NFL Week 7 Point Spread Picks

PLACE YOUR BETS!!! We were extremely pleased with our results last week crushing the line generating 67% winners increasing our winning share to favorable amounts. With such success, we have also lifted our season total to sit three games above the .500 mark while taking our lifetime record back to 50%, not too shabby. This week we look to do it again but run the table to have one of our better all-time weeks. Let’s get it going for that big pay day! Good Luck…  

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WEEK 6 Record: 10-5 (.667) | 2018 Season Record: 48-45 (.516)

ADF All-Time Record: 180-180 (.500)

NFL WEEK 7 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ October.18.2018 – 12:00PM EST)

BYE WEEK: Green Bay, Oakland, Pittsburgh, Seattle    

Thursday Oct.18.2018

Denver (Favorite) @ Arizona

Westgate -1.5

Caesar’s -1

William Hill -2

Wynn -1.5

Unibet -1

While both teams are trending in the wrong direction, the Broncos have remained quite competitive in most of their contests giving them the slight favorite odd in this one as we kickoff week seven in the NFL. The Cardinals seem to have found more productivity from their offense with rookie Josh Rosen leading the charge these last few weeks. Denver hasn’t proven they have that killer instinct while searching for answers to stop the run game. We do struggle with supporting Denver on the road, but playing against a rookie quarterback, Von Miller and company should give him all he can handle.

DEN covers the spread @ -1.5 DEN 45 ARZ 10 (W)

Sunday Oct.21.2018

Tennessee @ LA Chargers (Favorite)

Westgate -6.5

Caesar’s -6.5

William Hill -6.5

Wynn -6.5

Unibet -6.5

Get up early for this one! The Tennessee Titans hit absolute rock bottom last week as Marcus Mariota was sacked a whopping 11 times at the hands of the Baltimore Ravens. The LA Chargers seem to have figured out a few things on both sides of the ball playing with greater urgency and execution. Melvin Gordon is on a tear competing with Todd Gurley as the most impactful running back in the game thus far this season. Our fear with the spread that Vegas has provided is that it could be a little large as this game has no official home club being played across the pond in England. The Titans are a group that could turn things on at any moment changing the perception altogether. With that said, we have backed the Chargers all offseason and feel they might be moving in the right direction behind a superb run attack.

LAC covers the spread @ -6.5 TEN 19 LAC 20 (L)

Cleveland @ Tampa Bay (Favorite) 

Westgate -3

Caesar’s -3.5

William Hill -3

Wynn -3

Unibet -3

Baker Mayfield has done good things to start his career but has failed to produce wins with his limited experience in the league. Tampa Bay was able to move the ball last week against the Falcons but continue to be perennial underachievers even with Jameis Winston behind center. The Browns defense is a sound group that will continue to get better and could come out large in this one. However, long travel for a young team is never a positive hence the spread provided by the many odds makers. This game should be close but we’ll have no choice but to side with the home team.

TB covers the spread @ -3 CLE 23 TB 26 (W)

Carolina @ Philadelphia (Favorite)

Westgate -4.5

Caesar’s -4.5

William Hill -4.5

Wynn -4.5

Unibet -5.5

Cam Newton and the Panthers dropped a very winnable contest last week in Washington where offensive turnovers were the biggest issue resulting in the loss. The Eagles behind a confidence growing Carson Wentz look to have rejuvenated this offensive strike making it possible for the defense to see more rest on the sidelines keeping them fresh longer. Carolina has seemingly gone away from over-feeding Christian McCaffrey which is quite confusing given the amount of production he was able to generate early on. The game plan should go back to give CMC the rock in bunches to try and keep up with the Eagles offense. While we feel Philly will win the game at home, it should be decided by a field goal.

PHI doesn’t cover the spread @ - 5.5 CAR 21 PHI 17 (W)

Minnesota (Favorite) @ NY Jets

Westgate -3

Caesar’s -3.5

William Hill -3

Wynn -3

Unibet -3

The Minnesota Vikings are and interesting group that doesn’t appear to have the looks of a dominating club on both sides of the ball as it was perceived at the beginning of the season. Kirk Cousins has looked sharp in most contests and the defense has had moments of both great ups and downs. The Jets are a team that is trending well with rookie Sam Darnold running the show behind a very sound approach of commitment to the run. Playing at home has been a welcome sight to this Jets squad were they seem to play much better than most expected. Even with solid progression happening over the last couple weeks, the Vikings should be able to displace New York fairly easily.

MIN covers the spread @ - 3 MIN 37 NYJ 17 (W)

Detroit (Favorite) @ Miami

Westgate -2.5

Caesar’s -2.5

William Hill -3

Wynn -3

Unibet N/A

The late charge at quarterback for the Dolphins (due to injury), gave them a reinvigorated group that was able to compete last week against one of the best defences in the NFL. While the Fins came away with a victory, the Lions enjoyed their bye with an extra week of preparation changing their approach to handle Brock Osweiler. Some may think that Brock might have turned a corner with Coach Gase calling the shots with his performance last week, but we aren’t convinced one bit. Any team forced to play a backup will have struggles as their preparation would have been on the starting quarterback which was clear from how the Bears choose to scheme. Detroit would have gone back to previous tape to again familiarize themselves with what Brock is capable of. Even on the road, we’ll take a rested Lions squad to win this one.

DET covers the spread @ -3 DET 32 MIA 21 (W)

New England (Favorite) @ Chicago

Westgate -3

Caesar’s -3

William Hill -3

Wynn -3

Unibet -3

Tom Brady and the Patriots looked ready last week in their showdown with super star Patrick Mahomes showing great coaching and system scheme limiting certain plays the Chiefs do well. While the contest become more entertaining with a few monster plays, New England still managed to secure the win. Going up against the Bears in Chicago does have the feel of an upset in the making as this defense will be looking to shake off last week’s disappointment. Mitchell Trubisky will have his issues against a defense that knows how to confuse young quarterbacks. While this one could be close, we have no choice but to side with the mighty Patriots as they seem to be finding their footing.

NE covers the spread @ -3 NE 38 CHI 31 (W)

Buffalo @ Indianapolis (Favorite)

Westgate -7.5

Caesar’s -7.5

William Hill -7.5

Wynn -7.5

Unibet -7.5

The disaster in Buffalo continues this week as the Bills will start their third quarterback as we enter week seven of the regular season. Journeyman Derek Anderson has the distinct responsibility to try and lift an offense that hasn’t been able to muster much of anything thus far. The Colts are a full-blown pretender in our eyes with Andrew Luck looking like shades of his former self. Buffalo does employ a defense that is truly playing great football but receives zero support from the offense. Coach McDermott is a guy that can motivate his troops for any contest, and even if the Bills lose, it will be closer than the line indicates.   

IND doesn’t cover the spread @ -7.5 BUF 5 IND 37 (L)

Houston @ Jacksonville (Favorite)

Westgate -5

Caesar’s -5

William Hill -4.5

Wynn -4.5

Unibet -5

While the Jacksonville Jaguars were extremely humbled at the hands of a mediocre Dallas Cowboys squad, they will look to take out their frustrations on the Texans who still struggle with their identity. This Jacksonville club was built around running the ball and playing great defense which hasn’t happened ever since Leonard Fournette went down with a hamstring issue. Houston in their own right hasn’t been able to recreate the magic from last season where Deshaun Watson looked like a monster world beater. It’s very difficult for us to endorse the Jags to win by two field goals as we could easily see this one decided by three or less.

JAX doesn’t cover the spread @ -5 HOU 20 JAX 7 (W)

New Orleans @ Baltimore (Favorite)

Westgate -2.5

Caesar’s -2.5

William Hill -2.5

Wynn -2.5

Unibet -2.5

This is perhaps one of the most difficult contests on the weekend slate to predict. The Saints are fresh coming off the bye and travel to Baltimore to face off against yet another strong edition of the Ravens defense. Drew Brees normally doesn’t travel well especially when facing off against a top flight defensive club. The Ravens on offense however leave a ton of plays on the field not capitalizing on their opportunities which the Saints defense has been known to provide. This is very difficult but we’ll have to side with the Saints, as overall, they are the better club.

BAL doesn’t cover the spread @ -2.5 NO 24 BAL 23 (W)

Dallas @ Washington (Favorite)

Westgate -2

Caesar’s -1.5

William Hill -1.5

Wynn -1.5

Unibet -1.5

It’s no secret that Washington has been a much better group at home then on the road and coming off a big victory to keep pace in the division, this is a massive contest for the late afternoon slate. Alex Smith missed his super check down running back Chris Thompson last week and hopes he will have his services back for this one. With Washington surprising the Panthers in their victory last week, the Cowboys opened everyone’s eyes in disbelief laying a beat-down on the best defense in the NFL. While the Cowboys execution was impressive, don’t expect that to be recreated this week. With the division still up for grabs with no real front runner as of yet, both clubs have a keen interest to put their best foot forward. We will side with the home team in this one in a true coin-flip.

WAS covers the spread @ - 1.5 DAL 17 WAS 20 (W)

LA Rams (Favorite) @ San Francisco

Westgate -9.5

Caesar’s -9.5

William Hill -9.5

Wynn -9.5

Unibet -9.5

The LA Rams continue to chug through the season remaining unbeaten and dominating. Todd Gurley is on pace to be the league’s MVP with absolutely unreal performances. Injuries are starting to pile up for the Rams and it will be interesting to see how they overcome. The 49ers gave it their best effort last Monday versus the Green Bay Packers by almost stealing a win at Lambo-field. Coach Shanahan knows his opponent Coach McVay extremely well making this a possible shootout once again for the 49ers. With that said two things come to question here, the amount of pressure the Rams feel remaining unbeaten and was that loss last week enough to deflate San Francisco for good? Either way, I think we don’t have much of a choice here and have to take the points for the Rams.

LA covers the spread @ - 9.5 LAR 39 SF 10 (W)

Cincinnati @ Kansas City (Favorite)

Westgate -6

Caesar’s -6

William Hill -6

Wynn -6

Unibet -6

This week’s Sunday Night contest has been flexed to appeal to a greater matchup. The Chiefs will host the Bengals in a primetime showdown to see if they can overcome last week’s impressive output against the Patriots. While the Bengals have been rather impressive at times this season, we can’t see a scenario where they will be able to outlast the mighty offensive production of Patrick Mahomes and company. This spread is quite easy for us to envision especially in Arrowhead stadium. 
KC covers the spread @ -6 CIN 10 KC 45 (W)

Monday Oct.22.2018

NY Giants @ Atlanta (Favorite)

Westgate -5.5

Caesar’s -5.5

William Hill -5.5

Wynn -5.5

Unibet -6

Most are packing in the final outcomes for the 2018 edition of the New York Giants as rock bottom was an understatement from last week’s performance. The Falcons are a completely different animal playing at home and should have their A-Game on display when this one kicks-off. Atlanta may be without Calvin Ridley and Mohamed Sanu for this match leaving them somewhat shorthanded. Some may believe that this contest will be a run away, but the way in which the Falcons defense has played this season due in part to the many injuries incurred, we wouldn’t be shocked if Manning could muster an attempt at a shootout. With that said, Atlanta is far too good playing at home. 

ATL covers the spread @ -5.5 NYG 20 ATL 23 (L)

Week 7 Record: 11-3 (.786)

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