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we hit 77% in Week 9! ADF made great
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Week 9 Point Spread
Record: 10-3 (.769)
Season Point Spread
Record: 70-62 (.530)
NFL WEEK 10 – Predictions
(Projected odds makers @ NOV.9.2017 – 12:00PM EST)
Thursday Nov.9.2017
Seattle
(Favorite) @ Arizona
Westgate -6
Caesar’s -5.5
William Hill -6
Wynn -6
CG -5.5
Unibet -5.5
SportSelect -5.5
This week’s Thursday
Night battle has a division rival match set in the desert. The Seahawks make
the short travel to Arizona to face the Cardinals and their season filled with
unfortunate injuries to their top players. Seattle should be up for the
challenge with extreme motivation after dropping last week’s contest to the
Redskins with just over a minute to go. The Hawks were stymied by the Skins
defense and couldn’t muster much until the end of the game. As expected the
Cardinals leaned heavily on the run and played decent defense to come away with
a win vs the lowly 49ers. Though playing at home, the Cards will be in tough to
move the ball offensively with Stanton against the defense formally known as
the legion of boom, (Sorry Hawks fans - it’s true, not the same squad). Even
still, Seattle will be fired up in this one and Russell Wilson will take
advantage of every opportunity he’s given.
SEA covers the spread @ -6 SEA 22 ARZ 16 (W)
Sunday Nov.12.2017
New
Orleans (Favorite) @ Buffalo
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
CG -3
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -2.5
Once again the Bills
failed to take advantage on a team they’re supposed to beat receiving national
media attention of being a true contender. Losing to the Jets gives the
perception this Buffalo team isn’t ready to take the next step even though we
have seen flashes of that potential. The Bills will have Benjamin and possibly
Clay back this week giving Tyrod an embarrassment of riches to work with
offensively. What can you say about the Saints other than WOW! This team is on
fire winning their last six games after dropping the first two of the season.
Recognizing the biggest improvement to the Saints has been the attacking style
of that defense. They certainly resemble a unit that helped cap a Superbowl
title for the city in 2010. Brees has the offense doing enough to win games in
a fashion we aren’t accustomed too. Running the ball and controlling the clock
is the name of the game. I fully expect the Bills to bounce back after their
abysmal performance but question if they can match the mighty Saints. NWO covers the spread @ -3 NWO 47 BUF 10 (W)
Green
Bay @ Chicago (Favorite)
Westgate -5.5
Caesar’s -5.5
William Hill -5.5
Wynn -5.5
CG -6
Unibet -5.5
SportSelect -4.5
Packer fans have now
seen what happens to a team once a star franchise QB goes down for the season.
The truth is Aaron Rodgers masks a lot of the issues Green Bay has, making it
clear these last few weeks. Brett Hundley isn’t a terrible option, but
definitely has deficiencies in understanding of the pro game due to his lack of
experience. The blame can’t fully be forced on the defense as they spent a lot
of time on the field last week. The Bears playing at home, coming off the bye,
have the biggest favorite spread they’ve seen in quite some time. The reality
is, ADF isn’t ready to endorse Mitchell Trubisky as the next boy wonder for the
Bears, but we can give gleaming reviews to the play of that defense. A vastly
underrated unit has been playing fantastic this season and should provide
difficulties to Hundley and co. I think the Bears will take this one but not by
a touchdown. CHI doesn’t cover the
spread @ -6 GB 23 CHI 16 (W)
Cleveland
@ Detroit (Favorite)
Westgate -12
Caesar’s -12
William Hill -12.5
Wynn -12
CG -12
Unibet -13.5
SportSelect -12.5
The Lions looked
fantastic on Monday Night absolutely dominating the helpless Green Bay Packers.
Matthew Stafford was on point and precise with the majority of his throws, as
the Lions were able to find their run game with efficiency. The Browns have all
but called it a season, receiving the bill of failure from VP of football
operations Sashi Brown. Cleveland will have a short travel to play in Detroit where
the lone bright spot has been the play of their defense. Posting the 9th
best unit in the NFL they have the ability to make plays and stop the
opposition. Unfortunately for the Browns they are playing a Lions team that is
hitting high and playing at home. DET
covers the spread @ -12 CLE 24 DET 38 (W)
Pittsburgh
(Favorite) @ Indianapolis
Westgate -10
Caesar’s -10
William Hill -10
Wynn -10
CG -10
Unibet -10.5
SportSelect -10.5
Coming off the bye the
Steelers travel to Indy to face a Colts team that is coming off a win vs the
Texans. The last time these two teams met, Antonio Brown torched the secondary
for three touchdowns. It may feel like Deja Vu on Sunday as the Colts will be
without Vonte Davis (recently released), leaving the Steelers receivers open to
have a field day. Expect a big day from the three B’s, (Ben, Bell, Brown),
sprinkled with a little JuJu! Not much to like in this match for the Colts
other than they are at home. Expect Pittsburgh to roll Indy as they tune up for
a second half of the season. PIT
covers the spread @ -10 PIT 20 IND 17 (L)
LA
Chargers @ Jacksonville (Favorite)
Westgate -3.5
Caesar’s -3.5
William Hill -4
Wynn -3.5
CG -3.5
Unibet -4.5
SportSelect -4.5
This isn’t your
Daddies Jaguars; this is the new crop ready to make a statement to the league.
Coach Marone tried his best impression of this model in Buffalo with limited
success. Now with the correct pieces in place (great run game, top 3 defense), he
can now begin to brag about his fortune. Standing firm and suspending rookie
star Leonard Fournette and yet still producing the win against the Bengals
speaks volumes to where this club is. This Jags defense will be anointed the
best in the NFL very soon. The Chargers again are attempting to put sugar on a
season filled with salt. Ranking in the middle of the pact in most statistical
categories, there isn’t anything this team does great. Melvin Gordon should be
able to find some room to gallop, where Rivers will face certain demise from a
fantastic pass-rush and lock down corner play. I’m not fully on board with the
Jaguars as a full team, but I am getting close. LA will have cross country
travel to deal with as well. JAX covers
the spread @ -3.5 LAC 17 JAX 20 (L)
NY
Jets (Favorite) @ Tampa Bay
Westgate -2.5
Caesar’s -2.5
William Hill -2.5
Wynn -2
CG -2.5
Unibet -1.5
SportSelect -2.5
The Jets are coming
off a stunning victory vs the Buffalo Bills on Thursday Night Football where
they looked like the Jets of a couple years ago. They were able to find their
run game behind the aging legs of Matt Forte, mixed in with great play calling and
execution from the pass game. The Bucs look again like a team in disarray,
unable to stop the bleeding any chance they got last week vs the Saints. It
should be a positive that Winston has been benched due to injury as his AC
joint issue proved impossible to overcome without rest. Enter Ryan Fitz-Magic
(Fitzpatrick), to go up against his former team. The thing about Fitzpatrick,
he is a gunslinger with no regard for placement of the ball. He will continue
to throw all over the field believing he can make the play. His short memory
for mistakes is a positive as eventually he will find a way to make things
happen. This game is very intriguing to me and it must be noted the Jets have
heavy travel miles. Based on last week’s play from both teams we got to hit the
favorite. NYJ covers the spread @
-2.5 NYJ 10 TB 15 (L)
Cincinnati
@ Tennessee (Favorite)
Westgate -4.5
Caesar’s -5
William Hill -5
Wynn -4.5
CG -5
Unibet -4.5
SportSelect -4.5
The Titans have played
good football this season but not great. Even though the numbers suggest they
run with a high frequency, they haven’t had the impactful success they had last
season. The offense is beginning to get healthier with the return of rookie WR
Corey Davis and receiving a clean bill of health on Demarco Murray. The Bengals
have become a laughable squad offensively as the coaching staff can’t seem to
get out of their own way. Frustrations boiled over last week as normally the
all-class, all-star WR AJ Green lost his cool and went after Jalen Ramsey prompting
ejections from the game. The Bengals do have a defense ranked in the top ten (6th
overall), however have a difficult time making an impact with the disappointing
play of the offense. Cincinnati should come out to prove something in this one
to which it will be a closer game then the spread suggests. TEN doesn’t cover the spread @ -5 CIN 20 TEN 24 (W)
Minnesota
(Favorite) @ Washington
Westgate -1
Caesar’s -1
William Hill -1.5
Wynn -1.5
CG -1
Unibet -1.5
SportSelect -0.5
The Redskins pulled
one out of their hat last week finding a way to drive the field with just over
a minute left to take down the Seahawks in impressive fashion. The Skins are a
good club that have endured several injuries to key players which could explain
the 4-4 record. Ranking in the middle of the pact in most statistical
categories (expect the run game), should give the Vikings a run for their
money. Minnesota is coming fresh off the bye and without a doubt will be
prepared to continue where their left off. Ranking in the top 15 or higher in
all statistical categories, the Vikings look like the real deal. Injuries have
been the name of the game for Minnesota as well, but have overcome
fantastically. Even with the short travel miles the Vikings had two weeks to prepare
for the Redskins. MIN covers the
spread @ -1.5 MIN 38 WAS 30 (W)
Houston
@ LA Rams (Favorite)
Westgate -12
Caesar’s -11.5
William Hill -12
Wynn -12
CG -12
Unibet -11.5
SportSelect -11.5
The LA Rams are the
talk of the NFL these days proving over and over the importance of a creative
Head Coach. Coach McVay has infused a system made perfectly to highlight the
skill-sets of all his players. Housing the 3rd best offensive unit
in yards and 1st in points scored should tell you something about
the success of this team. Giving way to Wade Phillips on the defensive side, we
are beginning to see the buy in on that side of the ball as well. This game a
few weeks ago would’ve been dubbed, “Game of the Week” if not for the
unconceivable loss of rookie star Deshaun Watson. Now it seems like the Texans
won’t stand a chance traveling all the way to the West Coast. LAR covers the spread @ -12 HOU 7 LAR 33 (W)
Dallas
@ Atlanta (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
CG -3
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect N/A
It’s with shock as I’m
still trying to wrap my head around the spread on this game. Granted the
Falcons are playing at home but have looked absolutely terrible for the last
several weeks. The offensive game plans are filled with utter buffoonery
combined with the terrible execution and mistakes. The Falcons defense isn’t
built to carry this team when the offense sputters, a theme we shall see again
on Sunday. The Cowboys are starting to view as a team not to be reckoned with
as they continue to roll. A few question marks arise before this week’s game
takes place. First, the looming Elliott suspension details, and second, the
injury status to star wide receiver Dez Bryant. I believe the Cowboys pass game
can survive with Bryant at less than 100%, but if Zeke indeed gets suspended,
this will be a totally different offense. I reserve the right to adjust this
spread pending the Elliott suspension details.
ATL doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 DAL 7 ATL 27 (L)
NY
Giants (Favorite) @ San Francisco
Westgate -2.5
Caesar’s -2.5
William Hill -2.5
Wynn -2.5
CG -2.5
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -0.5
By record here is a
matchup of two of the worst teams in the NFL. The Giants will have to travel
large miles to the West Coast for this match Sunday afternoon. New York
possesses no run game, a terrible offensive line, and a defense that isn’t the
same as it was last year. Eli Manning has been called out by Coach McAdoo
suggesting it’s time to evaluate the other QBs on the roster. The 49ers
competed early on in the season to which now it’s clear they’re playing out the
string. They had a great opportunity last week to steal a win from the Palmer-less
Cardinals, that didn’t happen. I feel this game means more to the Giants coaching
staff and may get their boys to come out for this one. I mean who wants to lose
to a winless team. NYG covers the
spread @-2.5 NYG 21 SF 31 (L)
New
England (Favorite) @ Denver
Westgate -7.5
Caesar’s -7.5
William Hill -7.5
Wynn -7.5
CG -7.5
Unibet -7.5
SportSelect -7.5
A matchup that looked intriguing
early in the season, now views as a potential beat down. The Patriots are fresh
off the bye where Denver is still licking their wounds from the debacle of last
week in Philly. The Patriots still have the worst defense in the NFL but have shown
signs of improvement these last few weeks. Tom Brady will look rested and
prepared to take on a Bronco defense which gave up 51 to Carson Wentz and co. Normally
I would give the Broncos defense a pass
on last week’s performance, but it’s starting to look like they are giving up
on a team that can’t help them move the ball. Playing in Denver should give
them a boost to not lay an egg at home, but the Patriots coming off the bye is
hard to bet against. NE covers the
spread @ -7.5 NE 41 DEN 16 (W)
Monday Nov.13.2017
Miami
@ Carolina (Favorite)
Westgate -9
Caesar’s -8.5
William Hill -9
Wynn -9
CG -9
Unibet -8.5
SportSelect -9.5
The Panthers have been up and down this season but yet found their way to
a 6-3 record. The Dolphins at 4-4 looked a lot better with Cutler at the helm.
Carolina houses one of, if not the best defense in the NFL and look to make
life difficult on the Fins. Miami used a lot of short dump passes last week
suggesting Cutler can’t throw the deep pass effectively with those injured
ribs. Miami did look better running the ball with Drake and Williams allowing
Cutler to set up play action and giving him more time to throw. The Panthers
offense has sputtered with the lack of a run game putting more pressure on Cam
to make plays with his legs. The Dolphins defense isn’t terrible and should
keep this game closer than some may think. Carolina should win but not by the
spread. CAR doesn’t cover the spread @ -9 MIA 21 CAR 45 (L)
WEEK 10 Record: 8-6 (.571)
WEEK 10 Record: 8-6 (.571)
Note: All Day Football
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predictions. Please play responsibly.
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