NFL Week 15 Point Spread Picks

PLACE YOUR BETS!!!  ADF took a hit to the chin in Week 14 as the spreads were crushed with unexpected results. We will rebound in Week 15 to re-load the bank account. Still in the black in season earnings we look to continue the winning trend. On the positive ADF’s record remains at the .500 mark and we intend to keep it that way. Follow me I will get you there!  Let’s make some money. Good Luck!

Follow on twitter:  @chris_ADF1

Follow on Instagram:  ADF5000

Week 14 Point Spread Record: 6-10 (.375)

Season Point Spread Record:  104-104 (.500)

NFL WEEK 15 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ DEC.14.2017 – 12:00PM EST)

Thursday Dec.14.2017

Denver (Favorite) @ Indianapolis

Westgate -2.5

Caesar’s -2.5

William Hill -2.5

Wynn -2.5

CG -2.5

Unibet -2.5

SportSelect -2.5

Not much of a contest on paper to begin week 15 as the Broncos travel to face the Colts. Denver is coming off a victory last week to the Jets as they were forced to carry on without Josh McCown due to injury. Denver came out and laid an absolute smack on the Jets, once again showing they are a better club then the record indicates. The Broncos once again statistically house the best defense in the NFL and should show up again on Thursday. The Colts are home after surviving the Snow-Bowl in Buffalo where they almost had enough to come away with the win, the story of their season. Ranking near the bottom in most statistical categories and always finding new and exciting ways to lose games, it’s very difficult to envision Indy mustering up enough to get past the Broncos. The Broncos defense should dominate. DEN covers the spread @ -2.5 
DEN 25 IND 13 (W)

Saturday Dec.16.2017

Chicago @ Detroit (Favorite)

Westgate -5.5

Caesar’s -5.5

William Hill -5.5

Wynn -5.5

CG -5.5

Unibet -5.5

SportSelect -5.5

One of the tougher matches of the week to predict as the Bears continue to show signs of improvement then falter a week later, then improve once again. Last week Chicago looked impressive beating up on the Bengals who looked deflated and uninterested to even be on the field. Mitchell Trubisky without question had his best game of his young career looking decisive and efficient. Teamed with Trubisky’s play, was the superb running of both Jordon Howard and Tarik Cohen to take the pressure of the young passer. Defensively the Bears have held up to still rank 11^th overall in total defense. The Lions should count themselves lucky as they managed to sneak out of Tampa with the victory as they allowed the Bucs to climb back into the game. Detroit again finds themselves in a must win situation and will be put to task by a Bears team that looks to be improving weekly as they wind down the season. The Lions still possess no run attack to mention, placing all the pressure squarely on Matthew Stafford. The last time these two teams met the Bears nearly handed the Lions a loss losing by three points. Detroit seems to start quick, then falter as the game wears on. The Bears will give them a run for their money. DET doesn’t cover the spread @ -5.5 CHI 10 DET 20 (L)

LA Chargers (Favorite) @ Kansas City

Westgate -1

Caesar’s -1

William Hill -1.5

Wynn -1

CG -1

Unibet -1.5

SportSelect -0.5

It’s with great appreciation that the NFL placed this contest for the night cap on Saturday as this should be a dandy. The Chiefs seem to be back on track offensively as they disposed of the Raiders with ease and got back in the win column. Vegas has placed the Chiefs as a slim underdog at home in Arrowhead which is a rare occurrence these last few years. The Chiefs will need to stay true to their game plan, providing sound running with quick passes to open up the field vs a very good Chargers secondary. The Chargers come to Kansas City tagged as one of the hottest teams in the NFL, and rightfully so. Winners of their last four games have placed them in prime position to steal the AFC West from the Chiefs who early on looked to have the control. At this point it’s very difficult to poke holes in what the Chargers are doing on both sides of the ball. Offensively Philip Rivers has this offense humming teamed with the solid running of Melvin Gordon. Defensively the Chargers have become a fierce unit behind Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram. These two teams haven’t seen each other since week 3, and since then a lot has changed. I fully expect the Chiefs to come out in full force as a division loss would be catastrophic to their playoff hopes. That being said the Chargers are just too good to not bet on, even in Arrowhead. LAC covers the spread @ -1 LAC 13 KC 30 (L)     

Sunday Dec.17.2017

Miami @ Buffalo (Favorite)

Westgate -3.5

Caesar’s N/A

William Hill

Wynn N/A

CG -3

Unibet N/A

SportSelect N/A

Coming off an impressive victory last week vs the New England Patriots, the Dolphins travel to Buffalo to face the Bills. Vegas wasn’t convinced with the dominance of the Fins on Monday Night as they elect to favor the Bills. The Buffalo Bills have gotten good news this week that Tyrod Taylor is trending in the right direction and should suit up for this game. The Bills realize the importance of this contest as it would provide not only a W in the win column, but another conference victory which they lead the pack with wildcard teams. Buffalo will have to run Shady McCoy once again with success if they have any hopes of coming out on top. Defensively the Bills have to form a game plan to stop up and comer Kenyan Drake from ripping them apart. The Dolphins travel to snowy - cold Buffalo which is a massive disadvantage to the team from South Beach. Put away the sunscreen and grab your gloves as it should be a chilly day in Orchard Park. Jay Cutler is no stranger to the cold weather but I question if his motivation will be there. Coach Gase will ride his back (Drake) as he did last week in hopes to soften the Bills secondary opening up lanes for Landry and Parker. The Bills have been up and down this season but behind the fan base that will be extremely loud and visible, with the playoffs on the line, they should find a way. BUF covers the spread @ -3 MIA 16 BUF 24 (W)

Green Bay @ Carolina (Favorite)

Westgate -3

Caesar’s -3

William Hill -3

Wynn -3

CG -3

Unibet -3.5

SportSelect N/A

Do you hear that? That’s the sound of the Green Bay faithful screaming and chanting as their golden boy is set to return. Welcome back Mr. Rodgers, it’s great to see you! All Packer fans across the country should send Brett Hundley a Christmas present as he gift wrapped the 2017 season allowing this team to stay relevant during the Aaron Rodgers absence. With the return of Aaron this game becomes a lot more interesting. One can never discount the talent level a player like Rodgers brings to the stage as on any given Sunday injured or not, he is the best option. The bad news for Rodgers is his first game back is vs the Panthers stingy defense that will be ready for the discount double check. At the midway point of the season it appeared the Panthers wouldn’t make it through the grind, but have found their way back with sound running to assist Cam Newton. Cam is doing just enough making plays helping his defense tear teams down knocking them out for the count. Last week’s win against the Vikings was extremely impressive as they placed themselves back into contender status. The Packers defense has become a unit backed with sloppy play allowing teams to take advantage. Sorry Packer fans, the return of Rodgers will provide entertainment but won’t be near enough as you can’t expect Aaron to carry the bill his first game back on the road. CAR covers the spread @ -3 
GB 24 CAR 31 (W)       

Baltimore (Favorite) @ Cleveland 

Westgate -7

Caesar’s -7

William Hill -7

Wynn -7

CG -7

Unibet -6.5

SportSelect -7.5

Once again the Ravens are gifted with an inferior opponent to keep their playoff hopes alive. Last week against the Steelers, Baltimore was extremely impressive offensively as young buck - turning star, Alex Collins stole the show. This kid was fantastic breaking tackles, finding holes, very elusive, and showed immense burst to get the job done. The Ravens defense had a rough day which was to be expected when facing the talent of the Steelers. This week vs the Browns they will without question get back on track. The Browns continue their horrendous season as they can’t buy a win teamed with terrible coaching and poor execution. Not much left to evaluate for the Browns in 2017 other than the defense has been much improved staying the course. Cleveland may try and complete in this one but that shouldn’t last very long. BAL covers the spread @ -7 
BAL 27 CLE 10 (W)     

Houston @ Jacksonville (Favorite)

Westgate -10.5

Caesar’s -10.5

William Hill -11

Wynn -11

CG -10.5

Unibet -10.5

SportSelect -10.5

It might be time to take full notice of what the Jaguars are becoming. Defensively we already knew what they should be and they have proven it all season. Coming off a huge win at home last week to the Seahawks definitely stamped they approval letter that the Jags are a team on the rise and to be feared as the season comes to an end. Offensively, Blake Bortles has taken his play to the next level these last three weeks looking efficient and dynamic. The Run game has been solid all season as Jacksonville has the making of becoming a complete football team. The Texans injury plagued season has been very difficult to watch as one by one the stars fell followed by backups to replace them. This week TJ Yates gets the nod at quarterback traveling to Jacksonville to try and compete with a potential powerhouse. Usually 10+ point spreads are bait factors from Vegas, this looks to be a sure thing. JAX covers the spread @ -10.5 HOU 7 JAX 45 (W)

Cincinnati @ Minnesota (Favorite)

Westgate -10.5

Caesar’s -10.5

William Hill -10.5

Wynn -10.5

CG -10.5

Unibet -10.5

SportSelect -10.5

It was inevitable that the Vikings would finally lose another game after going on an incredible stretch now seeing their record at 10-3, still atop the NFC. Back at home, Minnesota hosts the miserable Bengals and this one should be no contest. The Vikings still possess a top flight defense that almost were able to pull one out in Carolina last week, but fell short. Offensively I fully expect Minnesota to get back to basics and employ a run heavy attack backed by play action to get that offense going. The Bengals players have all but giving up on the season as seen from last week’s blowout loss to the Bears. This is the worst offensive unit Cincinnati has seen in many years and the pain should continue on Sunday. The Vikings defense will feast on the helpless Bengals in week 15. MIN covers the spread @ -10.5 CIN 7 MIN 34 (W)    

NY Jets @ New Orleans (Favorite)

Westgate -15

Caesar’s -15.5

William Hill -16

Wynn -15

CG -15.5

Unibet -15.5

SportSelect -15.5

Another monster spread sees the Jets travel to New Orleans to try and tame the mighty Saints. Coming off a loss last Thursday Night the Saints will be prime and ready on extra rest to dispose of the Jets. It was very apparent in how much Alvin Kamara means to this Saints offense, as the game plan was aborted once he was concussed vs the Falcons. News has it that Kamara has cleared the NFL concussion protocol and will suit up for this one, great news for New Orleans. Drew Brees has taken a step back this season showing the strength in the arm isn’t quite what it used to be, however, he should get back on track. The Jets season has been a surprise to most experts as they were pegged to have two or three wins total for the year. Unfortunately for Jets fans, these last three games should end up in the loss column as journeymen quarterback and Jets 2017 savoir has been lost for the season with a broken hand. Brice Petty will get first crack at starter to showcase what he can do. This game should be an absolute blowout and should act as a tune up for the Saints. NWO covers the spread @ -15 NYJ 19 NWO 31 (L)   

Philadelphia (Favorite) @ NY Giants

Westgate -7.5

Caesar’s -7

William Hill -7.5

Wynn -7.5

CG -7.5

Unibet -7.5

SportSelect -7.5

Fly Eagle Fly or just try and take off now? The Eagles greatest fears were confirmed early this week as the potential league MVP Carson Wentz has been lost for the year to an ACL injury. Enter Nick Foles to once again man the ship in Philly as they have handed him the keys to the Ferrari hoping he doesn’t crash it into a tree. The Offensive scheme shouldn’t change all that much, but the Eagles will employ more run plays in this game to get Foles more comfortable. As devastating as the Wentz injury was, its not unconceivable that Nick could run with this team and make plays. The biggest concern will be the lack of protection on the Eagles O-Line as Wentz masked those issues with his great escape-ability. Foles is a true pocket passer and will struggle with pressure in his face. The Giants season has been gift wrapped for the offseason as they continue to play out the string. There won’t be much to play for in this contest and Eli should see a huge dose of the Philly blitz to try and create turnovers. Philly will be riding their defense trying to pitch shutouts to assist the offense until a clear picture is seen to what Foles can do. The Giants are a terrible team and the Eagles should find a way to go home happy, but ADF needs to see Foles in action. PHI doesn’t cover the spread @ -7.5 
PHI 34 NYG 29 (W)

Arizona @ Washington (Favorite)

Westgate -4

Caesar’s -4

William Hill -4

Wynn -4

CG -4.5

Unibet -4.5

SportSelect -4.5

One of the more potential snooze games of the week goes to the Cardinals and the Redskins. Playoffs are only a mathematical formality for both these clubs as no one expects them to make one last push. The Cardinals will again be without Adrian Peterson as they will continue to struggle to find anything in the run game. Blaine Gabbert has played better than most had predicted and should continue his same pace in Washington. A very disappointing showing in LA last week had Redskins fans up in arms turning off their TV’s by mid third quarter. Nothing left in the tank but pride for this Washington club, and pride was nowhere to be found last week. Suggesting a home date should deserve more than a field goal favorite, sounds like Vegas baiting once again. The cross country travel is the main concern for the Cardinals as West-East is never a positive. With that said Arizona still houses the 8^th best defensive unit in the NFL and should be able to bring the heat. Even if the Skins find a way to win it’ll be virtue of a field goal. WAS doesn’t cover the spread @ -4.5 
ARZ 15 WAS 20 (L)

LA Rams @ Seattle (Favorite)

Westgate -2

Caesar’s -2

William Hill -1.5

Wynn -1.5

CG -2

Unibet -2.5

SportSelect -1.5

The Seahawks return home to the comfortable confines of CenturyLink Field coming off a disappointing loss last week in Jacksonville. This game should be fantastic as we haven’t witnessed the Rams in an important game for the division in quite some time this late in December. A must win contest for the Hawks suggests that potential league MVP Russell Wilson will bring his A game. Wilson has been absolutely amazing this season and disguises a lot of the faults that do exist on this roster. The offensive line is weak, the run game is subpar, and the defense is dealing with injuries to which is trying to keep pace. That being said, Wilson always seems to find a way. The Rams in their youth have done incredible things in 2017 under Coach McVay and they look to get back on track after dropping a winnable game last week against Philly. Young teams need to learn how to win in the NFL before they can be taken seriously. Last week the game was there for the taking and Goff and company crumbled under the pressure to take advantage. ADF has preached the love for the Rams this season and believes they will be a team that we’ll get used to seeing at the top for many years to come. The question in this one is; can the Rams overcome the pressure in one of the most difficult stadiums in the NFL with the division on the line? The Rams should be welcoming back Robert Woods to the fold adding a much needed play maker back in this offense. As much as ADF likes the Rams, the Seahawks are far to experienced and understand what it takes in a game of this magnitude. SEA covers the spread @ -2 
LAR 42 SEA 07 (L)    

New England (Favorite) @ Pittsburgh

Westgate -3

Caesar’s -3

William Hill -3

Wynn -3

CG -3

Unibet -3.5

SportSelect -2.5

The not so mighty Patriots (from last week), travel to Pittsburgh to take on a very hot Steelers unit. This game has heavy implications on home field advantage and looks to be a potential AFC championship preview. The Patriots are coming off a terrible showing in Miami last week where they went 0-11 on third down conversions and couldn’t generate any offense what so ever. ADF fully expects the Patriots to have a tough week of practice as they try and right the wrongs from this previous week. Getting Rob Gronkowski back on the field is a definite boost as seen from last week , the Dolphins defense was able to attack and cover without sending extra help toward the big man. The Steelers have the massive benefit of playing at home and will need the crowd to be loud in full force. Big Ben, Antonio Brown, and LeVeon Bell have been unstoppable this season and there is little to think that won’t continue on Sunday. Coach Belichick is a master game planner and will focus on stopping either Brown or Bell to make the Steelers become one dimensional. The difference with this Steelers team from ones from the past is the amount of depth they possess in the pass game. JuJu Smith-Schuster should have an increased role in this contest as the defensive focus will be on Brown and Bell. The Patriots defense looked subpar last week unable to generate much of a pass rush which could again be detrimental as Ben will make them pay. It very difficult to go away from the Steelers in this one. NE doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 NE 27 PIT 24 (L)   

Tennessee @ San Francisco (Favorite)

Westgate -2

Caesar’s -2

William Hill -2

Wynn -2

CG -2

Unibet -1.5

SportSelect -1.5

It not surprising that the Titans have lost the faith from the betting community and the odds makers as Mariota and company travel to San Fran to face the 49ers. There is a fundamental issue within the organization thinking they have become a passing team forcing Marcus in situations he shouldn’t be in yet. This Titan team was built to run the ball setting up play action and having one deep Safety to contend with. DeMarco Murray still is a great back but was over worked last season hence the struggles in 2017. The Titans brain trust should give the reins to Derek Henry for the rest of the year having Murray in a support role. This won’t change this week and it might cost Tennessee. The 49ers are dabbling with game concepts and formations with new quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo under center. San Fran is 2-0 since they inserted the former Patriot under center. The 49ers are playing extremely loose as their season is all about building for the future. As much as the Titans have become a frustrating unit, I believe they will go back to the run and find a way to succeed.  SF doesn’t cover the spread @ -2 TEN 23 SF 25 (L)

Dallas (Favorite) @ Oakland

Westgate -3

Caesar’s -3

William Hill -3

Wynn -3

CG -3

Unibet -3.5

SportSelect -3.5

The Dallas Cowboys walked into Giants stadium and applied the pressure until they feel over. Dallas looked sloppy to start but adjusted extremely well winning by 20 points on the strength of Rod Smith and Dak Prescott. The Cowboys travel out West to face the Raiders who didn’t even show up for a divisional contest to keep their playoff hopes alive. At 7-6 the Cowboys will have to run the table and receive assistance to qualify for the post season. This is the last game the Boys have to endure without their super-star running back Zeke Elliott as he returns on Christmas Eve. If Dallas can keep it together and form a solid game plan, they should be able to walk in and walk out of Oakland with the win. The Raiders have been an epic fail in 2017 and this ship is taking in water and sinking fast, no one can stop the leak. Derek Carr and the offensive unit have been extremely underwhelming and that would suggest he hasn’t been fully healthy this season. Defensively, Oakland is a nightmare and hasn’t been able to produce anything of value. Sunday Night Football should bring the best out in both clubs, but we have zero faith in the Raiders after watching last week’s performance. DAL covers the spread @ -3 DAL 20 OAK 17 (W)     

Monday Dec.18.2017

Atlanta (Favorite) @ Tampa Bay

Westgate -6.5

Caesar’s -6

William Hill -6

Wynn -6.5

CG -6.5

Unibet -5.5

SportSelect -6.5

Monday Night Football predicted this contest to have some teeth when the schedule was created, alas bring on the disappointment. Tampa Bay has underachieved mightily as they host the hard charging Falcons to end of week 15. We don’t need to travel far back in time to remind the pubic of the massive beat down the Falcons and Julio Jones provided the poor Buccaneers. Julio loves to play the Bucs and goes off on them every time they meet. Week 12 Julio was open all day and carved up the secondary for 12 receptions, 253 yards, and 2 touchdowns – expect another show. The Falcons defense has been very impressive as of late as they seem to be finding that killer instinct to close out games, very important for the post season. We should see the Falcons flying high. Even with Jameis Winston back behind center, this season is all but a formality that needs to conclude. Defensively the Bucs are a hot-mess and couldn’t stop a cold if they tried. Winston might be able to produce early on but it won’t be near enough to stop Atlanta. The Falcons concern ADF when playing on the road, but a touchdown spread should be easy to make. ATL covers the spread @ -6 
ATL 24 TB 21 (L) 

Week 15 Record: 8-8 (.500)    

  

Note: All Day Football is not responsible for any personal gains or losses as a result of its predictions. Please play responsibly.