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Fantasy Football Week 16 Lineup Advice: Championship Edition

WELCOME TO THE CHAMPIONSHIP!!! It has finally arrived; the 2018 fantasy football championship game is upon us. If you happen to be one of the lucky managers preparing for this showdown, you could be in a world of hurt literally after reviewing the injury reports from Friday. Some of the top producing players may not be healthy enough to suit up for this week’s contests leaving you in limbo. With that said, hopefully adequate depth was held on your bench to help supplant these potential losses.

This will be the last edition of fantasy football lineup advice for yet another season but stay tuned for big things coming from ADF as there is no offseason for us. Good luck and we hope to see you all hoist that coveted championship trophy.       


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START - GET THEM IN YOUR LINEUP

Quarterbacks:
Russell Wilson (SEA)
We have been preaching Russell Wilson quite a bit these last few weeks and will again for the final contest. Wilson has a prime showdown against the Chiefs which should be something of a point filled competition. The Chiefs still struggle to stop quarterbacks and Wilson will give them a run for their money. Russell will provide in the most important fantasy week.

Mitchell Trubisky (CHI)
The Chicago Bears look to be the real deal carried by their defense with a sprinkle of magic from their second year pro Mitchell Trubisky. Taking travel to San Francisco could limit the overall output for Mitchell, but we are banking on the Bears offense dominating for much of this one. The 49ers have improved over the last two games at home but will be put in terrible situations from this great defense. Trubisky will capitalize on the opportunity.  


Running Backs:
Joe Mixon (CIN)
Over the last two games, the Bengals have gone super run heavy feeding Joe Mixon a whopping 53 times on the ground, and there is little to suggest that won’t be the case again this week. Facing the Browns who give up the 8th most to fantasy runners, Mixon will again see at minimum 25 touches overall and will find the endzone.  

Nick Chubb (CLE)
On the other side of the field in the Browns/Bengals contest, Nick Chubb himself will enjoy a beauty of a matchup as Cincinnati gives up the most to running backs. Since the Browns traded Carlos Hyde to the Jaguars at the trade deadline, Nick Chubb has piled up 121.52 PPR fantasy points in that span literally taking over games on the ground. In a must win for Cleveland to keep their playoff hopes alive, Chubb will have a massive role.  

Phillip Lindsay (DEN)
Even though the Broncos playoff aspirations have fallen by the wayside, Phillip Lindsay has put together a phenomenal campaign that has granted him a spot in the pro bowl. Facing the Raiders on Monday Night, Denver will have reservations on dropping a very winnable contest as pride is on the line. Lindsay will see the ball a great deal and should find pay dirt yet again.  


Wide Receivers:
Robert Woods (LAR)
With Patrick Peterson more than likely shadowing Brandin Cooks for most of the afternoon, Robert Woods should be able to find room consistently to roam free. Adding to that, Todd Gurley could find himself on the sidelines for this match due to injury, leaving the Rams to throw more often to generate points. Woods could carry your team at the position this week.

Robby Anderson (NYJ)
When Sam Darnold is behind center for the Jets, Robby Anderson just seems to put up points in bunches. Robby has averaged a very healthy 17.24 PPR points in the last two weeks and should be able to find room on this Green Bay secondary which gives up the 4th most to receivers. If you have an injury at the position, Anderson should be able to help you get through.

Amari Cooper (DAL)
Seeing one of the worst games statistically since coming over to the Cowboys, Amari Cooper has a glorious opportunity to rebound and put up at minimum 15 fantasy points in the finals. While the Bucs held their own last week in Baltimore, Dallas will be ready after falling on their face verse the Colts while being shutout. Deep shots will be aplenty in this one for Cooper.  


Tight-Ends:
Jared Cook (OAK)
With the tight-end position an absolute crap-shoot this season, Jared Cook has the best opportunity to provide a great deal of production. The Broncos defense isn’t the same without Chris Harris manning the backend, leaving the entire Denver defense susceptible. Oakland will be passing early and often, and Cook should be a top producer this week.


SIT - LEAVE THEM ON THE BENCH

Quarterbacks:
Matthew Stafford (DET)
To conclude a horrible fantasy campaign from the Lions Matthew Stafford, we have placed him on the bench and left him there for the last five weeks and have no reason to take him off now. If you made the finals streaming quarterbacks this season, we must throw the white flag and tell you to look elsewhere this week. The Lions are playing for the offseason and Stafford will throw up another dud.

Jameis Winston (TB)
The Bucs continue to show that they can compete but can’t seem to take everything over the top. Jameis has been a very sound matchup quarterback this season, but this week will not be the same. The Cowboys return home angry after last weeks contest and should put a licking on Tampa Bay. Giving up the 9th fewest to quarterbacks, Jameis should struggle to throw more than one touchdown pass.  


Running Backs:
Dion Lewis (TEN)
Over the past three weeks, the Titans finally realized who should carry the load from the backfield. Trying for far too long to continue to feed Dion Lewis was absolutely the wrong move as he is far more effective as the change of pace back. Lewis could have a role for PPR formats but will struggle to generate anything more than 8-10 points on Sunday. This is Henry’s backfield now.  

Melvin Gordon (LAC)
While most Melvin Gordon owners were extremely excited to see the prospects of him suiting up this week, we aren’t as pumped as the rest. Gordon is never a must bench, but this could be as close as it gets. Coming off that knee injury and having no real indication that he will return to his regular workload; this play has bust written all over it. Gordon could save his day with a touchdown scamper but seeing more than 13-15 points is a stretch in our minds. Bust factor is real.  


Wide Receivers:
DJ Moore (CAR)
With Cam Newton relegated to the bench after being shutdown for the season, backup Tyler Heinicke will get the start for the last two games which could limit the overall production from all players on this receiving core. DJ Moore has had a great rookie season that should see better days next year, but this play is far to risky on championship weekend.  

Dante Pettis (SF)
The 49ers may have found gold with this year’s rookie Dante Pettis as he’s turned in games of the impressive variety. This week however will be a difficult task to muster anything of value verse the Bears defense that should be able to shut down everything offensively for San Fran. Pettis undoubtedly did his job for your club in matchup play, but this week he shouldn’t be removed from your bench.


Tight-Ends:
Kyle Rudolph (MIN)
When the season began, we at ADF were extremely high on the prospects of Kyle Rudolph being a top flight tight-end, to which he started that way. As the season progressed, Rudolph has seen his target share decrease to the tune of being an afterthought in this offense. Kyle always possesses touchdown appeal, but even that has been difficult to find in the last many weeks. Keep Kyle on the bench if he hasn’t been dropped on the waiver already.


POTENTIAL BIG DAY – ALL ABOUT THE RISK/REWARD

Quarterbacks:
Tom Brady (NE)
The New England Patriots and Tom Brady have seen their share of offensive struggles as the season has moved forward but facing the Bills at home in week 16 coming off back-to-back losses, Brady could be primed for a bounce back. Even as the Bills give up the fewest points to the position, Brady has dominated Buffalo in his career, and when was the last time we’ve seen New England lose three in a row. We actually believe with the loss of Josh Gordon to more league discipline could revive this offense using key players from the past that made them successful. Tom should be able to generate 20 points on the day.    

Baker Mayfield (CLE)
Feeling dangerous could be an understatement after this contest is complete for Baker Mayfield. The Bengals still give up the most to fantasy quarterbacks and should be in tough on the road in the dawg pound. Why is this play still a little risky? We haven’t seen Baker in a must win situation of great importance in the NFL just yet and would like to see how he handles himself. The potential is great for Baker to have himself a very good day.  


Running Backs:
Mark Ingram (NO)
The Saints offense has been nothing short of unimpressive these last few weeks but returning home should be the elixir they require to turn things around. Facing the Steelers and their 7th best defense verse the run, Mark Ingram should be used a lot more to establish that hard nose running to beat up the Pittsburgh defense. New Orleans requires a shootout type of contest in the worst way to get back on track. Ingram should find his way back into the endzone.  

Sony Michel (NE)
The Buffalo Bills would like nothing more than to beat the Patriots on their own home turf but stopping the run has been their biggest weakness this season. Sony Michel and James White have struggled mightily these last few weeks and should be used heavily in this one to keep the Bills off their game. Buffalo gives up the tenth most to fantasy runners and Bill Belichick should have a game plan that will exploit this weakness.  

Derrick Henry (TEN)
Perhaps this is obvious now after seeing consecutive contests of massive production from Derrick Henry, but we still must list him on the potential big day category verse the Skins sound run defense. Henry has again gained the trust of his coaching staff showing what happens when he receives the majority of the touches from the backfield. Henry is a volume runner that gets better as the game moves forward and should be able to get into the endzone once again. If you were patient with Henry this season, he will reward you with a fantasy title.  


Wide Receivers:
Chris Hogan (NE)
With Josh Gordon now again on the NFL list for substance abuse, re-enter Chris Hogan back into the mix as a potential big game player. Even as the Bills have done a great job against receivers this season, they have been prone to give up the big play from time to time. Hogan has a perfect opportunity to showcase his ability once again and seeing him find the endzone could all be but a formality.  

Doug Baldwin (SEA)
The Seattle Seahawks have been perhaps the most impressive club after seeing so many of their rostered players find new homes in the offseason. Doug Baldwin has been dealing with a knee injury for the entire season which has limited his overall performance. Last week proved that Doug is finding his grove and could again be the case against the Chiefs who struggle to make stops on defense at the best of times. If Seattle has any shot of winning this one on Sunday Night, Baldwin will have to have a large day.

DaeSean Hamilton (DEN)
This is the second week in a row we will preach the Broncos DaeSean Hamilton, and for right purpose. Hamilton has sealed himself in the Sanders position and will continue to see the team high in targets this week against the Raiders who can’t stop a cold. Seeing 21 targets over the last two games while piling up 26.20 PPR points during that span, we should see DaeSean again featured and producing. We could see Hamilton force the hand of the Broncos brain trust this offseason to cut bait with Sanders if he produces these next two weeks. Hamilton is a perfect flex play to get you the title.


Tight-Ends:
Matt LaCosse (DEN)
Yet another Denver Bronco that could find his way to glory this weekend, is their tight-end Matt LaCosse. The Raiders are one of the worst teams in stopping players at the position, and LaCosse could see his fair share of targets. There is large bust factor to this play as Matt is known to lay eggs on the stat-sheet. If you are stuck and require a potential big day player in a great matchup, it doesn’t get better than LaCosse.  

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