PLACE YOUR BETS!!! Week three began with a
number of contests looking positive for earned cash flow. As the games reached
their conclusions, many spreads were ruined late dropping our overall week
record to .500. Still not a horrible ending to the day as 50% winners is something
we will take all day long. Looking ahead to week four, these matches do provide
some level of pause and thought, but we feel we should have a very sound week.
Stick with us and we’ll continue to put money in your bank account.
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Week 3
Record: 8-8 (.500)
2019 Season Record: 26-22 (.542)
ADF All-Time Record: 294-290 (.503)
NFL WEEK 4 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ Sept.26.2019
– 12:00PM EST)
Bye Week: NY
Jets, San Francisco
Thursday
Sept.26
Philadelphia @ Green Bay
(Favorite)
Caesars -4
Westgate -4
William Hill -4.5
Unibet -4.5
SportSelect
Gearing up for Thursday Night Football, the struggling Eagles take
flight and travel to Green Bay to face off against the Packers. Last week saw
an injury rattled Philly club put forth their best effort but were taken back
with drops and fumbles. Facing off verse the Packers defense which is vastly
improved, we could see more issues on the horizon.
The Packers appear to have a different outlook in the Matt LaFleur
system. The offense isn’t asked to sling the ball all over the field, but
rather control the game and allow the defense to close it out. Normally we
would subscribe to the notion that this contest would be tight, but without
DeSean Jackson keeping the Green Bay defense honest, we should see the Pack win
quite easily.
GB covers
the spread @ -4 PHI 34 GB 27 (L)
Sunday
Sept.29
Tennessee @ Atlanta (Favorite)
Caesars -4
Westgate -4
William Hill N/A
Unibet -4.5
SportSelect
The Atlanta Falcons continue to be a horrid club on the road while
keeping it together at home. This week Matt Ryan and company will enjoy playing
in front of the hometown crowd and should find room through the air on this
Titans defense. While Freeman might get bottled up, Julio Jones and Calvin
Ridley should feast.
The Titans are coming off a terrible showing last Thursday Night
verse the Jaguars, but should find better fortune against the Keanu Neal-less
Falcons. While the Titans offense has been nothing to write home about, we have
a sneaky suspicion they will come to play off a long week. Either way, it’s
hard to bet against the dirty-bird at home.
ATL covers
the spread @ -4 TEN 24 ATL 10 (L)
Washington @ NY Giants (Favorite)
Caesars -2.5
Westgate -3
William Hill -3
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect
Filling the headlines of all New York papers, Daniel Jones looked
the part in the second half of a player that learned quick and progressed even
quicker. Going up against a Redskins club at home should have the hometown
faithful cheering early and often. While the Giants will be without Saquon
Barkley, the question will be if Jones can manage another solid showing.
The Redskins are coming off a disaster against the Bears on Monday
night and will have a quick turnaround to face the division rival from the big
apple. Case Keenum hasn’t been horrible and has proven to at least move the
offense in the right direction, but not turning the ball over will be key. This
game is literally a dart throw as we don’t really know what Jones is just yet.
We’ll gamble and take New York to win and cover.
NYG covers
the spread @ -3 WAS 3 NYG 24 (W)
LA Chargers (Favorite) @ Miami
Caesars -15.5
Westgate -15.5
William Hill N/A
Unibet -15.5
SportSelect
Typically, we would have no issue taking this spread verse the
Dolphins, but given to how the Chargers have played the last couple weeks, we
have to think twice. Keenan Allen has been the most consistent player giving
this club a shot to win every week. With the Bolts run game sputtering a week
ago, teams may have figured out how to stifle Austin Ekeler.
The Dolphins have made attempts to play better and did give it
their best shot verse the Cowboys last week, and while playing at home could be
something, how can we trust anything they are putting out on the field? West to
southeast travel will be something Los Angeles will be forced to overcome, and
we might regret taking the points when all is said and done. Nevertheless, LA
should handle business here.
LAC covers
the spread @ -15.5 LAC 30 MIA 10 (W)
Oakland @ Indianapolis (Favorite)
Caesars -6.5
Westgate -7
William Hill -7
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect
With the retirement announcement for Andrew Luck looing to be a
death sentence for the 2019 season, Jacoby Brissett has taken the reins and
played admirably. The Colts have looked good in every contest this season
keeping it tight while pulling out a couple victories. Marlon Mack should again
be leaned upon especially if TY Hilton can’t suit up for the matchup. Rookie
Parris Campbell will also have his chance to showcase his abilities.
The Oakland Raiders on the other hand have looked rather
pedestrian over the past two contests. Not being able to muster anything special
is a clear indication that clubs are taking away Tyrell Williams as he appears
to be the only game breaker. With a run game not cutting it behind Josh Jacobs,
we wonder if they can generate enough offense. With that said, TY Hilton is the
x-factor for us here and we shall treat this as if he is not going to play. We
reserve the right to change this prediction upon news that Hilton will take the
field.
IND doesn’t
cover the spread @ -7 OAK 31 IND 24 (W)
Carolina @ Houston (Favorite)
Caesars -4.5
Westgate -4.5
William Hill N/A
Unibet -4.5
SportSelect
All the rage last week was the Panthers replacement quarterback
Kyle Allen. Taking it to the Cardinals with ease, Allen looked poised and clam
throwing darts all over the field. This week taking travel to Houston, we could
see it all fall back down to earth. The run game behind Christian McCaffrey
will again be the vocal point, but we truly wonder if Carolina will replicate
last week’s showing.
It seems like seasons ago that we were treated to that spectacular
contest between the Texans and the Saints. Houston has taken a giant step back
in terms of efficiency since that match but was able to save some hope with a
comeback win verse the Chargers in week three. Playing at home is always a
great positive, but we truly question if they have enough to beat a surging
Panthers club. Houston could win this one, but we’ll bet it’s by a field goal.
HOU doesn’t
cover @ -4.5 CAR 16 HOU 10 (W)
Kansas City (Favorite) @ Detroit
Caesars -6.5
Westgate -6.5
William Hill N/A
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect
While we do have a greater appreciation for the Detroit Lions this
season, this matchup against the high flying Chiefs shouldn’t be much of a duel
whatsoever. Kansas City is built like a well-oiled machine and it appears they
can just turn out receivers at will. With Shady McCoy now looking to be the
primary runner on this offense, sky is literally the limit to how far they can
go.
The Lions have played much better overall from last season, but
the run game continues to be a problem. Not having the ability to set up the
play action pass will hurt them a great deal in this one. Having to match
score-for-score will be an impossible task. The Chiefs continue to roll.
KC covers
the spread @ -6.5 KC 34 DET 30 (L)
Cleveland @ Baltimore (Favorite)
Caesars -6.5
Westgate -6.5
William Hill N/A
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect
As it stands today, the hype for the Cleveland Browns hasn’t matched
the performance on the field. Still trying to figure out how to make the play
calls gel with chemistry, the Browns will have another tough test traveling to
Baltimore to face the Ravens. Baker Mayfield will have to be much better in
this contest or it could get out of hand early. With news that Denzel Ward may
not play again this week, Lamar Jackson could find Hollywood Brown quite a bit.
The Ravens are a team that seem to have it all figured out early
and should be able to handle the Browns and their offensive dysfunction.
Keeping it true on the ground, Mark Ingram should again have a very big role. While
we really appreciate the skillset housed on this Ravens club, a touchdown
spread does provide some fear. Either way, we’ll bite and take the home squad.
BAL covers
the spread @ -6.5 CLE 40 BAL 25 (L)
New England (Favorite) @ Buffalo
Caesars -7
Westgate -7
William Hill N/A
Unibet -7
SportSelect
No one circles the wagons like the Buffalo Bills, and this week’s
contest verse the Patriots will be a clear indication of how big of a gap there
still is between the two clubs. Buffalo is moving in the right direction and
should give the Pats a run for their money, but understanding that turnovers
will be a massive part in their success.
The Patriots and Tom Brady have done a great job continuing to produce
on the offensive side, but the defense perhaps is one of the best units we’ve
seen under Coach Bill Belichick. The amount of depth and playmaking ability
will be a big problem for the Bills which could allow the Patriots to take over
in the second half. Even though the home crowd will have the stadium buzzing,
Buffalo will have to do everything right to get the win.
NE covers
the spread @ -7 NE 16 BUF 10 (L)
Tampa Bay @ LA Rams (Favorite)
Caesars -9.5
Westgate -9.5
William Hill -10
Unibet -9.5
SportSelect
This contest shouldn’t provide much in terms of competition as the
Rams look to regain that offensive pedigree from last season. Clearly, Todd
Gurley is being used sparingly which has inhibited this offense greatly thus
far. Coach Sean McVay and his systems may have been figured out by the
opposition, but he’s far too crafty to not adjust.
The Buccaneers let one slip out of the grasp last week when rookie
Daniel Jones elevated his game in the second half. Now taking travel cross
country to face one of the best in the league, it should be a difficult ask.
While Jameis Winston will try to air it out, the Rams defense is quite stout
and should hold the Bucs down.
LAR covers
the spread @ -9.5 TB 55 LAR 40 (L)
Seattle (Favorite) @ Arizona
Caesars -5
Westgate -5
William Hill N/A
Unibet -5.5
SportSelect
The Seattle Seahawks are quite the enigma right now and have made
it extremely hard to predict their outcomes. Playing at home hasn’t given them
any favors, but on the road seems to bring out more positive play. Russell
Wilson and company should be itching to get on the field to and prove last week
was a mere sidestep.
While the Hawks have their own set of problems to overcome, the
Cardinals let the wheels fall off in the second half last week getting tuned up
by a backup quarterback. We still have a great deal of faith in Kyler Murray,
but will have to see it with far more consistency. At this point with both
clubs struggling, we are hard pressed to preach a true winner. We might regret
this, but we’ll gamble.
SEA doesn’t cover
the spread @ -5 SEA 27 ARZ 10 (L)
Minnesota @ Chicago (Favorite)
Caesars -2
Westgate -2
William Hill N/A
Unibet -2
SportSelect
The Kirk Cousins dilemma has been nothing short of a head scratcher
thus far, and will again be very undesirable this week in Chicago. While the
Vikings run game has been fantastic, the pass game resembles nothing from last
year even though the same cast of characters remain.
The Bears showed much better last Monday Night taking down the
Redskins with ease. While the Vikings defense is far better than Washington and
should make things difficult for Mitchell Trubisky, the Bears defense will
again be ready to play. We might see improvement from Minnesota, but until we
see it on the field, gotta stick with defense here.
CHI covers
the spread @ -2 MIN 6 CHI 16 (W)
Jacksonville @ Denver (Favorite)
Caesars -3
Westgate -3
William Hill -3
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect
The Denver Broncos seem to compete admirably each week, but it’s
the slow nature of this offense that has placed a giant wrinkle in the outcome.
Joe Flacco hasn’t been able to get things moving in the first half so far, only
to witness a comeback attempt in the second. While playing at home should be a
welcome sight, their opponent is riding high.
The Jacksonville Jaguars are a club that are reinvigorated to say
the least behind Gardner Minshew behind center. This will be the toughest test
to date for the young rookie, but he should have enough to make things happen.
The key will be Leonard Fournette in this one, as clock control will be very important.
Both teams possess a defense that can shut down anyone, but our money is riding
with Minshew again.
DEN doesn’t cover
the spread @ -3 JAX 26 DEN 24 (W)
Dallas (Favorite) @ New Orleans
Caesars -2.5
Westgate -2.5
William Hill N/A
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect
The Dallas Cowboys let a fantastic opportunity fail them last week
to tune up this offense even more. Still blowing out the Dolphins with ease, we
expected much more on the field. Coming back to play the Drew Brees-less Saints
in New Orleans, this is still a large test in how Coach Sean Payton has this
team organized to play. Dallas has an offense that will be very tough to stop
and should give the Saints everything they can handle. Defense will be a big
part to how well the Cowboys preform on Sunday Night.
Admittedly, we didn’t know what to expect from Teddy Bridgewater
last week, and to be clear we were quite impressed. The Saints changed the plan
and used Alvin Kamara with a heavy workload. The same should be said in this
one, as keeping the ball out of Dak Prescott’s hands will be key. Game
management from the Saints will be important to pull this one out. However, we
really like this the Boys to come out on top.
DAL covers
the spread @ -2.5 DAL 10 NO 12 (L)
Monday
Sept.30
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
(Favorite)
Caesars -4
Westgate -4
William Hill N/A
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect
Clearing up week four on Monday Night Football, the Steelers host
the Bengals in what should now be an interesting matchup. With Mason Rudolph
leading the charge for the Steelers, he will have to show better progression
from his first start last week. We are also looking to see much improvement from
the ground game and James Conner.
The Bengals on the other hand have seen their share of bad luck
this season, but have played well for the most part. Taking on a Steelers squad
that is trying to reinvent themselves should give them an open door to run
through. Cincinnati has enough to make this a game and should keep it to a
field goal win or loss.
PIT doesn’t cover
the spread @ -4 CIN 3 PIT 27 (L)
Week 4 Record: 6-9 (.400)
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