PLACE YOUR BETS!!! Hard to believe it’s that time of year already as Turkey Day
is upon us. Having three matchups on the docket as per usual, we will be
treated to some very good football. Last week ADF struggled to climb above the
.500 mark missing it by one contest. However, even with a slight letdown in
week 11, we still have managed to hold 15 games in the positive as we enter the
last 6 weeks of the regular season. We have a splendid opportunity to get
started on the right foot to week 12 by running the table in this trio of
contests. Let’s get to it, ADF THANKSGIVING DAY SPECIAL - POINT SPREAD PICKS!
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Week 11 Record: 6-7 (.462) | 2018 Season Record: 88-73
(.556)
ADF All-Time Record: 220-208 (.514)
NFL WEEK 12 – Predictions
(Projected odds makers @ November.21.2018 – 12:00PM EST)
BYE WEEK: Kansas City, LA Rams
Thursday Nov.22.2018
Chicago
(Favorite) @ Detroit
Westgate -3.5
Caesar’s -4
William Hill -3.5
Wynn -4
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5
The Chicago Bears continue to pile up victories,
recently defeating their divisional rival the Minnesota Vikings. Chicago’s
defense has been absolutely lights out this season seeing little to criticize
in their overall performance. Like most young teams, possessing that killer
instinct to close out games is very important and is perhaps the Bears only
undoing at this point. Allowing the opposition to climb back into a contest
they have no right being in, could be the collapse of the Bears as they
approach a playoff berth. Mitchell Trubisky has popped up on the injury report
with the possibility that he could miss this match. Recent reports suggest he
is more likely to sit this one out leaving a massive downgrade on this offense.
The Lions are a club that have been very difficult to
predict in terms of appropriately assigning the spread. Being more than a field
goal underdog at home isn’t something that is encouraging for us to jump all
over especially since their rookie star Kerryon Johnson has already been ruled
out. Matthew Stafford will have his work cut out for him in this one as Khalil
Mack has truly been an unstoppable force. While the Lions will have a very difficult
task offensively, not seeing Mitchell suit up will be a great advantage.
CHI
doesn’t cover the spread @ - 4 CHI 23 DET 16 (L)
Washington
@ Dallas (Favorite)
Westgate -7.5
Caesar’s -7.5
William Hill -7.5
Wynn -7.5
Unibet -7.5
SportSelect -7.5
Since acquiring the services of Amari Cooper, the
Dallas Cowboys have been a completely different club on offense. Getting back
to basics and feeding their star running back Zeke Elliott has been more viable
now that Cooper draws the safety out of the box. Everything in this offense
should revolve around Elliott which sets up the play action pass which is a
heavy strength of Dak Prescott. While the offense moves toward solid
improvement, it’s the Cowboys defense that has made the most noise. Dallas
employs a duo at line backer that will eventually become so impressive, no team
will be able to run the ball with great consistency.
With the Cowboys seeing upticks in their game, the
Redskins were dealt a massive blow witnessing their starting quarterback Alex
Smith break his leg in gruesome fashion. Moving forward, Colt McCoy will take
the reins once again as a starter in hopes to keep this train moving in the
right direction. It’s our anticipation that Washington will attempt to run the
ball move frequently removing pressure from Colt. While the offensive
production is yet to be seen with McCoy behind center, this Redskins defense
has been the side that has carried this team. This spread has clear bait
factors from Vegas to capitalize on a backup quarterback being inserted. While
we feel Dallas should find a way to win, the Skins defense will keep it closer
than the line suggests.
DAL
doesn’t cover the spread @ -7.5 WAS 23 DAL 31 (L)
Atlanta
@ New Orleans (Favorite)
Westgate -13
Caesar’s -13
William Hill -13
Wynn -13
Unibet -12.5
SportSelect -13.5
Ending Turkey Day on a high note, the schedule makers
have gifted us with a NFC South beauty between the Falcons and the Saints.
There’s no question the Saints are one of, if not the best team in the NFL and
will surely like to continue the stranglehold on the division. The great Drew
Brees has been terrific this season rewriting the books in terms of passer
rating and efficiency. As if the pass game wasn’t enough to worry about, Alvin
Kamara and Mark Ingram continue to pound through defenses with ease virtually
on a weekly basis. If there was a potential downfall to this roster, we could
point areas of concern on the defensive side as they do in fact have issues.
The secondary is far less dominate compared to last year’s group that seemingly
turned a corner. Even with those shortcomings, Brees masks it quite well.
When looking at the Falcons overall, we are becoming
less encouraged of their prospects to even challenge for a wildcard position.
This is truly a must win contest for the dirty birds to try and keep pace with
the Carolina Panthers. Simply put, the same issues have come about with
enigmatic play calling and poor execution offensively, while the defense has
grossly under-performed. While we fully understand injuries to two of their best
players on defense has forced the side step, there’s no excuse we can swallow to
justify the lack of consistency on offense. Steve Sarkisian and his subpar
schemes have been figured out quite easily leaving Atlanta little wiggle room.
With that all said, Atlanta will put great effort in this one busting a spread
of two touchdowns.
NO
doesn’t cover the spread @ -13 NO 31 ATL 17 (L)
Thanksgiving Record: 0-3 (.000)
Note: All Day Football is
not responsible for any personal gains or losses as a result of its
predictions. Please play responsibly.
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