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Denver Broncos - 2018 Offseason Objectives

As the NFL offseason is in full swing, it’s a perfect opportunity to evaluate where each team was in 2017, and where they plan to go in the New Year. Let’s begin the review of the Denver Broncos.  


2017 Season Recap:
While the 2016 season ended with an end of an era with the retirement of Peyton Manning, the 2017 Broncos still found themselves in need of identifying their starting quarterback. John Elway chose in favor of the defense when he hired former Miami Dolphins defensive coordinator Vance Joseph to take over the reins of the legendary franchise. On day one, Joseph preached to the media that the quarterback situation would be a fluid competition between 2016 starter Trevor Siemian, reacquired backup Brock Osweiler, and second year pivot Paxton Lynch. True to form, training camp was an obvious competitive rotation as Joseph and then offensive coordinator Mike McCoy, evaluated the potential of all three men. With the overall questions of who would begin the year as the starter for this offense, the excitement was heavy as Vance would institute his form of a defensive system with a fantastic cast of characters on that side of the ball. Ultimately as the situation at quarterback found a way to resolve itself, the Broncos named Trevor Siemian to once again take the team under his wing announcing him the day one starter.   

Coming out the gates, Denver found a way to sneak past division rival – the LA Chargers, to narrowly win by three points. Riding the confidence of their opening day triumph, the Broncos annihilated the Dallas Cowboys 42-17 on the strength of Trevor Siemian’s 4 touchdown passes looking like a young Peyton Manning in the process. Siemian looked decisive on nearly every read as he was able to pick apart the Cowboys with ease. The hype train began to roll in post victory over Dallas as offensive coordinator Mike McCoy was crowned an early genius to extract everything from the limited skillset of Siemian. Rolling into Buffalo with a 2-0 record the Broncos fell back down to earth as the Bills defense stifled the Broncos offense in what ended up to be their first loss of the season. Siemian looked pedestrian in this contest as the hype train was about to lose some stream. Rebounding quickly, Denver hosted the Raiders in week four and narrowly came away with the victory winning by six and extending their record to 3-1 entering their early week five bye.

Looking the part with some uneven play, the Broncos entered the next 12 weeks of the season with large expectations which included winning the AFC West crown. Unfortunately for the Broncos roster, someone forgot to send them the memo. The next twelve weeks would see Denver start off with an unprecedented eight game losing streak from week six to week 13. In the process they dropped games to the Giants, Chargers, Chiefs, Eagles, Patriots, Bengals, Raiders, and the Dolphins! During the terrible losing streak, Trevor Siemian was lost to injury during weeks nine through eleven, though his play the previous three weeks would’ve found him riding the pine never the less. Turning to Brock Osweiler in Siemian’s absence, anything resembling offensive production fell by the waste side which also got offensive coordinator Mike McCoy fired as the scapegoat to the inept Head Coaching of Vance Joseph. Two weeks removed from seeing McCoy hit the streets, the Broncos were able to win two meaningless contests against the Jets and the Colts. Finishing up the season Denver ultimately packed it in dropping their final two games to the Redskins and the Chiefs to finish a regrettable season with a record of 5-11. Not the story book ending Broncos fans expected for 2017, but change on the horizon could be very interesting moving forward.


2018 Offseason Workbook:

Offseason Review:
While Head Coach Vance Joseph learned some valuable lessons in his first season as bench boss, retooling the broken pieces of this team is obviously priority number one. Entering the offseason, John Elway pondered the option to fire his Head Coach just one year removed recruiting and hiring the young talent. Making quick work of the speculation, Elway confirmed that Vance would again hold the position for the Broncos in 2018 putting trust in the process to fix what is currently broken. Having received back the keys to the palace, Joseph would indeed need to tinker with his staff to show Elway and company that progression will be made. With that in mind, Joseph chose to stand-pat keeping his current offensive and defensive coordinators in Bill Musgrave and Joe Woods respectively. This move didn’t come as much of a shock, as hiring new coordinators, especially on the offensive side might pose more detrimental then helpful at this point. Choosing to clean house in respect to most of the speciality coaches, Vance relieved six individuals of their roles. The hammer came down letting go of their special team’s coordinator Brock Olivo, assistant coach/running backs coach Eric Studesville, receivers coach Tyke Tolbert, offensive line coach Jeff Davidson, line baker coach Fred Pagac, and defensive backs coach Johnnie Lynn. While the list appears long, these were changes that needed to be made in order to provide the face lift which is required.

It’s no secret the glaring weakness of this team resides on the offensive side of the ball. Reviewing the Broncos 2017 season aside from the inept play of the quarterbacks, this offense lacks talent on many levels. Starting with the patch-made offensive line, Denver requires a massive talent infusion on this front which struggles to pass protect and is limited in their power to help the run game succeed. In terms of running back skill, Denver has amassed a group of subpar talented backs that have either past their prime (Jamaal Charles), or just won’t cut holding down the top position as lead back (CJ Anderson & Devontae Booker). With all due-respect to Anderson and Booker, they both employ very ordinary skillsets where one is simply a downhill runner, and the other is a change of pace back that couldn’t entertain 300+ carries a year. Elway has tried to recreate a single back with two that have no versatility in convincing defenses they are able to create on the opposite skill, thus making them very predictable to game plan against. Ever since we witnessed Manning throw a multitude of touchdowns to Julius Thomas, the Broncos have chosen to neglect the tight end positions all together. Virgil Green has primarily been a stay at home blocking tight end to assist a weak offensive line. Opposing teams understand that there is virtually no threat for Denver to burn them through the air to the tight end. With all these inadequacies, the Broncos do possess two of the better talented and consistent players at the receiving position. Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders are a fantastic duo that can cause havoc anytime they touch the ball. Outside those two receiving threats, Denver would be smart to find more viable talent to support these them.

Not much of an argument has to be made to convince the public Denver requires massive help offensively. Finishing the season ranked 27th in points scored (18.1 PPG), will surely never get the job done. Though the ranks for total yards and rushing yards were middle of the pack, they held the 17th rank for total yards (324.1 YPG), and holding the 12th rank for rushing yards for the season respectively (115.8 YPG).   

Defensively, the Broncos are still a fantastic unit that housed top five numbers in most statistical categories from the 2017 season. Ranking 3rd in the NFL in total yards allowed (290.0 YPG), followed by a 4th overall ranking in pass yards allowed (200.6 YPG), and holding a superb 5th rank against the run (89.4 YPG). In reviewing these statistics it’s easy to question – “how come this defense didn’t carry this team”? The answer is very simple once you review the Broncos 2017 offensive game film. Far too often the Denver defense would generate stops giving the ball back to their offense. As the game wore on, the offense would provide no favors placing this unit in horrible situations begging them to bail them out consistently. All in all, this defense simply ran out of mojo to provide essential playmaking to just witness the offense give it all away. In other words, the defense gave up on this team and rightfully so. Reviewing this side of the roster, the Broncos defense still possesses fantastic talent and depth to continue to be a force for the next few seasons. The addition of Domata Peko solidified their run defense to another level allowing Derek Wolfe, Von Miller to pin their ears back and rush the passer. It was left to the imagination of the viewing public what Shane Ray could’ve been if he hadn’t missed the majority of the season to injury. Provided he can stay on the field in 2018, the Broncos pass rush will again be dominate.

With recent news that Aqib Talib could be on the outs, there’s not much panic as the Denver secondary would be able to manage while seeing a slight drop off in production Talib would’ve ultimately provided. Chris Harris should continue his extremely fantastic shutdown play while Denver could add players via the draft to rebuild an expensive back end unit. If the Broncos defense has a weakness, it would reside in the form of coverage line backers. Brandon Marshall still oozes talent, but is better suited to stop the run. Outside Marshall, Denver employs young potential that hasn’t proven much on the field as of yet. If Denver could draft yet another star player at middle linebacker, this unit would radiate fear across the NFL.
                     
Rostered Free Agents:
The Broncos enjoy a short list of free agents that more likely than not, will find their way looking for a new team come March 14th. Realistically, the only player on the list that should garner any interest from John Elway is - line backer Todd Davis. Denver is extremely thin at the position as would struggle to improve the collective set of players if they let this player walk out the door. Davis employs a serviceable skillset that would easily fit the Broncos defensive scheme. Davis did have a productive year as a starter and would fit nicely with a cap friendly deal. Outside of Davis, Elway should cut bait with the rest of his free agents.  

Though the Broncos have many holes to fill they enjoy a decent amount of cap space on the books holding nearly 28 million dollars in space. With virtually no dead money to speak of, John Elway can get creative and cut bait as he sees making sense. As mentioned above, Aqib Talib has most likely seen his last days as a Bronco simply because Denver would save 11 million to cut the veteran loose. Keeping with the secondary, Elway could also chose to cut bait and release Bradley Roby saving another 8.5 million dollars in cap space with no dead money. CJ Anderson is another prime cut candidate as letting him walk would create an additional 4.5 million on the books. Aside from those possible cuts, Elway would have to get creative in releasing depth players to generate more income.  

NFL Draft:
Finishing the year with a 5-11 record, it again gives the Broncos a top five selection in the NFL Draft. With that, Denver also enjoys a plethora of picks now holding ten total selections with four being held in the top 100. It’s quite possible Elway might have his eye on a quarterback as he missed the boat on drafting Paxton Lynch a few years back. Picking 5th overall, he definitely has options to move down the board and collect more picks while rounding out his roster. With a draft class full of running back talent and secondary receiver talent, it’s very possible Elway has his eye on stacking the offense from his 2018 draft. Without question, drafting more offensive line depth with hopes to steal at least one starter to help improve a unit that is lacking on so many levels. John Elway has a great opportunity to round out his team more so if they make the big splash in free agency and bring heavily sought after quarterback Kirk Cousins to the squad. The Denver draft should be extremely interesting.     

Overall for 2018:
Denver isn’t a team that is a true 5-11 squad as their record indicates. The Broncos still possess an elite level defensive unit that can shut down teams at will. The most interesting part of the Broncos offseason will be if they indeed intend to go after Kirk Cousins as their starting quarterback. If Cousins does sign on the dotted line to be in Denver, the entire dynamic of their draft board will undoubtedly change. Adding receivers and running backs with offensive line help would be in large part how they would attack the draft. If they miss the boat for Kirk, Denver would greatly entertain getting one of the highly touted gun slingers and start over at the position yet again. If Elway executes this draft and free agent market with great success, expect the Broncos to find their way back into the playoffs with possibly being Super Bowl contenders once again.  






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