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NFL Week 7 Point Spread Picks

PLACE YOUR BETS!!! Week 6 the general public was sucked into extremely large spreads which turned into upsets. ADF was no exception as rational thought flew out the window on what seemed to be sure fire wins. We will recover and get back on track! ADF still has positive money flowing but will get that increase. Let’s make some money. Good Luck!

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Week 6 Point Spread Record: 6-8 (.430)

Season Point Spread Record:  40-51 (.440)


NFL WEEK 7 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ OCT.19.2017 – 12:00PM EST)

BYE WEEKS: DET, HOU

Thursday Oct.19.2017

Kansas City (Favorite) @ Oakland
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
CG -3
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -3.5

A great match on paper to start week 7 on Thursday Night Football. The Chiefs were somewhat exposed last week being held in check for the first time this season by the Steelers. The Raiders come into this match needing a win to keep pace in the division while Kansas City looks to take a strangle hold on the AFC West . So far Oakland doesn’t seem to have what it takes to make the leap to the next level; they house all the bottom statistics in all categories for offense and defense. The Chiefs defense has underachieved since Eric Berry went done for the year but own the second best offense in the NFL. The Chiefs will some travel miles going to Oakland but I don’t believe it’ll be enough to drop this one. Chiefs get back on track. KC covers the spread @ -3 KC 30 OAK 31 (L)

Sunday Oct.22.2017

Tampa Bay @ Buffalo (Favorite)
Westgate N/A
Caesar’s N/A
William Hill N/A
Wynn N/A
CG -1
Unibet N/A
SportSelect N/A

Only one spread has been posted for this game as the odds makers wait for the word on Jameis Winston’s status. He was seen at practice on Thursday but wasn’t throwing deep down the field which got the attention of the Tampa media to suggest he won’t play this week. Playing in Buffalo is always a difficult task for any team and the Bills have an extra week of preparation for the Bucs coming off the bye week. Coach McDermott has been on record saying the Bills need to get the run game going back to where it should be. So expect a heavy dose of Shady McCoy as the Bills look to keep pace with the Patriots in the AFC East. If Jameis doesn’t play the Bills should take advantage.
BUF covers the spread @ -1 TB 27 BUF 30 (W)

Carolina (Favorite) @ Chicago
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3.5
William Hill -3
Wynn -3.5
CG -3
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5

Both teams house a top six defense and ADF has preached how under-rated the Bears defensive unit really is, and they’re showing it. With Kuechly back on the practice field looking ready to suit up, that’s a huge uptick for the Panthers. The Panthers run game has looked terrible, so yet again Cam will have to take matters into his own hands to win this one. The Bears looked decent last week with Trubisky running the show and I believe he will only improve. That being said, this will be the best defense he will face and I fully expect the rookie to show his rookie colors. Carolina should sneak out a win in another defensive match. CAR Covers the Spread @ -3 CAR 3 CHI 17 (L)

Tennessee (Favorite) @ Cleveland
Westgate -6
Caesar’s -6
William Hill -5.5
Wynn -6
CG -5.5
Unibet -5.5
SportSelect -5.5

The Titans started slow but finished strong last Monday Night vs the Colts. Mariota looked good as the game went on still showing signs of the injured hamstring. With Kizer back, it obviously gives the Browns a better shot to complete in this game. Surprisingly the Browns house the eighth best defensive unit in the NFL which should help them keep this closer than most people think. Even though the road team favorites have dominated the spreads this season the Kizer will be looking to prove himself again, this time to keep his job. TEN doesn’t cover the spread @ -6 TEN 12 CLE 9 (W)

New Orleans (Favorite) @ Green Bay
Westgate -5.5
Caesar’s -5.5
William Hill -5.5
Wynn -5.5
CG -5.5
Unibet -5.5
SportSelect -5.5

The Saints came off the bye week fully prepared putting up a whopping 52 points on the Lions. This week they travel to Green Bay which the schedule makers had a beautiful match-up in late October for all to see. Not so much anymore, as the Packers went into cardiac arrest watching their franchise QB Aaron Rodgers go down for the season with a broken collarbone.  The biggest surprise has been the play of the Saints defense in the last three weeks. The have definitely cleaned up a lot of their mistakes and look to capitalize on the Rodger-less Packers. The Saints have the seventh best offense in the NFL and they should have no issue exposing the Green Bay defense that should be on the field quite a bit.
NWO covers the spread @ -5.5 NWO 26 GB 17 (W)

Jacksonville (Favorite) @ Indianapolis
Westgate -3.5
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
CG -3.5
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -3.5

A trend seems to be forming with a lot of these teams in the NFL that don’t possess a top flight QB. Run the ball and play great defense, two things the Jaguars do very well. All signs point to Fournette playing this week after rolling his ankle in last week’s match, even though he has missed two practices. Even if Leonard sits in this one the Jags have a defense that will carry them to victory. Bortles has an A+ match-up against the worst defense in the NFL and should be able to have his best game of the season. The Colts will try to keep this game interesting and I believe they might, but in the end it won’t be enough in this one. JAX covers the spread @ -3 JAX 27 IND 0 (W)

Arizona @ LA Rams (Favorite)
Westgate -3.5
Caesar’s -3.5
William Hill -3
Wynn -3.5
CG -3
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5

This one is very interesting to say the least. Before the Cardinals traded for Peterson, I would’ve said the Rams would take this one with ease. Now this game could pose to be quite entertaining and put up some points. It’s very clear that Carson Palmer requires a good run game to set up the play-action to get anything going in the pass game. The Rams do hold the best scoring offense in the NFL at 29.8 points per game and will put that to work at home vs the Arizona defense ranked near the bottom half of the league. I can see the Rams winning but should be close. LAR doesn’t cover the spread @ -3.5 ARZ 0 LAR 33 (W)

NY Jets @ Miami (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3.5
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
CG -3
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5

This should be the most unpredictable game of the slate as the Dolphins host the Jets in Miami. The Jets have played well this year competing in almost every game they have played in. The Dolphins shocked the NFL world by taking down the Falcons in Atlanta last week, as they look to continue that trend at home. The Jets hold all middle of the pack statistics for both offense and defense, while the Fins are dead last in offense with a defense holding them above water with the 11th ranked unit. This game could truly go either way, but I will stay with the home team as the Jets will have travel miles to get down to Florida. MIA covers the spread @ -3 NYJ 28 MIA 31 (W)

Baltimore @ Minnesota (Favorite)
Westgate -5.5
Caesar’s -5.5
William Hill -5.5
Wynn -5
CG -5.5
Unibet -5.5
SportSelect -5.5

The Vikings seem to have something going with back up Case Keenum running the show, not to mention how strong the Vikings defense is playing. The Vikings run game hasn’t missed much of a step since Cook went down thanks to McKinnon. Baltimore looks like an utter mess at times and can’t seem to get much going at all. Touchdown spreads are always difficult to predict but the Vikings post a top ten offense and a top 10 defense, this team so far looks for real. The Ravens may keep it close for a bit but they won’t be able to hang to long. MIN covers the spread @ -5.5 BAL 16 MIN 24 (W)

Dallas (Favorite) @ San Francisco
Westgate -6
Caesar’s -6
William Hill -6
Wynn -6.5
CG -6
Unibet -5.5
SportSelect

The 49ers have been consistent this year in competing in every game they have played. They haven’t simply rolled over to their opponents on their way to a top pick in the 2018 draft. The Cowboys coming off the bye and getting a second week to review the tape is a positive, however the move to start QB Beathard could confuse Dallas. The great news for the Ccowboys is that Zeke Elliott will be playing as the courts ruled in favor to reinstate the restraining order on the NFL suspension. A rested Cowboys team in dire need of a win, I think they roll the 49ers. DAL covers the spread @ -6 DAL 40 SF 10 (W)

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh (Favorite)
Westgate -5.5
Caesar’s -5.5
William Hill -5.5
Wynn -5.5
CG -5.5
Unibet -4.5
SportSelect -5.5

The Steelers once again played the Jekyll & Hyde game on what team they really are upsetting the Chiefs last week. Playing the Bengals fresh off the bye I fully expect a close game with a divisional foe. The Steelers defense has been playing very well and LeVeon Bell looks back to form. Dalton and the Bengals need to win this game to keep pace in the AFC North. AJ Green should have another good day filled with targets giving him every opportunity to make plays. If the Bengals can find any sort of run game in this one it should be close. Pittsburgh has won the last three meetings vs the Bengals with only one exceeding six points in victory. PIT doesn’t cover the spread @ -5.5 CIN 14 PIT 29 (L)

Denver @ LA Chargers (Favorite)
Westgate N/A
Caesar’s N/A
William Hill N/A
Wynn N/A
CG N/A
Unibet N/A
SportSelect -1.5

The Broncos coming off a hugely disappointing performance vs the Giants on Sunday Night that shocked the NFL world. This week Denver is traveling to the west coast with injuries to Siemian and Sanders. Sanders has already been ruled out, while the Broncos hold out hope that Trevor can make the start. With that, Siemian has an AC joint injury that if anyone is familiar with, makes it extremely difficult to even raise that arm. The Chargers are coming off a very close victory against the Raiders and have played pretty well so far this season, just not seeing it in the win column. Even if Trevor plays he should be in tough to make plays. Only one spread has been posted as of now. LAC covers the spread @ -1.5 DEN 0 LAC 21 (W)  

Seattle (Favorite) @ NY Giants
Westgate -5.5
Caesar’s -6
William Hill -6
Wynn -6
CG -6
Unibet -5.5
SportSelect -5.5

The Giants coming off a great performance against the Broncos getting their first win of the season last week. Having a home date vs the Seahawks at where they’re coming off the bye is a very difficult test. The Giants defense is a solid unit that should come out to play. The Seahawks should try and take advantage of the terrible play by that linebacker core, and feed Jimmy Graham all day long. The Hawks again will have to travel all the way to the East which could affect their play. Still I like what I see for a bye week team playing the hopeless Giants. SEA covers the spread @ -5.5 SEA 24 NYG 7 (W)

Atlanta @ New England (Favorite)
Westgate -3.5
Caesar’s -3.5
William Hill -3.5
Wynn -3.5
CG -3.5
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5

The rematch of last year’s Suberbowl is upon us on Sunday Night Football. The Falcons post their Green Bay victory at home, have looked quite pedestrian. Dropping a 17 point lead last week to the Dolphins leaves everyone scathing their head again to the offensive play calling. The Patriots have been an utter mess on defense leaving Brady and that 40 year old arm to once again carry this team. Offensively the Patriots have their ups and downs but still seem to find a way to get enough points on the board. The Falcons will have to make a statement in this game to prove they are worthy of being called a Superbowl contender again this year. The Pats have been a nightmare to pick on the spread this year as their uneven play never seems to cover. I’ll bet ATL gets back on track. NE doesn’t cover the spread @ -3.5 ATL 7 NE 23 (L)  

Monday Oct.23.2017

Washington @ Philadelphia (Favorite)
Westgate -5
Caesar’s -5
William Hill -4.5
Wynn -5
CG -4.5
Unibet -5.5
SportSelect -4.5

Another fantastic match-up for primetime as we close out week 7. The Eagles (with Rodgers injured in GB), have now placed themselves on top as the top contender through 6 weeks. They are firing on both sides of the ball with extreme efficiency, I like what I see for Philly moving forward. The Redskins had another massive blow to that super-preforming defense when rookie DT Allen went down for the year with a foot injury. Josh Norman was spotted back at practice on Thursday giving them a much needed boost. The Skins will have to find a way to get Pryor and Crowder involved in this one to have a chance. Chris Thompson could have another big day in the receiving game. Difficult one to call but but I can see the Eagles winning by two field goals. PHI covers the spread @ -5 WAS 24 PHI 34 (W)



Week 7 Record: 11-4 (.733)





Note: All Day Football is not responsible for any personal gains or losses as a result of its predictions. Please play responsibly.





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