PLACE YOUR BETS!!! Week one brought us great levels of entertainment from
multiple games leaving fans on the edge of their seats. With some huge upsets
taking place, we still managed to pull ahead leaving a winning record for the
first week of the season while almost taking our life-time mark back above 500.
Week 2 has some very intriguing matches that will have backups taking the place
of injured starters and Vegas lines looking to bait the public to even the
money line. On paper our confidence is very high to make a run to hit majority winners,
let’s get to it…
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WEEK
1 Record: 9-7 (.563) | 2018 Season Record: 9-7 (.563)
ADF All-Time Record: 141-142 (.498)
NFL WEEK 2 – Predictions
(Projected odds makers @ Sept.13.2018 – 12:00PM EST)
Thursday Sept.13.2018
Baltimore
@ Cincinnati (Favorite)
Westgate -1
Caesar’s Even
William Hill -1
Wynn -1
CG -1
Unibet -1
SportSelect -0.5
The Baltimore Ravens disposed of the Buffalo Bills
with ease in week 1 showing they out classed a supremely under-skilled opponent
to the tune of 47-3. The offense looked much better than last year’s group
proving the free agent additions could make this a viable unit. Led by their
defense which again looks to be a force, week 2 vs the Bengals should test
their resolve. The Bengals host the Ravens in their home opener coming off a
nice victory against a Colts team that in itself has its own issues to deal with.
Cincinnati looked much improved on both sides of the ball as last week’s
matchup moved forward, and while playing their first game of the season in
front of their home crowd should provide added motivation, the Ravens look to
be a front runner in the division.
CIN doesn't cover the spread @ -1 BAL 23 CIN 34 (L)
Sunday Sept.16.2018
Carolina
@ Atlanta (Favorite)
Westgate -5.5
Caesar’s -5.5
William Hill -5.5
Wynn -5.5
CG -5.5
Unibet -6
SportSelect -5.5
The Atlanta Falcons started
the year much like they finished last season looking underwhelming given the
talent that is employed on this roster. Having ample opportunity to close out
the Eagles in week 1, Atlanta failed to answer the bell with chronic redzone
issues. The Carolina Panthers found a way to become victorious in uninspiring
fashion as Cam Newton looked as though he required another week of preparation.
While Atlanta should be considered the favorite at home, it seems clear to us
that Vegas is trying to pull a fast one on the betting public. The Falcons have
lost two of their best defenders to injured reserve (Keanu Neal & Deion
Jones) leaving them rather shorthanded. While it’s not out of the question to
see the Falcons win this contest, the score will be closer than the line
suggests.
ATL doesn’t cover the spread @ -6 CAR 24 ATL 31 (L)
Indianapolis
@ Washington (Favorite)
Westgate -5.5
Caesar’s -5.5
William Hill -5.5
Wynn -5.5
CG -5.5
Unibet -5.5
SportSelect -5.5
Admittedly, we at ADF
continue to undervalue the talents of Alex Smith to which he literally throws
it back in our face with distinction. Smith’s game is undeniably sound as he is
the master of the check-down taking what the defense will give him. Last week
Alex was on point and precise caving up the Cardinals with ease. This week as
the Redskins host the Colts, we should witness much of the same execution.
Indianapolis is in transition under new head coach Frank Reich where they have
instituted a quick short pass game that will have its growing pains. Andrew
Luck did look better than we thought after his long lay-off due to injury, but
he should find it difficult against an up and coming defense in Washington.
WAS covers the spread @ -5.5 IND 21 WAS 9 (L)
Houston (Favorite) @ Tennessee
Westgate -1.5
Caesar’s N/A
William Hill -2
Wynn +1
CG N/A
Unibet +1
SportSelect N/A
Already in week 2 the Vegas line has a screwed approach
leaving some odds makers favoring the Texans and some electing to side with the
Titans. The reason for the uneven spread is due in part to the injury to Marcus
Mariota with nothing concreate suggesting he will play in this match. Adding to
that, last year’s rookie sensation Deshaun Watson looked rather average in the
opening week which was our fear for him entering this season. While he may be
clear and over the knee injury, it’s the mental aspect that had us concerned. Watson
played very conservative not appearing to have that gusto which made him so
dynamic last season. We will hold out hope that he will gain the confidence and
propel his game back to levels we expect. Without Mariota in this one, we
should see a healthy dose of the run game to try and control the clock for
Tennessee. Even if Marcus finds a way to play, we’ll still side with Watson to
have a rebound.
HOU
covers the spread @ -1.5 HOU 17 TEN 20 (L)
Philadelphia (Favorite) @ Tampa Bay
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
CG -3
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5
The Super Bowl Champion
Eagles found their way to a narrow victory last Thursday Night against the
Falcons. Recognizing their thirst for a wide receiver to help a unit that saw
Nelson Agholor become the primary pass catcher, the Eagles have signed a few players
to try and ease the pain until Alshon Jeffery is ready to return. Nick Foles
picked up his game in the second half last week but surely didn’t resemble any
part of the Super Bowl winner we saw last February. Moving forward to the
Eagles opponent, Tampa Bay stole the show in week 1 with Ryan Fitzpatrick
putting up career numbers against a Saints team that was supposed to dominate
on that side of the ball. As we all know, the NFL is a funny league in the
first three weeks as teams figure out what they really are. Ryan Fitzpatrick
isn’t afraid to throw the ball which places risk at times to interceptions. The
Eagles defense is proven and should bring Fitz-magic back down to earth.
PHI covers the spread @ -3 PHI 21 TB 27 (L)
Kansas City @ Pittsburgh (Favorite)
Westgate -5
Caesar’s -5.5
William Hill -5
Wynn -5
CG -5.5
Unibet -5
SportSelect -5.5
Patrick Mahomes and Tyreek
Hill were a show onto themselves last week doing whatever they wanted without
much resistance. Traveling to Pittsburgh in week 2 should be an interesting matchup
given that the Steelers let one get away from them versus the Cleveland Browns
in a game that ended in a tie. “LeVeon Bell who” is now the narrative as James
Conner showed he is more than capable to carry the load in the run game.
Obviously the Steelers would love to have their main runner back in uniform,
but until then, they will have to make due. Ben Roethlisberger had an abysmal
contest placing his defense in terrible situations almost costing them the
game. A true test for the young Mahomes is before us on the road in a hostile
environment should check his moxie. The Steelers may win this one but it will
be closer than the line indicates.
PIT doesn’t cover the spread @ -5.5 KC 42 PIT 37 (W)
Miami @ NY Jets (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -2.5
CG N/A
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -2.5
The New York Jets stunned
the viewing public on Monday Night Football taking down the Detroit Lions with
exclamation. Rookie Sam Darnold overcame an early mistake settling down behind
the superb running of what looked to be a faster Isaiah Crowell. What was
perhaps more surprising than the offensive production, was the play of the Jets
defense totally confusing Matthew Stafford to the tune of four interceptions.
As the Jets rolled to victory, the Dolphins found it difficult to find much
rhythm in a contest that saw two weather delays stymie the flow of the game.
Miami looked fairly competent with Ryan Tannehill back under center using his
new weapons to help propel them to victory. Even though the Jets are the talk of
the town, the Fins will give them a run for their money.
NYJ doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 MIA 20 NYJ 12 (W)
LA Chargers (Favorite) @ Buffalo
Westgate -7.5
Caesar’s -7.5
William Hill -7
Wynn -7.5
CG -7
Unibet -7
SportSelect -7.5
More surprising then the complete dismantling of the
Buffalo Bills was the inept play and execution of a potential Super Bowl
contender in the Los Angeles Chargers. Everything began on the wrong foot for
the Chargers in week one with dropped passes a plenty and missed assignments on
defense. Taking the long travel to Western New York might pose a problem for
most teams, but the way the Bills preformed, it’s difficult to put any stock in
Buffalo right now. With coach McDermott recently announcing that rookie Josh
Allen will get the start in week 2, the potential for at least a better outcome
is possible, but the Chargers should pose to be too much for the struggling
Bills.
LAC
covers the spread @ -7 LAC 31 BUF 20 (W)
Minnesota @ Green Bay (Favorite)
Westgate -1
Caesar’s -1
William Hill -1
Wynn -1
CG -2
Unibet N/A
SportSelect N/A
One of the better more
exciting contests to grace the week 2 slate, Kirk Cousins and the Minnesota
Vikings travel to Lambo field to face off against Aaron Rodgers and the
Packers. With the Green Bay faithful seeing their golden boy hit the turf again
last week this time holding his knee, a collective gasp fearing another season
would be wasted was on the horizon. Fear turned to triumph as Aaron returned to
the field and provided a stellar comeback to bring the Pack to victory. The Vikings
looked very good in their week one tilt against the 49ers but could definitely
find room to improve. Cousins looked comfortable and on point throwing to his
cast of star pass catchers having more than enough to win the contest. With
news that the Packers are unsure if Aaron Rodgers will suit up for this one, we
are forced to go with the visiting team. (We reserve the right to change our
selection before kickoff)
GB doesn’t cover the spread @ -1 MIN 29 GB 29 (W)
Cleveland @ New Orleans (Favorite)
Westgate -9
Caesar’s -8.5
William Hill -8.5
Wynn -9.5
CG -9
Unibet -9.5
SportSelect -8.5
While the Saints seemed
extremely unprepared for the Buccaneers and Ryan Fitzpatrick taking one on the
chin in week 1, they have a great opportunity to right the ship against a
travelling Browns team that found their way to a tie against the Steelers last
week. ADF has preached this offseason to the improvements made to this Browns
defense which will allow them to remain competitive in most games this season.
A difficult task however faces them with Drew Brees and the still high powered
offensive group that was able to put up 40 points yet lose. I fully expect
Tyrod and Coach Haley to create more pass attempts deep to Josh Gordon ahead of
this match to try and compete with Brees and company. The Saints didn’t give
their best first impression to start, while Vegas is refusing to play onto that
notion. The Saints should win but Cleveland will find a way to score points.
NO doesn’t cover the spread @ -9.5 CLE 18 NO 21 (W)
Detroit @ San Francisco (Favorite)
Westgate -5.5
Caesar’s -5.5
William Hill -5.5
Wynn -6
CG -5.5
Unibet -5.5
SportSelect -5.5
The Detroit Lions looked absolutely terrible in their
week one contest against the New York Jets where Matthew Stafford literally
gave the ball away at will. After the game many reports surfaced suggesting the
Lions locker room was already turning on their new coach Matt Patricia as he
force feed them they New England way to which didn’t resonate well. The Lions
again couldn’t establish any run game making it easy for the Jets to dissect.
Jimmy Garoppolo and the 49ers played admirably in their week one visit to
Minnesota but failed to put together enough to take them over the top. Much
like the Lions in week one, San Fran was unable to generate much on the ground
leaving the offense to become one dimensional. Even in the loss, Jimmy-G did
preform fairly well given the difficult task against one of the best defenses
in the league. Having their home opener should provide crowd support that could
lift the 49ers to victory. With that said, the Lions should be more prepared
for this contest.
SF
doesn’t cover the spread @ -6 DET 27 SF 30 (W)
Arizona @ LA Rams (Favorite)
Westgate -12.5
Caesar’s -12.5
William Hill -12.5
Wynn -12
CG -10.5
Unibet -11
SportSelect -12.5
While the Rams offseason
buzz was at an all-time high, they surely backed up that narrative with solid
and sound play last week on the late Monday Night Football contest to close out
week 1. Todd Gurley picked up where he left off while the defense tightened up
locking down any oppositional threat. The fear we had for this Cardinals offense
with Sam Bradford running the show came to fruition last week against the
Redskins as Arizona was unable to generate anything of value. Los Angeles has
proven that they are indeed worth the price of admission and should be able to
dispose of the Cards with ease, even if Arizona is able to put a better foot
forward. The fans in LA will go home happy after this one.
LAR covers the spread @ -10.5 ARZ 0 LAR 34 (W)
New England (Favorite) @ Jacksonville
Westgate -2
Caesar’s -2.5
William Hill -2
Wynn -2.5
CG -1.5
Unibet -2
SportSelect -2.5
The Patriots just continue to roll and Tom Brady doesn’t
appear to have lost anything in terms of ability. With Brady still able to run
the offense like he has in the past, Bill Belichick and company can build game
plans that will exploit the opposition as they have in the past. This contest
can be pegged as a revenge game for the home town Jacksonville Jaguars as the
sting from last year’s AFC Championship loss will most definitely still be
quite raw in their minds. The largest question mark entering this matchup sits
with the injured hamstring to their star running back Leonard Fourentte. Early
indication has Leonard suiting up to play even if he sees no time on the
practice field. It would be imperative that the Jaguars control the clock not
allowing Brady to get into any type of rhythm allowing their stellar defense to
finish them off. With that said, this is the great Tom Brady and they always seem
to find a way. Until proven otherwise, we are forced to stay with the Pats.
NE
covers the spread @ -2 NE 20 JAX 31 (L)
Oakland @ Denver (Favorite)
Westgate -5.5
Caesar’s -5.5
William Hill -5.5
Wynn -5.5
CG -4
Unibet -5.5
SportSelect -5.5
While we aren’t expecting exceptional things from the
Broncos this season, we did believe they would remain competitive in almost every
contest with Case Keenum making this offense much better allowing the defense
to remain fresh. Oakland looked like an utter mess on Monday Night as Jon
Gruden’s inner Chucky was coming out with a red face splattered all over the
camera. While growing pains were to be expected from the Raiders this season,
we didn’t expect a complete letdown like we witnessed last week. Travelling to
Denver is never an easy feat and with the Broncos offense able to produce quite
well, Von Miller and company will take over this contest late in the second
half.
DEN
covers the spread @ -4 OAK 19 DEN 20 (L)
NY
Giants @ Dallas (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
CG -3
Unibet -3
SportSelect -3.5
Our expectations for the superstar rookie Saquan
Barkley started slow but finished strong as he burst free on a long touchdown
run. We feel as though the Giants are starting to build on offense but it could
take a couple more games until Eli Manning finds his stride to complement his
great running back. The Dallas Cowboys find themselves in a situation they haven’t
been in the last couple seasons. The reason Dak Prescott and Zeke Elliott have
enjoyed their success in the past comes directly from the production of that
offensive line. With key starters on the sidelines unable to help the cause, Dak
and this Cowboys offense looked anemic to say the least. Dallas looks to have a
much improved defensive side that will create havoc stifling any potential
drive that comes their way. With that said, the Giants defense is a group that
is flying under the radar and should continue to get better as the weeks move
forward. It’s not hard to envision the Giants pulling this one out.
NYG
covers the spread @ -3 NYG 13 DAL 20 (L)
Monday Sept.17.2018
Seattle @ Chicago (Favorite)
Westgate -3.5
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
CG -3
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5
Finishing off week 2 on Monday Night Football, the
Chicago Bears look to move past the colossal breakdown that left them flying
home with a loss in a game they had full control of early. Khalil Mack was an absolute
force on the field proving he was worth the cost of first round picks that
brought him over to the Bears. Offensively the Bears will have to clean up
their game management as throwing with a lead shouldn’t be the formula at least
for the first quarter of the season. Coach Matt Nagy will unquestionably learn
from week 1. Seattle and Russell Wilson put up a valiant effort against the
Broncos in week 1 but feel short which should be the case for most of the year.
Don’t get me wrong, we believe Wilson is truly elite and could make any contest
competitive, but it’s the supporting cast that may not be able to keep up. It’s
clear to us that Seattle is a shell of what they once were and the Bears
defense will feast on the Hawks in prime time.
CHI
covers the spread @ -3 SEA 17 CHI 24 (W)
Week 2 Record 8-8 (.500)
Week 2 Record 8-8 (.500)
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