
SugarHouse -9.5
Unibet -9.5
SportSelect -9.5
Yet another large spread dons this contest, but we
feel more comfortable in the potential outcome of this one. The Texans are
riding high after displacing the Patriots and stay home for this showdown verse
a rookie passer. Houston looked much better last week and we truly feel they
will come out full guns once again here.
The Broncos are coming into this matchup after
securing a first win for Drew Lock and will try to keep up. While it was a
positive outcome last week, Houston will have new tape on Lock and should
provide more than enough to confuse the rookie in his second NFL contest. The
Broncos should be absolutely outclassed in this one leaving us confident in
this prediction.
ADF:
HOU covers the spread @ -9 DEN 38 HOU 24 (L)
@SojashPicks:
HOU covers the spread @ -9
Detroit @ Minnesota (Favorite)
Caesars -13
SugarHouse -12.5
Unibet -13
SportSelect -12.5
If you thought we were lying, here we go again with
another large spread to confuse us all. The Vikings are coming off a
disappointing finish on Monday Night verse the Seahawks and should be better
prepared for this game against the Lions. While playing at home does leave us
believing Minnesota will come out strong, Dalvin Cook’s status is truly up in
the air. He has said he will suit up for this one, but how much work he’ll
receive is the question.
The Lions on the other hand came out blazing behind
rookie quarterback David Blough on Thanksgiving. Do we believe that Blough will
be able to recreate the same vigor to make this competitive, it’s very
possible. The Lions have the weapons on offense to make this a game and to
match score for score. However, while Minnesota should come out as the clear
favorite and winner, the spread is too vast for us to endorse.
ADF:
MIN doesn’t cover the spread @ -13 DET 7 MIN 20 (L)
@SojashPicks:
MIN doesn’t cover the spread @ -13 DET 7 MIN 20 (L)
San Francisco @ New Orleans
(Favorite)
Caesars -2.5
SugarHouse -2.5
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -2.5
Here we find a glorious matchup that should bring with
it a great level of entertainment from both sides. The 49ers got a taste of
playing a high caliber club last week (the Ravens), and will have to back that
up with Drew Brees and the Saints. The Saints haven’t looked as sharp these
past couple weeks leaving a lot of plays on the field. Alvin Kamara needs to be
more involved in the overall scheme, or Brees will find himself running for his
life.
There is no question that this 49ers defensive line is
the engine that drives this ship, and we could witness a great deal of pressure
dialed up. This contest is immensely important to San Fran as they truly want
the first round bye. Offensively they will have to run the ball effectively to
open up the Saints solid defense. In our minds this one is truly a coin toss,
but we’ll ride with the home team here.
ADF:
NO covers the spread @ -2.5 SF 48 NO 46 (L)
@SojashPicks:
NO covers the spread @ -2.5 SF 48 NO 46 (L)
Miami @ NY Jets (Favorite)
Caesars -5.5
SugarHouse -5
Unibet -5.5
SportSelect -5.5
The Miami Dolphins are quite the enigma from week-to-week as we
never really know which team will come out to play. Taking travel to face a
Jets club that in itself is a mystery, the line Vegas has given is truly based
on home field advantage.
Sam Darnold and the Jets fell back down to earth last week getting
hammered by the lowly Bengals. New York will be without Jamal Adams as it
stands today which will leave a massive hole on this defense. Ryan Fitzpatrick
loves to sling the ball showing he’s just enjoying the last years he has left.
While we believe the Jets will find a way to win, Miami will crush the spread
late.
ADF: NYJ
doesn’t cover the spread @ -5.5 MIA 21 NYJ 22 (W)
@SojashPicks:
NYJ doesn’t cover the spread @ -5.5 MIA 21 NYJ 22 (W)
Indianapolis @ Tampa Bay
(Favorite)
Caesars -2.5
SugarHouse -3
Unibet -3
SportSelect -2.5
On paper this game looks to be a snoozer and shouldn’t have much
of anything to get excited about. The Buccaneers are playing out the string,
while the Colts continue their pursuit of reaching the postseason. This is a
massive game for the Colts but again will be shorthanded with injuries clouding
the roster.
The Bucs on the other hand have been playing much better and will
again be playing the role of spoiler. Jameis Winston will always find room to
throw the ball, but will give his team a number of turnovers in the process. Either
way, it’s very difficult to envision the Colts taking long travel to Florida
with a number of talented players again not playing.
ADF: TB
covers the spread @ -2.5 IND 35 TB 38 (W)
@SojashPicks:
TB covers the spread @ -2.5 IND 35 TB 38 (W)
LA Chargers (Favorite) @
Jacksonville
Caesars -3
SugarHouse -3
Unibet -3
SportSelect -3.5
Here we find yet another game that will be filled with
nothing tangible for the playoffs. The Chargers and the Jaguars will also be
playing out the string of games with postseason luck not on their side. The
Chargers have been pretty good moving the ball this season, but recently look
sloppy with Philip Rivers behind center. Could we see Tyrod Taylor take over in
this one, it’s possible.
The Jaguars have already seen enough with Nick Foles
throwing the ball and will turn back to Gardner Minshew as their pivot. This is
good news for this offense as all players will receive an uptick for potential
output. Even though the Chargers appear to have the better team overall,
Minshew should make this close.
ADF:
LAC doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 LAC 45 JAX 10 (L)
@SojashPicks:
LAC covers the spread @ -3 LAC 45 JAX 10 (W)
Kansas City @ New England
(Favorite)
Caesars -3
SugarHouse -3
Unibet -3
SportSelect -2.5
We have heard it time-after-time, but this year it
could be true. Is the light setting on Tom Brady’s career? Losing last week
added to that notion and will again be questioned if they drop this matchup
verse the Chiefs. While playing at home is always the key to their success,
Patrick Mahomes is one year older and has seen this show before. The Patriots
offense is a shell of what they used to be, showing great struggles in the
process. We predicted James White to be a much bigger part of the offense last
week, and we will see it once again here.
While the Patriots have had their issues, Kansas City
hasn’t been that high octane group from a season ago either. Their defense is
the clear weak spot on this club and should give up a healthy amount of yards
to Brady and this offense. The Pats defense was exposed last week and should
been seen on film as the Chiefs prepare. New England hasn’t lost at home in
quite some time, but this should be the day.
ADF:
NE doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 KC 23 NE 16 (W)
@SojashPicks:
NE covers the spread @ -3
Pittsburgh (Favorite) @ Arizona
Caesars -2.5
SugarHouse -2.5
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -2.5
When we review the potential this game holds, there
still is a great deal to play for. The Steelers are smackdab in the middle of
the AFC playoff race and can’t afford a sidestep verse a weaker Cardinals club.
The defense found its game again last week verse the Browns, and should be
ready to play in this one.
While we have preached the good graces of Kyler Murray for most of
the season, clearly this year will be chalked up as growing pains for a young
passer and a new head coach. The pressure Pittsburgh can bring on defense will
be the difference in this one. Expect Murray to be running for his life for
most of the contest.
ADF: PIT
covers the spread @ -2.5 PIT 23 ARZ 17 (W)
@SojashPicks: PIT covers the spread @ -2.5 PIT 23 ARZ 17 (W)
Tennessee (Favorite) @ Oakland
Caesars -2.5
SugarHouse -2.5
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -2.5
We have taken a great deal of heat these past couple
weeks in support of Ryan Tannehill and the Titans. However, we make no
apologies, and continue down the same path. Tannehill was our preferred choice
to be this clubs starter back in training camp, and now we can all witness
positive play come to pass. This offense has again found the strength in their
run game with Derrick Henry which only assists the pass game. Taking travel to
Oakland is and unwelcomed sight, but shouldn’t be much of an issue.
As the Titans move up, the Raiders continue their
sharp decline and it won’t get any easier this week at home. Oakland has
attempted to compete these past few weeks, but it’s clear they aren’t ready for
clubs with greater talent. The defense truly misses their quarterback (Karl
Joseph) and will be hard pressed to stop Henry from gashing them all over the
field. This seems like a sure bet in week 14.
ADF:
TEN covers the spread @ -2.5 TEN 42 OAK 21 (W)
@SojashPicks:
TEN covers the spread @ -2.5 TEN 42 OAK 21 (W)
Seattle (Favorite) @ LA Rams
Caesars -1
SugarHouse -0.5
Unibet -1
SportSelect -1.5
There is no question that Russell Wilson is in the MVP category
this season, and he’ll get another shot to prove it verse the Rams in Los
Angeles. If this was the Rams of last season, we would have some issue
believing Seattle could walk into LA and steal a victory. Now with how this
Rams team has played, it could almost be a certainty.
While Seattle gears up for their run at Super Bowl supremacy, the
Rams are holding on for dear life and need this game in the worst way. The line
set is absolutely correct as this contest could go either way, and we fully
expect a back and forth battle. We really struggled to find a winner here as it
is a pick-em game. We shall go with our gut on this one.
ADF: SEA
covers the spread @ -0.5 SEA 12 LAR 28 (L)
@SojashPicks:
SEA covers the spread @ -0.5 SEA 12 LAR 28 (L)
Monday
Dec.9
NY Giants @ Philadelphia
(Favorite)
Caesars -9.5
SugarHouse -9.5
Unibet -9.5
SportSelect -9.5
The Philadelphia Eagles have done themselves no favors
this season and again did great damage to their playoff hopes last week.
Dropping a sure win in Miami, the Eagles now face yet another weaker opponent
in the New York Giants. The Eagles have been far from polished but should bring
much better effort in a must win keeping the division crown alive.
The Giants have been playing out the string as their
season was lost weeks ago, but this week New York will be playing a familiar
friend at quarterback. Eli Manning is pegged to start for the injured Daniel
Jones, and we truly don’t know how to take this. The arm strength is obviously
gone, so we could see check down central on Monday Night. With how Philly has
been playing, how can we take this spread with any confidence? But
nevertheless, we shall side with them one last time in a true must win at home.
ADF:
PHI covers the spread @ -9.5 NYG 17 PHI 23 (L)
@SojashPicks:
PHI covers the spread @ -9.5 NYG 17 PHI 23 (L)
ADF Week 14 Record: 7-9 (.437)
@SojashPicks Week 14 Record: 8-8 (.500)
ADF Week 14 Record: 7-9 (.437)
@SojashPicks Week 14 Record: 8-8 (.500)
Note: All Day Football is not responsible for any
personal gains or losses as a result of its predictions. Please play
responsibly.
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