PLACE YOUR BETS!!! While it’s not the most humbling thing to toot your own
horn, but in this case we think it’s warranted. Going on four weeks hitting at least
the 65% mark, with a topper of 79% in NFL point spread betting is definitely
something to be proud of. Hitting 69% winners last week gained more funds to
stack in your bank accounts leaving our season earnings to the best levels
we’ve seen in 2018. Week ten has some very high spreads to contend with as it’s
apparent that Vegas is hedging their bets to try and recoup money lost this season.
Some may subscribe to the notion that higher spreads are easier to select, but
we know all too well how big of a trap it could become. With that said, we will
look to continue this dominance of picking majority winners to keep earning big
dollars. Let’s get to it…
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Week 9 Record: 9-4 (.692) | 2018 Season Record:
77-57 (.575)
ADF All-Time Record: 209-192
(.522)
NFL WEEK 10 – Predictions
(Projected odds makers @ November.8.2018 – 12:00PM EST)
BYE WEEK: Baltimore, Denver, Houston, Minnesota
Thursday Nov.8.2018
Carolina
@ Pittsburgh (Favorite)
Westgate -4
Caesar’s -4
William Hill -4
Wynn -3.5
Unibet -4
SportSelect -4.5
This week’s edition of Thursday Night Football could
be a great treat with Cam Newton and the Panthers travelling to Pittsburgh to
take on the Steelers. The Panthers have been rolling of late elevating their
record to 6-2 while playing 5 of those contests at home. While heavy travel
miles will be had by the Panthers in this one, it may not be the as difficult
of a task as it looks on paper as the Steelers hold a .500 record at home and a
defense that has struggled to raise their game. Carolina has shown they
continue to use the run game to their advantage opening up the play action pass
spreading the ball to its many playmakers. The Steelers are an interesting
group that perhaps haven’t been overly tested until this match on Thursday.
Vegas is a little ambitious siding with Pittsburgh over a field goal.
PIT
doesn’t cover the spread @ -4 CAR 21 PIT 52 (L)
Sunday Nov.11.2018
New
Orleans (Favorite) @ Cincinnati
Westgate -4.5
Caesar’s -4.5
William Hill -4.5
Wynn -4.5
Unibet -4.5
SportSelect -4.5
Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints are definite
front runners in the NFC to reach supremacy given the way they have played so
far this season. Knocking off the high-flying Rams last week at home is a
direct indication of that. Taking their talents on the road to face off against
the Bengals who are coming off a bye could be somewhat of a trap game if they
undervalue their opponent. Recent news for Cincinnati suggests they will be
without their star receiver AJ Green for at least the next couple weeks, making
it a very difficult task for this upcoming matchup. While the Bengals have
played quite well this season to place them in a situation to be right on the
heels of the Steelers for the division lead, we can’t envision any situation
where they could challenge the Saints even at home.
NO
covers the spread @ -4.5 NO 51 CIN 14 (W)
Atlanta
(Favorite) @ Cleveland
Westgate -4
Caesar’s -4
William Hill -4
Wynn -4
Unibet -4
SportSelect -4.5
The Atlanta Falcons surprised most last week walking
into Washington dismantling a team that has improved in many facets of their
game. Never being a solid road club, especially outdoors, Atlanta is again
tested this time against the Browns. The Falcons come into this contest
desperate to keep pace in the NFC South that is turning into a two pony race
unless they can take care of business in a very winnable match. The Browns
continue to put their best foot forward but can’t seem sustain much of anything
for a full 60 minutes. Baker Mayfield will give his best as he has all season
but will ultimately have to match touchdowns rather than field goals. Atlanta
should replicate their approach from last week with a run heavy scheme to
remove pressure form Matt Ryan opening up the Browns defense.
ATL
covers the spread @ -4 ATL 16 CLE 28 (L)
Jacksonville @ Indianapolis (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -2.5
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -2.5
Perhaps one of the most difficult games to predict on
the week ten slate sees a crucial divisional matchup between the Colts and the
Jags. Jacksonville finds themselves a slight underdog on the road simply due in
part to their horrible performances of the few weeks prior. The Jags
offensively haven’t been able to muster much of anything to write home about
while their defense seems to have gotten tired of carrying the load. The Jags
may have some good fortune coming as Leonard Fournette could return for this
contest after dealing with his nagging hamstring injury. The Colts on the other
hand have made games look interesting these last few weeks as Andrew Luck looks
far more comfortable throwing behind an offensive line that actually is
protecting the franchise signal caller. While the Colts are an improving club
with little expectation this season, the Jags will try and save their campaign
that was full of hope and optimism for glory.
IND
doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 JAX 26 IND 29 (L)
Detroit @ Chicago (Favorite)
Westgate -6.5
Caesar’s -6
William Hill -6.5
Wynn -6.5
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -6.5
The Chicago Bears
absolutely dismantled the Buffalo Bills last week which was the expectation,
but have a tougher test ahead of them in a divisional showdown against the
Lions. The Bears have been building and gaining steam each week with good
offensive execution and solid defensive play. Detroit continues to show uneven
performances grossly underachieving in the process. Looking uninspired and
confused last week against the Vikings, Detroit looks to still have a long way
to go. The Bears defense at home will provide a very difficult task for
Stafford and their offensive line if they can’t produce more from the run.
While everything inside us is screaming to take the points, NFC North matches
usually are close battles.
CHI doesn’t cover the spread @ -6.5 DET 22 CHI 34 (L)
Arizona @ Kansas City (Favorite)
Westgate -16.5
Caesar’s -16.5
William Hill -16.5
Wynn -16.5
Unibet -16.5
SportSelect -16.5
With the Cardinals coming off the bye-week in hopes to
put something of value together, they have be tasked with travel to Arrowhead
stadium to take on one of the best in the business. The Kansas City Chiefs look
unstoppable on offense this season with Mahomes and company and look to keep
the pedal to the metal. While subscribing to a spread as large as this one is
never a favorable event given that the Chiefs struggle to stop anyone on defense,
this matchup should be over early on. Vegas is hoping to pull some funds on the
money line on the Cardinals side, but we don’t see that being a sound bet.
KC
covers the spread @ -16.5 ARZ 14 KC 26 (L)
New England (Favorite) @ Tennessee
Westgate -6.5
Caesar’s -6.5
William Hill -6.5
Wynn -6.5
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -6.5
The mighty New England Patriots continue to move
forward taking travel miles to Nashville to faceoff against the Titans who
found a way to be victories on Monday Night verse the Cowboys. Tennessee has
looked impressive this season on the defensive side of the ball with greater
emphasis at stopping the run. While we aren’t great supporters of Mariota, his
legs could be an issue for the Patriots to contain. New England simply just
continues to move forward no matter who is on the field (most recently without
Gronkowski and Michel), managing to beat the Packers last Sunday Night. A
touchdown spread could be difficult with a defense playing very sound ball,
but, it’s the Patriots and we’ve learned our lesson far too often to buck the
spread for New England.
NE
covers the spread @ -6.5 NE 10 TEN 34 (L)
Washington @ Tampa Bay (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -2.5
Unibet -3
SportSelect -2.5
The Washington Redskins dropped an egg of a
performance last week at home to the Falcons showing their lack of preparation
for a run attack that exploded. Taking long travel miles to Florida to
challenge the Buccaneers with Ryan Fitz-magic again behind center gives
credence for Vegas favoring the Bucs. The Redskins again find themselves in a
situation where injuries are piling up to important positions (the offensive
line) giving little faith that Alex Smith and Adrian Peterson will be able to
find was to move the ball. Tampa Bay’s season is all but a formality once again
and should see them picking in the top ten of next year’s draft, but with
Fitzpatrick slinging the ball, they have a shot in this one. This game should
be close but we have no choice but to side with the home team.
TB
covers the spread @ -3 WAS 16 TB 3 (L)
Buffalo @ NY Jets (Favorite)
Westgate -7
Caesar’s -7.5
William Hill -7.5
Wynn -7.5
Unibet -7.5
SportSelect -7.5
The Buffalo Bills have been on a crash course all
season with the revolving door of quarterbacks leaving little to build off. The
Bills defense continues to play with the upmost effort but ends contests with
little left in the tank trying to carry the team. Recent news breaking that the
Jets will be without Sam Darnold for this match with an injury to his foot,
leaving Josh McCown ready to take his place back behind center. The Jets have
been up and down this year trying to build something productive leaving a lot
on the field. Buffalo doesn’t have much to play for and should once again find
themselves in the loss category after this one. With that said, it’s difficult
to give a solid prediction as we aren’t quite sure who will play at quarterback
for the Bills, leaving us to play safe.
NYJ
doesn’t cover the spread @ -7.5 BUF 41 NYJ 10 (W)
LA Chargers (Favorite) @ Oakland
Westgate -10
Caesar’s -10
William Hill -10
Wynn -10
Unibet -10
SportSelect -9.5
The Oakland Raiders showed little effort and no fight
whatsoever last Thursday Night against the 49ers who were forced to start a
practice squad quarterback. This week the Raiders will host the Chargers who
finally are showing how good they can be with decisive victories now on a
weekly basis. Coach Antony Lynn has this team humming behind the strength of a
dominating run attack lead by star Melvin Gordon. Philip Rivers also is playing
very sound football not being plagued with turnovers which has been his
downfall throughout his long career. The Raiders have all but packed it in this
season to garner the top selection in next year’s draft leaving little to
evaluate for a potential victory.
LAC
covers the spread @ -10 LAC 20 OAK 6 (W)
Miami @ Green Bay (Favorite)
Westgate -9.5
Caesar’s -9
William Hill -9.5
Wynn -9
Unibet -9.5
SportSelect -9.5
The Green Bay Packers showed great weakness last week
against the Patriots on Sunday Night Football suggesting they aren’t a sound
football team. While Aaron Rodgers is still one of the best quarterbacks in the
NFL, something is lacking in the overall build of this team that provides
perception that the Pack are far from a sure thing. The Dolphins on the other
hand have found good fortune playing at home only dropping one of five contests
in Florida to bring their record to 5-4 on the year. Comparing that to their
road record, Vegas is placing confidence in that trend suggesting it will
continue. While we believe the Packers will get back on track and win this
contest, it will be closer than a ten point differential.
GB
doesn’t cover the spread @ -9.5 MIA 12 GB 31 (L)
Seattle @ LA Rams (Favorite)
Westgate -10
Caesar’s -10
William Hill -10
Wynn -10
Unibet -9.5
SportSelect -10.5
The LA Rams return home after dropping their first
contest of the season to host the Seahawks in an important divisional matchup.
Historically, the Hawks seem to have the Rams number, knowing how to compete
exposing their flaws. These teams met just over a month ago where Seattle
almost pulled off the great upset losing by a mere two points. Realizing that
this contest will be played in Los Angeles giving home field advantage to the
Rams, seeing a ten point swing in the spread is still a giant task verse a
Hawks team that has played sound defense. Russell Wilson will have to be
brilliant in this contest for Seattle to stand any chance against a Rams team
that will be motivated to get back in the win column. However, this contest is
set up as a pure trap-game for the Rams as anticipation will be on high for
their week 11 tilt against the Chiefs in Mexico City on Monday Night Football.
While we fully expect the Rams to be victorious in this one, the spread won’t
be covered.
LAR
doesn’t cover the spread @ -10 SEA 31 LAR 36 (W)
Dallas @ Philadelphia (Favorite)
Westgate -6.5
Caesar’s -6.5
William Hill -6.5
Wynn -6.5
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -6.5
With another divisional showdown on the week 10 slate,
Sunday Night Football appears to be a dandy with high potential to be a letdown
in entertainment value. The Cowboys are a club that simply can’t get out of
their own way showing great regression and too much ego to make an in season
change. The Eagles on the other hand are coming off the bye getting players
back from injury and looking to make a statement in the NFC. Carson Wentz and
the Eagles have a new toy on their roster in Golden Tate that should be ready
to create mismatches all over the field. It’s clear to us that Philly doesn’t
possess a solid run attack to place fear in their opponents, but they will
recreate it with a short pass game to Tate. After witnessing the disaster the
Cowboys laid on Monday Night, we will definitely side with a rested Eagles
club.
PHI
covers the spread @ -6.5 DAL 27 PHI 20 (L)
Monday Nov.12.2018
NY
Giants @ San Francisco (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
Unibet -3
SportSelect -3.5
This line could almost be seen as laughable given that
we have only seen Nick Mullens play one contest verse a subpar tanking club
(the Raiders). While we were impressed with Mullens showing looking decisive
and proficient undoing Oakland with ease, his challenge against the Giants
should be more difficult. Eli Manning is a competitor and will refuse to end
his career on a low note dropping winnable contests to teams like the heavily
injured 49ers. New York will undoubtedly force feed their star rookie running
back Saquon Barkley for most of the night while capitalizing on play action
passes to Odell Beckham Jr. Simply put, the Giants have more talent than given
credit for and will win this contest to save face.
SF
doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 NYG 27 SF 23 (W)
Week 10 Record: 5-9 (.360)
Note: All Day Football is
not responsible for any personal gains or losses as a result of its
predictions. Please play responsibly.
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