PLACE YOUR BETS!!! It’s clear that we at ADF have caught fire in terms of
picking winners hitting on 79% of winners last week, to follow up our 67%
winning stake from two weeks ago. Sitting eleven games above the 500 mark for
the season, we fully intend to keep this ship moving to keep earning that
payday. Week eight has some very large spreads that sees Vegas baiting the
public to steal some funds back. We look to continue our dominance over the
spread this week to keep the money rolling in. Good Luck!
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Week
7 Record: 11-3 (.786) | 2018 Season Record: 59-48 (.551)
ADF All-Time Record: 191-183 (.511)
NFL WEEK 8 – Predictions
(Projected odds makers @ October.25.2018 – 12:00PM EST)
BYE WEEK: Atlanta, Dallas, LA Chargers, Tennessee
Thursday Oct.25.2018
Miami
@ Houston (Favorite)
Westgate -7.5
Caesar’s -7.5
William Hill -7.5
Wynn -7
Unibet -7.5
Opening up week eight on Thursday Night Football, the
Dolphins and Brock-Tober head to Houston to battle against his former club in
what should be a true revenge game. Brock Osweiler has been thrust into the
starting role with Ryan Tannehill once again injured and relegated to the
sidelines, but Brock has looked the part in these last two contests. The Texans
are a club that hasn’t seen their full potential come out thus far, but are
building in the right direction. Having a home date should lean the odds to
Houston (like it does), but believing they can handle Miami with over a touchdown
spread is a handsome task. While we feel the Texans will win the game, they
surely won’t cover the spread over a touchdown.
HOU
doesn’t cover the spread @ -7.5 MIA 23 HOU 42 (L)
Sunday Oct.28.2018
Philadelphia
(Favorite) @ Jacksonville
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
Unibet -3.5
Yet another installment of the London series, this
week’s edition sees the slumping Jaguars take on the Eagles who in their own
right haven’t played up to par in the first half of the season. It’s becoming quite
clear to us that the Jacksonville defense has dropped their effort levels to
match that of the offense, almost as a punishment for their extended playing
time which has become tiresome. The Eagles haven’t played to high levels on
defense themselves (which was the expectation) and are struggling to hold a
lead the offense provides. This contest had us going back and forth to select a
winner but in the end, siding with Blake Bortles isn’t something we are
comfortable doing.
PHI
covers the spread @ -3 PHI 24 JAX 18 (W)
Denver
@ Kansas City (Favorite)
Westgate -10
Caesar’s -10
William Hill -10
Wynn -10
Unibet -10
We feel we can appropriately say that the Chiefs are
the best offense in the NFL and will again see a home date this time against
the Denver Broncos. Kansas City looked absolutely unbeatable last week
dismantling the Bengals with ease. Patrick Mahomes is truly on another level in
this Andy Reid offense with the help of a solid run attack from Kareem Hunt.
Denver is clinging to anything they can at this point to keep hopes alive of a
wildcard spot. While these teams met just four weeks ago, the Broncos did have
a solid game plan to stifle the young passer which almost came out in their
favor. The adlibbing of Mahomes rolling out to avoid the rush was the
difference in the last contest which should be a point Denver intends to clean
up. While we can see the Chiefs again winning this match, the Bronco defense
should keep it closer than Vegas is suggesting.
KC
doesn’t cover the spread @ -10 DEN 23 KC 30 (W)
Cleveland @ Pittsburgh (Favorite)
Westgate -8.5
Caesar’s -8
William Hill -8
Wynn -7.5
Unibet -8
Coming off the bye-week, the Steelers had thoughts to
finally have their star LeVeon Bell back in uniform to which he’s chosen to
remain away from the club. Hosting Cleveland this week should be something of a
decent matchup as the Browns continue to be snake bitten finding new ways to
lose very close contests. Baker Mayfield has shown signs of improvement since
taking over as the starter but has lacked the overall dominance one would like
to see. While Pittsburgh continues to roll supporting the 2nd best
pass attack in the league, we feel that Vegas is trying to pull extra dollars
to even out the money line. In the last three contests between these two clubs,
no game has seen a victory over four points with one of those being a tie all
in the Steelers favor. Though we do like the Browns defense overall, Pittsburgh
will win this game but not cover the spread.
PIT
doesn’t cover the spread @ - 8.5 CLE 18 PIT 33 (L)
Washington (Favorite) @ NY Giants
Westgate -1
Caesar’s -1
William Hill -1
Wynn -1
Unibet -2
The New York Giants currently hold placement for the
first overall selection in the 2019 NFL draft to which they have begun trading
away expensive pieces in hopes to garner more draft capital. New York put their
best foot forward last week against the Falcons and still fell short with poor
execution. The Redskins are quietly becoming a force on defense providing more
opportunity for Alex Smith to be productive. It’s safe to say that Eli Manning will
continue in hopes to compete, simply though, there isn’t much left for New York
this season.
WAS
covers the spread @ -1 WAS 20 NYG 13 (W)
Seattle @ Detroit (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
Unibet -3.5
The Seattle Seahawks coming off the bye should have an
advantage of a solid game plan to try and take down the home town Detroit
Lions. The Hawks have impressed with their commitment to the run game which has
shown good productivity opening up the play action pass for Russell Wilson. The
Lions are a team that are beginning to turn the corner with an improved run
attack of their own which too is helping form the play action pass making it a
welcome site to Matthew Stafford. While the Hawks will have extra motivation
playing hard for their fallen owner who passed away recently, we wonder if that
will be enough. This contest did have us going in both directions for quite
some time, but in the end, we must side with the Lions in this one.
DET
covers the spread @ -3 SEA 28 DET 14 (L)
Tampa Bay @ Cincinnati (Favorite)
Westgate -4.5
Caesar’s -4.5
William Hill -5
Wynn -4.5
Unibet -4
While the Bengals are coming off a terrible attempt to
take down one of the league’s best squads, they will have redemption on their
minds hosting the Buccaneers in week eight. Though the Bengals have been much
improved this season, they still lack something that would allow us to feel
comfortable endorsing them with more than a field goal spread. The Bucs
continue to grossly underachieve given the amount of talent they have on the
field. Jameis Winston is clearly under the microscope and needs to elevate his
game to be taken seriously. This contest could go either way.
CIN
doesn’t cover the spread @ -4.5 TB 34 CIN 37 (W)
NY Jets @ Chicago (Favorite)
Westgate -7
Caesar’s -7
William Hill -7
Wynn -7
Unibet -7.5
Yet another spread that has us wanting to run for the
hills, the Bears host the Jets with a touchdown favor in their pocket. There is
no question that Chicago has improved ten-fold in terms of executing on offense
with Mitchell Trubisky looking the part. The Jets clearly need to have a solid
run attack to remain competitive which should be extremely tough against the
Bears fabulous front seven. Playing in Chicago is always a welcome sight to
have the Bears come away with the victory and we shall bite on this one.
CHI
covers the spread @ -7 NYJ 10 CHI 24 (W)
Baltimore (Favorite) @ Carolina
Westgate -1.5
Caesar’s -1.5
William Hill -1.5
Wynn -2
Unibet -2
The Baltimore Ravens look to be the cream of the crop
when it comes to how good their defense is and literally having no fear to who
they go up against. Coming off a loss from a missed extra point from the
automatic kicking of Justin Tucker, the Ravens has a chance to knock off the
Saints had it gone to overtime. The Panthers and Cam Newton showed their moxie
last week coming back from a large deficit to edge out the Eagles in a game
that came down to the wire. Recent reports suggest that Newton is dealing with
arm soreness on his throwing shoulder which could inhibit his best performance.
Adding to that, Carolina hasn’t faced a defense this sound so far this season
which could make Cam vulnerable to turning the ball over. This is another
difficult contest to predict but we’ll have to go with defense in this one.
BAL
covers the spread @ -1.5 BAL 21 CAR 36 (L)
Indianapolis (Favorite) @ Oakland
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
Unibet -3
The Colts are a team that is extremely confusing to
evaluate as Frank Reich is trying to become multidimensional on offense giving
Andrew Luck more opportunity to make plays. The Oakland Raiders are in complete
free-fall evidently giving up on the season while trading away all the top
talent they employ. Sending Amari Cooper to the Cowboys will only continue to
limit the Oakland offense in this contest. The Raiders are a team that we find impossible
to get behind given the path they are moving toward.
IND
covers the spread @ -3 IND 42 OAK 28 (W)
San Francisco @ Arizona (Favorite)
Westgate -1
Caesar’s -1
William Hill EVEN
Wynn -1
Unibet -1
The battle of the mediocre will take place between the
49ers and the Cardinals this week in a divisional matchup that really has no
implication on the standings. San Francisco has fallen victim to the injury bug
again this season leaving genius coach Kyle Shanahan reeling to finish the year
with some level of positives. The Cardinals on the other hand haven’t been able
to do much of anything to encourage progression even with their rookie
quarterback Josh Rosen. Even though both clubs will be bottom feeders at
seasons end, we will side with the offensive mastermind to get points on the
board brining his club to victory.
ARZ
doesn’t cover the spread @-1 SF 15 ARZ 18 (L)
Green Bay @ LA Rams (Favorite)
Westgate -9.5
Caesar’s -9
William Hill -9
Wynn -9.5
Unibet -9.5
Highlighting the game of the week on the late
afternoon slate, we are treated with the fantastic showdown between the LA Rams
and the Green Bay Packers. The Rams have been fantastic this season propelling
themselves to a perfect 7-0 record to lead the NFL in that category. Todd
Gurley is on an MVP type tear scoring multiple touchdowns every week which
should again transpire against the Packers. Green Bay is a club that has
improved greatly on defense with solid play as per usual with Rodgers leading
the charge. This game has the makings of being absolutely brilliant with points
galore being scored. While we feel the Rams could again find their way to
victory, we really question the nearly ten point spread being offered to the
Rams. There isn’t anything to suggest that Green Bay couldn’t provide the Rams
with their first loss of the season as well. This one will be closer than the
line indicates and should be quite the show. Get your popcorn ready.
LAR
doesn’t cover the spread @ -9.5 GB 27 LAR 29 (W)
New Orleans @ Minnesota (Favorite)
Westgate -1
Caesar’s -1
William Hill -1
Wynn -1
Unibet -1
If the Packers verse the Rams wasn’t enough to fill
your desire for great football, the NFL schedule makers have gifted us with an
additional gem on Sunday Night Football. The Saints will travel back to
Minnesota for the first time since the “Miracle in Minneapolis” during last
year’s playoffs. Both teams are definite front runners to compete in the NFC
and will test each other’s resolve in primetime. Drew Brees has already amassed
NFL records this season giving the feel that a Super Bowl appearance isn’t out
of the question. The Vikings have been rather up and down to start this season
as we fully expected more supremacy in the first half of the year. This game
will provide equal blows that should bring this contest again to the wire.
While we would like to side with the home crowd in this one, something tells us
the Saints are on a path of destiny this season.
MIN
doesn’t cover the spread @-1 NO 30 MIN 20 (W)
Monday Oct.29.2018
New
England (Favorite) @ Buffalo
Westgate -14
Caesar’s -14
William Hill -14
Wynn -13.5
Unibet -13.5
To close out the week eight slate of games, the New
England Patriots travel to Buffalo to face off against the Bills. It’s
impossible to argue with the line that Vegas has given as the Bills are the
worst team in the league on the offensive side of the ball. The Patriots will
walk into New Era Field and walk out with perhaps one of the easiest victories
of the season. To be fair to all Bills fans, the Buffalo defense is a very
sound group that has played very well this year, but continue to fall victim to
fatigue given the amount of time they spend on the field with no support from
the offense. This is a no brainer in our mind.
NE
covers the spread @ -14 NE 25 BUF 6 (W)
Week 8 Record: 9-5 (.643)
Week 8 Record: 9-5 (.643)
Note: All Day Football is
not responsible for any personal gains or losses as a result of its
predictions. Please play responsibly.
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