PLACE YOUR BETS!!! Week three in most prediction perspectives threw everyone
for a loop as great upsets occurred ruining the potential to generate big
dollars on what should’ve been sure victories. We still managed to keep our
head above water finishing one game below the 500 mark taking our season total
to that same even score. The NFL landscape is starting to take shape, but as
we’ve seen in the past, it truly can be a week-to-week league making our job
quite difficult to predict winners. Never backing down from any challenge, we
strive to make this our best week of the season. Let’s get to it…
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WEEK 3 Record: 7-9
(.438) | 2018 Season Record: 24-24 (.500)
ADF All-Time Record: 156-159 (.495)
NFL WEEK 4 – Predictions
(Projected odds makers @ Sept.27.2018 – 12:00PM EST)
BYE WEEK: Carolina, Washington
Thursday Sept.27.2018
Minnesota
@ LA Rams (Favorite)
Westgate -7
Caesar’s -6.5
William Hill -7
Wynn -6.5
Unibet -7
SportSelect -6.5
Last week saw the Minnesota Vikings enter the record
books, but not the way most had expected. Being favored by a whopping 17
points, the Vikings surely looked past the visiting Buffalo Bills laying a duck
of a performance letting down the home town crowd. This week Minnesota travels
to Los Angeles to face off against perhaps the best team in the NFL in hopes to
correct the negative perceptions from last week. While the Vikes have people
questioning their overall setup, the Rams continue to flourish leaving all
competition in the dust while looking polished in the process. While the
Vikings are poised to get Dalvin Cook back in the lineup, the Rams will be
without their starting defensive back tandem in Talib and Peters. Common sense
would suggest the Rams should continue to roll at home, but Kirk Cousins and
company will want to get rid of that awful stench from last week. Rams should
win but it’ll be closer than the line suggests.
LAR
doesn’t cover the spread @ -7 MIN 31 LAR 38 (L)
Sunday Sept.30.2018
NY
Jets @ Jacksonville (Jacksonville)
Westgate -7.5
Caesar’s -7.5
William Hill -7.5
Wynn -7.5
Unibet -7.5
SportSelect -7.5
Jacksonville had a major letdown last week offensively
leaving a loss in the standings that should’ve been rather easy to overcome.
There’s no question Jacksonville houses one of the best defenses in the NFL but
continuously fall short to match that productivity on the offense. The New York
Jets are a club that continue to ride the wave of having a rookie signal caller
lead the charge with up and down play. Sam Darnold will have his hands full
this week as Jacksonville should be prime to bring immense pressure to rattle
the young quarterback. This may be the last time we subscribe to a high spread
from the Jags if they don’t show up on Sunday.
JAX
covers the spread @ -7.5 NYJ 12 JAX 31 (W)
Miami
@ New England (Favorite)
Westgate -6.5
Caesar’s -7
William Hill -7
Wynn -7
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -7.5
The Miami Dolphins are
leaders of the AFC East and could take a strangle hold on the division if they
are able to find a way to beat the New England Patriots. Coach Adam Gase has created
a system where using all their playmakers simultaneously leaves them at a great
advantage and difficult to defend. The Patriots are coming off a shocking loss
to the Detroit Lions last Sunday Night where the questions again are being
asked if the Patriots have lost their mojo. We’ve seen this script before with Bill
Belichick’s teams starting slow then figuring out the process becoming that
much more dominate. Barring injury, Josh Gordon should suit up for this contest
giving Brady a much needed weapon to help move the chains. We aren’t ready to
suggest that this is the end of the mighty Patriots just yet, but we could see
a contest closer than the spread indicates.
NE doesn’t cover the spread @ -7 MIA 7 NE 38 (L)
Philadelphia (Favorite) @ Tennessee
Westgate -4
Caesar’s -4
William Hill -4
Wynn -4
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -4.5
The return of Carson Wentz helped the Eagles secure a
victory last week even though it wasn’t a spectacular performance. Our interest
in last week’s contest was directed to the mental state of Wentz to see how he
would react to coming back from his ACL injury; he passed with a decent grade
in our eyes. Tennessee is a team that looks to be very dysfunctional but yet
finds ways to be competitive in every contest. The defense is vastly improved
and is willing to leave it all on the field regardless of who they face. Marcus
Mariota still has and injury to his arm that is prohibiting his throwing motion
leaving him unable to make every pass. The Eagles defense should be able to
force the issue stealing another victory on the road.
PHI
covers the spread @ -4 PHI 23 TEN 26 (L)
Houston @ Indianapolis (Favorite)
Westgate -1
Caesar’s -1
William Hill -1
Wynn -1
Unibet -1.5
SportSelect -1.5
Deshaun Watson and the Houston Texans haven’t played
to their full potential as of yet and we are beginning to question if that will
even be the case in 2018. The offense looks average while the defense can’t
seem to make plays to help the overall outlook. The Colts have surprised us to
start the season with far better defensive play then we had expected. Finally
it seems that Andrew Luck has a creditable unit opposite him to assist in
keeping things close so using his arm isn’t the only option to become victorious.
We would definably like to see a better run attack to help Luck further, but unfortunately
we can’t see that changing anytime soon. Having a home date with a close spread
forces us to side with the Colts.
IND
covers the spread @ -1 HOU 37 IND 34 (L)
Buffalo @ Green Bay (Favorite)
Westgate -9.5
Caesar’s -9.5
William Hill -10
Wynn -10
Unibet -9.5
SportSelect -9.5
The Buffalo Bills shocked the NFL world last week
walking into Minnesota and leaving home with a solid performance and a ‘W’ in
the win column. This week Buffalo and rookie Josh Allen travel to Lambo-field
to face off against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. We all know that this Packers team lives and
dies at the hands of Aaron Rodgers, and not seeing him practice all week does
raise red flags. We believe his injury is more severe than the Packers staff is
letting on, but him being the elite talent he is, playing on one good leg is
better than half of the quarterbacks in the NFL. Buffalo will have to start
fast once again to have any chance as Vegas is baiting the public to another hefty
spread. We fell the Bills will have a letdown this week as Green Bay should
bring them back down to earth.
GB
covers the spread @ -9.5 BUF 0 GB 22 (W)
Detroit @ Dallas (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
Unibet -3
SportSelect -3.5
The Lions played extremely well last week dismantling
the Patriots in front of their home town crowd. This week Detroit travels to
Dallas to faceoff against a Cowboys squad that looks rather anemic to say the
least. Dallas can’t seem to figure out how to get Zeke Elliott going as seen
from past seasons, and its clear Dak Prescott doesn’t have much help in the
pass game. We struggle to understand why it took the Lions three weeks to
feature their rookie Kerryon Johnson as the lead back, but moving forward, it
should be the common sight. Matthew Stafford looks far better with a solid run
attack relieving pressure allowing him to find his talented trio of pass
catchers. The Lions should be able to pull this out even on the road.
DAL
doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 DET 24 DAL 26 (W)
Tampa Bay @ Chicago (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
Unibet -3
SportSelect -3.5
While Ryan Fitzpatrick saw his worst first half of the
season, he returned with a masterful performance in the second half almost
pulling out the victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Chicago’s struggles on
offense continue as coach Nagy can’t seem to get this engine chugging all the
way into fourth gear. The Bears defense is turning into an elite group that is
able to keep the opposition at bay, leaving Mitchell Trubisky to do just enough
to get the win. With the Bucs announcing they will stick with Fitzpatrick in
this contest even with Jameis Winston back from suspension, we find this to be
one of the most difficult contests to predict on the weekend slate. Travel
should be difficult to overcome for Tampa Bay and Khalil Mack will continue his
MVP season.
CHI
covers the spread @ -3 TB 10 CHI 48 (W)
Cincinnati @ Atlanta (Favorite)
Westgate -5.5
Caesar’s -5.5
William Hill -5.5
Wynn -5.5
Unibet -5
SportSelect -5.5
While the Bengals look to be an improved unit so far
this season, they again are finding it difficult to close out games dropping
another contest last week to the Carolina Panthers. This week they travel to
Atlanta to face off against Matt Ryan and the Falcons who finally appear to be
buying into offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian’s system scoring points at
will. It’s clear the Falcons defense does miss Neal and Jones (due to injury)
but the offense is clearly carrying this club. Andy Dalton had quite a letdown
showing last week and will need to play much better if the Bengals hope to leave
the south with a win. We are extremely encouraged with how Ryan is spreading
the ball around especially to their great rookie Calvin Ridley who is finding
his stride early on. We can bet against the Falcons at home in this one.
ATL
covers the spread @ -5.5 CIN 37 ATL 36 (L)
Seattle (Favorite) @ Arizona
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
Unibet -3
SportSelect -3.5
The Seahawks are an interesting bunch that refuse to
fall into the rebuild category as Russell Wilson continues to put the team on
his back showing the elite talent we all know. The Cardinals have seen more
than enough of Sam Bradford and his inept play replacing him with rookie Josh
Rosen who will get his first NFL action on Sunday. Offensive coordinator Mike
McCoy is getting blasted in the local media for misusing their star running
back David Johnson in both commitment to the run and finding ways to get him
involved in the pass game. We did preach the possibility of this club underperforming
this season with a new coaching staff running the show. Arizona should make
this a game, but it’s difficult to go against Wilson this week.
SEA
covers the spread @ -3 SEA 20 ARZ 17 (W)
Cleveland @ Oakland (Favorite)
Westgate -2.5
Caesar’s -2.5
William Hill -2.5
Wynn -2.5
Unibet -3
SportSelect -3.5
The Baker Mayfield era is alive in Cleveland as the
Browns travel to Oakland to face off against the struggling Raiders. Derek Carr
looks like a mirage of his former self who saw great success early on in his
career. Jon Gruden can’t seem to establish much of anything positive outside of
a few big plays. Consistency is the largest concern for the Raiders as the
Browns up and coming defense should be able to make plays happen giving Baker
more opportunity. It’s difficult to not get excited to witness Baker make his
first start against a team that is clearly beatable. We will see the Browns continue
to force the run down the Raiders throat while Baker picks apart a weaker
defensive unit.
OAK
doesn’t cover the spread @ -2.5 CLE 42 OAK 45 (L)
New Orleans (Favorite) @ NY Giants
Westgate -3.5
Caesar’s -3.5
William Hill -3.5
Wynn -3.5
Unibet -3
SportSelect -3.5
Whenever Drew Brees and Eli Manning face off against each
other it turns into a fantastic contest that sees blows traded like a
heavyweight match. Last time we saw a great shootout between these clubs was
back in 2015, which saw a whopping 101 total points put on the scoreboard. The
Saints are again a force on offense that seems to have no issue finding the
endzone. Eli and the Giants found their stride last week behind the great
running of rookie Saquon Barkley opening up the play action pass to assist
Manning in finding his receivers down field. Even though the Saints have the
long travel to New York, we fully expect a game with a lot of points on the
board. Drew Brees and company should get another victory in the end.
NO
covers the spread @ -3 NO 33 NYG 18 (W)
San Francisco @ LA Chargers (Favorite)
Westgate -10.5
Caesar’s -10.5
William Hill -10.5
Wynn -10
Unibet -10
SportSelect -10.5
Losing their starting pivot for the season, San
Francisco again finds themselves in a situation where picking in the top five
of next year’s draft could be the outcome. Kyle Shanahan is a magician that can
turn subpar products into gold, but his task this week will be quite difficult.
Philip Rivers and the LA Chargers haven’t started the season like we had
envisioned with lackluster play and what seems to be a disorganized defensive
unit. It’s quite obvious that the loss of Joey Bosa has left Los Angeles wavering
and unable to overcome. This team is still poised to lead the way with the
amount of stellar talent they employ on both sides of the field. Before Jimmy
Garoppolo got injured, this contest had the makings of a fantastic showing, now;
it should be nothing more than a beat down.
LAC
covers the spread @ -10 SF 27 LAC 29 (L)
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5
Sunday Night Football graces us with yet another gem
of rival matchups between the Ravens and the Steelers. Baltimore has impressed
with a much improved offensive unit with Flacco doing more than enough to get victories.
The Steelers are doing their best to move forward without their star running
back LeVeon Bell who’s holdout ending is nowhere in sight. Anytime these teams
faceoff against one another, we are treated to smash mouth football leaving the
viewing public wanting more. This game could literally go either way as the
rights to the division could be had with this victory. Big Ben looks very good
to start the season and it’s always difficult to go against the Steelers at
home.
PIT
covers the spread @ -3 BAL 26 PIT 14 (L)
Monday Oct.1.2018
Kansas
City (Favorite) @ Denver
Westgate -4.5
Caesar’s -5
William Hill -4.5
Wynn -5
Unibet -4.5
SportSelect -4.5
To close out week 4 of the NFL season, we will receive
a treat when Patrick Mahomes takes his unbelievable start to Mile High Stadium
to face off against the Broncos. While we’ve had great discussions with colleagues,
some suggesting the Chiefs will be in tough against Von Miller and company, we
still find it difficult to go against what Mahomes is doing. The Chiefs do have
one of the worst defensive groupings in the NFL which could allow Case Keenum
to keep pace matching scoring shots with Kansas City. While it’s always a task
for any team to march into Denver (especially in primetime) and steal a
victory, we simply can’t bet against what Andy Reid has created with super
execution through the first three weeks.
KC
covers the spread @ -4.5 KC 27 DEN 23 (L)
Week 4 Record: 6-9 (.400)
Week 4 Record: 6-9 (.400)
Note: All Day Football is
not responsible for any personal gains or losses as a result of its
predictions. Please play responsibly.
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