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NFL Week 12 Point Spread Picks


PLACE YOUR BETS!!! After a couple of weeks of tough sledding, ADF came back in a good way securing nine victories out of 14 on the slate. Gaining those wins brought our season total back above the 500 mark to stack those dollars in our bank account.

Heading into week 12 of the NFL season, teams will continue to play their best and games should remain tight. With our competitor picks also finding good traction last week, you’re in good hands when it comes to picking winners. We are only getting started and vow to attempt a massive winning streak, let’s get to it.   



Follow on Twitter: @chris_ADF1
Follow on Twitter: @ADFUnderground (Podcast)
Follow on Instagram: ADF5000


ADF Week 11 Record: 9-5 (.643)
@SojashPicks Week 11 Record: 8-6 (.571)

ADF 2019 Season Record: 82-80 (.506)
@SojashPicks 2019 Season Record: 21-20 (.512)

ADF All-Time Record: 350-348 (.501)



NFL WEEK 12 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ Nov.21.2019 – 12:00PM EST) 

Bye Week: Arizona, Kansas City, LA Chargers, Minnesota


Thursday Nov.21

Indianapolis @ Houston (Favorite)
Caesars -3.5
Westgate -4
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5

This week’s contest on Thursday Night Football shows a very important contest between the Texans and the Colts. With this division still up for grabs, both clubs will be at their best. The Texans received a massive beat down last week to the Ravens and should be better prepared playing at home.

The Colts on the other hand are winning games, but the injury bug is starting to turn its ugly head. Marlon Mack is pegged to miss the contest with an injured hand which will limit the overall power of this ground attack. The Colts will use a committee approach in hopes to gain traction. With that said, for how the Texans have played as of late, this spread seems a little high for our liking. The Colts beat Houston back in week eight leaving much to consider. This game can go either way and we’ll play it safe.
ADF: HOU doesn’t cover the spread @ -4 IND 17 HOU 20 (W)
@SojashPicks: HOU doesn’t cover the spread @ -3.5 IND 17 HOU 20 (W)
 

Sunday Nov.24

Denver @ Buffalo (Favorite)
Caesars -4
Westgate -4
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -4.5

The Buffalo Bills are entering the difficult part of their schedule and it begins with the strong defensive play of the Denver Broncos. While Denver as a whole isn’t anything to write home about, they seem to have found something with Brandon Allen behind center.

The Bills defense on the other hand has been fantastic this season with expectation of being overly sound on run defense. With Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman ready to make things happen, covering four points may be ruined late in the game. However, Josh Allen looked absolutely fabulous last week and we expect that to carry over, we might get burnt on this one late, but we’ll gamble.
ADF: BUF covers the spread @ -3.5 DEN 3 BUF 20 (W)
@SojashPicks: BUF covers the spread @ -3.5 DEN 3 BUF 20 (W)


NY Giants @ Chicago (Favorite)
Caesars -6
Westgate -6
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -6.5

A season filled with utter disappointment, we have a real tough time understanding how Vegas can bait the public with a seven point favorite to the Bears. Granted this contest will be played in Chicago and verse the Giants uneven squad, a full touchdown is hard to envision.

The Giants are coming off the bye week looking to do something positive, but we see where the odds makers are going. Believing that Daniel Jones will have at least a couple turnovers verse this great defense, points coming off a pick six is the gamble. Nevertheless, given all the inadequacy coming from the Big Blue, seeing the Bears win by seven is something we can’t see. Saquon Barkley will find room and Mitchell Trubisky could again find the bench.
ADF: CHI doesn’t cover the spread @ -6.5 NYG 14 CHI 19 (W)
@SojashPicks: CHI doesn’t cover the spread @ -6 NYG 14 CHI 19 (W)


Pittsburgh (Favorite) @ Cincinnati
Caesars -6.5
Westgate -6.5
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -6.5

Coming off what turned into Monday Night fight club, the Steelers look to regroup with an easier opponent in the Bengals. Pittsburgh’s defense took a night off last week verse the Browns and should have a tough week of practice under Coach Mike Tomlin.

The Bengals on the other hand showed some level of improvement verse the Raiders keeping pace for nearly the entire contest. Even though this contest is being playing in Cincinnati, we fully expect the Steelers to come out with major fight (well not like last week). This shouldn’t be much of a game and Pittsburgh will go home happy.
ADF: PIT covers the spread @ -6.5 PIT 16 CIN 10 (L)
@SojashPicks: PIT doesn’t cover the spread @ -6.5 PIT 16 CIN 10 (W)


Miami @ Cleveland (Favorite)
Caesars -10.5
Westgate -10.5
Unibet -10.5
SportSelect -10.5

Yes the Cleveland Browns are on a two game winning streak and face the bottom feeding Miami Dolphins at home. Vegas is truly throwing belief that the Browns will hammer the Fins with the largest spread they’ve seen all season. While it’s difficult to argue, covering more than 10 points is never an easy feat.

Typically the Fins find a way to at least remain competitive in most games, but the tires might be ready to completely fall off. Last week verse the Bills, Miami looked deflated and now face super star talent from Cleveland. Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt should both have great days with Odell Beckham finally having his best game of the season. We’ll bite on this one.
ADF: CLE covers the spread @ -10.5 MIA 24 CLE 41 (W)
@SojashPicks: CLE covers the spread @ -10.5 MIA 24 CLE 41 (W)
 

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta (Favorite)
Caesars -4.5
Westgate -4.5
Unibet -4.5
SportSelect -4.5

Where has this Atlanta Falcons team been all season? Coming into the offseason, our thought that this defense would be able to generate the exact performances of the last two games consistently, it obviously hasn’t happened. Nevertheless, for whatever reason, Atlanta is playing superb defense which has led them to two straight wins.

The Falcons opponent this week will be the Buccaneers who can’t get out of their own way with Jameis Winston continuing to be that turnover machine. While Tampa has been able to move the ball a fair bit this season, giving the ball back to the opposition has killed their chances in every contest. We’ll ride with the dirty birds once again this week.
ADF: ATL covers the spread @ -4.5 TB 35 ATL 22 (L)
@SojashPicks: ATL covers the spread @ -4.5 TB 35 ATL 22 (L)

Carolina @ New Orleans (Favorite)
Caesars -10
Westgate -9.5
Unibet -9.5
SportSelect -9.5

The Carolina Panthers showed how not to preform last week getting absolutely man handed by the Atlanta Falcons. Kyle Allen did throw a lot of yards, but his mistakes destroyed any shot of finding a victory. This week taking travel to New Orleans, we truly wonder if they’ll find their game. Christian McCaffrey has been a monster this season and should again be the vocal point.

The Saints with Drew Brees found their way back to the good books taking down the Bucs with heavy distinction a week ago. While we feel the Panthers are a better team then what was shown on the field last week, the Saints will again be ready to dominate. This one scares us a little as the spread could be ruined late, but we believe in Brees and the Saints.
ADF: NO covers the spread @ -9.5 CAR 31 NO 34 (L)
@SojashPicks: NO covers the spread @ -9.5 CAR 31 NO 34 (L)


Detroit (Favorite) @ Washington
Caesars -3.5
Westgate -3.5
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5

One of the tougher games to predict on the docket rests with the Lions taking travel to Washington to face the Redskins. Still without Matthew Stafford behind center, Jeff Driskel has filled in admirably. Detroit will again attempt to run with Bo Scarbrough to help control the clock while moving the ball.

The Skins on the other hand have been nothing special and should continue that form with Dwayne Haskins and his inaccurate passing. The lone bright spot last week was the return of Darrius Guice to the skins offense, and he should have a bigger role moving forward. Either way, we would’ve preferred a three point spread but we’ll gamble here.
ADF: DET covers the spread @ -3.5 DET 16 WAS 19 (L)
@SojashPicks: DET covers the spread @ -3.5 DET 16 WAS 19 (L)


Oakland (Favorite) @ NY Jets
Caesars -2.5
Westgate -3
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -3.5

Many had the Raiders destroying the Bengals last week to cover a very large spread, but we didn’t share that same notion. The Raiders are moving in the right direction but aren’t good enough to put teams in their place just yet. This week Oakland take a long travel to the east which is never a good sign. Typically teams that go west to east have a massive letdown in the process.

The New York Jets have found something over the past two contests that is encouraging, especially in playing a club like the Raiders. Jamal Adams has been a force on the field and will again prove to be a massive issue for Derek Carr. While we do like the way the Raiders are moving, the Jets could upset the spread winning outright.
ADF: OAK doesn’t cover the spread @ -3.5 OAK 3 NYJ 34 (W)
@SojashPicks: OAK covers the spread @ -2.5 OAK 3 NYJ 34 (L)


Jacksonville @ Tennessee (Favorite)
Caesars -3
Westgate -3
Unibet -3
SportSelect -3.5

At this point how can we get on-board for what the Jaguars are doing? Coach Doug Marrone moved away from the ground game last week which was the worst decision possible. Sure Nick Foles is back behind center and should pick up where he left off from last week, the Titans are no slouch coming off the bye.

Ryan Tannehill has done a very good job in moving this offense providing more rest for his defense. We have been on record in support of Tannehill and feel they will come out firing on a Jags team that really is pretending at this point. This game should be very close, but we can’t see Jacksonville winning in Tennessee.
ADF: TEN covers the spread @ -3 JAX 20 TEN 42 (W)
@SojashPicks: TEN covers the spread @ -3 JAX 20 TEN 42 (W)


Dallas @ New England (Favorite)
Caesars -6.5
Westgate -6.5
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -6.5

Don’t look now, but this isn’t your dad’s New England Patriots. Over the years we’ve seen Tom Brady be the dominating force which drives this club. But this season has been a completely different narrative. This Patriots team is led by the defense and the offense can’t seem to find anything overly valuable. Granted this game is being played in New England, a touchdown spread is a little much in our eyes.

The Dallas Cowboys also have been underachieves in many aspects this season, but will get to showcase what they can do verse one of the best defenses in the NFL. While Dallas had issues displacing a Lions team without Matthew Stafford, Dak Prescott has found his game and then some. Dallas will ride the ground game with Zeke Elliott as New England can’t stop the run. It will be much closer than the line indicates.
ADF: NE doesn’t cover the spread @ -6.5 DAL 9 NE 13 (W)
@SojashPicks: NE doesn’t cover the spread @ -6.5 DAL 9 NE 13 (W)


Seattle @ Philadelphia (Favorite)
Caesars -1.5
Westgate -1.5
Unibet -1.5
SportSelect -1.5

With Russell Wilson showcasing his ability to MVP levels this season, we again are quite confused with how the odds makers have set up this spread. While we understand that teams playing at home do hold a key advantage, the Eagles right now have giant issues on offense.

The Hawks are a team that have also shown signs of being schizophrenic at times, but right now they appear to be a very sound unit. Coming off the bye week is another sound positive to provide enough to game plan against this Eagles team. While we could see a higher score then some realize, Russell Wilson has played far too good to bet against, staying firm with the Hawks this week.
ADF: PHI doesn’t cover the spread @ -1.5 SEA 17 PHI 9 (W)
@SojashPicks: PHI doesn’t cover the spread @ -1.5 SEA 17 PHI 9 (W)
  

Green Bay @ San Francisco (Favorite)
Caesars -3
Westgate -3.5
Unibet -3
SportSelect -3.5

The primetime games have been rather good of late and we should be treated to yet one more. The high flying 49ers will look to earn more respect this week if they can displace a solid Packer team coming off the bye. While that will be easier said than done, San Francisco could again be limited without George Kittle and Emmanuel Sanders.

While Green Bay has won games this season, it hasn’t been the same as in the past. Aaron Rodgers hasn’t been asked to carry the club himself, but rather the run support has created a new dynamic. Being a more balanced unit, we will see a good level of back and forth. This is another contest that could go in either direction, but we bank on the result being a field goal difference.
ADF: SF doesn’t cover the spread @ -3.5 GB 8 SF 37 (L)
@SojashPicks: SF doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 GB 8 SF 37 (L)


Monday Nov.25

Baltimore (Favorite) @ LA Rams
Caesars -3
Westgate -3
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5

For the first time in a very long span, the LA Rams are on the wrong side of Vegas odds makers being the underdog. It’s no coincidence that the spread is leaning toward their opponent this week even while this game is being played at home. The Rams will be faced with defending the electric Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens.

While we can make arguments to suggest that the Rams defense is built to stop the Ravens offense, what Jackson has done so far this season can easily throw out all opposing opinions. The Rams are clearly in a state disrepair and will struggle to find their game this week. The Jackson show will continue to unfold and we are in for a dandy on Monday Night!
ADF: BAL covers the spread @ -3 BAL 45 LAR 6 (W)
@SojashPicks: BAL covers the spread @ -3 BAL 45 LAR 6 (W)


ADF WEEK 12 Record: 9-5 (.643)
@SojashPicks Record: 9-5 (.643)
   


Note: All Day Football is not responsible for any personal gains or losses as a result of its predictions. Please play responsibly.


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