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Week 2
Record: 9-7 (.563)
2019 Season Record: 18-14 (.563)
ADF All-Time Record: 286-282 (.504)
NFL WEEK 3 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ Sept.19.2019
– 12:00PM EST)
Thursday
Sept.19
Tennessee (Favorite) @
Jacksonville
Caesars -2
Westgate -1.5
William Hill N/A
Unibet -1.5
SportSelect -1.5
Kicking off Thursday Night Football, the Tennessee Titans travel
to Florida to take on the Jaguars in this AFC South showdown. Trouble has again
filled the Jags locker room as star defensive back Jalen Ramsey has requested a
trade. Initial indication is that he will suit up for this contest and be dealt
to another club some time over the weekend. While this defense showed a great
level of performance last week against Houston, the turmoil may be too much to
overcome.
The Titans fell back down to earth last week dropping a very
winnable contest to the Colts. Taking travel on a short week with Mariota
nursing an injured leg, we really wonder how Tennessee will fair. We fully
expect the run game to be the vocal point for this offense, while the defense
tries to shut down an inexperienced quarterback. We like the home side but will
gamble on the visitor.
TEN covers
the spread @ -1.5 TEN 7 JAX 20 (L)
Sunday
Sept.22
Cincinnati @ Buffalo (Favorite)
Caesars -6
Westgate -6
William Hill N/A
Unibet -6
SportSelect -5.5
Nobody circles the wagons like the Buffalo Bills and it appears
they finally have a team on their hands. Having their home opener set for
Sunday afternoon, New Era stadium should be rocking providing that extra
enthusiasm to beat down on the Bengals. While Josh Allen has progressed well in
both contests after a rough start in week one, it appears the chemistry is
building. Buffalo may be without Devin Singletary for this one with an injured
hamstring which would downgrade the overall run attack.
The Bengals are coming off a disastrous loss at home at the hands
of the 49ers and will look to start fast in Buffalo to take the crowd out of
this match early. Unfortunately for Cincinnati, they haven’t been able to
establish the run game which has left them extremely one dimensional. Joe Mixon
will again have his hands full with this stout Bills defensive line. Energy
will take the Bills over the top.
BUF covers
the spread @ -6 CIN 17 BUF 21 (L)
Detroit @ Philadelphia (Favorite)
Caesars -6.5
Westgate -6
William Hill N/A
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -6.5
We found the spread in this contest to be very interesting given
the fact the Eagles are dealing with a massive amount of injuries and should be
shorthanded for this one. Granted this match is in the comfortable confines of
Philadelphia, we struggle to understand how Vegas could attempt such a drastic
fooling of the general public. The Eagles didn’t look sharp last week and have
nothing resembling a run game. Carson Wentz was battered and beaten, and should
get a run for his money once again in week three.
The Detroit Lions are a team that we have grown to appreciate a
great deal, but would like to witness a lot more consistency in how their
offense performs. At this point, we can’t put anything negative on Matthew
Stafford and his receiving core, and we believe they will find their way in
this contest as well. If the Lions can manage to improve the run game, they
will be difficult to stop.
PHI doesn’t
cover the spread @ -6.5 DET 27 PHI 24 (W)
NY Jets @ New England (Favorite)
Caesars -23
Westgate -22.5
William Hill N/A
Unibet -22.5
SportSelect -23.5
The common theme this week from Vegas looks to be large spreads to
help even the books from the past two weeks. While we completely understand the
notion that New England should walk all over this Jets squad with Luke Falk
starting, covering 23 points is a task all in itself. With that said, the
Patriots may have the best defensive group they’ve ever had under Coach Bill
Belichick with ample playmakers and depth.
The New York Jets will be hard pressed to muster anything positive
with Luke Falk behind center. The limited experience going up against a beast
of a foe, we completely agree that the spread should be mammoth. With games
like these, covering 23 points is always a fear. Either way, the Pats defense
is far too dominating.
NE covers
the spread @ -22.5 NYJ 14 NE 30 (L)
Oakland @ Minnesota (Favorite)
Caesars -8.5
Westgate -8.5
William Hill N/A
Unibet -8.5
SportSelect -8.5
What can we say about the Minnesota Vikings and Kirk Cousins that
will get people to believe they will turn a sharp corner? From the first two
games of the season, the pass game had been atrocious to say the least, and we
are truly stumped to understand why. Dalvin Cook has been exactly what we
thought heading back to the offseason, which favored us to preach a much
improved pass attack, it hasn’t happened. At this point, we require a vast
amount of proof that Cousins can get back on track in a very big way.
The Oakland Raiders find themselves in a travel situation to
Minnesota where their squad will be put to the test. Even if the Vikings
offense can’t figure out how to throw effectively, the Vikings defense will
provide problems all day for Derek Carr. This spread is purely baiting the public
to overthink this contest. At this point, we are very comfortable to suggest
that Oakland will compete.
MIN doesn’t
cover the spread @ -8.5 OAK 14 MIN 34 (L)
Baltimore @ Kansas City
(Favorite)
Caesars -6.5
Westgate -6.5
William Hill -6.5
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -7.5
This could be one of the best matchups on the weekend slate as the
Ravens travel to Kansas City to battle the Chiefs. With everything a buzz
surrounding Lamar Jackson and his fabulous play, we will finally see a first
rate opponent to stifle his assentation. There is no questioning the power that
is the Chiefs offense, but their defense will leave something to be desired. Nevertheless,
Andy Reid will have a master plan in place knowing how to slow down Jackson in
his tracks, remember, he coached Mike Vick.
Baltimore has been very impressive through two weeks of the
season, and will have their first real test at Arrowhead stadium. Jackson will
have to prove he belongs in the big boy class, and a victory here will
certainly confirm that to us. The spread appears to be a little high for our
liking, and we’ll buck the trend on throwing full support toward the Chiefs
even though we feel they’ll come out on top.
KC doesn’t
cover the spread @ -6.5 BAL 28 KC 33 (L)
Atlanta @ Indianapolis (Favorite)
Caesars -1.5
Westgate -2
William Hill -2.5
Unibet-1.5
SportSelect -1.5
The Atlanta Falcons are coming off a Sunday Night performance
which saw them dismantle the Eagles sending half their roster to the medical
room. This week, Matt Ryan and company travel to Indy to face off against the
sound play of the Colts. Even though we understand that the Colts will be at
home and Atlanta is becoming a turnover machine, this spread has thrown us for
a loop.
The Colts have appeared impressive in the most non-exciting ways,
but remain competitive to the truest form. The Falcons continue to iron out
their offensive scheme under Dirk Koetter and should give Indy a run for their
money. While we do like the defense rostered on this Colts club, the Falcons
will wreak the spread and come away with the win.
IND doesn’t
cover the spread @ -2.5 ATL 24 IND 27 (L)
Denver @ Green Bay (Favorite)
Caesars -7.5
Westgate -7.5
William Hill -8
Unibet -7.5
SportSelect -8.5
The mantra has been very clear through two games for the Denver
Broncos and that is starting extremely slow. In both losses to start the year,
Denver couldn’t manage to move the ball with any regularity only to witness Joe
Flacco turn it up in the fourth quarter. If the Broncos can shoot out the gates
with a little more gusto, maybe they will stand a better chance at pulling this
out.
With that said, while the Broncos still possess an impressive
defensive unit, Green Bay too has re-engineered their defenders to become one
of the better up and coming groups in the league. Aaron Rodgers simply has had
to put a decent amount of points on the board only to watch his defense close
out the game. Playing at home with a better defense is the true advantage.
Green Bay continues to role.
GB covers
the spread @ -7.5 DEN 16 GB 27 (W)
Miami @ Dallas (Favorite)
Caesars -21.5
Westgate -21.5
William Hill N/A
Unibet -21.5
SportSelect -21.5
When was the last time we saw the Dallas Cowboys earn a 20-plus
point spread? It goes to show what respect will be given when a team plays at
an all-time high, while facing the leagues true bottom feeder club. Dallas and
Dak Prescott have looked fantastic thus far and should put on a clinic at home
to the struggling Dolphins.
Virtually everyone will touch the ball at some point for the
Cowboys which should lead to very big days for some. Miami is truly in tank-mode
as they continue to stock pile picks for next year’s draft, while trading any
viable pieces on this roster. This one will be ugly once again for the fish.
DAL covers
the spread @ -21.5 MIA 6 DAL 31 (W)
NY Giants @ Tampa Bay (Favorite)
Caesars -6.5
Westgate -6.5
William Hill -6.5
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -6.5
Get ready and buckle up Giants fans, the Eli Manning tenure is
basically over and it’s time to make way for the youngster, Daniel Jones. To
the shagreen of all Manning supporters, the Giants feel it’s time to move in
another direction and see what the future has in store.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will have a long week to prepare for the
Giants and this rookie passer which should give them the leg up. Coach Bruce
Arians will have his defense ready to stack the box on Saquon Barkley with
providing odd looks in coverage to confuse Jones. While I would normally
subscribe to a touchdown spread for any rookie starting his first game on the
road, Tampa Bay doesn’t fill me with a great deal of confidence. Tampa should win,
but will be hard pressed to cover.
TB doesn’t
cover the spread @ -6.5 NYG 32 TB 31 (W)
Carolina @ Arizona (Favorite)
Caesars EVEN
Westgate EVEN
William Hill EVEN
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect N/A
The Carolina Panthers look as though they will be without the
services of Cam Newton for this week three showdown in the desert. While
typically we would count this as a horrific loss for Carolina, Newton has
looked rather disappointing to say it politely. Christian McCaffrey will have
to provide everything for this offense this week in hopes to pull out the
victory.
The Cardinals on the other hand have impressed us over the first
two contests, and Kyler Murray appears to be the real deal. Not taking into
account the two losses in the standings, Murray has shown incredible heart in
attempting to keep his club in games. Vegas is right to favor Arizona, and
Murray should lift them to their first win of the season.
ARZ covers
the spread @ -2.5 CAR 38 ARZ 20 (L)
Pittsburgh @ San Francisco
(Favorite)
Caesars -6.5
Westgate -6.5
William Hill N/A
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -6.5
Shockwaves left the Steelers organization during last week’s
contest when starting quarterback Ben Roethlisberger was confirmed to be out
for the season. A devastating blow to the organization which has already
started 0-2 on the year. Moving forward, the Steelers will have to role with
second year pro Mason Rudolph. While Vegas wants to believe that Pittsburgh
will see a massive downgrade, we have a good level of faith that Rudolph will
show well.
As for the 49ers, they are making steps in the right direction building
chemistry and looking good in the process. Even with losing Tevin Coleman to
injury, Matt Breida and Raheem Mostert will continue to be a feature piece to
the puzzle. While we do like the 49ers to win this contest, covering a full touchdown
is a little much for us to get behind.
SF doesn’t cover
the spread @ -6.5 PIT 20 SF 24 (W)
New Orleans @ Seattle (Favorite)
Caesars -4
Westgate -4
William Hill N/A
Unibet -4.5
SportSelect -4.5
Much like the Pittsburgh Steelers, the Saints too lost their starting
pivot Drew Brees to a major injury, but hopeful news from this camp shows he’ll
be back in six weeks. Taking travel to Seattle with Teddy Bridgewater or Taysom
Hill as the quarterback, the Saints will be in tough to try and pull this game
out. Running the ball will have to be the focus in hopes to control the clock
to hopefully pull out a victory.
The Seahawks looked much better in their week two contest verse
the Steelers and should start getting this engine moving to high gear. Russell
Wilson climbed back to look like the dominating player we all have grown accustomed
too. Without Drew Brees in the lineup, Seattle should be able to knock off the
Saints with ease at home.
SEA covers
the spread @ -4 NO 33 SEA 27 (L)
Houston @ LA Chargers (Favorite)
Caesars -3.5
Westgate -3
William Hill -3
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5
While we were greatly disappointed with the Houston Texans last
week verse the Jaguars, they will endure yet another test this week in
travelling cross country to Los Angeles. Deshaun Watson and this offense should
be better prepared to improve on what was a lackluster performance, putting
points on the board to this heavily injured Chargers defense.
The Chargers once again are dealing with a great deal of their
team finding ways to the medical room leaving them extremely shorthanded.
Philip Rivers and Austin Ekeler have kept this club afloat for the time being,
but losing this much talent is never a positive situation. This game could be
very close in the onset, but we like the Texans to showcase much more than the
home town Chargers.
LAC doesn’t cover
the spread @ -3.5 HOU 27 LAC 20 (W)
LA Rams (Favorite) @ Cleveland
Caesars -3
Westgate -3
William Hill -3
Unibet -3
SportSelect -2.5
Sunday Night Football gives us a beauty on paper matchup, but for
how the Browns have started the season, we are very curious to see how they
will perform. The LA Rams continue to be one of the league’s best clubs, and
the Browns will surely have their hands full with this contest. Baker Mayfield hasn’t
been as impressive as most thought, and will have to raise the level of play this
week with Aaron Donald barring down upon him.
The Rams too haven’t been that overall dominating offensive
powerhouse we would’ve expected, but they continue to role to begin the year. While
the offense looks to get back to high octane levels, this defense has been as
advertised and should find wrinkles in the Browns offensive line. Travel should
be noted, but the Rams will be prepared and will show that the Browns aren’t in
their league just yet.
LAR covers
the spread @ -3 LAR 20 CLE 13 (W)
Monday
Sept.23
Chicago (Favorite) @ Washington
Caesars -4
Westgate -4
William Hill -5
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5
Closing out week three on Monday Night Football, the Bears travel
to Washington to face the Redskins who haven’t been horrible to start. Case
Keenum has played admirably finding his receivers with a good level of
consistency. The run game and defensive play late in contests has been the
biggest concern while facing tough opponents. It’s almost unfair to give the
Skins this Bears defense right after playing the Eagles and the Cowboys, but
this is their schedule.
The Chicago Bears truly have been a disappointment on offense as
Mitchell Trubisky clearly has taken three steps back. The Run game looked much
better last week with David Montgomery leading the charge. Nevertheless, the
defense is having to pitch shutouts in hopes to win these games which could
again be the case in primetime. We could see a tighter contest then the spread indicates,
but we’ll gamble on this one and side with the Bears defense.
CHI covers
the spread @ -3.5 CHI 31 WAS 15 (W)
Week 3 Record: 8-8 (.500)
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