NFL Week 9 Point Spread Picks

PLACE YOUR BETS!!! Week 8 ADF once again was true to form amassing 9 wins and a 70% winning percentage!! With that, it brings ADF above the .500 mark once again this season. We have our sights set on running the table, follow me and I’ll get you those wins! ADF made great money last week, let’s keep that going! Let’s make some money. Good Luck!

Follow on twitter:  @chris_ADF1

Follow on Instagram ADF5000

Week 8 Point Spread Record: 9-4 (.692)

Season Point Spread Record:  60-59 (.504)

NFL WEEK 9 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ NOV.2.2017 – 12:00PM EST)

Thursday Nov.2.2017

Buffalo (Favorite) @ NY Jets

Westgate -3

Caesar’s -3

William Hill -3

Wynn -3

CG -3

Unibet -3

SportSelect -3.5

The Buffalo Bills are flying high with a record of 5-2 going into a short week traveling to New York to face the Jets on Thursday Night Football. The Bills record isn’t the only thing dominating the headlines, GM Brandon Beane made another blockbuster trade - this time bringing in former Panthers WR Kelvin Benjamin to the squad. It unclear as to how much he’ll play (if at all), but the Bills look prime to take down a Jets team that hasn’t played all that bad this year, (could be a lot worse). The Bills look to be figuring out and buying into the McDermott culture and system putting their confidence in high gear. The Bills defense has been fantastic this year in a true bend but don’t break fashion. I fully expect the best side of the Bills to come out in this one as they look to keep pace with the Patriots.

BUF covers the spread @ -3 BUF 21 NYJ 34 (L)

Sunday Nov.5.2017

Atlanta @ Carolina (Favorite)

Westgate -1

Caesar’s -1

William Hill -1.5

Wynn -1.5

CG -1

Unibet -1.5

SportSelect -1.5

A division rival matchup is set as the Falcons travel to Carolina to face the Panthers. Atlanta barley won last week in a rainy atmosphere in New York vs the Jets. The Falcons are a hot mess offensively which makes fans scratch their head. They are among the top in the NFL in both defensive and offensive categories which doesn’t jive with how they’ve played in the last month. The Panthers will be without Kelvin Benjamin as he was shipped to the Bills on Tuesday, so the game plan will be very interesting. The Panthers defense is second best in the NFL and playing at home should give them the edge they need, rolling with the home team. CAR covers the spread @ -1.5 ATL 17 CAR 20 (W)

Indianapolis @ Houston (Favorite)

Westgate -13

Caesar’s -12.5

William Hill -13

Wynn -12.5

CG -13

Unibet -11.5

SportSelect -13.5

The Texans came off a disappointing loss to the Seahawks while providing maybe the best game we’ve seen all year. Watson again proved he belongs with the big boys in this league; all he does is make plays. He is such a dynamic talent that nothing seems to faze him even when he makes a mistake; the kid has ice in his veins. The Colts on the other hand are moving in the opposite direction and shouldn’t be able to put up much of a fight. They were looking to be huge sellers at the trade deadline but didn’t make anything of significance happen. The Texans and Watson will blowout the Colts. UPDATE: with recent news that Deshaun Watson has potentially tore his ACL ADF will change the spread on this game. 

HOU covers the spread @ -13    HOU doesn't cover the spread @ -13 IND 20 HOU 14 (W)

Cincinnati @ Jacksonville (Favorite)

Westgate -5

Caesar’s -4.5

William Hill -5

Wynn -4

CG -5

Unibet -3.5

SportSelect -4.5

The Bengals travel to Florida to face a Jags team that is finally showing signs of being a team on the rise. The obvious strength of the Jags is that powerful defense along with Leonard Fourentte and the league’s best run attack. Jacksonville traded for star defensive tackle Marcel Dareus last week from the Bills and is poised to make that D-Line much more powerful. This is a monster game for the Bengals at 3-4 playing a conference game that will undoubtedly mean something later in the season. The Bengals are coming off a week were they barley controlled the Colts at home, yet found a way with their defense. Though I’m not yet fully on-board with the Jaguars as team, that defense is something special in the making and should give Dalton and co. all they can handle. JAX covers the spread @ -5 CIN 7 JAX 23 (W)   

Tampa Bay @ New Orleans (Favorite)

Westgate -7

Caesar’s -7

William Hill -7

Wynn -7

CG -7

Unibet -7.5

SportSelect -6.5

The Saints have been rolling after dropping the first two games of the season winning five in a row. They have figured out how to effectively run the ball once again, while Brees has been Brees. The biggest improvement has been the defense. They have gone away from the heavy blitz scheme to a more balanced approach putting their skilled players in a better position to be successful. As the Saints continue to rise the Bucs continue to fall. Tampa Bay was a popular pick in the offseason to be the division winner to which that won’t materialize this season. Jameis Winston has been playing hurt these last couple weeks with an AC joint issue, and may not suit up for this contest. Even if he does, that is a very difficult injury to overcome without sufficient rest and rehab. Top it off, this game is in the Big Easy, hard to go against Brees here, but the Bucs can air it out.  NWO doesn’t cover the spread @ -7.5 TB 10 NWO 30 (L)

LA Rams (Favorite) @ NY Giants

Westgate -3.5

Caesar’s -3.5

William Hill -3.5

Wynn -3.5

CG -3.5

Unibet -3.5

SportSelect -3.5

Both teams coming of their bye week look to come out the gates early. The Rams have looked fantastic this season and should get the award for most improved. Coach McVay will have the troops ready to take on a Giants team that is in complete disarray. News broke that Janoris Jenkins was suspended this game for violating team rules, leaving a massive hole in their secondary. It very difficult to see the Giants making any sort of sustained push in this one in stopping the league’s best offensive unit.  The biggest obstacle for the Rams will be the long travel miles they will endure going to New York. Either way the Giants should be outmatched. LAR covers the spread @ -3.5 LAR 51 NYG 17 (W)   

Denver @ Philadelphia (Favorite)

Westgate -8.5

Caesar’s -8

William Hill -8.5

Wynn -8

CG -8

Unibet -9.5

SportSelect -7.5

The Eagles are literally flying high this season ranking atop the NFL in the standings at 7-1. They made an interesting move at the trade deadline acquiring Jay Ajayi to bolster their run attack to provide more balance to the unit. Now equipped with a powerful one-two punch at RB (Blount & Ajayi), they should be able to control the clock and work play action to perfection. The Broncos are in deep trouble on the offensive side of the ball which impacts the leagues number one defensive unit having to pick up the slack. Brock Osweiler will get the start this week in trying to find any sort of chemistry to uplift this Denver team. Carson Wentz hasn’t seen a defense like the Broncos yet this year, and it may come as a little bit of a shocker. Philly should come away with the win but it may be closer then we expect.

PHI doesn’t cover the spread @ -8.5 DEN 23 PHI 51 (L)

Baltimore @ Tennessee (Favorite)

Westgate 3.5

Caesar’s N/A

William Hill 3.5

Wynn N/A

CG -3.5

Unibet N/A

SportSelect N/A

Coming off the bye the Titans look to climb the standings vs an up and down Ravens squad. Tennessee got the bye week at the right time to get their star talent rested and ready to push for the rest of the season. The Ravens offense is at the bottom of the league and can’t seem to get much going consistently to strike fear in the opposition. That being said the Titans defense is an underwhelming unit that has been prone to give up big plays. Only three odds makers have posted a spread as they wait for word if Flacco passed concussion protocol. Flacco practiced on Wednesday which confirms he will suit up in this one. This game should be won by a field goal either way. TEN doesn’t cover the spread @ -3.5 BAL 20 TEN 23 (W)

Arizona (Favorite) @ San Francisco

Westgate -2

Caesar’s -2

William Hill -2

Wynn -2

CG -1.5

Unibet -1.5

SportSelect -2.5

This is shaping up to be the snooze game of the week as the Cards travel to San Fran to take on the 49ers. We have seen what the Cardinals offense looks like when Drew Stanton is running things, (not great). I have the sneaky suspicion that Adrian Peterson will get in the realm of 20-25 carries, as they will look to control the clock and play good defense. The 49ers made waves in trading for former New England QB Jimmy Garoppolo, unfortunately he won’t have time to learn the playbook to have any impact in this one. The 49ers will try and complete but the Zona defense should provide enough to get by. ARZ covers the spread @ -2 
ARZ 20 SF 10 (W)

Washington @ Seattle (Favorite)

Westgate -7.5

Caesar’s -7

William Hill -7.5

Wynn -7

CG -7

Unibet -7.5

SportSelect -7.5

Seattle was in the best game of the year last week vs the Texans where we saw the Hawks offense finally come alive. Russell Wilson is playing out of his mind elevating his team to another level. The Hawks defense may be without Earl Thomas which is a massive hit on that unit. Washington comes into one of the toughest environments in the NFL trying to salvage their season which had extremely high hopes. Chris Thompson will again have a massive role coming out of the back field as Kirk’s first check down option. The Skins are a good squad that have had the misfortune of bad luck in relation to injuries this season. They have a team that should be able to compete, but shouldn’t be able to go home with the W in the win column. SEA doesn’t cover the spread @ -7.5 WAS 17 SEA 14 (W)  

Kansas City (Favorite) @ Dallas

Westgate -1

Caesar’s -1.5

William Hill -EVEN

Wynn -1.5

CG -1.5

Unibet -2.5

SportSelect N/A

This game is very interesting and even without Zeke it could be the game of the week. The Chiefs will have travel miles heading down the Dallas but it shouldn’t faze this club. Both offensive units are tops in the league setting this up to be a potential shootout. The Cowboys will employ a committee approach to the back-field to replace the production left by Elliott. Dak should find holes in a leaky Chiefs defense allowing Dez Bryant to have a big day. Kareem Hunt will be able to find holes to gallop through more than likely getting back to over 100 yards this week. Andy Reid knows the Cowboys well and should bring that experience with him to victory. UPDATE: with recent news that Zeke will play the week ADF will change the spread on this game.  KC Covers the spread @ -1.5  KC doesn't cover the spread @-1.5 KC 17 DAL 28 (W)

Oakland (Favorite) @ Miami

Westgate -3

Caesar’s -3

William Hill -3

Wynn -3

CG -3

Unibet -4.5

SportSelect -3.5

The Raiders have been underwhelming this season not looking like the team we thought they would be. Oakland will get a boost this week with the return of Marshawn Lynch to man the backfield which wasn’t able to produce much in his absence. Miami coming off one of their worst losses in franchise history at the hands of the Ravens has forced the hand of Adam Gase to rush Cutler back into the starting lineup. Even with a rib injury, Cutler should fare better then perennial backup Matt Moore in moving one of the worst offenses in the NFL. Miami also cut the cord on a terrible season by Jay Ajayi, sending him to the Eagles and replacing him with a committee backfield.  Oakland will have heavy travel miles heading down to Florida, but should have enough to get by the struggling Dolphins.  

OAK covers the spread @ -3 OAK 27 MIA 24 (W)

Monday Nov.6.2017

Detroit (Favorite) @ Green Bay

Westgate -2.5

Caesar’s -2.5

William Hill -2.5

Wynn -2.5

CG -2.5

Unibet -2.5

SportSelect -2.5

Coming off a loss last week to the Steelers the Lions look to rebound vs the Aaron Rodger-less Green Bay Packers. Normally traveling up to Green Bay would put any team as the underdog, but with the inefficiency of Brett Hundley this game could go sideways rather quickly. I do feel the Packers having the bye week to adjust and correct the game plan more specific to Hundley’s skill-set should improve their ability to move the ball. The Lions as per usual convince the general public they’re a team on the rise and fail to compete vs the top tier squads in the NFL, (as seen last week). This is a massive divisional game for the Lions to jump the Packers in the standings. They will need to form any sort of run game with production to get this victory. That being said I need to see more from Hundley before I can support even a low spread like this. DET covers the spread @ -2.5 DET 30 GB 17 (W)


Week 9 Record: 10-3 (.769)

Note: All Day Football is not responsible for any personal gains or losses as a result of its predictions. Please play responsibly.