PLACE YOUR BETS!!! Week 4 featured a
mix bag of favorites and upsets. The Week began on a positive note and looked
very promising until the late games played out. ADF managed a .500 record in Week 4, enough to make some good money. Let’s shoot to run the table in Week 5
that’s dominated by home favorites and small spreads. Let’s make some money.
Good Luck!
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Week 4 Record: 8-8 (.500)
Season Record: 29-34 (.460)
NFL WEEK 5 – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ OCT.5.2017
– 12:00PM EST)
BYE WEEKS: ATL, NWO, DEN, WAS
Thursday Sept.28.2017
New England (Favorite)
@ Tampa Bay
Westgate -6
Caesar’s -5.5
William Hill -5.5
Wynn -5.5
CG -5.5
Unibet -4.5
SportSelect -5.5
Thursday Night football should provide some excitement
with two high power offences potentially lighting up the score board. The
Patriots have been a complete nightmare to pick on the spread this year and
again are gifted with a large favorite. I simply don’t trust the Patriots right
now to endorse picking them to cover anything over 3 points. That defense is in
shambles allowing anyone and everyone to walk all over them. Not to mention
they have to travel on a short week down south to Florida. Tampa intrigues me
as I feel they are about ready to figure out what they indeed have on offence.
Mike Evans & DeSean Jackson should feast on the Pats secondary. Still very
difficult to go against the Pats but I believe its time.
NE doesn’t cover the spread @ -5.5 NE 19 TB 14 (W)
Sunday Oct.8.2017
Buffalo @ Cincinnati
(Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
CG -3
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -2.5
Much to my dismay the Bills are a small under-dog
going into the match-up vs the Bengals. I do understand the thought from Vegas,
this feels like a massive trap game for the Bills coming off a huge upset win
last week in Atlanta. The Bengals seem to have worked out the kinks on the
offensive side to give the impression they are more capable of competing. It’s
extremely difficult to bet against the Bills defense right now that houses a
league best 13.5 points allowed per game. I believe the Bills will do enough on
the offensive side of the ball to make this happen. CIN doesn’t cover the spread @ -3 BUF 16 CIN 20 (L)
NY Jets @ Cleveland
(Favorite)
Westgate -1
Caesar’s -1
William Hill -1
Wynn -1
CG -1
Unibet -1.5
SportSelect -0.5
This might be one of the worst match-ups on paper I’ve
seen in a very long time. Not much to get overly excited about other than the
first career start for 2017 #1 overall pick Miles Garrett. I wouldn’t be
surprised to see some points on the board as both defenses have struggled
mightily. Some intriguing young players to watch in this game, aside from that,
the Jets should have too much for the Browns. Browns stay win-less. CLE doesn’t cover the spread @ -1 NYJ 17 CLE 14 (W)
Carolina @ Detroit
(Favorite)
Westgate -2.5
Caesar’s -2.5
William Hill -2.5
Wynn -2.5
CG -1.5
Unibet -1.5
SportSelect -2.5
The Panthers surprised the world last week with the
huge upset victory vs New England. Cam and co. looked a lot better than they
have all season. Just to be clear they played a Pats defense that could stop a
cold right now, so their evaluation could be bias. Detroit and Stafford have
impressed me with sound play all over the field. That defense is quietly become
somewhat of a shutdown unit and I’m are curious to see what they will do this
week. Carolina will have travel miles going into this game so I’ll stick with
the home team. DET covers the spread
@ -2.5 CAR 27 DET 24 (L)
San Francisco @
Indianapolis (Favorite)
Westgate -1.5
Caesar’s -1.5
William Hill -1.5
Wynn -1.5
CG -1.5
Unibet -1.5
SportSelect -1.5
Another possible snooze fest could come from this one
in Indy. Cross country travel will not be on the 49ers side as they enter Lucas
Oil Stadium. Kyle Shanahan is an offensive genius and has this team playing
better than the record suggests. Indy has competed with Brissett at the helm
but hasn’t been able to overcome misfortune and bad play. I will side with the
offensive genius in Kyle. IND doesn’t
cover the spread @ -1.5 SF 23 IND 26 (L)
Tennessee @ Miami
(Favorite)
Westgate N/A
Caesar’s N/A
William Hill N/A
Wynn N/A
CG -1
Unibet N/A
SportSelect N/A
Only one odds maker has released its spread at this
point as they wait and see if Marcus Mariota will suit up. My indication is
that he will not play as history dictates; players whom don’t finish the
previous week’s game are hard pressed to play the following week. Miami has
looked absolutely terrible these past couple weeks which normally would make a
Titan victory a shoe in, not in this case. If Mariota does play the Dolphins
should find a way to make it happen.
MIA covers the spread @ -1 TEN 10 MIA 16 (W)
LA Chargers @ NY
Giants (Favorite)
Westgate -3.5
Caesar’s -3.5
William Hill -3.5
Wynn -3.5
CG -3.5
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5
The battle of the win-less in New York sounds more like
a terrible movie then a good football game. Both teams struggle on so many
levels this game has a feel of who knows what can happen. LA will have to
travel cross country to play this game while the Giants feel as though they are
a better club then how they’ve played. Both teams possess very similar traits
in statistics. Passing Off: LAC 6th NYG 7th, Run Off: LAC
29th NYG 31st. I will have to side with the home team
minus the travel on this one. NYG
covers the spread @ -3.5 LAC 27 NYG 22 (L)
Arizona @ Philadelphia
(Favorite)
Westgate -6.5
Caesar’s -6
William Hill -6.5
Wynn -6
CG –6.5
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -6.5
I do like what the Eagles bring to the table on the
offensive side of the ball. They are able to pass and run with great efficiency
ranking 3rd in the NFL in total offence. The Cardinals have one of
the league’s best passing games due to the injury to David Johnson, they have
to throw. This game could have a lot of passing involved and some points on the
board. We see a trend this week with major travel miles hitting the away team.
Spreads of a touchdown or more are risky but I will have to side with the city
of brotherly love. PHI covers the
spread @ -6.5 ARZ 7 PHI 34 (W)
Jacksonville @
Pittsburgh (Favorite)
Westgate -8
Caesar’s -8
William Hill -8.5
Wynn -8.5
CG -9
Unibet -8.5
SportSelect -8.5
Yet again we face a huge spread for the Steelers but
this time at home. I’m not sure we have seen the true colors of Pittsburgh as
of yet. Bell finally looked like himself last week handling the Ravens quite
easily. It’s tough to go against the Steelers at home vs a weaker opponent. The
Jaguars are up and down week in week out and no one can tell which team will
come out on Sunday. Their secondary houses one of the best young duos in the
NFL while the offence is nothing to write home about. The Steelers can chalk
this up as a win.
PIT covers the spread @ -8.5 JAX 30 PIT 7 (L)
Seattle @ LA Rams
(Favorite)
Westgate -1.5
Caesar’s -1.5
William Hill -1.5
Wynn -1
CG -1.5
Unibet -1.5
SportSelect -0.5
ADF has been signing the praises of the Rams this
season with the great progression of 2nd year QB Goff and first year
Head Coach McVay. Like Kyle Shanahan, McVay is probably the brightest young
offensive mind in the NFL. I absolutely love what the Rams has going so long
they can continue to progress. The Hawks came out to play in the second half last
week destroying the Colts. Seattle has never been feared on the road and the
Rams seem to always have their number. This should be a great contest. LAR covers the spread @ -1.5 SEA 16 LAR 10 (L)
Baltimore @ Oakland
(Favorite)
Westgate -2.5
Caesar’s -2.5
William Hill -2.5
Wynn -2.5
CG -3
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -2.5
The loss of Derek Carr is a devastating blow to the playoff
aspirations for the Raiders. As seen last year this team cannot function
without their franchise QB at the helm. EJ Manual isn’t a quality QB as seen
from his time in Buffalo. The Raider defense isn’t equipped to carry this team
to the next level. Baltimore hasn’t played well of late and the speculation is
that Flacco is playing injured. The Ravens defense has dropped off somewhat
from the start of the season, but should feast on the erratic EJ Manual. Saying
that I believe the Ravens will have enough in this one to get by the Carr-less
Raiders. OAK doesn’t cover the spread
@ -2.5 BAL 30 OAK 17 (W)
Green Bay @ Dallas
(Favorite)
Westgate -2
Caesar’s -2
William Hill -2
Wynn -2.5
CG --2
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -2.5
Most definitely the game of the week in Big D! Dallas
has struggled to find their stride this season to consistently put up
victories. In my opinion the Cowboys are underachieving and should obtain more
focus once the Elliott injunction is settled. Green Bay has been extremely on
point offensively to start the season. That Packer defense however could be a façade.
Reviewing the game film from last week vs the Bears, the Packer DBs were
getting cooked all over the field while Chicago WRs enjoyed great separation. I
could see Dez Bryant having a big game. Green Bay will also stack on the miles
to get down to Dallas and key players could be missing, (Adams? Montgomery?). DAL covers the spread @ -2.5 GB 35 DAL 31 (L)
Kansas City (Favorite)
@ Houston
Westgate -1
Caesar’s -1.5
William Hill -1.5
Wynn -1
CG -1.5
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -1.5
Houston has been fantastic since Watson took over the
duties at QB. His progression has been fantastic lifting the Texans to heights
not seen in quite some time. Playing at home is a definite advantage for the
Texans. While the offence is starting to pick up steam Houston’s defense ranked
5th in the NFL has been great. KC is firing on all cylinders riding
Smith and Hunt to perfection. While the KC offence has been great they house a
defense ranked 26th in the NFL. This feels like a trap game for the
Chiefs and I have a hard time sleeping on the Texans. KC will get their first
loss.
KC doesn’t cover the spread @ -1.5 KC 42 HOU 34 (L)
Monday Oct.9.2017
Minnesota (Favorite) @
Chicago
Westgate N/A
Caesar’s N/A
William Hill N/A
Wynn N/A
CG -3.5
Unibet N/A
SportSelect N/A
Monday Night Football didn’t
look interesting on paper until the Bears announced they will start rookie QB
Mitchell Trubisky! It’s a bold move for a team that hasn’t shown anything on
offence other than the run game. The Bears defense is very under-rated and
should come out to play. The devastation of the Dalvin Cook injury more than
likely hasn’t set in with the Vikings. They will do their best to re-create the
production at the running back spot with a full committee approach. Vegas yet
again is waiting for the word on Sam Bradford before they offer their spread.
Either way the Vikings defense should be too much for Trubuisky and co.
MIN covers the spread
@ -3.5 MIN 20 CHI 17 (L)
Week 5 Record: 5-9 (.360)
Note: All Day Football is not responsible for any
personal gains or losses as a result of its predictions. Please play
responsibly.
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