PLACE YOUR BETS!!! While last week wasn’t as
dire as the week prior, we still didn’t manage to climb over the 500-mark on a
very difficult set of contests. However, with a couple spreads missing in the
latter stages of those contests, we feel encouraged and stand firm with our
evaluation process.
As we move forward, our outlook on picking winners is
strong as Vegas has eased on the trap spreads for week 11. Follow us as we look
to get back to dominating ways as NFL teams show their true colors. Good luck,
and let’s get that money!
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ADF Week 10 Record: 6-7 (.462)
@SojashPicks
Week 10 Record: 7-6 (.538)
ADF 2019 Season Record: 73-75 (.493)
@SojashPicks
2019 Season Record: 13-14 (.481)
ADF All-Time Record: 341-343 (.499)
NFL WEEK 11 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ Nov.14.2019
– 12:00PM EST)
Bye Week:
Green Bay, NY Giants, Seattle, Tennessee
Thursday
Nov.14
Pittsburgh @ Cleveland (Favorite)
Caesars -3
Westgate -3
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -2.5
When the Steelers traded for Minkah Fitzpatrick, our first thought
was they mortgaged the future for his services. Now after seeing it all come
together on the field, Fitzpatrick has already repaid the debt and looks to be
the natural superstar we thought he could be back from his draft class. This
Steelers defense is truly become a monster to play against, and they will give
fits for Baker Mayfield and company.
With that said, the Browns are coming off a narrow victory verse
the Bills as the run game dictated terms. Mayfield improved his completion
percentage in dissecting the Bills defense, but we can’t envision the same
fortitude in this one. It’s beyond comprehension that the Browns are favored, Steel-town
will come to play again on defense.
ADF: CLE doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 PIT 7 CLE 21 (L)
@SojashPicks:
CLE doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 PIT 7 CLE 21 (L)
Sunday
Nov.17
Atlanta @ Carolina (Favorite)
Caesars -5.5
Westgate -5.5
Unibet -5.5
SportSelect -5.5
As the Panthers continue to move with Kyle Allen behind center,
the competitive nature of this team has been quite solid. Dropping a very
winning contest last week in Green Bay, this matchup has the potential to rest
in their favor. Christian McCaffrey will of course again be the staple of this
game plan, and we aren’t convinced that the Falcons can replicate the defensive
showing from last week.
The Falcons came off the bye week full of life and blitzing hard
against the Saints in their beat down victory. We haven’t seen a showing of
that magnitude from this defense all season, and perhaps that will be the last.
The Falcons are clearly pretending but do hold an offense that is still
electric. Vegas is trying to pull money to the Panthers side clearly here.
ADF: CAR
doesn’t cover the spread @ -5.5 ATL 29 CAR 3 (W)
@SojashPicks:
CAR covers the spread @ -5.5 ATL 29 CAR 3 (L)
Dallas (Favorite) @ Detroit
Caesars N/A
Westgate -3
Unibet -4.5
SportSelect N/A
At this point of the week, Matthew Stafford again looks to be on
the wrong side of playing in this contest which shows a massive hole for the
pass game. While Detroit was able to keep pace for nearly three quarters of
last week’s contest, playing the Cowboys will be a tougher ask. Stafford is the
oil that drives this engine and without him, production will again be dismal.
The Cowboys on the other hand are too coming off a loss and will
need to come out firing to keep their playoff hopes alive. Facing the Lions
defense that has weakened these past few weeks, Dallas should feast early and
often. We reserve the right to change this pick if Stafford is cleared to play,
stay tuned.
ADF: DAL
covers the spread @ -3 DAL 35 DET 27 (W)
@SojashPicks:
DAL covers the spread @ -3 DAL 35 DET 27 (W)
Jacksonville @ Indianapolis
(Favorite)
Caesars N/A
Westgate -3
Unibet -3
SportSelect N/A
While it appears that Jacoby Brissett is on target to start, the
spread in a very important contest for both clubs seems a little off. The Jags
are coming off the bye and will get Nick Foles back behind center. This is a
massive unknown as there isn’t much tape for the Colts to dissect.
Adding to that, the Colts are still without TY Hilton for this
contest and will again have to play sound defense and ride the run game to be
successful. We still have a good level of belief in this Jags defense and it
should be rather tight the entire game. A field goal could be the decider, but
we’ll error on the side of caution.
ADF: IND doesn’t
cover the spread @ -3 JAX 13 IND 33 (L)
@SojashPicks:
IND doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 JAX 13 IND 33 (L)
Buffalo (Favorite) @ Miami
Caesars -6
Westgate -6
Unibet -5.5
SportSelect -5.5
The wheels feel off last week for the Bills as they had the
victory in their grasp verse Cleveland, but couldn’t manage to muster enough
for the win. The Bills coaching staff appears to be promoting the game manager
type of play to Josh Allen which has stalled this offense from becoming
something special. While we understand the notion simply due to Allen’s ball
security issues. The Bills defense has taken a giant step back in defending the
run, but should get a break this week verse Miami.
Over the past few weeks, the Dolphins have been much better as a
team, finding ways to remain in each game. Ryan Fitzpatrick again proves he can
move the ball with an equal share of errors. At this point in how things are
shaping out, the Bills are good enough to pull out the wins but not good enough
to put up large numbers. Miami will again keep this one closer than the line
indicates.
ADF: BUF
doesn’t cover the spread @ -6 BUF 37 MIA 20 (L)
@SojashPicks:
BUF covers the spread @ -6 BUF 37 MIA 20 (W)
Houston @ Baltimore (Favorite)
Caesars -4
Westgate -4
Unibet -4.5
SportSelect -4.5
This showdown between the Ravens and the Texans will feature two
of the best up and coming quarterbacks in the NFL. With Deshaun Watson always
ready to prove his worth, Lamar Jackson is doing things this season that
haven’t been seen since the great Mike Vick. The Texans are coming off the bye
and should have put in a game plan to try and stop the Ravens powerful run
game. However, Houston has grave issues on that back end which may produce more
passes from Jackson.
The Ravens and Jackson seem to be unstoppable at the moment, but
given the level of competition last week, we’ll take that with a grain of salt.
Houston does still hold a sound front seven even without JJ Watt on the field.
Stopping the run will be paramount while giving Watson more chances. This
should be a phenomenal contest and we struggle to believe anyone will run away
with it.
ADF: BAL
doesn’t cover the spread @ -4.5 HOU 7 BAL 41 (L)
@SojashPicks:
BAL covers the spread @ -4
Denver @ Minnesota (Favorite)
Caesars -10.5
Westgate -10.5
Unibet -10.5
SportSelect -10.5
We continue to hold Minnesota in high regard, especially in how
this offense is producing. Kirk Cousins has been nothing short of great over
the past few weeks, and with a home date on the horizon, we love the odds. Dalvin
Cook will again be the standard approach and the potential for high-end
achievement verse a spotty Broncos run defense, get ready for a show.
Denver went into the bye week holding their heads high after
pulling out a victory with Brandon Allen as the starting quarterback. While the
Broncos will be fresher off that week of rest, taking travel to Minnesota will
be a giant task. We rarely subscribe to large spreads with high levels of
confidence, but in this case, this will be a non-contest.
ADF: MIN
covers the spread @ -10.5 DEN 23 MIN 27 (L)
@SojashPicks:
MIN covers the spread @ -10.5 DEN 23 MIN 27 (L)
NY Jets @ Washington (Favorite)
Caesars -1.5
Westgate -1
Unibet -1.5
SportSelect -1.5
For betting purposes, this is one of the hardest contests to
predict on the Sunday slate. The Jets showed much better last week, but will
have to travel to Washington to face the Skins off the bye. Dwayne Haskins has
been given the nod to be the starter for the time being, and Derrius Guice
returns from injury.
The Jets have the tools to move the ball on offense, but its clear
Coach Adam Gase is the worst on in game adjustments. Sam Darnold appeared to
get over his confidence issue and should be ready to provide move plays. We
understand the spread, but don’t think Haskins will get things done.
ADF: WAS
doesn’t cover the spread @ -1.5 NYJ 34 WAS 17 (W)
@SojashPicks:
WAS doesn’t cover the spread @ -1.5 NYJ 34 WAS 17 (W)
New Orleans Favorite) @ Tampa Bay
Caesars -5.5
Westgate -5.5
Unibet -5.5
SportSelect -5.5
When was the last time we saw the Saints take one on the chin
verse a weaker club? In all facets of the game, New Orleans was dominated and
displaced by a Falcons team that had no business forcing that much pressure.
Looking to come back strong in week 11, facing the Buccaneers weak secondary is
a welcomed sight.
Tampa Bay on the other hand still holds a very sound front seven
that will make it difficult for Alvin Kamara to find traction. Coach Sean
Payton will have to get creative in his play calling to remove pressure on an
offensive line that is playing hurt. Even though Tampa can sling the ball with
the best of them, the Saints will be hot and bothered and looking for a
statement game.
ADF: NO
covers the spread @ -5.5 NO 34 TB 17 (W)
@SojashPicks:
NO doesn’t cover the spread @ -5.5 NO 34 TB 17 (L)
Arizona @ San Francisco
(Favorite)
Caesars -11.5
Westgate -11
Unibet -11.5
SportSelect -11.5
This on paper looks to be one of the easier games to call simply
because of the injuries to the 49ers. These clubs met a mere two weeks ago on
Halloween night and the Cardinals proved they could play with this strong
defense. Kyler Murray has been great this season and showed ample progression.
Coach Kliff Kingsbury continues to add to his playbook and should bring more to
the table this week.
The 49ers are coming off a beautiful contest on Monday Night with
the Seahawks but fell just short in overtime. Injuries played a massive part in
that loss and will again in this one. With George Kittle and Emmanuel Sanders
on the wrong side of playing, this spread is truly ambitious.
ADF: SF
doesn’t cover the spread @ -11.5 ARZ 26 SF 36 (W)
@SojashPicks:
SF doesn’t cover the spread @ -11.5 ARZ 26 SF 36 (W)
Cincinnati @ Oakland (Favorite)
Caesars -10.5
Westgate -10.5
Unibet -10.5
SportSelect -10.5
The Oakland Raiders are beginning to receive love from the betting
public and from the odds makers. Showing extremely well last Thursday Night,
Oakland could be seen as a team on the rise. Behind the fabulous running of
Josh Jacobs, we to have come to appreciate the rebirth of this team.
The Bengals are now the front runners to hold the top pick in the
upcoming NFL draft, but we truly have fear with the enormous spread Vegas is
dangling in front of our eyes. While we have no question that the Raiders
should come out on top, spreads this big for a club that isn’t elite tend to
get ruined late. We channel that thought process and bet against this one.
ADF: OAK
doesn’t cover the spread @ -10.5 CIN 10 OAK (W)
@SojashPicks:
OAK covers the spread @ -10.5 CIN 10 OAK (L)
New England (Favorite) @
Philadelphia
Caesars -3.5
Westgate -3.5
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5
This contest brings with it many interesting possibilities that we
had to dig deep to find. Both clubs are coming off the bye and will have that
extra week of preparation. The Patriots lost that killer instinct on defense
when they got blown out by the Ravens. While the run defense for New England isn’t
up to par, the Eagles struggle to hold the run game to high standards even with
two sound backs.
The difference in this game will be missed opportunities and we
truly believe the Pats will come out strong. Playing in Philadelphia is a
welcomed sight to Carson Wentz and company, and this will have ample amounts of
entertainment. Just cause of who they are, we’ll stand with the Pats in this
one.
ADF: NE
covers the spread @ -3.5 NE 17 PHI 10 (W)
@SojashPicks:
NE covers the spread @ -3.5 NE 17 PHI 10 (W)
Chicago @ LA Rams (Favorite)
Caesars -6.5
Westgate -6.5
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -6.5
At this point how can we sing the good graces for the LA Rams with
how they have performed? The defense hasn’t been anything spectacular and the
offense continues to struggle without a solid run attack. Clearly the Rams and
Coach McVay have been figured out on film to what made them successful last
season, but it doesn’t help that Todd Gurley looks like a shell of himself.
The Bears on the other hand haven’t been anything great on offense
either and it’s showing on this elite defense. Chicago has leaned so hard on
the defense that it seems like the tank is nearly empty. Suffice it to say, we
really have a hard time believing that the Rams can cover a touchdown with all their
inadequacy. Nevertheless, playing at home is a giant advantage and the Bears
really struggle to put points on the board, we’ll bite here one last time.
ADF: LAR
covers the spread @ -6.5 CHI 7 LAR 17 (W)
@SojashPicks:
LAR covers the spread @ -6.5 CHI 7 LAR 17 (W)
Monday
Nov.18
Kansas City (Favorite) @ LA
Chargers
Caesars -3.5
Westgate -4
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -4.5
The word on the street is high confusion to why the Chiefs have
seen so much struggle this season. Allow me to educate as everything starts and
stops with their poor defensive play. Patrick Mahomes came back from his
dislocated knee cap and proved he was just fine. Normally putting up 32-points
(last week), should warrant a sure win, not in their case. This contest will be
played in Mexico City removing all home field advantage.
The Chargers to us are a club that really don’t have much left and
will struggle to bring a lot to the table. Philip Rivers is clearly washed and
the Chargers should entertain playing Tyrod Taylor in the near future. Melvin
Gordon should be able to move the ball with some regularity setting up the play
action pass to Keenan Allen and Hunter Henry. And while the Chiefs should win,
their defense might allow the Chargers to hang around. Even still, we’ll gladly
take the points for Kansas City.
ADF: KC
covers the spread @ -3.5 KC 24 LAC 17 (W)
@SojashPicks:
KC covers the spread @ -3.5 KC 24 LAC 17 (W)
ADF WEEK 11 Record: 9-5 (.643)
@SojashPicks WEEK 11 Record: 8-6 (.571)
ADF WEEK 11 Record: 9-5 (.643)
@SojashPicks WEEK 11 Record: 8-6 (.571)
Note: All Day Football is not responsible for any
personal gains or losses as a result of its predictions. Please play
responsibly.
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