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Atlanta Falcons - 2018 Offseason Objectives

As the NFL offseason is in full swing, it’s a perfect opportunity to evaluate where each team was in 2017, and where they plan to go in the New Year. Let’s begin the review of the Atlanta Falcons.


2017 Season Recap:

When the 2017 season began, the Atlanta Falcons were still licking their wounds from their Super Bowl 51 disaster loss to the Patriots and finding a replacement for departed offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan. With rectifying one issue Coach Quinn hired former Alabama coordinator Steve Sarkisian amidst controversy that he wouldn’t be able to replicate the success from the previous season. The naysayers definitely had reason to believe the Falcons offense might stumble in 2017 as Matt Ryan doesn’t adapt well in seasons which begin with a new play caller, (perfect example is Shanahan’s first year in Atlanta). The Falcons stumbled out of the gates almost dropping the season opener to the Bears while following it up with a masterful performance against the Packers in week two. Aside from the fantastic play of the Atlanta Falcons in that week two contest, the rest of the season had fans on a rollercoaster of emotions as uneven play became the normality for this bunch. By week nine the Falcons found themselves with a record of 4-4 in arguably the toughest division in football, knowing a monumental run would have to transpire if they wanted to play into January with hopes at redemption at another Super Bowl.

The Falcons needed to make a run and that they sure did. Post week nine, the Falcons clawed their way through a plethora of divisional games as five of the last eight contents were played in the NFC South. With that said, the schedule makers didn’t do the Falcons any favors as the Cowboys, Seahawks, and Vikings rounded out the remaining games the last eight weeks of the season. It was extremely impressive to watch a team that obviously learned from past experience finding their way to finish the year with a 6-2 record and claiming a Wildcard spot. Even still, Atlanta found it difficult to put points on the board ranking 15th in the league (22.1 PPG), they did manage to produce the 8th highest ranking in total yards (364.8 YPG). The offensive statistics can be quite deceiving as Matt Ryan finished off 2017 as one of his worst campaigns in his career. The Atlanta defense began to step up their play helping generate those must wins. This unit has early resemblances of Dan Quinn’s Seattle Seahawks (Legion of Boom), with still a few pieces to be desired to round out an improving squad. Finishing in the top ten in most categories, the Falcons finished the year 8th in points against (19.7 PPG), 9th in total yards against (318.4 YPG), and 9th in total rush yards against (104.1 YPG), quite impressive.

Alas, even with all the improvements on defense, the offense was the achilles heel as the playoffs wore on. Atlanta travelled to Los Angeles to face off against the favored Rams where special team mistakes overtook the contest and the Falcons capitalized on each gift. As they entered the divisional round against the Wentz-less Eagles, Matt Ryan couldn’t muster anything special against what turned out to become a loss to the future Super Bowl Champions. In a season of triumphs and tribulation, the Falcons were sent packing and given an early opportunity to retool and rebound for 2018.       
     

2018 Offseason Workbook:

Offseason Review:
Enter the offseason after their disappointing loss to the Eagles, not much tinkering on this Coaching staff has transpired. Early rumblings had the fan base calling for the removal of offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian, however Coach Dan Quinn reiterated the gleaming endorsement for Steve to return for another season. The Falcons however did add specialty coaches to help improve the offensive production, bringing in new running backs coach (Bernie Parmalee), and offensive assistant (Chad Walker), to work directly with Steve Sarkisian to help bring the Atlanta offense to their 2016 numbers. General Manager – Thomas Dimitroff has done an admirable job with this Falcons roster even though they look to add talent in places they lacked overall consistent production. Currently Atlanta houses almost 13 million under the cap and will have to get creative moving forward.

Reviewing the Falcons roster, beginning with the offense, Atlanta does bolster a top flight offensive line that was solidified with the addition of Center Alex Mack to provide the necessary time and space for Matt Ryan and his running backs. In 2016 Kyle Shanahan found a way to utilize speedster Taylor Gabriel adding a dynamic that was almost un-defendable at times. Steve Sarkisian was unable to recreate not only that success and mismatch, but also had questionable understanding of how to correctly call red zone plays. Based on roster improvements, the Falcons should look to improve their Tight End position adding more speed in the receiving game. Outside improving depth, the Falcons offense looks poised to continue building from 2017, while looking to upgrade certain positions to take them over the top. The largest obstacle under review will be how to bring this once feared offense back to the 2016 level.

Defensively, Head Coach Dan Quinn has this unit buying into his concepts and beginning to mirror the unit of his days in Seattle. As of now this Falcons defensive unit can’t be compared to the Legion of Boom until they address specific holes which currently exist. It’s safe to say that outside of Deion Jones, Atlanta needs to acquire another uber-talented line backer to man the middle of the field. Dan Quinn was very creative in masking their inadequacies with star in the making - Safety Keanu Neal. Having Neal line up all over the filed allowed the Falcons to confuse their opponents. The strength of this unit is most definitely in the secondary, but at times was exposed to a lack of a consistent pass rush. Generating only 39 sacks in 2017 left their defensive backs in situations where they had to cover for much longer periods of time eventually giving up big plays. It’s very clear that Thomas Dimitroff is working side by side with Coach Quinn to amass the best quality players to fit his defensive scheme. With salary cap concerns, look for Atlanta to add talent in the draft to round out what could be a dangerous unit in 2018.

Rostered Free Agents:
As mentioned above, the Falcons have dire cap constraints that will make it difficult to maneuver star additions to this roster. With run stuffing standout Dontari Poe looking to have priced his way out of Atlanta based on his quality play, they will be hard pressed to resign the man. Another player that exceeded expectations was defensive end Adrian Clayborn. Of the 39 sacks the Falcons generated, he was responsible for 9.5 of them adding 2 forced fumbles. It seems clear that both Clayborn and Poe will hit the open market at the start of the league year. Rounding out the other potential free agent priorities, is wide receiver Taylor Gabriel and clutch kicker Matt Bryant. Its conceivable Dimitroff will attempt to get creative and bring back Bryant and possibly Gabriel as the rest of the Falcons 15 unrestricted free agents should see the open market.

Atlanta does have team friendly deals which they could exercise in releasing a few rostered contractual individuals to create cash flow and cap space. Top cut candidate from day one is Guard Andy Levitre, where the Falcons could save upwards of 7 million dollars if they let the big man walk. Defensive end Brooks Reed is another player that could find himself on the outs, as cutting the seasoned vet would save them nearly 3.6 million. Backup quarterback Matt Schaub is another player that could be looking for work elsewhere, as yet another 3 million can be saved if he’s let loose from the team. With the 13 million dollars Atlanta has currently on the books, they have the potential to add another 13 million to help round out this roster.

NFL Draft:
With the financial issues facing the Falcons this season, the NFL Draft will be the best avenue for them to acquire top end talent. Currently Atlanta houses six picks missing their 5th round selection in the upcoming draft. More than likely the focus will be on adding defensive depth with hopes they can produce starting talent to bolster the defensive line and line backing cores. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see the majority of the 2018 draft class spent on defense the likes of which resemble adequate pieces to continue to build Coach Quinn’s vision. There is potential for Dimitroff to make an offensive splash as he tends to favor the offensive side of the ball. ADF views this draft for the Falcons as a potential make or break situation, as opportunities to get back to the main stage will be challenging in a difficult NFC.  

Overall for 2018:
The mandate is clear in Atlanta that their window of opportunity could be closing in the next three years as Matt Ryan enters his 10th season as the Falcons starter. At age 32, Ryan still has a few prime years left to bring a title to the great state of Georgia. Matt Ryan again enters a contract season, which one could envision he should entertain a substantial pay day depending on production. Team owner, Arthur Blank has already been on record to sway Ryan into taking a team friendly deal to keep this train moving. Realistically, the Falcons aren’t far off from becoming a very dominate team, but require depth pieces at the correct price to compete with the salary cap. Playing in the NFC South will continue to be a large challenge for the Falcons as all teams look to keep their production at high levels for 2018. This season will rest on the contract year Matt Ryan enters, as the extra motivation should propel him to reach the career highs he enjoyed two seasons ago. Improvement in the run game and red zone efficiency will be the top priority for Steve Sarkisian to correct and streamline.


All in all, the Atlanta Falcons should again be a top performer in 2018. It will be very exciting to watch the transactions and creative maneuvering Atlanta does once the league year opens. The Falcons are in good hands and we fully expect them to improve.          




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