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NFL 1/4 Season Team Evaluation - AFC

It’s a great opportunity to review teams each quarter mark of the season, and review the upcoming schedules. So far after Week 4 this is what we know!  

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AFC EAST

Buffalo Bills (3-1)
FIRST PLACE BILLS FANS! Enjoy this! The Buffalo Bills are a surprise to most expect us here at All Day Football. We fully endorsed the move to bring in Sean McDermott & Brandon Beane to overhaul the team and bring a winning culture to the club. The re-installation of a 4-3 defense enhancing the skill-sets of current roster players has been a breath of fresh air. The Bills have looked dominate on defense shutting down the opposition and allowing a slim 13.5 points per game. Their bend but don’t break play has giving Tyrod Taylor and company the ability to control the game with the run and short pass. The Bills easily could be 4-0 going into week 5 had Taylor found rookie Zay Jones for the game winning score vs the Panthers in week 2. Tyrod simply doesn’t turn the ball over giving them a chance to win every week. Surprisingly the Bills have 3 wins and workhorse Shady McCoy is still yet to find the end-zone, shocking! Shady eventually will find pay-dirt to which should help the Bills defensively to play with a lead. The Bills brain trust is young, hungry, and extremely intelligent; rest easy Bills fans you are in good hands.

The Bills upcoming schedule consists of  - @CIN, BYE, TB, OAK, @NYJ, NWO, @LAC, all very winnable games if they stay true to their formula. Could we see a Bills Division winning in 2017/2018? We shall see, it’s still very early.

New York Jets (2-2)
Tank the season was the mantra of the Jets going into camp, and yet they have competed at a decent level in the last 2 weeks. They opened the season with very sub-par performances vs the Bills and the Raiders echoing the stigma that the season was already lost right out of the gates. Enter week 3 & 4 and we have seen a much more inspired New York Jets squad. They dominated the Dolphins at home with sound play and great run stuffing. While week 4 showed their ability to game plan and exploit the leaky Jaguar run defense and steal they game late for the win. Obviously, the Jets are capable of handling themselves vs similar underachieving opponents, but don’t get used to that. The Jets defense is extremely weak at the LB position which leaves their below average secondary at risk for big plays all over the field. The schedule upcoming will put the Jets back down to earth after a week 5 date with the Browns.

The Jets upcoming schedule consists of - @CLE, NE, @MIA, ATL, BUF, @TB, minus Cleveland they could drop all these upcoming games. I don’t expect the Jets to hold a top spot in the division for very long.  

New England Patriots (2-2)
Nobody wins the Superbowl in the off season contrary to popular belief to those whom anointed the Patriots at running the table to 16-0 in 2017/2018. The Patriots again find themselves in somewhat of a crisis early when it comes to what they actually are. Yes injuries have played a massive role in their 2-2 record but there is a lot more to this puzzle. The Patriots possess absolutely no sustainable run attack that would drill fear into opposing defenses. Familiar to past New England teams the short pass game reflects the philosophy and mimics a run game. The other huge disappointment and surprise is the lack of understanding on how to utilize super-speedster Brandin Cooks. He’s shown his abilities in this offence yet disappears from week to week making it unclear to who is actually the problem, Cooks or the game plan? What we have learned from the Patriots is that never go to sleep on them, Belichick is a master at figuring out his weakness and promoting the strengths, this should be corrected soon. The biggest concern here is the play of that high priced defense. Granted they have endured injuries on that side of the ball, however, they lack that killer instinct and sitting in the middle of the pack in generating turnovers. I fully expect Belichick and co. to figure this out.

The Pats upcoming schedule consists of - @TB, @NYJ, ATL, LAC, BYE, @DEN, @OAK. With 4 games on the road out of 6, with all capable opponents (minus the NYJ), it’s safe to say this could get interesting. Could we see dethroning in the AFC EAST?

Miami Dolphins (1-2)
Once Jay Cutler was signed the Miami Dolphins instantly jumped on our radar at ADF. The thought process was; Head Coach Adam Gase could re-ignite Cutler in a familiar scheme combined with greater talent and could take the Dolphins to the next level. Suffice it to say that hasn’t occurred outside the close victory in Week 2 vs the stumbling Chargers. In back to back weeks the Fins over-paid underachieving defense hasn’t been able to fit the bill. All the blame can’t be forced upon the defense though, that Miami offence has been upright terrible. Aside from week 2 the Dolphins haven’t generated any run attack and Cutler is proving he should’ve stayed in the broadcast booth. I still won’t give up on this team just yet, but big improvements need to be made to right this ship, and needs to be made quickly!

The Dolphins upcoming schedule consists of – TEN, @ATL, NYJ, @BAL, OAK, @CAR, TB. Again aside from the Jets (even though Miami has already lost to them), this upcoming schedule should be tricky for them to overcome. There is no fear to play Miami at this point.

AFC NORTH

Pittsburgh Steelers (3-1)
It’s astonishing that the Steelers lead the division with the way they have played through 4 weeks! They have become quite an underachiever the last few years versus opponents with lower ambitions then their own. On the road they tend to play to the level of their opponent making life very difficult on themselves. With Bell holding out the entire preseason, he’s just found his football legs in week 4. Big Ben flirted with the idea of retirement in the off season which leads me to the opinion he has already checked out, I don’t like what I see. That defense however has been pleasant to watch grow. T.J Watt has become a favorite with ADF with his fantastic play and energy which seems to raise the level of play on that defense. We do know what the Steelers potential is with the core they have, especially on offence.

The Steelers upcoming schedule consists of – JAX, @KC, CIN, @DET, BYE, @IND, TEN. The schedule has favorable games for the Steelers to take advantage of, but they should count themselves lucky they play in the AFC North.

Baltimore Ravens (2-2)
We may have been fooled with the exceptional play of the defense to begin the season as they entertained extremely weak opponents. Struck back to earth by the Jaguars in a colossal beat down in London, while drooping week 4 to a division foe with an extreme lack of execution.  At the start of the season the Ravens looked to have a favorable schedule backed by a defense that would carry the team. As recently seen the offence has become its detriment causing the defense to falter. Offensively I believe Flacco is playing injured while receiving little help from his cast of wide receivers. Much improvement will be required for the Ravens to make any push this year. With that said, they do play in the weak AFC North and could find a division title again.

The Ravens upcoming schedule consists of – @OAK, CHI, @MIN, MIA, @TEN, BYE, @GB. There are winnable games upcoming, however Flacco might have to get out of his own way to make that happen.  

Cincinnati Bengals (1-3)
The Bengals started looking like the Bungles again to start the season at 0-3. Reliving their offensive coordinator post week 2 and the terrible showing on Thursday Night the Bengals looked to regroup the following week in Green Bay, which they did. Since the firing, the Bengals have improved vastly on the offensive side of the ball, however I don’t believe it’s sustainable as some may think. Dalton has regressed every year since Hue Jackson left for the darker pastures of the Browns. Cincinnati does possess playmakers that could keep them competitive but I believe this ship has sailed for what they will be under Coach Marvin Lewis. The way the Bengals have started the season it should be very difficult to overcome the early shortcomings.

The Bengals upcoming schedule consists of – BUF, @PIT, IND, @JAX, @TEN, @DEN, CLE. With an improved Bills defense to begin week 5, then playing 4 of the next 5 on the road, I wish the fans in Cincinnati the best of luck the rest of the year.

Cleveland Browns (0-4)
Crisis in Cleveland yet again, but some seem confused by this revelation in the front office. Perhaps when you invest in a full rebuild, with a rookie Head Coach (now two years on the job), and a team built straight on the youth movement and analytical specialists you get to 0-4 easily! It’s not to suggest the Browns don’t have talent, they do possess some really nice pieces.  To add to the frustration we still haven’t seen the first overall pick Miles Garrett due to injury. I have never endorsed Isaiah Crowell as I believe he is a change of pace RB that has no business leading the pack. I viewed Kizer as a bust prospect from the combine and his tape from Notre Dame, so far not much to get overly excited about. Week 5 vs a beatable NYJ squad could be your best shot at a victory aside from the Bears week 16! Sorry Browns fans it’s going to be another very long season.

The Browns upcoming schedule consists of – NYJ, @HOU, TEN, MIN, BYE, @DET, JAX.

AFC SOUTH

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2)
The Jaguars have found their way into a three way tie for the division lead holding the tie-breakers at this point. This team is a complete mystery on the offensive side of the ball. Week in week out you have no clue to how they will perform. One week they’ll put up 44 on a good defense like Baltimore then look completely out-of-sync a week later. Leonard Fourentte has brought the ‘as-advertised’ feeling to the run game providing consistent production. Wish we could say the same about Bortles. Defensively they have been somewhat Jekyll & Hyde having great games then laying an egg in others. Their secondary is one of the best in the NFL with Ramsey and Bouye locking down their respective islands. In a division where it is completely up for grabs it literally rests on the Jaguars shoulders to make it happen. Unless they begin to buy-in and play consistent football they will once again find themselves on the outside looking in.

The Jaguars upcoming schedule consists of – @PIT, LAR, @ IND, BYE, CIN, LAC, @CLE. There are many winnable games on tap for this Jacksonville team; I’m not buying into what they are selling just yet.

Houston Texans (2-2)
Enter one of the most exciting teams through 4 weeks of play! The infusion of rookie sensation Deshaun Watson has sparked the increase in production we haven’t seen in quite some time from that offence. Hopkins again has become a viable threat on any play. Miller and Foreman will continue to carry the load, while other options like Will Fuller and potentially Braxton Miller could take them over the top. While the excitement is generated from that offence we cannot forget about how talented that defense really is. Lead by J.J Watt & Jadeveon Clowney that defense has performed admirably with a few hiccups. This Houston team is definitely on the rise and should go as far as the progression of Watson takes them. This has become a very exciting team to watch.

The Texans upcoming schedule consists of – KC, CLE, BYE, @SEA, IND, @LAR, ARZ. Vegas will under-dog  the Texans at home to unbeaten KC, but beware, this Texans team almost upset the Patriots in Foxborough. A few more weeks and I might be sold on the Texans! 

Tennessee Titans (2-2)
Most experts sung the praises of the Titans right from camp; I assure you ADF wasn’t one of them. I do believe the Titans are a well-built club but have shown many flaws in their approach so far this season. First - they are built as a run first team! That offensive line is built perfectly to do damage on the ground while making defenses respect the run, this we haven’t seen so far in 4 games. It’s a big mistake to stunt the progression of Mariota forcing him and this offence to be pass first. Marcus hasn’t surpassed the 300 yard mark so far in 4 weeks, that should tell you something. The Titans are an up and coming squad no question but it’s achieved through the correct progression. With addition to that, this defense isn’t on par to help the offence play with a lead. Coach Mike Mularkey needs to review the tape so far this season, and go back to the roots of his original philosophy. Set Murray and Henry free to gallop for W’s in the win column. Hopefully he understands giving up 57 points to the Texans week 4 should get him to review that!

The Titans upcoming schedule consists of - @MIA, IND, @CLE, BYE, BAL, CIN, @PIT. The Titans are hoping Mariota can go week 5 after suffering a hamstring injury as the next 3 games before the bye week are clearly winnable. I really want to see the Titans go back to their commitment in running the ball to set up the pass. Recipe for success in Tennessee!   

Indianapolis Colts (1-3)
This season started with low expectations with franchise QB Andrew Luck on the shelf with his injured shoulder. After getting blown out week 1 in LA the Colts swiftly traded for Patriots Jacoby Brissett. This was a fantastic move to help the Colts remain somewhat competitive until Luck returns. Brissett unfortunately was thrown into the fire with limited preparation of the Colt play book thus they sit at 1-3. The fundamental issue with the Colts is how they have built this squad. Firstly, you draft a great talent in Luck and refuse to adequately provide talent to the most important piece on that offence, THE OFFENSIVE LINE! The Colts brain trust has failed their top talent as fans watch in disgust at how their franchise QB is literally being killed on the field. That only begins to show what the issue is in Indy. The lack of addressing the running back situation to form a solid run game has been almost as mind boggling as the lack of offensive line. Let’s not forget about the weakness which is the Colts defense. This unit isn’t built to stop anyone with consistency. If I’m a Colts fan I don’t believe Andrew Luck’s return will help you this season. Lick your wounds and get ready for the next draft.

The Colts upcoming schedule consists of – SF, @TEN, JAX, @CIN, @HOU, PIT, BYE.

AFC WEST

Kansas City Chiefs (4-0)
Now we enter the best division in football with the mighty Kansas City Chiefs. This team is the epitome of perfection based on roster building. Andy Reid is an absolute genius when it comes to producing in the regular season, and this year is no different. Drafting Patrick Mahomes to push Alex Smith to another level, while installing a deep pass game to compliment his new toy (Mahomes), has been a stroke of genius. To his credit Smith has answered the bell. He has performed on a level that could be considered elite. It does help when a team hits the lottery in drafting young super-star in the making RB Kareem Hunt. This kid is so dynamic it also has lifted the Chiefs to another level. KC possesses a terrific offence to go along with a great defense. Losing star safety Eric Berry was devastating; however the Chiefs are built with depth to overcome. I haven’t even mentioned Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce. I’m all on board with this team for the regular season, Andy Reid will need to shake off the demons for post season football to make me a true believer. This team is the front runner after 4 weeks of play in the AFC, no question.

The Chiefs upcoming schedule consists of - @HOU, PIT, @OAK, DEN, @DAL, BYE, @NYG. The Chiefs one loss in these next 7 could come from the Broncos, other than that they will have close games but should overcome.

Denver Broncos (3-1)
The Broncos yet again proved to the NFL that they house one of the best defensive units in the league. As strong as they are Head Coach Vance Joseph has greatly improved Denver’s run defense, something that has lacked these past few seasons. Correcting this has made the defense even more dominate. The biggest surprise should be the play of the offence thus far. Though it shouldn’t be a shocker when OC Mike McCoy rejoined his former squad to take control of the play calling duties. In my opinion he is one of the best offensive minds in the game today, and it’s shown on the field. Aside from a few bad decisions McCoy has made Trevor Siemian look the part of a quality starting QB. CJ Anderson has impressed and looks like he’s back to full health. Week 2 was the most impressive showing from this Broncos team dismantling the Dallas Cowboys 42-17. The philosophy for this team is simple, run the ball, play top notch defense, and don’t turn the ball over. If they can keep pace with that process the Broncos should find themselves back in the post-season.

The Broncos upcoming schedule consists of – BYE, NYG, @LAC, @KC, @ PHI, NE, CIN. It was stated when the NFL schedule was released that Denver did have the toughest road, it appears that way still.

Oakland Raiders (2-2)
ADF was one to fully endorse the Raiders in how they are building and producing on the field. I still believe in what Oakland can be but the circumstances have changed after week 4. Derek Carr once again is injured for what could be some time. We have seen what happens to the Raiders when he goes down (remember last year). Unfortunately for Oakland they don’t have a viable backup in EJ Manuel to get them over the hump until Carr returns. The disappointing play of young star turned young underachieving star Amari Cooper has been just that, a great disappointment! Marshawn Lynch has been a breath of fresh air for the run game but without Carr manning the ship his efforts should go by the waste side. Lynch is no longer in the position physically to carry a team on his back. The Raiders have also underachieved on the defensive side of the ball. Paying high priced free agents and drafting well hasn’t translated into production on the field. Khalil Mack is by far the best player on this defense and yet he seems to disappear at times. In this division there is no room for error and it doesn’t look like the Raiders will be in the mix.

The Raiders upcoming schedule consists of – BAL, LAC, KC, @BUF, @MIA, BYE, NE. With Carr playing, many of these games would favor Oakland, without Carr they should be considered the under-dog majority of the time.   


Los Angeles Chargers (0-4)
You can’t make this stuff up and yet the story of the Chargers is constantly repeating itself. Competitive in most games yet always finding a way to lose, that’s been the Chargers. One would’ve thought the move to LA would’ve removed these demons from the club, but the stench has following them up freeway I-405. It not like the Chargers are a terrible team but it seems like they can’t put it all together at the right time. Rivers seems to have enough in the tank for a few more seasons, while Melvin Gordon is quickly defining himself as a premier back in the league. Also, don’t discount Keenan Allen, he has picked up right where he left off pre-injury. One major concern on offence is the under-utilization of stud tight-end Hunter Henry. Anthony Lynn is a smart football man however he lacks the full understanding of placing his top talent in the best position. This was proven with his time in Buffalo where he focused far too much on the weakness of Tyrod Taylor rather then placing Charles Clay in the appropriate positions to help Taylor. The same is being done with Henry. This offence should be created to run first with Gordon, Allen as the primary and Henry as the secondary, force feed these men the ball. Don’t we see a similar situation in Kansas City with a hot trio of Hill-Hunt-Kelce?!? Unfortunately starting 0-4 will seal a team’s fate for the season. Perhaps the Chargers will be in the running for a new QB come draft time?   


The Chargers upcoming schedule consists of – @NYG, @OAK, DEN, @NE, BYE, JAX, BUF. By the looks of it the Chargers have a very difficult road. Good luck to them and the fans.


Stay tuned for the 1/4 season review for the NFC...












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