NFL Week 13 Point Spread Picks

PLACE YOUR BETS!!! With 5 Weeks left in the regular season, ADF continues to pile up dollars in the bank with sound picks. Even though the money has been rolling in, ADF is never satisfied and is gearing up to jump the overall record in the last quarter of the season. It’s time to finish strong!! Let’s make some money. Good Luck!

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Week 12 Point Spread Record: 7-6 (.538)

Season Point Spread Record:  92-84 (.523)

NFL WEEK 13 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ NOV.30.2017 – 12:00PM EST)

Thursday Nov.30.2017

Washington (Favorite) @ Dallas

Westgate -1.5

Caesar’s -1.5

William Hill -1

Wynn -1.5

CG -1

Unibet -2.5

SportSelect -1.5

Yet another Thursday Night Football primetime showing for the Cowboys as they host the Redskins at Cowboys stadium. Not much can be said that will impress from the Dallas side of things these last few games. Offensively they are at a complete loss without their main man Zeke Elliott taking the pressure off of Dak Prescott. The passing game is in shambles as Dak struggles to find his receivers along with super vanilla play calls from the sideline. The Skins role into town coming off an un-even victory vs the helpless Giants on the night cap of Turkey Day. Kirk Cousins relied heavily on his slot man Jamison Crowder to which he stole the show. Samaje Perine has played very well over the past 2 weeks gaining 100 yards on the ground in consecutive games. These teams (Dallas without Zeke) resemble each other as teams fighting to keep their playoff hopes alive with uneven play. As of now I have no faith that the Cowboys have righted the ship that has been sinking since Elliott has been suspended.

WAS covers the spread @ -1.5 WAS 14 DAL 38 (L)

Sunday Dec.3.2017

Minnesota @ Atlanta (Favorite)

Westgate -3

Caesar’s -3

William Hill -3

Wynn -3

CG -3

Unibet -3.5

SportSelect -2.5

This will be one of the best games on the Sunday slate as the Vikings bring their 9-2 record to the Mercedes-Benz Dome to tangle with the Falcons. Atlanta looked like the dominating team of old as they put an absolute smack down on the Tampa Bay Bucs. Powered by an excellent run game, Matt Ryan was able to effectively execute the play action pass while finding super-star Julio Jones all day long. It really seems they have again turned the corner and found that magic, but it’s difficult to trust Atlanta right now. The Vikings have been a wonderful story this season amidst all the injuries they have endured, still finding ways to put together great consistent performances. I really question if the Falcons will be able to slow down the tandem running game between Murray & McKinnon, as Keenum is set to again prove his doubters wrong. Basically mirror images in most statistical categories, this game will more than likely come down to turnovers. Minnesota will have heavy travel in this match, so we’ll side with the home team. ATL covers the spread @-3 MIN 14 ATL 9 (L)

Detroit @ Baltimore (Favorite)

Westgate -3

Caesar’s -3

William Hill -3

Wynn N/A

CG -3

Unibet -1.5

SportSelect -2.5

The Ravens could be the best worst team in the NFL, if you know what we mean. Offensively they are atrocious, ranking near the bottom in almost every statistical category. There’s one reason Baltimore sits in a Wildcard spot entering Week 13, the defense! The Ravens have found the fountain of youth making us feel like this is a defense from back in the day, I’m over exaggerating of course, but they have played very well. The Lions come to town on short travel to try and improve their playoff chances keeping pace with the pack. The biggest test for Detroit is how well they can establish any sort of run game to assist Matthew Stafford. It will be incredibly important for the short pass game to be employed for the Lions to move the chains as the Ravens blitz will be in full-force. This could be a tight matchup solely on the strength of the defenses. Mr. Reliable Matt Prater should help the Lions in this one.

BAL doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 DET 20 BAL 44 (L)     

New England (Favorite) @ Buffalo

Westgate -8.5

Caesar’s -8.5

William Hill -9

Wynn -8.5

CG -8.5

Unibet -7.5

SportSelect -8.5

Not often do we see the Patriots and the Bills play this late in the season twice in a matter of weeks. Thankfully for the Bills the first edition of the series is in the confines of New Era Field. The biggest advantage the Bills have is their incredible fan base that will have the house rocking in any attempt to rattle the calm & cool Tom Brady. This is a colossal test for Buffalo as the general public has already written them off in this content, and perhaps rightly so. The Bills will have to get Shady McCoy going early and often for the Bills to have a chance. Controlling the clock, keeping Brady and co. off the field should be the game plan for McDermott. The Patriots simply continue to roll and seemingly have found the chemistry between Brady and Cooks that most expected early on. It’s not difficult to see the Patriots forming a game plan that will exploit the weaknesses at line backer while confusing the coverage with the dump offs to the running backs. Once that has been established, Brady will go for the kill shots over the top to Brandin Cooks. Playing at home the Bills always have a chance and we can’t discount that. The Patriots should win this game but I foresee Tyrod and the Bills providing garbage time points that will ruin the spread. NE doesn’t cover the spread @ -9 
NE 23 BUF 3 (L)   

San Francisco @ Chicago (Favorite)

Westgate -3

Caesar’s -3

William Hill -3

Wynn -3.5

CG -3

Unibet -3.5

SportSelect -3.5

The Jimmy G era begins Week 13 in Chicago as the 49ers travel to the windy city. A very intriguing matchup up of two bottom feeders that look to evaluate the talent they have. The Bears still house the 12^th best defense in the NFL with a running attack ranked in the top 10. San Fran is simply playing out the stretch and I question what the appetite and motivation there is to win. This game feels quite different as there is a lot riding on the reputation of the 49er brain trust to start seeing results from Garoppolo. As dull as this game looks on paper there is a lot to get excited about. This is one of those games that could take you for a loop, but I think the former Brady protégé will show flash getting San Fran the win. CHI doesn’t cover the spread @ -3.5 
SF 15 CHI 14 (W)    

Tampa Bay (Favorite) @ Green Bay

Westgate -1.5

Caesar’s -1.5

William Hill -2

Wynn N/A

CG N/A

Unibet -1.5

SportSelect N/A

The spread going in favor of the Bucs is quite a head scratcher after watching what Brett Hundley was able to do vs a tough Steelers defense last week. Vegas seems to be baiting the general public on the rumor that Jameis Winston will be back on the field for this content. Green Bay is simply trying to keep pace in hopes that Rodgers can return and somehow work his magic and get the Packers into the postseason. Green Bay ranks in the bottom half in all statistical categories but showed great improvement offensively on Sunday Night Football. Tampa Bay’s season is all but a wrap as they would have to win the string to post a 9-7 record, not happening. Regardless if Winston suits up for this game, the travel miles and time lost will provide rusty play and inefficient execution.

TB doesn’t cover the spread @ -2 TB 20 GB 26 (W)

Indianapolis @ Jacksonville (Favorite)

Westgate -9.5

Caesar’s -9

William Hill -9.5

Wynn -9

CG -9.5

Unibet -9.5

SportSelect -9.5

Yet another lopsided matchup as the Colts travel to Florida to face the Jags both of whom are coming off a loss last week. The Jaguars proved they are not necessarily for real dropping a contest against the Cardinals and former first round pick of the Jags in Blaine Gabbert. Coach Marone accepted responsibility for the loss, but truthfully it shouldn’t have come down to the wire if Jacksonville is indeed ready to make noise. The Colts have tried to save face this season, one that was destined to fail right from the start. Jacoby Brissett has done a decent job filling in as the starting quarterback allowing the Colts to be competitive in almost every game. The Jaguars still possess the top ranked defensive unit in the NFL which could be a disaster for the Colts. The last time these two clubs met Jacksonville laid a beat-down in Indianapolis winning 27-0. The Jags should be fired up to reclaim the positive media discussion and easily get the win. JAX covers the spread @ -9 
IND 10 JAX 30 (W)

Denver (Favorite) @ Miami

Westgate -1.5

Caesar’s -1.5

William Hill EVEN

Wynn -1.5

CG -1.5

Unibet -1.5

SportSelect -0.5

This Broncos season has been one to forget for this proud franchise as they travel to Miami to take on the Dolphins. This game looks to be an absolute snooze-fest as both team really have nothing to play for. The Broncos seem to be moving in the direction of purposely losing games to position themselves to grab one of the top commodities at quarterback in the upcoming draft. Whereas the Fins find themselves as massive underachievers and would like to re-start the season and correct its many mistakes and misfortunes, a collective sigh for both teams. A very difficult match to pick as this game could go either way! DEN covers the spread @ -1.5 DEN 9 MIA 35 (L)

Kansas City (Favorite) @ NY Jets

Westgate -3.5

Caesar’s -3

William Hill -3.5

Wynn -3.5

CG -3.5

Unibet -3.5

SportSelect -3.5

The free-falling Chiefs travel to the state of New York to take on a Jets team that seems ready to fly. The Jets were absolutely remarkable last week keeping up with the fantastic defense of the Panthers. Ultimately mistakes derailed their chances as Carolina took advantage. What has happened to the Kansas City Chiefs? Such a promising start and they were pegged as the best team in the NFL and prime to de-throne the mighty Pats. Sitting at 6-5 this is an absolute must win game for the squad in red! Offensively it seems that Kareem Hunt has hit the rookie wall and isn’t nearly as effective as he was early on. Defensively the Chiefs can’t seem to generate much of anything positive allowing teams to drive freely as they don’t generate turnovers. This Jets team has tools to compete with almost anyone, and having another home date to act as spoiler, we can see the Jets possibly pulling this one out.

KC doesn’t cover the spread @ -3.5 KC 31 NYJ 38 (W)

Houston @ Tennessee (Favorite)

Westgate -6.5

Caesar’s -7

William Hill -7

Wynn -7

CG -6.5

Unibet -6.5

SportSelect -7.5

It’s very difficult to buy into what the Titans are doing week to week. The confusion from most experts is the lack of commitment to the run game as the production continues to be at an all-time low for the club. Mariota still shows he has a lot to learn in the pro game as his progression seems to have again hit a wall. The Texans are one of those teams you feel for at this point in the season. The amount of injuries they have faced to top talent is unreal. Tom Savage literally lost the Texans the game last week as the team had a chance to tie things up. If the Titans can get back to basics and regain their once dominating run attack this one should be a W in the win column. With that said they have underachieved in many games they should’ve had control of. Vegas is baiting and ADF is not buying.

TEN doesn’t cover the spread @ -7 HOU 13 TEN 24 (L)

Cleveland @ LA Chargers (Favorite)

Westgate -14

Caesar’s -13.5

William Hill -13.5

Wynn -14

CG -14

Unibet -13.5

SportSelect -13.5

The Chargers entertain another home match this time against the winless Browns. Something special is happening in LA as the Chargers didn’t allow the start of the season to dictate how they will finish. Offensively they seem to have figured things out playing efficiently and producing at a high level. On the defensive side behind the unreal pass rush of Bosa & Ingram, they have lifted themselves to another level being a great ball hawking unit. The only positive that may come out of this game for the Browns is the return of Josh Gordon. All eyes will be on the young man to see what he can do after missing all that time away from the game. Prayers will be with the Browns in this one as they will drop to 0-12.

LAC covers the spread @ -14 CLE 10 LAC 19 (L)

Carolina @ New Orleans (Favorite)

Westgate -4

Caesar’s -4

William Hill -4

Wynn -4

CG -4

Unibet -4.5

SportSelect -4.5

The mighty Saints finally lost a game after piling up 8 straight victories and being labeled the hottest team in the NFL. The Panthers barley came away with their socks on as their defense found a way to get past the lowly NY Jets. This is a very intriguing match as the division lead is on the line. Both teams should be ready to come out strong as this division begins to heat up. With the Falcons getting hot and on the tails of both teams, neither would like to drop this contest. The Saints should get back on track with great running and setting up the play action pass. It’s quite clear that if teams can stop the Saints run attack with regularity they might be in tough. The Panthers live and die at the hands of Cam Newton and how well he performs. Supported by rookie Christian McCaffrey, the two should have a heavy workload trying to take down this Saints team. New Orleans got good news that rookie sensation defensive back Marshon Lattimore will more than likely suit up for this one. This game should be very close and I expect a lot of points on the board. Even if the Saints win it should be by a field goal.

NWO doesn’t cover the spread @ -4 CAR 21 NWO 31 (L)

LA Rams (Favorite) @ Arizona

Westgate -7

Caesar’s -7

William Hill -7

Wynn -6.5

CG -7

Unibet -6.5

SportSelect -6.5

The Rams came of a fantastic performance against the Saints last week once again proving the conversation, they’re indeed for real. The Rams still employ top caliber statistics in both offence and defense which has made them a legitimate contender. Jared Goff has improved from game to game looking poise and sharp in most of his decision making. Todd Gurley still looks fresh and eager playing in an offense that no longer relies solely on his abilities. The Cardinals are pretending they have a valid shot at making the post season with a team isn’t fundamentally built to sustain the process simply due to their injuries. Bruce Arians is getting the most out of his back up QBs, but it won’t make much of a difference in this one. The last meeting of these two teams the Rams laid the smack down 33-0. Easy pick for ADF! LAR covers the spread @ -7 
LAR 32 ARZ 16 (W)  

NY Giants @ Oakland (Favorite)

Westgate -8.5

Caesar’s -8.5

William Hill -8.5

Wynn -9

CG -8

Unibet -8.5

SportSelect -7.5

News spread like wildfire as everyone wanted to chime in on the decision to bench two time Super Bowl winner Eli Manning in favor of Geno Smith. ADF fully understands the move as the Giants have nothing to play for at 2-9 and would like to evaluate what they have on the current roster. However, ADF doesn’t support the way in which the situation was handled with the lack of class toward Eli. This is a massively important game for the Raiders as they could keep pace with the tumbling Chiefs and tie them for the division lead, (if Kansas City loses of course). The evaluation of Geno has already been made in most NFL circles and ADF really questions if he can get it done. The spread for the Raiders is quite large knowing that they will be without Michael Crabtree (suspension), and Amari Cooper (injuries). Normally teams traveling cross country are subject to have a difficult game, adding Geno to the mix of heavy travel, ADF like the Raiders in this one! OAK covers the spread @ -8 NYG 17 OAK 24 (L)

Philadelphia (Favorite) @ Seattle

Westgate -6

Caesar’s -5.5

William Hill -6

Wynn -6

CG -6

Unibet -5.5

SportSelect -5.5

FLY EAGLES FLY! ADF can’t sing the praises enough of what the Philly Eagles have been able to accomplish this season. The progression of 2^nd year quarterback Carson Wentz has been a breath of fresh air in a league starving for great QB play. This game will definitely put the Eagles to test as they travel to Seattle to face Russell Wilson and the 12^th man. Wilson has been running for his life these last few weeks as the Hawks have been unable to protect their pivot with regularity. Injuries have decimated the Seahawks Legion of Boom and a game viewed on paper at the start of the season may not provide what the schedule makers had hoped. The Eagles are a well-oiled machine set up with great game plans and extremely efficient execution. Russell Wilson has re-gained, maybe even lifted his respect factor for ADF as he literally is putting this team on his back, and doing very well. Alas, this Eagles team will be far too much for the Hawks to handle. PHI covers the spread @ -6 PHI 10 SEA 24 (L)  

Monday Dec.4.2017

Pittsburgh (Favorite) @ Cincinnati

Westgate -5

Caesar’s -5.5

William Hill -5.5

Wynn -5.5

CG -5

Unibet -4.5

SportSelect -5.5

Primetime, Primetime, and more Primetime for the Steelers. This team might be one of the best producers in the bright lights of any primetime game. The Steelers have been on fire taking down opponents while putting themselves back in the driving seat and atop the AFC standings. This week they travel to Cincinnati on Monday Night Football in hopes they don’t again play to the level of the competition making game closer than it needs to be. Pittsburgh ranks high in most statistical categories in the NFL and shouldn’t have any issues taking down the Bengals. As up and down of a season Cincinnati has had, they are still alive in the playoff race and will do their best to compete to stay alive. The last meeting between these two clubs the Steelers won on the strength of a 15 point margin. Antonio Brown is an absolute beast on primetime and he will again provide the entertainment we have come accustomed to these last few weeks. Still no word on JuJu Smith-Schuster availability, so we fully expect the same type of game plan as last week. The Bengals don’t view as a group that has the ability to take their play to another level and the Steelers should be able to handle their division foe. The fear as always with the Steelers is they play to the level of the opponent. ‘Cringe’!!

PIT doesn’t cover the spread @ -5.5 PIT 23 CIN 20 (W)

Week 13 Record: 6-10 (.375)

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