NFL Week 12 Point Spread Picks

PLACE YOUR BETS!!! While the turkey was delicious, our spread predictions took a massive hit. To our defense, the Bears covered with assistance form a late pick six, while the Cowboys and Saints barley covered by a single point or less. Either way, we can admit when we have faltered and look to rebound this weekend. This Sunday has a mixture of both large and small spreads as the landscape of how the playoff picture is beginning to shape up. We look to rebound in a big way to correct the losses we’ve had these last couple weeks. We will get back on track… Lets get to it…   

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Week 11 Record: 6-7 (.462) | Thanksgiving Record: 0-3 (.000) | 2018 Season Record: 88-76 (.540)

ADF All-Time Record: 220-211 (.510)

NFL WEEK 12 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ November.23.2018 – 12:00PM EST)

BYE WEEK: Kansas City, LA Rams      

Sunday Nov.25.2018

San Francisco @ Tampa Bay (Favorite)

Westgate -3.5

Caesar’s -3.5

William Hill -3.5

Wynn -3.5

Unibet -3.5

SportSelect -3.5

We feel like we’ve been down this road many times with the Buccaneers and Jameis Winston. Inept passing from Ryan Fitzpatrick leads to Winston coming off the bench to only receive a favorable spread the following week. This quarterback situation is literally a disaster and we find it difficult believing Vegas is that encouraged with the outlook. The only variable which makes us believe this spread is possible is the long travel miles the 49ers will have to endure. With that said, San Francisco is coming off the bye week which should’ve provided ample rest to negate their travel. Mullens should be able to string drives together against one of the worst defenses in the NFL. Tampa could find a way to win but it will be a field goal contest.

TB doesn’t cover the spread @ -3.5 SF 9 TB 27 (L)

New England (Favorite) @ NY Jets

Westgate -9.5

Caesar’s -9.5

William Hill -9.5

Wynn -9.5

Unibet -9.5

SportSelect -9.5

With recent news that Tom Brady has missed the start of Fridays practice with an injury or maintenance, that drops our confidence that the Pats will come out firing on all cylinders this week. With that said, New England is coming off the bye week undoubtedly fully prepared for a weaker opponent in the New York Jets. The Jets season is all but over as they will look to play out the string in hopes to save the head coaches job. While this game looks to be a giant mismatch on paper, the health of Brady needs to be heard for us to gain assurance. Either way, we will side with the Pats coming off the bye against a terrible Jets squad.

NE covers the spread @ -9.5 NE 27 NYJ 13 (W)

NY Giants @ Philadelphia (Favorite)

Westgate -6

Caesar’s -6

William Hill -6

Wynn -6

Unibet -5.5

SportSelect -6.5

Last years Super Bowl Champs are literally on life support to try and stamp their ticket to the postseason in hopes to defend their title. Recent reports have shown that the Eagles are without all five of their starting defensive backs for this contest and will struggle to defend the Giants top pass catchers. Offensively, the Eagles aren’t a sound unit either showing great inadequacies in both the run and the pass. We fully understand that the Giants are also a club that is a shell of what they once were under Eli Manning but have been able to show good offensive production these last few weeks. The lack of defensive backs on the Eagles will be their undoing.

PHI doesn’t cover the spread @ -6 NYG 22 PHI 25 (W)

     

Oakland @ Baltimore (Favorite)

Westgate -10.5

Caesar’s -11

William Hill -11

Wynn -11

Unibet -10.5

SportSelect -10.5

We all have seen how bad the Oakland Raiders have been this season but did provide good effort last week against the Cardinals finding a way to gain a victory in the desert. This week Oakland travels to Baltimore to face off against the Ravens who ran the ball a whopping 53 times with Lamar Jackson under center. With reports that Joe Flacco will again miss this contest with an injured hip, Jackson will get another opportunity to prove he can be the future of this team. Undrafted rookie Gus Edwards gave the Ravens a dimension of a bruiser type of back to help propel their run game a week ago. The Raiders are what they are and having to endure long travel to the east may cause them to struggle, but we find it difficult to believe 11 points will be covered with Jackson behind center.

BAL doesn’t cover the spread @ -11 OAK 17 BAL 34 (L)

Jacksonville (Favorite) @ Buffalo

Westgate -3

Caesar’s -3

William Hill -3

Wynn -3.5

Unibet -3.5

SportSelect -3.5

The Jaguars season filled with so much promise has all but been a disaster behind their star running backs injury and lackluster play from the quarterback. It was clear to us that the defense gave up on the team knowing the offense couldn’t provide any assistance. Travelling to Buffalo to face off against the Bills who are in the midst of a rebuild, shouldn’t be that much of a difficult test. Buffalo has their own issues offensively having scored only 13 touchdowns on the season and are preparing for Josh Allen to return to action. The Jags gave a solid effort last week verse the Steelers in attempts to save their season, but the outcome once again didn’t go in their favor. In a meaningless contest, we believe the Jags will show out on defense to carry this club to victory.

JAX covers the spread @ -3 JAX 21 BUF 24 (L)

Seattle @ Carolina (Favorite)

Westgate -3.5

Caesar’s -3

William Hill -3.5

Wynn -3.5

Unibet -3.5

SportSelect -3.5

Once of the better games on the Sunday slate sees the Seahawks travel to Carolina to take on Cam Newton and the Panthers. Carolina has played fantastic at home not losing a contest this season. Newton and McCaffrey have simply dominated on home turf leaving the opposition searching for answers. The Hawks have been a pleasant surprise this season especially on the defensive side showing good ability and shutdown characteristics. Russell Wilson has enjoyed lesser reliance on his arm this year as they have once again become a run first club taking advantage of what they employ. Betting against Seattle has become difficult these last few weeks, but long travel to the south east should be more than they can handle.

CAR covers the spread @ -3 SEA 30 CAR 27 (L)

Cleveland @ Cincinnati (Favorite)

Westgate -3

Caesar’s -3

William Hill -3

Wynn -3

Unibet -3

SportSelect -3.5

Coming off the bye week, the Cleveland Browns will try and steal a victory against the Bengals in a true must win in hopes to stay somewhat competitive in the AFC playoff race. Baker Mayfield woke up feeling dangerous last game and will require that same enthusiasm going into this contest. Reviewing the film on the Bengals last week proves they have many issues all over the roster that become amplified without AJ Green on the field. Green has drawn a questionable tag for this match which would be a welcomed sight. This contest is very tough to predict as Cleveland has been far from consistent this season. However, the Bengals troubles should be exploited even if Green returns to action.

CIN doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 CLE 35 CIN 20 (W)

Arizona @ LA Chargers (Favorite)

Westgate -12.5

Caesar’s -12

William Hill -12

Wynn -12

Unibet -12.5

SportSelect -11.5

Seeing large spreads always proves to be difficult to handle even with the Cardinals being on the receiving end. The Chargers dropped last weeks contest to the Broncos in Charger like fashion making great mistakes as the game wore on. This week Arizona travels to LA to try and muster anything positive while not being blown out of the water. We have little question that the Chargers will win this match with ease but struggle to endorse such a large spread given the fact that LA has only covered more than 12 points three times this season. LA wins but doesn’t cover this week.

LAC doesn’t cover the spread @ -12.5 ARZ 10 LAC 45 (L)

Miami @ Indianapolis (Favorite)

Westgate -7.5

Caesar’s -8.5

William Hill -8.5

Wynn -9

Unibet -8

SportSelect -9.5

Andrew Luck and the Colts have been flying high these last several weeks and look to put the hurt on the Dolphins while once again playing at home. The Colts offensive line has don’t a fantastic job keeping Luck upright giving him every advantage to scan the field finding his receivers. The Fins on the other hand have once again had a tough time putting together anything credible while holding a .500 record. Ryan Tannehill is set to return to action from missing time due to a shoulder injury trying to lift this offense. Rust factor needs to be accounted for in Ryan’s return as he gears up to face a defense that has played surprisingly well this season. We are starting to get on board with what the Colts are selling.

IND covers the spread @ -7.5 MIA 24 IND 27 (L)

Pittsburgh (Favorite) @ Denver

Westgate -3

Caesar’s -3

William Hill -3

Wynn -3

Unibet -3

SportSelect -3.5

Pittsburgh showed heavy struggle last week against the Jaguars but still managed to find a way to gain the victory late. Taking travel to Denver to play in Mile High normally favors the Broncos, but the odds makers have chosen to believe that Denver won’t match the effort. Some glorious matchups will be had in this one seeing Chris Harris battle Antonio Brown for much of the day. Denver’s offense has taken a definite step in the wrong direction this season but should be able to move the ball on the Steelers. This game could literally go either way especially being played in Denver. We will gamble on this one picking the Broncos as the biggest upset of the week.

PIT doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 PIT 17 DEN 24 (W)

Green Bay @ Minnesota (Favorite)

Westgate -3.5

Caesar’s -3.5

William Hill -3.5

Wynn -3.5

Unibet -3.5

SportSelect -3.5

Here we go again with another NFC North showdown on Sunday Night Football where Aaron Rodgers and the Packers travel to Minnesota to take on Kirk Cousins and the Vikings. Both clubs have under achieved this season given what both should’ve been able to accomplish through 11 weeks. Minnesota doesn’t possess that killer instinct that would be required of a Super Bowl contender, while the Packers simply can’t find their grove and have struggled with overall consistency. While both teams will be looking to put their best foot forward as their playoff lives are literally at stake, we should see much improved levels of play from both. This is yet another game that will be decided by a field goal and could go either way.

MIN doesn’t cover the spread @ -3.5 GB 17 MIN 24 (L)

Monday Nov.26.2018

Tennessee @ Houston (Favorite)

Westgate -6.5

Caesar’s -6.5

William Hill -6

Wynn -6.5

Unibet -6.5

SportSelect -6.5

With Marcus Mariota drawing a questionable tag for this contest in Houston, we really have zero trust that even if he suits up, he will finish the game. The Texans are on a tear winning their last seven games and look to make it eight giving them a giant leg up in the division. Deshaun Watson hasn’t been the spectacular version of himself that burst into the NFL last season but is doing enough to move the offense down the field. The Titans defense is a better unit then what took the field last week against the Colts and should see great improvement this week. However, traveling to Houston will be a difficult test, one in which we don’t see going well. This spread seems ambitious from Vegas, but we have no choice but to take the bait. 

HOU covers the spread @ -6.5 TEN 17 HOU 34 (W)

Week 12 Record: 5-7 (.420)

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