PLACE YOUR BETS!!! ADF had a minor slip last week as sure fire picks went by
the waste side. Almost hitting 60% last week giving the community good money
back on their losses. We look to rebound and try and run the table. Let’s make
some money. Good Luck!
Follow on twitter:
@chris_ADF1
Follow on Instagram
ADF5000
Week 10 Point Spread
Record: 8-6 (.571)
Season Point Spread
Record: 78-68 (.534)
NFL WEEK 11 –
Predictions (Projected odds makers @ NOV.16.2017 – 12:00PM EST)
Thursday Nov.16.2017
Tennessee
@ Pittsburgh (Favorite)
Westgate -7
Caesar’s -7
William Hill -7
Wynn -7
CG -7
Unibet -5.5
SportSelect -7.5
In typical Steelers
fashion last week – play to the level of the opponent! They had a great
opportunity to lay into the lowly Colts but decided to keep the game close to
the wire winning by a field goal. On a short week they return home to face the
Titans who are enjoying a four game win streak much like the Steelers. You get
the feeling the Steelers offense is ready to have an explosive game where all
the big dogs will light up the score board. This hasn’t come to pass as of yet,
and it’s difficult to predict. The Steelers do house the 2nd best
defensive unit to go along with a top 10 offense which is a great recipe to
produce vs a leaky Titan defense. Mariota and the Titans coming off a 4 point
victory vs the Bengals last week pushing their win streak to four games is
quite impressive. The will need to set up the run game to have any shot at
beating Pittsburgh on Thursday. Tennessee ranks in the middle of the pack in
both offense and defense and will have to provide their A game in this one.
Should be closer than the spread suggests. PIT
doesn’t cover the spread @ -7
TEN 17 PIT 40 (L)
TEN 17 PIT 40 (L)
Sunday Nov.19.2017
Detroit
(Favorite) @ Chicago
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -2.5
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
CG --3
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -3.5
With a division rival
game in Chicago, the travelling Lions look to keep pace in a playoff race
that’s beginning to heat up. This game feels very similar to the game played by
the Lions a week ago. The Bears house the 8th best defense in the
NFL (similar to Cleveland-last week), and the Lions went the entire game trying
to exploit and finish off the Browns. This week could go much the same as the
Lions shouldn’t take the Bears defensive unit for granted. The Lions however
have looked good these last few weeks offensively establishing an adequate run
game to support their pass attack. Chicago was unable to take advantage of the
Roger-less Packers at home dropping a very winnable game. Mitchell Trubisky
looked average at times but did post a career high in passing yards. The Bears
will again lean on the run and try to improve on a sub-par defensive
performance, might not be enough. DET
covers the spread @ -3 DET 27 CHI 24 (W)
Baltimore
(Favorite) @ Green Bay
Westgate -2
Caesar’s -2
William Hill -2
Wynn -2.5
CG -1.5
Unibet -1.5
SportSelect -2.5
Coming off the bye
week the Ravens travel to Green Bay to face the Packers. Not the most exciting
game on paper, as the Packers again have been rattled with injuries losing
running back Jones and limiting Montgomery - still uncertain about Monty’s
status. Brett Hundley and the pass game showed signs of improvement last week a
trend that should continue as he gets more acclimated to the offense through
repetition. The Ravens haven’t been anything to praise this season as their
offense ranks near the bottom of the NFL. Like most seasons post Ray Lewis, the
Baltimore defense has been up and down – week to week. I usually like the team
coming off the bye; however, the Ravens will have long travel miles with an
anemic offense at Lambo Field, a combination I do not like.
BAL doesn’t cover the spread @ -2 BAL 23 GB 0 (L)
Jacksonville
(Favorite) @ Cleveland
Westgate -7.5
Caesar’s -7.5
William Hill -7.5
Wynn -7.5
CG -7.5
Unibet -7.5
SportSelect -7.5
Oh these young up and
coming Jacksonville Jaguars! This team has been absolutely a breath of fresh
air for the Florida fan base starving for a winner. The Jags defense really is
turning into an elite unit and ADF has preached the affection for dynamic duo Ramsey
and Bouye! What makes this squad different is they are learning to win the
close games which provides confidence to sustaining a winning program. At this
point you begin to feel bad for the Browns and their fans. This team comes out
to compete every game, and by the middle of the third quarter they have nothing
left in the tank. They will attempt to give their best effort but won’t have
nearly enough to win this game. The spread is large as the odds makers try and
bait the public. I will bite. JAX covers
the spread @ -7.5 JAX 19 CLE 7 (W)
Arizona
(Favorite) @ Houston
Westgate -1
Caesar’s -1
William Hill -1.5
Wynn N/A
CG -1
Unibet -1.5
SportSelect N/A
Are we really about to
see a game that shows Blaine Gabbert and Tom Savage as the starting
quarterbacks?! Yes we are. This game has everything to avoid in terms of
betting with so many question marks on the field. Houston is a terrible team
without star rookie QB Watson, and the Cardinals continue to try and overcome
injuries. Both teams should try and run the ball heavy in any attempt to create
shots in the pass game. Bruce Arians has preached support for Gabbert in the
past and might get the most out of the former first rounder. ARZ covers the spread @ -1 ARZ 21 HOU 31 (L)
LA
Rams @ Minnesota (Favorite)
Westgate -2
Caesar’s -2.5
William Hill -2.5
Wynn -2.5
CG -2.5
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -2.5
Potentially the game
of the week, we see the high flying Rams take their talents to Minnesota to
face off against the Vikings. Both teams have played fantastic this season
which bods the question, are they for real? The Rams statistically still house
the best offensive unit in terms of points scored and rank third in total
offense. The Vikings have been no slouch themselves, riding Case Keenum and
backup running backs to an equal 7-2 record as the Rams. Both defenses are very
opportunistic and will be looking for the turnovers. Aside from Seattle, this
will be the biggest test the Rams have had all season. In terms of Case Keenum
we have seen his mediocre play and four touchdown performances this season, to
which the question arises, which man comes out on Sunday. This should be a very
entertaining contest filled with points. It’s hard to go away from the second
coming of the greatest show on turf.
MIN doesn’t cover the spread @ -2.5 LAR 7 MIN 24 (L)
Washington
@ New Orleans (Favorite)
Westgate -7.5
Caesar’s -7.5
William Hill -7.5
Wynn -7.5
CG -8
Unibet -7.5
SportSelect -7.5
The hottest team award
in the NFL goes to the Saints, and I can’t find many to argue that. This team
is on an absolute tear winning their last seven games after starting the season
0-2. What we’re witnessing from New Orleans is a fundamental adjustment to the
notion the NFL is a pure passing league. The Saints have taken a page from the
past and have employed a full on running attack style with two very capable
runners in Ingram and rookie Kamara. The defense resembles something of the
attacking style from their 2010 superbowl winning team. You notice how I haven’t
even mentioned Drew Brees yet, that’s the scary thing about this Saints team!
They will be a squad to be reckoned with down the stretch. The Redskins have
been one of the teams in the NFL that have played very well despite all the
injuries they’ve had. Losing a barn burner to the Vikings last week should drop
the confidence that they are a viable playoff team. They are still fighting for
a wildcard spot, and it seems quite viable with the Cowboys losing Zeke for six
games. I fully expect the Redskins to put up great effort, but it won’t be near
enough to take down the big dog in New Orleans.
NWO covers the spread @ -7.5 WAS 31 NWO 34 (L)
Kansas
City (Favorite) @ NY Giants
Westgate -10.5
Caesar’s -10.5
William Hill -11
Wynn -10.5
CG -10.5
Unibet -10.5
SportSelect -9.5
Not much to evaluate in
this matchup! The Giants season is all but a wrap and that was confirmed with
dropping a game to the win-less 49ers last week. The Chiefs are coming off a bye
should be extremely fresh to dominate Eli and the Giants. Watching the Giants
last week it’s very clear the players have given up on the coach and the season
as they refuse to even tackle the opposition. Even though this is a home game
in New York the Chiefs will roll easily. KC
covers the spread @ -10.5 KC 9 NYG 12 (L)
Tampa
Bay @ Miami (Favorite)
Westgate -1
Caesar’s N/A
William Hill -1
Wynn N/A
CG -3
Unibet -1.5
SportSelect N/A
Another game that won’t
light the ratings meter on fire as the postponed week 1 match is being played
now in week 11. The Bucs season had so much promise and fell off the rails very
early on as they weren’t able to recover. The Dolphins have tried to stay
competitive and have masked their many issues and have found a way to win a few
games. Ryan Fitzpatrick remains the starter for Tampa Bay and he looks to put
the Bucs on a two game winning streak! Miami recently got blown out on Monday Night
by the Panthers and should put in a better effort at home. This game should
mirror last week’s game between the Jets and the Bucs to which the outcome
should be a little different.
MIA covers the spread @ -1 TB 30 MIA 20 (L)
Buffalo
@ LA Chargers (Favorite)
Westgate -4
Caesar’s -4
William Hill -4
Wynn -4.5
CG -4
Unibet -4.5
SportSelect N/A
Shocking, as some have
called it hearing the news on Wednesday that the Bills have benched starter
Tyrod Taylor in favour of rookie Nate Peterman! It’s a bold move as Buffalo
still holds the last wildcard spot for a trip to the 2017 postseason. The Bills
brass feels they could get better production or at least evaluate what they
have in the rookie signal caller. McDermott and company are putting faith that
the play of Peterman can at least equal, if not improve the play of Tyrod, in
hopes it will return better results. The Chargers have again made an attempt to
be relevant but will fall by the waste side in 2017. This match has Coach Lynn
licking his chops as his reviews the game film on the Jets and Saints running
all over the Bills defense. I’m sure the Chargers will employ a full blown run
attack with Melvin Gordon to try and replicate the formula and success the past
two teams have had on the Bills. Travel miles will also affect the Bills in
this one but I expect a better effort. (I reserve the right to adjust this pick
if Philip Rivers doesn’t play) LAC covers
the spread @ -4.5
BUF 24 LAC 54 (W)
BUF 24 LAC 54 (W)
Cincinnati
@ Denver (Favorite)
Westgate -2.5
Caesar’s -2.5
William Hill -2.5
Wynn -2.5
CG -3
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -2.5
The Denver Broncos
have come off two massive blowout losses giving up 51 & 41 points
respectively to the Patriots and the Eagles. The Broncos have been a complete
mess over the last four weeks and they look to correct their losing ways with a
better matchup vs the Bengals. Cincinnati comes to Denver with a 3-6 record and
the worst offensive unit in the NFL. Much like the Broncos, the Bengals season
is also a wrap as they’ll be hard pressed to find much to play for. Both teams
have equal 3-6 records but the Broncos have the better squad. DEN covers the spread @ -2.5 CIN 20 DEN 17 (L)
New
England (Favorite) @ Oakland
Westgate -6.5
Caesar’s -6.5
William Hill -7
Wynn -6.5
CG -7
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -7.5
The yearly trip to
Mexico features a game that at the beginning of the season would’ve been the
game of the week between the Patriots and the Raiders. The Raiders at 4-5 are
fighting for their playoff lives in a true must win vs a New England squad that
yet again is coasting through the regular season with ease. Defensively the
Patriots have improved their play becoming a unit that most thought would
dominate at the start of the year. They have made the proper adjustments
stopping teams in their tracks giving the ball back to Brady and co. to work
the field with great execution. With that said, the Patriots are still prone to
give up big plays to an offense that can produce. The Raiders coming off the
bye will have had the much needed extra week to prepare for Brady and the Pats.
Oakland hasn’t been the team we all thought they would’ve been, in building on
last year’s success and adding players to take them to the next level. Carr
should be able to find holes in the Patriots defense that still ranks at the
bottom of the league. Much like the Pats the Raiders have a bottom feeder
defense in the NFL raking 26th overall, but they are facing the task
of shutting down the number one offensive unit in the NFL. Realistically the
Raiders must match points on the scoreboard, and find a way to produce turnovers
from Brady who doesn’t give the ball away. NE
covers the spread @ -6.5 NE 33 OAK 8 (W)
Philadelphia
(Favorite) @ Dallas
Westgate -3.5
Caesar’s -3.5
William Hill -3.5
Wynn -3
CG -3.5
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5
Perhaps the best team
in the NFL, the Philadelphia Eagles roll into Cowboys stadium to face the
Zeke-less Dallas Cowboys. The Atlanta Falcons definitely exposed the Boys and
the injury to star left tackle Tyron Smith allowing a record setting day for
defensive end Adrian Clayborn raking up 6 sacks. As it stands now, Smith isn’t expected
to suit up which is great news for Vinny Curry, Derek Barnett, and Fletcher
Cox! These three defensive monsters will feast on the Cowboys offensive line
with no real threat of a run game. Dak is more than capable in effectively making
plays to keep the Cowboys in the game, but without the blindside covered, the
Boys will have to get creative or it will get ugly again. The Eagles offense
has been superb this season and Carson Wentz is again proving he was worth the
price of admission, being taken 2nd overall in the 2016 NFL draft.
With the addition of Jay Ajayi to a loaded backfield, it gives a plethora of
options for the Eagles brass to play with. In retrospect, it would’ve been
great to see both teams healthy and Zeke take the field (suspension), to see
these division rivals duke it out on Sunday Night Football. Alas, this isn’t the
case and we should see another dominating performance by the rising Eagles! Fly
Eagles Fly! PHI covers the spread @-3.5
PHI 37 DAL 9 (W)
PHI 37 DAL 9 (W)
Monday Nov.20.2017
Atlanta
@ Seattle (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
CG -3
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5
The Atlanta Falcons again provide a Jekyll & Hyde evaluation of what we think they are, to what they really are. Their performance last week vs a Cowboys team that has key injuries and lost their all world running back to suspension, may have been a mirage. While there is no questioning the Falcons talent, they haven’t put it together this season under OC Steve Sarkisian, and I question if they’ll find a grove playing at the 12th man! The Seahawks entertained the public in their win against the Cardinals last week on Thursday Night Football. Housing a 6-3 record this is a must win for the Hawks as they look to keep pace with the division leading full charging LA Rams. Statistically both teams rank tops in most categories priming the viewing audience of a fantastic matchup on Monday Night Football. The biggest concerns for the Seahawks are the ineffective running game that ranks 22nd in the NFL, and the loss of star corner Richard Sherman (injured). It’s been rumored that elite safety Earl Thomas will return for this game, which is a much needed boost and he should see a lot of Julio Jones as he assists his corners in double coverage. With Devonta Freeman still in concussion protocol and in danger of missing this game, the Falcons will ride Tevin Coleman, a very capable back. This game should be a fantastic way to cap off week 11 and ADF is torn with this pick. Still gotta role with the 12th man in this one.
SEA covers the spread
@ -3 ATL 34 SEA 31 (L)
Week 11 Record: 5-9 (.357)
Week 11 Record: 5-9 (.357)
Note: All Day Football
is not responsible for any personal gains or losses as a result of its
predictions. Please play responsibly.
Comments
Post a Comment