NFL Week 17 Point Spread Picks

PLACE YOUR BETS!!! ADF got kicked in the teeth in week 16 and was fully baited by the Vegas spreads. Having money to back our losses from the season hurts, but keeps us in the black. For the first time this season ADF is below the .500 mark on point spread picks, but we look to regain our success in week 17. The final week of the NFL season is always difficult to predict as teams will rest their star talent as they have clinched playoff spots. ADF will get back on track this week and provide you winnings to make you smile. Follow me and we’ll get you that money. Good Luck! Happy New Year!

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Week 16 Point Spread Record: 6-10 (.375)

Season Point Spread Record:  118-122 (.492)

NFL WEEK 17 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ DEC.29.2017 – 12:00PM EST)

Sunday Dec.31.2017

Green Bay @ Detroit (Favorite)

Westgate -6.5

Caesar’s -6.5

William Hill -6.5

Wynn -7

CG -6

Unibet -6.5

SportSelect -6.5

With the Packers season a warp and a plethora of players not active, this shouldn’t be much of a contest in Detroit. Brett Hundley will be throwing to backup receivers which shouldn’t bod well for the Green Bay offense to generate anything. The Lions season is over as well, but will be looking to end the year on a high note to build for 2018. In some respect Detroit will be playing for their Coach to keep his position as the man in charge. Touchdown spreads in meaningless games are never a positive, but the Lions should run away with this one, and give the home town faithful something to cheer about to end the season filled with hope. DET covers the spread @ -6 GB 11 DET 35 (W)

Houston @ Indianapolis (Favorite)

Westgate -5

Caesar’s -4.5

William Hill -4.5

Wynn -5

CG -4.5

Unibet -5.5

SportSelect -4.5

Another game that has no viable meaning other than playing out the string, is the Texans and the Colts. Deandre Hopkins will sit out his first game in his career after posting fantastic numbers this season. While the future looks bright in Houston, they will have a difficult time competing with limited weapons on offense. The Colts have tried their best to compete in every game this season but haven’t been able to finish. The Colts roster knows that Coach Pagano will be relieved of his duties once the final whistle has been blown, and could come out to play providing a win for the long tenured coach. Either way, this game shouldn’t bring much entertainment and a two-field goal spread could be tough to see. IND doesn’t cover the spread @ -5.5 
HOU 13 IND 22 (L)

Chicago @ Minnesota (Favorite)

Westgate -11.5

Caesar’s -11.5

William Hill -12

Wynn -11.5

CG -12

Unibet -10.5

SportSelect -11.5

The Vikings host the Bears in a division match that is still relevant for Minnesota to clinch a first-round bye for the 2018 postseason. We should see all the starting cast suit up for the Vikings to start this contest, as they plan to build a lead in hopes to bench them early to avoid injury. The Bears come to Minnesota in hopes to end their season on a positive note in building for next season. Minnesota will come out strong hoping to generate a massive lead early while rolling into the playoffs. Vegas is baiting the public in this one as garbage time points could easily kill this spread. The Vikings should win this contest but could be closer at the end then at the start. MIN doesn’t cover the spread @ -12 CHI 10 MIN 23 (L)

NY Jets @ New England (Favorite)

Westgate -15

Caesar’s -15

William Hill -16

Wynn -15.5

CG -15

Unibet -16.5

SportSelect -16.5

The Patriots come into this contest in a dog fight with the Steelers with home field advantage on the line. Hosting the Jets who have just resigned Coach Bowles to a two-year contract extension as they look to build for the 2018 season. This game should act as a tune up for the Pats as they know the importance of keeping home field rather than traveling to Pittsburgh in a possible AFC Championship match in Steel town. Brice Petty will again get the start for the Jets, in a game that shows no chance for New York to get the win while Brady and company have something to play for. Vegas is trying to bait the public with a massive spread to cover. ADF believes the Pats will finish the season strong. NE covers the spread @ -15 NYJ 6 NE 26 (W)

Washington (Favorite) @ NY Giants

Westgate -3

Caesar’s -3

William Hill -3

Wynn -3

CG -3

Unibet -2.5

SportSelect -3.5

Not much left for both NFC East clubs as they look to finish their seasons on high notes. The Giants just hired a new General Manager to start the re-build for next season and might look at players they currently have on the roster to gain some sort of evaluation. For the Redskins, this will be the last opportunity for Kirk Cousins to pitch for a monster contract in the offseason. The Skins seem to have more to play for in this contest, as Jay Gurden is rumored to stay in Washington for the 2018 season. The Giants will have rookie Davis Webb active for this game with the potential for playing time. New York will be extremely shorthanded on offense without Shepard, Engram, and King. The Skins will close out with a win. WAS covers the spread @ -3 
WAS 10 NYG 18 (L)

Dallas (Favorite) @ Philadelphia

Westgate -3

Caesar’s -2.5

William Hill -2.5

Wynn -2.5

CG -2.5

Unibet -1.5

SportSelect -2.5

With the Eagles already clinched for a first-round bye and home filed for the postseason, they have been on record saying they will start their starters but pull them early as the game goes on. The Cowboys season started strong but fell off a cliff when Zeke Elliott was suspended for six games derailing their chances in a difficult NFC conference. The Cowboys will come out to play in this one to end the year on a positive showing they will be back strong in 2018. Dak Prescott showed he requires Zeke to assist his game, as alone he couldn’t cut it. With the Eagles wanting to preserve their starters for the playoffs, Dallas should be able to expose the backups in a meaningless contest. DAL covers the spread @ -3 DAL 6 PHI 0 (W)

Cleveland @ Pittsburgh (Favorite)

Westgate -6.5

Caesar’s -7

William Hill -7

Wynn -7

CG -7

Unibet -6.5

SportSelect N/A

The Steelers have already mentioned they will rest their starters for this contest leaving it up to their backups to get the job done. A surprising move by the Steelers brass, as they must believe they Patriots will win their match (highly probable), against the Jets making home field a moot point for them. The Cleveland Browns have a real shot at winning this contest to avoid being the second team in NFL history to go 0-16 in a season. Cleveland will have to travel to Steel-town and take on the home town faithful watching their backups try and dismantle the Browns. It could really put a stamp on a historically horrible campaign if they Browns can’t even find a way to out play a team’s backups! ADF will be cheering with the Dawg Pound this weekend in hopes they can finally get a win. PIT doesn’t cover the spread @ -7 CLE 24 PIT 28 (W)

Carolina @ Atlanta (Favorite)

Westgate -3.5

Caesar’s -3.5

William Hill -4

Wynn -4

CG -3.5

Unibet -4.5

SportSelect -4.5

Finally, we reach a contest that has large playoff implications involved on Sunday. The Panthers travel to Atlanta to face off against the Falcons already secured for the 2018 postseason. With that said, Carolina looks to be playing their starters in this contest as the division title remains on the line. The Atlanta Falcons season has been one filled with triumph and tribulation, as offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian has had moments where it seemed he’s figured it out, then falls off a cliff. Mistakes have also become an achilles heal of the Falcons this season, as they have found ways to give away football games. Atlanta is in thick of the last playoff spot in the NFC with the Seahawks both needing a win, while the Hawks need the Falcons to lose. It wouldn’t be unreasonable to suggest the Panthers might rest Newton as the game wears on, but Carolina would have to build a decent lead for that to transpire. The Falcons are at home with the playoffs on the line might be too much pressure for them to overcome. They might find a way to win this contest, but it’ll be by a field goal. ATL doesn’t cover the spread @ -4 CAR 10 ATL 22 (L)        

Cincinnati @ Baltimore (Favorite)

Westgate -9.5

Caesar’s -9.5

William Hill -9.5

Wynn -9.5

CG -9

Unibet -8.5

SportSelect -9.5

The NFL schedule markers adjusted the week 17 slate to house all the games with playoff implications in the afternoon to increase the entertainment value for it fans. The bid for the last two playoff spots in the AFC is between the Ravens, Bills, Titans, and Chargers. The team with the upper-hand going into Sunday is the Ravens. Simply put, if Baltimore wins they’re in. If the Ravens lose, they open themselves up to the potential of being overtaken and watching football in January from their couches. The Bengals get the great task of playing spoiler to a division foe even though their season has been over for quite some time. With news that Coach Marvin Lewis will be relieved of his duties in the offseason, he might get one last push from his squad knowing they could derail a rival’s plan for post season. Vegas has placed a massive spread for the Ravens to cover and ADF believes it should be tighter then expected. Baltimore should come out on top, but it will be closer then the spread suggests. BAL doesn’t cover the spread @ -9.5 CIN 31 BAL 27 (W)

Buffalo (Favorite) @ Miami

Westgate -2.5

Caesar’s -2.5

William Hill -2.5

Wynn -2.5

CG -2.5

Unibet -2.5

SportSelect -2.5

Its been 17 years and counting, as the Bills faithful this year have a legitimate shot at making the playoffs providing the new generation a potential taste at the post season. The Buffalo Bills travel to Miami for week 17 in a must win situation relatively healthy. Most experts pegged the Bills to be a five-win squad in 2017, but they didn’t expect coach McDermott to bring them all together to protect the dirt. Miami has nothing to play for other than division spoiler to their longtime rival. Buffalo dominated the Dolphins two weeks ago beating them 24-16 in New Era Field. The Bills will have to be on point running the ball with Shady McCoy and limiting any turnovers to have success in this contest. Tyrod Taylor could be auditioning for another job for another team, so a victory would bod extremely well for his future. Buffalo gets EJ Gains back from injury to help bolster a secondary that has played very well this season. The game plan once again will be to slow down Kenyan Drake and make Jay Cutler beat them through the air. It will be difficult to not scoreboard watch for the Bills, but they need take care of business on the field first to stand a chance. The Bills will win this contest and let the chips fall as they will. It would be great to see the longest drought for playoffs ended on Sunday for a fan base that is one of, if not the best in the NFL. BUF covers the spread @ -2.5 BUF 22 MIA 16 (W)    

New Orleans (Favorite) @ Tampa Bay

Westgate -6.5

Caesar’s -7

William Hill -7

Wynn -7

CG -7

Unibet -6.5

SportSelect -6.5

With recent news that Dirk Koetter will hold his post for the 2018 season, the Bucs may come out strong in this contest on Sunday. The Saints are in a fight for the division with the Panthers and will try and capitalize on a team that is very beatable in a tune-up for the playoffs. It will be important for the Saints to come out strong running the ball as Drew Brees plays better with effective play action pass. Drew Brees has shown signs of regression this season hence the change in the offensive strategy. This game could start off being tight as the Saints will try and protect themselves from giving up big plays. Alas, Brees, Kamara, and Ingram should find more than enough to handle the lowly Bucs and send them to the golf courses in Florida. NWO covers the spread @ -7 NWO 24 TB 31 (L)

Jacksonville @ Tennessee (Favorite)

Westgate -3

Caesar’s -3

William Hill -3

Wynn -3

CG -3

Unibet -3.5

SportSelect -3.5

Another prime matchup for the AFC playoffs has the Titans hosting the Jaguars on Sunday afternoon. The Jags haven’t suggested they will rest their starters in this contest, but its clear they will keep them all on a short leash. Tennessee will be without Demarco Murray for this contest which may be a blessing in disguise. Derek Henry has been the better runner this season when receiving the bulk of the workload finding his grove gashing opposing defenses. Marcus Mariota will get to show the NFL world how he is able to handle the pressures of the bright lights with the burdens of the playoffs for the city of Tennessee. The Jaguars were upset in San Francisco last week which showed certain weaknesses on a defense that has proven they have become elite. Its been said from players in the locker room, they fully intend to regain the public opinion as a dominant defense on Sunday. This game should be an absolute dandy full of entertainment. ADF isn’t a full believer in Mariota and feels he will buckle under the pressure. TEN doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 
JAX 10 TE 15 (L)      

Kansas City @ Denver (Favorite)

Westgate -3.5

Caesar’s -3.5

William Hill -3.5

Wynn -3.5

CG -3.5

Unibet -3.5

SportSelect -3.5

Another contest that has no real meaningful implication to playoff seeding or playoff aspirations. The Chiefs have clinched their spot in the 2018 post season and is set to rest their starters against the Broncos in Denver. Denver is in full shutdown mode and will try and end their year with a victory against their division rival. Rumor has it that Paxton Lynch will get the nod to start this game under center giving the brass tape in evaluating him for next season. Even with the backups playing in this contest its difficult to see the Broncos lighting up the score board. Patrick Mahomes will get the start at quarterback for the Chiefs as their brain trust hope to see flashes from the rookie. Mahomes should come out with a lot of excitement in his first NFL start trying to prove he was worth the trade up, and a viable option to start next season. The Chiefs will come out victorious in this one. DEN doesn’t cover the spread @ -3.5 KC 27 DEN 24 (W)

Oakland @ LA Chargers (Favorite)

Westgate -7.5

Caesar’s -7.5

William Hill -8

Wynn -7.5

CG -7.5

Unibet -7.5

SportSelect -7.5

The last of the four teams pushing to make the postseason in the AFC is the LA Chargers. Going up against the Raiders whose playoff hopes were crushed a couple weeks ago on the strength of a Derek Carr fumble in the endzone. The Chargers may be without or at least dress a hobbled Melvin Gordon on Sunday as he nurses an injured ankle. Reports have Gordon ready to play on Sunday, but his effectiveness will be in question. The Bolts will lean on Brandon Oliver to help generate yards on the ground. Philip Rivers will have to bring his A-game in this one if the Chargers want to taste the fruits of football in January. ADF has large concerns that Rivers will try and do to much (as he’s prone) in big games such as this one. The Raiders are a hot mess right now on both sides of the ball but should be able to muster something in this one. Even if the Chargers win, it should be closer then suggested. LAC doesn’t cover the spread @ -8 OAK 10 LAC 30 (L)  

San Francisco (Favorite) @ LA Rams

Westgate -3.5

Caesar’s -3.5

William Hill -3.5

Wynn -3

CG -3.5

Unibet -4.5

SportSelect -3.5

This game is another contest that has meaningless outcomes attached to it. The Rams have already stated they will rest their starters to keep them heathy for a hopeful long playoff run. The 49ers however will be locked and loaded charging to finish the season high with Jimmy G not losing a game as an NFL starter. Shanahan is extremely excited in what 2018 should bring, as San Fran has money to burn and picks of plenty to restock the fallen franchise. The future looks bright in Frisco and they should put the Rams backups to shame. SF covers the spread @ -3.5 SF 34 LAR 13 (W)    

Arizona @ Seattle (Favorite)

Westgate -9.5

Caesar’s -9

William Hill -9.5

Wynn -9.5

CG -9

Unibet -9.5

SportSelect -9.5

Finishing off an injury filled season, the Hawks host the Cardinals who both have struggled to keep talent on the field. Russell Wilson is in the NFL MVP race as he is the Seattle Seahawks offense. Without Wilson this team is nowhere and unable to produce much of anything. This is a must win for the Hawks as they will be scoreboard watching seeing what the Falcons will be doing against the Panthers. The Cardinals have nothing to play for other than pride and will try and play spoiler like most other clubs on Sunday. Vegas is baiting the public into a ten-point victory for Seattle as their season hangs in the balance. Wilson and Carroll have been in these tight situations before and should be able to pull together as a whole and get the victory. ADF will bite. SEA covers the spread @ -9.5 ARZ 26 SEA 24 (L) 

Week 17 Record 8-8 (.500)

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